General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsMy cousin told me that Julian Castro may run for Governor in 2014. What do you guys think?
Texas dems what will be his chances, and can he bring more Latinos to the polls?
broiles
(1,370 posts)Jazzgirl
(3,744 posts)n/t
Dem2TheCore
(220 posts)Between the major cities (Austin, Houston, San Antonio, and DFW) and the Hispanic vote, he would have a real chance. The Democratic Party will have to do massive voter registration and GOTV, but it is doable.
It sure would get me edited about Texas politics again.
craigmatic
(4,510 posts)like him.
JRLeft
(7,010 posts)ChoppinBroccoli
(3,784 posts)When Ann Richards and Lloyd Bentsen won as Texas Democrats (particularly Ann Richards), how did they do it? Has the State changed all THAT much since then?
Texas Lawyer
(350 posts)were often to the right of New England Republicans).
Yes, the state has changed that much since Ann Richards (who just BARELY won even back in the good old days and who could not get elected to statewide office today).
ellisonz
(27,711 posts)AsahinaKimi
(20,776 posts)Superstar in the Democratic elections..
martin061360
(39 posts)for now, I think Texas is too red to take in 2014.
TBF
(32,102 posts)By Harold Meyerson
Wednesday, March 2, 2011
Don't look now, but Texas is turning blue.
Not today, to be sure, nor tomorrow. But to read the newly released census data on the Lone Star State is to understand that Texas, the linchpin of any Republican electoral college majority, is turning Latino and, unless the Republicans change their spots, Democratic.
Figures released last month by the Census Bureau show that during the past decade, Texas joined California as a majority-minority state: The percentage of whites in the Texas population declined from 52 percent in 2000 to 45 percent in 2010, while the percentage of Latinos rose from 32 percent to 38 percent. Nearly half of all Texans under 18 - 48 percent - are Latino.
Texas is hardly alone in this epochal demographic shift. In the first four states for which the Census Bureau released detailed information - New Jersey, Louisiana, Mississippi and Virginia - the number of whites under age 18 actually declined in the past decade. The numbers of Latinos and Asians among the young, by contrast, are soaring, and they are highest among the youngest.
Nationally, whites are now a minority - 49.9 percent - of Americans age 3 and under. In eight states and the District, according to an analysis by the Brookings Institution's William Frey, minorities comprise the majority in pre-K and kindergarten. Looking at all school enrollment, from pre-K through graduate school, Frey told the New York Times' Sabrina Tavernise, whites were 58.8 percent of all students in 2009, down from 64.6 percent in 2000 ...
more here: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/03/01/AR2011030105589.html
TBF
(32,102 posts)but this white Texan will vote for him either way. He's an exciting young candidate and if anyone can turn Texas blue it is him.
brooklynite
(94,745 posts)...may not be able to deliver enought votes.
Texas Lawyer
(350 posts)If you look at the past two decades of election return trends, it looks like the bellwether race for the statewide Democratic resurgence will probably be a Court of Criminal Appeals or Texas Supreme Court contest (and probably during a presidential election year rather than an off-presidential-election cycle).
If patterns hold, we will do better in 2012 and 2016 than we do in 2014, and the gubernatorial race will be one of the toughest statewide races to win.
I'm cautiously optimistic for 2016.
If winning is the goal (and I understand that there are other goals besides winning), Julian Castro would stand a better chance waiting two years and then taking on John Cornyn.
ananda
(28,877 posts)... the currently dead Democratic Party in Texas
is revived so that there is serious organization,
fundraising, and publicity... none of which our
current candidate for senator, Paul Sadler, is
getting.