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kpete

(72,018 posts)
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 07:49 AM Oct 2012

Can I get a hell yeah?

Last edited Wed Oct 31, 2012, 10:43 AM - Edit history (1)

TUE OCT 30, 2012 AT 09:50 PM PDT
Reason #26 to be optimistic: Nate Silver rises to 77.4% [+bonus good news]
byMeMeMeMeMeFollow

Nate Silver's http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/ latest prediction, as of T-minus 6 days before the election, is a 77.4% chance of Obama winning, up from a 72.9% chance just yesterday.

His electoral vote count stands at 299, up from 294.6 yesterday. This closely aligns with the current prediction of Sam Wang at Princeton Election Consortium, which stands at 305 electoral votes. http://election.princeton.edu/2012/10/31/election-night-scenario-tracking-tool/


Obama's numbers continue their long and steady rise for the past three weeks. Look at the trends. Ask yourself: would you trade places with Mitt Romney right now?

Bonus good news: Thanks to trix in comments, new Quinnipiac Ohio poll:
http://www.dailykos.com/comments/1152909/48177324#c5

Obama 50
Romney 45


Can I get a hell yeah?

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/31/1152909/-Reason-1-to-be-optimistic-Nate-Silver-rises-to-77-4


UPDATE TO ADD: Latest Swing State Polls

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Quinnipiac)

Florida: Obama 48%, Romney 47% (Quinnipiac)

Michigan: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Detroit News)

Pennsylvania: Obama 48%, Romney 44% (Franklin and Marshall)

Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (Quinnipiac)

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/10/31/latest_swing_state_polls.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+PoliticalWire+%28Political+Wire%29



ANOTHER UPDATE:



Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012

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65.0%
CHANCE
Last prediction was: $6.50 / share
http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=743474
Today's Change: +$0.09 (+1.4%)


TPM
The Big Polls So Far Today

DAVID KURTZ OCTOBER 31, 2012, 10:08 AM 454

NYT/CBS: Obama up 5 points in Ohio, 2 points in Virginia, and 1 point in Florida.

Franklin & Marshall College: Obama up 4 points in Pennsylvania.

PPP: Obama up by 5 in Wisconsin and in Iowa.

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/2012/10/the_big_polls_so_far_today.php?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+Talking-Points-Memo+%28Talking+Points+Memo%3A+by+Joshua+Micah+Marshall%29
41 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Can I get a hell yeah? (Original Post) kpete Oct 2012 OP
Hell yeah! FIRE UP! BumRushDaShow Oct 2012 #1
I think there's gonna be a strong spike too lunatica Oct 2012 #2
The numbers wouldn't include any benefit yet from handing the Sandy attack BlueStreak Oct 2012 #33
Hell Yeah! LeftofObama Oct 2012 #3
ME, TOO! cilla4progress Oct 2012 #32
yes he can!!!! k and r goclark Oct 2012 #4
Hell TO THE yeah kalli007 Oct 2012 #5
Hell yeah! NNN0LHI Oct 2012 #6
Oh HELL yeah! txwhitedove Oct 2012 #7
Hell Yeah! easychoice Oct 2012 #8
Hell Yeah! SkyDaddy7 Oct 2012 #9
Hell Yeah x 10 Rockyj Oct 2012 #10
Effin' Hell Yeah! malaise Oct 2012 #11
Hell, Yeah! Suck on that, Joe Scar! Surya Gayatri Oct 2012 #12
Hell fucking yeah outsideworld Oct 2012 #13
Hell Yeah! sheshe2 Oct 2012 #14
hedoubletoothpicks yes. ErikJ Oct 2012 #15
Yes you can! 99Forever Oct 2012 #16
Yes you may FailureToCommunicate Oct 2012 #17
Hell yeah, you can! AzDar Oct 2012 #18
HELL YEAH!!! LukeFL Oct 2012 #19
Hell Yeah!!!! Lilma Oct 2012 #20
Not really. caseymoz Oct 2012 #21
HAYULL Yeah, for my Southern Democrat brothers and sisters! nolabear Oct 2012 #22
Woohoo! ananda Oct 2012 #23
Wahooo!!! GoneOffShore Oct 2012 #24
hell yeah from H Town oliverrams1 Oct 2012 #25
Hell yeah!! But I see that we Marylanders have more work to do in VA... Liberal_Stalwart71 Oct 2012 #26
Thank you! cilla4progress Oct 2012 #34
Hell Yes april Oct 2012 #27
Hells yeah! TwilightGardener Oct 2012 #28
Hell yeah! n/t Lugnut Oct 2012 #29
Hell yeah! spedtr90 Oct 2012 #30
Well ... just ... cilla4progress Oct 2012 #31
HELL YEAH!!! n/t beac Oct 2012 #35
Hell yeah!! Brigid Oct 2012 #36
You bet! mlevans Oct 2012 #37
Hells yeah! geardaddy Oct 2012 #38
Thread Alerted Kurovski Nov 2012 #39
Hot Place Yesness! byronius Nov 2012 #40
Now that's some good news. Oh hell YEAH, kpete! Hekate Nov 2012 #41
 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
33. The numbers wouldn't include any benefit yet from handing the Sandy attack
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 10:24 AM
Oct 2012

Romney and his lying Jeep ad count' possibly be gaining ground this week up against the president doing his job in a time of emergency.

More than the personal contrast, the storm might shock a few "rugged individualists" into the reality that we are all in this together and we do need a well-functioning government. We need a president to make government work, not a President to take government apart.

And for Todd Akin and Richard Mourdock, I just wanted to let you guys know it was God's will that Obama look highly Presidential the week before the election.

LeftofObama

(4,243 posts)
3. Hell Yeah!
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 07:55 AM
Oct 2012

I'll be breathing a lot easier on Nov. 7 when President Obama is officially declared the winner. This election is making me a nervous wreck!

cilla4progress

(24,770 posts)
32. ME, TOO!
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 10:24 AM
Oct 2012

GOING to make some major changes in my life when our Pres wins his 2nd term.

Need to learn to meditate - self-care. I've been a wreck for the last month.

Maybe get a TV - haven't had one in 20 years (want to be able to watch his last term in office).

Other stuff.

Thanks for sharing.

easychoice

(1,043 posts)
8. Hell Yeah!
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 08:10 AM
Oct 2012

I feel a spike coming on too.No proof just a feeling that the media is chilling/manipulating Obama's popularity.Come on Nov.7

FailureToCommunicate

(14,022 posts)
17. Yes you may
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 09:21 AM
Oct 2012

Hell yeah!

Amazing to remember that only a month ago, Silver's 538 had Obama at 98% chance of winning...before the media decided Romney "appeared presidential"

caseymoz

(5,763 posts)
21. Not really.
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 09:37 AM
Oct 2012

A 1 in 5 chance of Romney winning is what I call harrowing. Add in the possibility of cheating, and that's probably about a 40 percent chance. That's a 2 in 5 of Dubya, the sequel.

That's horror movie material as far as I'm concerned.
 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
26. Hell yeah!! But I see that we Marylanders have more work to do in VA...
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 10:02 AM
Oct 2012

Many of us will be headed down to deep Virginia and staying over the weekend to GOTV!!

I'm excited about it. I feel like we are doing special things down there. It won't be easy, but it can be done!!

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