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bigtree

(86,006 posts)
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 04:36 PM Oct 2012

IBD/TIPP Poll: Obama Expands Lead Over Romney

from TPM:


President Obama holds a 5.7 point lead over Mitt Romney, 47.9 percent to 42.2 percent, according to the latest IBD/TIPP daily tracking poll released Sunday. That represents an improvement from Friday, when Obama held a two-point lead over Romney in the same poll.

The poll sampled 913 likely voters between Oct. 15 - 20 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points.

http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/ibd-tipp-poll-obama-expands-lead-over-romney
_________________________

IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election
Daily Tracking Poll

Day 13: Oct. 21, 2012

Obama: +5.7
Obama 47.9% | Romney 42.2%

Obama has opened up a 6-point lead over Romney in our latest poll, his largest lead yet.
Some 8.1% of those polled said they were “not sure” whom they would vote for, also the largest percentage yet.
Obama’s lead seemed to build after the second debate, which many mainstream media pundits believe Obama won.
Self-described “moderates” now prefer Obama over Romney by 22 points, the second largest margin since we began polling.
Obama holds a hefty 35-point lead among urban dwellers, and a comfortable 5-point lead in the suburbs.

read: http://news.investors.com/special-report/508415-ibdtipp-poll.aspx

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IBD/TIPP Poll: Obama Expands Lead Over Romney (Original Post) bigtree Oct 2012 OP
Woot! BumRushDaShow Oct 2012 #1
Thank you for posting Liberalynn Oct 2012 #2
Thats about what is the only poll that makes sense..I expect more to follow Tribetime Oct 2012 #3
bigtree! K&R. David Zephyr Oct 2012 #4
So goes Ohio , so goes the nation.... pkdu Oct 2012 #5
Is this a credible poll? And why such a better poll for us than Gallup and others? Just asking. RBInMaine Oct 2012 #6
Unfortunately, probably not cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #7
I'm not familiar with their sample of voters bigtree Oct 2012 #9
Most imgbitepolitic Oct 2012 #8
interesting bigtree Oct 2012 #10
Are these reliable sources? Sebass1271 Oct 2012 #11
who do you rely on bigtree Oct 2012 #12
Well i rely on DU a lot Sebass1271 Oct 2012 #13
Second kick. David Zephyr Oct 2012 #14
IBD/TIPP was the most accurate in 2008. phleshdef Oct 2012 #15

Tribetime

(4,711 posts)
3. Thats about what is the only poll that makes sense..I expect more to follow
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 04:40 PM
Oct 2012

after the latest debate , blunders.. the usual rmoney....can't believe people are that stupid or is it the media trying to make us believe we are?

pkdu

(3,977 posts)
5. So goes Ohio , so goes the nation....
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 04:42 PM
Oct 2012

Many so called Pollsters will have some 'Splainin to do come Nov 7th

cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)
7. Unfortunately, probably not
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 04:50 PM
Oct 2012

I don't know why IBD is so screwed up, but it is. A week or two ago they had a pro-Romney result that was wildly out of line. Today they have a good poll for Obama, but with Obama trailing in the South region by only 1%, which doesn't seem credible. They just seem to have an erratic method, somehow.

But even if a poll is flawed, up is better than down. It is at least mildly indicative of diretcion

bigtree

(86,006 posts)
9. I'm not familiar with their sample of voters
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 04:52 PM
Oct 2012

. . . but, I think the make-up of Gallup's is well documented here. That's what I think accounts for differences in polls, more than most anything else. There's also a process of analyzing results which can skew polls. Some include things like internet polling and the like. Someone else, though, will have to speak to this one. Maybe Josh Marshall can help flesh it out for you in an email or something.

 

Sebass1271

(2,332 posts)
13. Well i rely on DU a lot
Sun Oct 21, 2012, 05:14 PM
Oct 2012

Musa members seem to be knowledgeable in what their opinions and facts are.

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