Since 2012 is looking a lot like 2004 lets see how the polls stack up then & now

in the key states for this same period of time:

Iowa (2004):
Survey USA | 10/18-10/20 690 LV 3.8 51 45 1 Bush +6
Mason-Dixon | 10/15-10/18 625 LV 4.0 49 43 1 Bush +6
Central Surveys | 10/14-10/19 502 LV 4.0 45 46 1 Kerry +1

Iowa (2012):
RCP Average 9/23 - 10/15 -- -- 48.8 46.5 Obama +2.3
WeAskAmerica 10/15 - 10/15 1499 LV 2.6 49 46 Obama +3
ARG 10/11 - 10/14 600 LV 4.0 48 48 Tie

New Hampshire (2004):
Rasmussen | 10/18 500 LV 4.5 47 49 - Kerry +2
ARG | 10/16-10/18 600 LV 4.0 47 46 1 Bush +1
Mason-Dixon | 10/15-10/18 625 LV 4.0 48 45 1 Bush +3

New Hampshire (2012):
RCP Average 9/30 - 10/15 -- -- 48.3 47.5 Obama +0.8
Rasmussen Reports 10/15 - 10/15 500 LV 4.5 50 49 Obama +1
Suffolk/7News 10/12 - 10/14 500 LV 4.4 47 47 Tie

Ohio (2004):
Rasmussen | 10/20-10/26 537 LV 4.0 50 46 - Bush +4
Scripps | 10/17-10/21 358 LV 5.3 46 50 - Kerry +4
Gallup | 10/17-10/20 706 LV 3.5 47 48 1 Kerry +1
FOX News | 10/17-10/18 800 LV 3.5 49 44 - Bush +5
SurveyUSA | 10/16-10/18 698 LV 3.8 47 49 - Kerry +2

Ohio (2012):
RCP Average 10/5 - 10/17 -- -- 48.4 46.0 Obama +2.4
Rasmussen Reports 10/17 - 10/17 750 LV 4.0 49 48 Obama +1
SurveyUSA 10/12 - 10/15 613 LV 4.0 45 42 Obama +3
PPP (D) 10/12 - 10/13 880 LV 3.3 51 46 Obama +5

Colorado (2004)
Survey USA | 10/18-10/20 596 LV 4.1 52 45 - Bush +7
Rasmussen | 10/18 500 LV 4.5 50 45 - Bush +5
Ciruli Assoc | 10/15-10/19 600 LV 4.0 48 42 2 Bush +6
CNN/USAT/Gallup | 10/14-17 666 LV 4.0 51 45 1 Bush +6

Colorado (2012)

RCP Average 10/4 - 10/15 -- -- 48.0 47.3 Romney +0.7
WeAskAmerica 10/15 - 10/15 1206 LV 2.9 48 47 Romney +1
Denver Post/SurveyUSA 10/9 - 10/10 614 LV 4.0 48 47 Romney +1
Gravis Marketing 10/5 - 10/11 2089 LV 2.2 46 48 Obama +2

Nevada (2004):

Research 2000 | 10/19-10/21 600 LV 4.1 49 47 - Bush +2
Las Vegas Sun | 10/16-10/19 600 LV 4.1 45 41 1 Bush +4
SurveyUSA | 10/16-10/18 585 LV 4.1 52 45 - Bush +7
Mason-Dixon | 10/15-10/18 625 LV 4.0 52 42 - Bush +10
SurveyUSA | 10/1-10/3 625 LV 4.0 50 46 - Bush +4

Nevada (2012):

RCP Average 10/6 - 10/15 -- -- 49.0 46.0 Obama +3.0
Rasmussen Reports 10/15 - 10/15 500 LV 4.5 50 47 Obama +3
LVRJ/SurveyUSA 10/11 - 10/15 806 LV 3.5 48 45 Obama +3
Suffolk/KSNV 10/6 - 10/9 500 LV 4.4 47 45 Obama +2
PPP (D) 10/8 - 10/10 594 LV 4.0 51 47 Obama +4

Wisconsin (2004):

Strategic Vision (R) | 10/22-24 801 LV 3.0 49 44 1 Bush +5
Strategic Vision (R) | 10/17-19 801 LV 3.0 49 46 1 Bush +3
CNN/USAT/Gallup | 10/16-19 678 LV 4.0 50 44 3 Bush +6
ARG | 10/16-10/19 600 LV 4.0 47 47 2 TIE
Mason-Dixon | 10/15-10/18 625 LV 4.0 45 45 1 TIE
UofM HHI | 10/14-10/19 623 LV 4.0 48 47 2 Bush +1

Wisconsin (2012):

RCP Average 10/4 - 10/14 -- -- 49.8 47.8 Obama +2.0
Marquette University 10/11 - 10/14 870 LV 3.4 49 48 Obama +1
Rasmussen Reports 10/9 - 10/9 500 LV 4.5 51 49 Obama +2
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac 10/4 - 10/9 1327 LV 3.0 50 47 Obama +3
PPP (D) 10/4 - 10/6 979 LV 3.1 49 47 Obama +2

Pennsylvania (2004):

