General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsElectoral Votes - where we stand today. Without the 8 states 237(o) to 170(r)
There are 11 states that are borderline and will decide who is the next president.
At this time Obama is pretty much going to win 237 electoral votes: HI,WA,OR,CA,NM,MI,MN,IL,MD,DE,DC,PA,NJ,NY,CT,RI,VT,ME (I think I have them all)
Romney will win these states: AK,UT,ID,MT,WY,ND,SD,NE*,OK,TX,KY,TN,MS,LA,AL,SC,GA,IN,WV for 170 electoral votes.
States that are up in the air:
Nevada 6
Colorado 9
Arizona 11
Ohio 18
Wisconsin 10
North Carolina 15
Virginia 13
New Hampshire 4
Iowa 6
Missouri 10
Florida 29
What this comes down to is Obama finding 33 EV whereas Romney needs to find 100.
The good news is that I think Ohio and Wisconsin will go to Obama which is 28 of the 33 he is going to need. I think there is a good chance he could pick up 1EV from Nebraska (NE splits EV and Obama won 1 in 2008). So at this point Obama needs to pick up one more state and I think it'll either be Nevada or Colorado that will give Obama the win.
IDoMath
(404 posts)In your last statement did you mean to say "Nevada or Colorado"?
joycejnr
(326 posts)...Do the voting machines have the same count?
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)LynneSin
(95,337 posts)Wisconsin will probably go Obama.
But we're 3pts ahead with the US Senate seat and I would love to keep AZ with a blue senator!
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)DixieDave
(10 posts)but it's useless and we won't know anything til election night.
LynneSin
(95,337 posts)Obama has been doing pretty solid in Ohio - anywhere from 5-8% lead. So if Obama continues this lead thru election day but Romney suddenly wins it then there is a chance that monkey business was going on by the GOP lead government.
I think the states I'd be most worried about are Ohio, Wisconsin, Florida and even Pennsylvania (even though they are allowing people to vote who do not have state photo ID like a drivers license).
I suspect if a constantly blue state suddenly turns red on election day, Obama will be someone who will fight to get answers needed to explain what happened and make sure that all the votes count.
BTW welcome to DU
FloridaWatcher
(1 post)You are being overconfident to count Ohio.
There is a long way to go.
reflection
(6,286 posts)Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)Welcome to DU.
Indpndnt
(2,391 posts)Good point. He's screwed, really.