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nixonwasbetterthanW

(1,317 posts) Wed Oct 31, 2012, 07:58 PM Oct 2012

Intrade: Obama a surer bet to win it all than to win Ohio

It's counterintuitive, but suddenly he's 67 percent to win the whole shebang but 68 to win Ohio.

2 replies

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Intrade: Obama a surer bet to win it all than to win Ohio (Original Post) nixonwasbetterthanW Oct 2012 OP

Would care to explain that? Sekhmets Daughter Oct 2012 #1

It is counterintuitive Trajan Oct 2012 #2

Sekhmets Daughter

(7,515 posts)

1. Would care to explain that?

Reply to nixonwasbetterthanW (Original post)

Wed Oct 31, 2012, 08:06 PM

Oct 2012

Trajan

(19,089 posts)

2. It is counterintuitive

Reply to nixonwasbetterthanW (Original post)

Wed Oct 31, 2012, 08:06 PM

Oct 2012

Because your statement "Obama is a surer bet to win it all than to win Ohio" would need to actually show a GREATER number for a national 'win' (67%) than a state 'win' (68%) .... It doesn't ....

According to the math shown here; He is more likely to win the state than the nation ...

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