Rasmussen | 10/17-10/23 424 LV 4.0 46 49 - Kerry +3
Muhlenberg | 10/17-10/22 787 RV 3.5 46 48 - Kerry +2
Quinnipiac | 10/16-10/20 841 LV 3.4 46 51 - Kerry +5
Strategic Vision (R) | 10/17-19 801 LV 3.0 46 47 - Kerry +1
Mason-Dixon | 10/15-10/18 625 LV 4.0 45 46 - Kerry +1

Pennsylvania (2012):

RCP Average 10/4 - 10/14 -- -- 49.7 44.7 Obama +5.0
Quinnipiac 10/12 - 10/14 1519 LV 2.5 50 46 Obama +4
PPP (D) 10/12 - 10/14 500 LV 4.4 51 44 Obama +7
Morning Call 10/10 - 10/14 438 LV 5.0 49 45 Obama +4
Rasmussen Reports 10/9 - 10/9 500 LV 4.5 51 46 Obama +5
Philadelphia Inquirer 10/4 - 10/8 600 LV 4.0 50 42 Obama +8

Florida (2004):

SPT/Miami Herald| 10/19-21 800 LV 3.5 46 46 1 TIE
Research 2000 | 10/18-10/21 600 LV 4.0 47 48 2 Kerry +1
Strategic Vision (R) | 10/18-20 801 LV 3.0 49 46 1 Bush +1
Quinnipiac | 10/15-10/19 808 LV 3.5 48 47 1 Bush +1
SurveyUSA | 10/15-10/17 601 LV 4.1 49 50 - Kerry +1
Mason-Dixon | 10/14-10/17 625 LV 4.0 48 45 - Bush +3

Florida (2012):

RCP Average 10/7 - 10/14 -- -- 49.3 46.8 Romney +2.5
Gravis Marketing 10/13 - 10/14 617 LV 4.0 49 48 Romney +1
PPP (D) 10/12 - 10/14 791 LV 3.4 49 48 Romney +1
Rasmussen Reports 10/11 - 10/11 750 LV 4.0 51 47 Romney +4
TBT/Herald/Mason-Dixon 10/8 - 10/10 800 LV 3.5 51 44 Romney +7
ARG 10/8 - 10/11 600 LV 4.0 49 46 Romney +3
NBC/WSJ/Marist 10/7 - 10/9 988 LV 3.1 47 48 Obama +1

North Carolina (2004):

JLF/Tel Opn Res | 10/18-20 600 LV 4.0 48 40 - Bush +8
Mason-Dixon | 10/18-10/19 625 LV 4.0 51 43 - Bush +8
SurveyUSA | 10/15-10/17 627 LV 4.0 50 47 - Bush +3

North Carolina (2012):

RCP Average 10/6 - 10/14 -- -- 50.0 45.3 Romney +4.7
PPP (D) 10/12 - 10/14 1084 LV 3.0 49 47 Romney +2
Rasmussen Reports 10/9 - 10/9 500 LV 4.5 51 48 Romney +3

(note that Gravis has a +9 NC poll which increases the average for Romney).

New Mexico (2004):


ARG | 10/16-10/18 600 LV 4.0 46 48 1 Kerry +2
Mason-Dixon | 10/15-10/18 625 LV 4.0 49 44 - Bush +5
Gallup/CNN/USAT | 10/3-6 673 LV 4.0 50 47 2 Bush +3

New Mexico (2012):

RCP Average 9/7 - 10/11 -- -- 51.8 41.3 Obama +10.5
Albuquerque Journal* 10/9 - 10/11 658 LV 3.8 49 39 Obama +10
Rasmussen Reports 10/8 - 10/8 500 LV 4.5 54 43 Obama +11
WeAskAmerica* 9/25 - 9/27 1258 LV 2.9 51 41 Obama +10
PPP (D) 9/7 - 9/9 1122 LV 2.9 53 42 Obama +11

Michigan (2004):

Rasmussen | 10/20-10/26 561 LV 5.0 46 51 - Kerry +5
EPIC/MRA | 10/18-10/21 610 LV 4.0 43 49 1 Kerry +6
Survey USA | 10/18-10/20 668 LV 3.9 44 51 - Kerry +7
Mason-Dixon | 10/15-10/18 625 LV 4.0 46 47 - Kerry +1

Michigan (2012):

RCP Average 10/4 - 10/11 -- -- 48.8 44.4 Obama +4.4
Rasmussen Reports 10/11 - 10/11 500 LV 4.5 52 45 Obama +7
Detroit News 10/6 - 10/8 600 LV 4.0 49 42 Obama +7
EPIC-MRA 10/4 - 10/6 600 LV 4.0 48 45 Obama +3
Baydoun/Foster (D) 10/5 - 10/5 1122 LV 2.9 49 46 Obama +3


Virginia (2004):

Mason-Dixon | 10/22-10/25 625 LV 4.0 50 44 - Bush +6
SurveyUSA | 10/16-10/18 664 LV 3.9 50 46 - Bush +4

Virginia (2012):

RCP Average 10/4 - 10/14 -- -- 48.4 47.6 Obama +0.8
ARG 10/12 - 10/14 600 LV 4.0 47 48 Romney +1
Rasmussen Reports 10/11 - 10/11 750 LV 4.0 47 49 Romney +2
NBC/WSJ/Marist 10/7 - 10/9 981 LV 3.1 47 48 Romney +1
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac 10/4 - 10/9 1288 LV 3.0 51 46 Obama +5
PPP (D) 10/4 - 10/7 725 LV 3.7 50 47 Obama +3