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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsFreeper confidence bothers me
4 years ago, freeperland was wringing their hands in worry and clutching at straws for hope. This year they are trotting out all kinds of favorable polls, prominent pundits and all sorts of tea leaves giving them supreme confidence that this election is all but over and that R$ will win handily. I admit it, I'm spooked.
Renew Deal
(81,871 posts)DUers thought Kerry had it in the bag. Polls looked pretty good overall, though it was close.
aletier_v
(1,773 posts)because there was so much gnashing of teeth.
David__77
(23,509 posts)Of course I didn't say so, but I certainly didn't predict a Kerry victory. You are right that a lot of people thought that the polls were wrong and didn't account for cell phone users, etc. Defeating an incumbent president is always difficult.
Rosa Luxemburg
(28,627 posts)SleeplessinSoCal
(9,145 posts)and it's possible that's based on voter suppression.
Indpndnt
(2,391 posts)Faux says they're way ahead, so it MUST be true.
Can't wait for Tuesday when the pinhead on each one's shoulders .
TeamPooka
(24,254 posts)gollygee
(22,336 posts)But generally just relax, wait for Tuesday, make sure to vote and then have fun watching the returns come in and Republican heads explode.
gateley
(62,683 posts)With Hillary and NH. Neither side should take she polls as gospel.
pintobean
(18,101 posts)Reid won by 5.5 %. A lot of people are taking Silver as gospel. The best answer is to drag as many people as possible to the polls. There's only one poll that will matter in the end.
gateley
(62,683 posts)lunatica
(53,410 posts)But whatever floats your boat.
I remember that just yesterday. Something about its all over heading to the beach, game over.
Applan
(693 posts)I'm betting not. And the fact that every EV poll tracker out there except one joke-tracker has O winning should calm your nerves a little.
aletier_v
(1,773 posts)but FR definitely feels glum to me, in spite of their positive polls.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)were sure St.Sarah would cause a landslide. I don't know what Free Republic you were reading in 2008, but it looked nothing like what you described.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)tblue
(16,350 posts)Why venture where the mean people live?
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)I remember because I'd check daily and they constantly believed McCain was going to win.
Viking12
(6,012 posts)How many predictions can you get wrong in less than a minute?
NEOBuckeye
(2,781 posts)bluestate10
(10,942 posts)I bet that they didn't point out the Rasmussen has Obama having closed down Romney in Florida and Virginia, or that 17 swing state polls show Obama ahead while only 1 show Romney ahead, with 2 showing a tie.
CthulhusEvilCousin
(209 posts)the Romney campaign thoroughly controlling the messaging throughout their media-sphere. The Romney campaign before had said they would coordinate with Drudge and Breitbart, and I suspect they've done the same with Fox and even individuals like Dick Morris. I get emails from all sorts of people, and they are sitting there repeating stuff that had to have been born from the sick depths of the Romney campaign. For example, there was this one email from Morris where he asserted that Romney won all 3 debates, and that despite Obama's "lying," that "people got to know Romney - and knowing Romney, people got to like him." A lot of the messaging out of the Romney campaign itself sounds very much like that kind of idol-worship. Liking and loving a "devoted, faithful, honest man." But normal people just don't think or talk like that. The messaging is superficial, strange, rehearsed, which makes me believe that the RomneyCampaign is literally dictating to pundits and media organizations what to say and how to say it. What we see over on Free Republic is the result of that brainwashing. You repeat a lie long enough, it becomes the truth for them. However, they are disconnected from reality by an extreme amount. Up until recently, Jim Robinson, the forum owner, declared that they would never endorse Romney, because he was a lying, statist, homosexualist usurper. Now Romney is the next Reagan over there.
barbiegeek
(1,140 posts)RomneyLies
(3,333 posts)is similar to a football team ahead by a field goal at the two minute warning.
At the beginning of the week, there were three minutes left.
Tick, tock. Romney's time is running out and he threw a Hail Mary pass to Pennsylvania.
krawhitham
(4,647 posts)aletier_v
(1,773 posts)I think they want to believe it and there's a lot of peer pressure.
They don't seem very happy.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)Cartoonist
(7,323 posts)That their belief that Benghazi is an enormous game changer proves them to be the morans that they are. Still, even worse than a Romney win will be their chest thumping if he does.
Cartoonist
(7,323 posts)"worse than a Romney win"
No, nothing could be worse.
Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)aletier_v
(1,773 posts)She's a fake and profiteer.
I really can't understand the last few candidates they fawned over.
Palin is an exercise in egotism - Sin of Pride.
Cain - Sin of Lust.
Romney - Sin of Avarice.
Do they NOT read the bible?
If there is a God, he's been setting them up for failure over and over again.
Walk away
(9,494 posts)if he was not sure he would win on Tuesday.
marlakay
(11,494 posts)Keep us from celebrating and being excited
Plus its not as clear cut this time so they have hope.
jackbenimble
(251 posts)Let them have it for a few more days.
HockeyMom
(14,337 posts)and now? Obama is the INCUMBENT President, and Kerry wasn't. If you want to take it back to Carter election (I voted for him as an Independent), Carter's approval rating was very low (Odd/Even Gas lines if anyone remembers that). Obama's approval ratings, as President and personal, have only been going UP, again, unlike Carter's. Yes, this election is very close, but if Robme really had "momentum" then why would they need to keep trying to suppress the voting?
Who can the people identify with? With Bush, he gave the impression of a good, ole boy, people would like to have a beer with. How many people think Romney would sit at a bar having a beer with them? As a woman, I would give a big, fat EEEEEWWW to that. Mittens is just as creepy as The Donald.
Has anyone, especially Freepers, ever thought of THESE factors?
aletier_v
(1,773 posts)not by what they like about Romney.
I'm not surprised at what's happening, the hate thing gets old, it's one reason I quit reading FR, it's gotten quite out of hand. It's pure pavlovian conditioning. I am not a fan of Obama for several reasons but I do not hate him, and certainly not with the passion I've seen on FR.
There's just nothing that can justify that kind of passionate hate.
It's projection, it's hate from another source projected onto Obama.
David__77
(23,509 posts)The host was interviewing someone and was talking about how the Republicans will supposedly increase their house majority, and then said Obama would have a hard time over the next two years getting anything passed, then OOPS! stuttered, and said "well, of course I expect Romney to win, but if god forbid Obama wins." I think the smarter analysts know that the odds are on Obama by at least 60-40.
HopeHoops
(47,675 posts)Brilliant!
santamargarita
(3,170 posts)they know they can't win without it.
Dalai_1
(1,301 posts)Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
^snip^
November 3, 2012, 9:33 AM954 Comments
Nov. 2: For Romney to Win, State Polls Must Be Statistically Biased
By NATE SILVER
President Obama is now better than a 4-in-5 favorite to win the Electoral College, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast. His chances of winning it increased to 83.7 percent on Friday, his highest figure since the Denver debate and improved from 80.8 percent on Thursday.
Fridays polling should make it easy to discern why Mr. Obama has the Electoral College advantage. There were 22 polls of swing states published Friday. Of these, Mr. Obama led in 19 polls, and two showed a tie. Mitt Romney led in just one of the surveys, a Mason-Dixon poll of Florida.
cali
(114,904 posts)they were convinced that McCain and Palin would win.
Swede Atlanta
(3,596 posts)They are not going to roll over and play dead. They will fight for their candidate.
longship
(40,416 posts)He was very confident, wasn't he?
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)Hopefully this will be my last one. It's noteworthy Hitler was telling the German people its military was consolidating its victories in April of 1945.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)FieryLocks
(110 posts)It's over confident 'wishful thinking'.