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justiceischeap

(14,040 posts)
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 01:34 PM Oct 2012

Polls vs. Reality

I just don't see how the polls having Mittens in the lead can be correct.

As far as I've seen/read President Obama leads with:

African-Americans
Hispanics
Women
Young vote

So, if people actually go out and vote, how is it possible that Romney wins?

6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Polls vs. Reality (Original Post) justiceischeap Oct 2012 OP
Cell phone Dman292 Oct 2012 #1
Some pollsters are now doing cell calls. n/t BumRushDaShow Oct 2012 #2
I use a cell phone only - have since iPhones first came out justiceischeap Oct 2012 #4
I wholeheartedly agree!! longship Oct 2012 #5
It's not possible quinnox Oct 2012 #3
President Obama will win if we all vote and the votes are counted. n/t porphyrian Oct 2012 #6

Dman292

(44 posts)
1. Cell phone
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 01:40 PM
Oct 2012

I thought I heard people with cell phones only do not get polled and that they would more likely vote for Obama

justiceischeap

(14,040 posts)
4. I use a cell phone only - have since iPhones first came out
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 01:44 PM
Oct 2012

and in all that time, I've never been polled.

longship

(40,416 posts)
5. I wholeheartedly agree!!
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 02:00 PM
Oct 2012

Culture and technology has eclipsed polling methodologies.

My only worry is that people use the Inet solely to confirm their biases. It's the same reason why all my Republican friends watch/listen only to Faux/Limbaugh/Hannity/etc.

But younger people have long since given up on land lines. And I remain unconvinced that pollsters have any fucking idea on how to accurately poll cell phone users.

When I had a land line, I would get polled regularly, almost every national election (every two years). Since I have been cell phone only, I have never been polled. Not once. Not even when I had both land line and cell.

The pollster models for cell phone polling is flawed. This makes it biased.

That's why I see a poll and I think to myself, "Meh!" Especially when the polls are all over the place.

Work. Vote.

 

quinnox

(20,600 posts)
3. It's not possible
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 01:44 PM
Oct 2012

If Romney wins, it obviously means it was the result of a shadowy conspiracy involving voting machines.
Obama is guaranteed victory barring any interference from these secret plotters.

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