General Discussion

Mass

(27,315 posts) Mon Oct 22, 2012, 06:47 PM Oct 2012

List of national polls released today

A bunch of them, not that it matters, but because they are all over the place. For each poll that shows Romney ahead, there is one that shows Obama ahead by the same amount, or one showing the race tied. LOL.

(Source RCP and TPM)
CBS: O 48 R 46
ABC News: O 49 R 48
Rasmussen O 47 R 49
Monmouth O 45 R 48
IDB: O 47 R 43
Zogby: O 50 R 47
GWU O 47 R 49
Rand O 48 R 46
Ipsos O 46 R 46
Democracy Corps O 49 R 46
PPP 48 48

And of course Gallup O 45 R 51

8 replies

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List of national polls released today (Original Post) Mass Oct 2012 OP

Explains this nadinbrzezinski Oct 2012 #1

So basically the polls are meaningless n/t doc03 Oct 2012 #2

I usually put the most confidence in Zogby. lpbk2713 Oct 2012 #3

As I've said before... regnaD kciN Oct 2012 #4

Well DarthDem Oct 2012 #5

They may change that poll before election day n/t doc03 Oct 2012 #6

Avg all these polls, Obama leads by 0.17% demwing Oct 2012 #7

There is no real polling uncertainty. ananda Oct 2012 #8

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)

1. Explains this

Reply to Mass (Original post)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 06:49 PM

Oct 2012

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

By the way, at this point STATE polls are a tad more critical... especially swing states.

doc03

(35,389 posts)

2. So basically the polls are meaningless n/t

Reply to Mass (Original post)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 06:49 PM

Oct 2012

lpbk2713

(42,769 posts)

3. I usually put the most confidence in Zogby.

Reply to doc03 (Reply #2)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 06:55 PM

Oct 2012

But when you come right down to it most polls are tentative at best, they can change for no apparent reason.

regnaD kciN

(26,045 posts)

4. As I've said before...

Reply to doc03 (Reply #2)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 06:56 PM

Oct 2012

...the big thing that will come out of these polls is, come the morning of 11/7, Gallup is either going to be hailed as the sole pollster who spotted the right factors to call a race correctly when everyone else was off, or completely discredited as a top-rank polling firm. Anyone care to guess which it will be?