General Discussion

boxman15

(1,033 posts) Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:54 PM Oct 2012

PPP: Obama and Romney tied at 48% in first edition of new daily tracking poll

Today PPP is releasing the first results from the daily tracking poll it will be running for the rest of the election, sponsored by Americans United for Change. It will be based on a three day rolling average, with 400 interviews conducted each day.

Based on interviews completed between Monday and Wednesday Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are all tied up at 48%. This represents some improvement for Obama compared to PPP's last national survey, conducted last weekend for Daily Kos and SEIU, which found Romney up 50/46.

Obama is up 51/45 with women, 62/34 with Hispanics, 87/8 with African Americans, and 57/38 with young voters. Romney is ahead 50/45 with men, 46/41 with independents, 58/38 with whites, and 53/43 with seniors.

Voters narrowly disapprove of Obama's job performance, with 46% of voters giving him good marks to 50% unhappy with how he's doing. That's actually up a little bit from a 44/53 spread over the weekend though. Americans are split right down the middle in their assessments of Romney- 47% see him favorably and 47% unfavorably. That's down from a 49/45 spread on last weekend's survey.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/national/

Thoughts?

13 replies

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PPP: Obama and Romney tied at 48% in first edition of new daily tracking poll (Original Post) boxman15 Oct 2012 OP

Obama's improved from the Tuesday numbers. Good! TwilightGardener Oct 2012 #1

I think Romney needs at least 60% of whites cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #2

I Read Where The Obama Team Thinks They Can Win With Thirty Eight Percent White Support DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #6

if he is only 6pts up with women, we're fucked.nt GusFring Oct 2012 #3

Even if he's only down by 5 with men? I think not, friend. Mutiny In Heaven Oct 2012 #4

If He's Up Six With Women And Down Five With Men How Can He Be Tied When More Women Vote? DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #7

Of course. Mutiny In Heaven Oct 2012 #10

Obama is only up 6 pts with women? Really? What women are these pollsters talking to? nt. OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #5

I know women who are fundies, one issue voters, I know top 2% women who are voting for Romney as NotThisTime Oct 2012 #9

Always neck-and-neck just like Bush and Gore FiveGoodMen Oct 2012 #8

Bush was up by about 3 - 6% in most polls Mutiny In Heaven Oct 2012 #11

These national polls are skewed by Romney's massive lead in the South WilliamPitt Oct 2012 #12

This is BS. They are cooking these polls. We are being rolled over by media and polls, when the juajen Oct 2012 #13

TwilightGardener

(46,416 posts)

1. Obama's improved from the Tuesday numbers. Good!

Reply to boxman15 (Original post)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:56 PM

Oct 2012

cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)

2. I think Romney needs at least 60% of whites

Reply to boxman15 (Original post)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:57 PM

Oct 2012

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

6. I Read Where The Obama Team Thinks They Can Win With Thirty Eight Percent White Support

Reply to cthulu2016 (Reply #2)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 03:10 PM

Oct 2012

Last edited Thu Oct 18, 2012, 03:44 PM - Edit history (1)

That seems like threading the needle to me but what do I know. As an historical marker, Mondale,Dukakis, and Kerry goy 36%,40%, and 41% respectively. The difference is the non white vote becomes a much larger share of the electorate with each passing election. Dukakis and Kerry would have probably won with a 2008 electorate.

GusFring

(756 posts)

3. if he is only 6pts up with women, we're fucked.nt

Reply to boxman15 (Original post)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 03:04 PM

Oct 2012

Mutiny In Heaven

(550 posts)

4. Even if he's only down by 5 with men? I think not, friend.

Reply to GusFring (Reply #3)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 03:06 PM

Oct 2012

Women vote in larger numbers, ergo such a split would result in a close but clear win for the President.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

7. If He's Up Six With Women And Down Five With Men How Can He Be Tied When More Women Vote?

Reply to Mutiny In Heaven (Reply #4)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 03:14 PM

Oct 2012

He should be up at least a point or two.

Mutiny In Heaven

(550 posts)

10. Of course.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #7)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 03:19 PM

Oct 2012

8.8m female advantage in 2004.

9.7 in 2008.

This is why I'm staying cool. Funky models, lots of static.

OldDem2012

(3,526 posts)

5. Obama is only up 6 pts with women? Really? What women are these pollsters talking to? nt.

Reply to boxman15 (Original post)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 03:10 PM

Oct 2012

NotThisTime

(3,657 posts)

9. I know women who are fundies, one issue voters, I know top 2% women who are voting for Romney as

Reply to OldDem2012 (Reply #5)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 03:19 PM

Oct 2012

well, as I told one of them yesterday, should our daughters need women's care they can just go to Canada right? Because we can pay..... the answer was yes..... that's how they think. Selfishness abounds.