They had Romney up by 4 points last poll.

UNH has Obama up by 8 points. If you add leaners, it's nine points.

http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/e2012_pres102212.pdf

As I was telling my daughter the news I couldn't help but think I'd heard wrong since we've been trending in the wrong direction of late.

Don't buy into it. Their goal is to reduce enthusiasm.

Obama has reversed Romney's momentum since the first debate. More importantly, Obama continues to lead in Ohio which is the big prize. The early voting numbers look terrible for Romney. In fact, it looks like Obama is outperforming what he did in 2008 in Ohio and Romney is under performing what the GOP did in 2008:

http://www.politicususa.com/bad-news-romney-ohio-early-voting-turnout-obama-gop.html

Just in the libertarian hellhole I call home. New Hampshire has improved some since we called Meldrim Thompson governor but, it wasn't that long ago we put Craig Benson in Concord either...and a lot of the "free staters" he invited in never bothered to go back home. I won't even get into the 435 member abomination that is the NH House of Representatives...

he's got to be depressed looking at the polls in the states which actually will make the difference in this race.

Charlie Cook: http://nationaljournal.com/columns/off-to-the-races/will-third-debate-change-the-electoral-math--20121023?mrefid=site_search

. . . if the national polls are looking even, that doesn’t mean that the election is an even-money contest. Although this race is very close, the road to 270 electoral votes is considerably more difficult for Romney than it is for Obama. The president starts off with undisputed leads in 16 states and the District of Columbia with 237 electoral votes, 33 short of the 270 needed to win. Romney begins with equally clear leads in 23 states with 191 electoral votes, 79 short of a victory. Nine states with 110 electoral votes are in the admittedly broad Toss-Up column (Colorado, Florida, Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, and Wisconsin). Obama needs to win 30 percent of those Toss-Up electoral votes; Romney needs 72 percent of those votes.

They overpredicted Obama's margin by 4.5, fwiw.

UNH was the most accurate in NH in 2008 and they came out with a poll yesterday saying Obama is winning by 9.

...According to this poll there is only a 6% gap in women Likely Voters. Sorry, not buying that at all.