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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsI just have to get this off my chest
If Chuck Todd were illiterate, he would not be given a high profile TV show. Chuck Todd, and a whole lot of other people, are clearly innumerate. This race is not too close to call, no one who has even rudimentary math skills can think that. Right now we have states that will support Obama totaling 253 (I am giving Obama WI and NV). Romney has 191. That leaves FL, OH, NC, VA, IA, NH as swing states. If he wins FL or OH, then he wins. If he wins NC or VA and literally any other state, he wins. To win Romney must win FL, OH, NC, VA
In Ohio Obama has a lead in 18 of the last 20 polls. The two he didn't lead in, Ras. and Wenzel.
In VA Obama has a lead in 14 of the last 20 polls (5 losses and a tie). Last six polls he has leads, last 10 he splits 8 to 1 to 1.
Romney has leads in FL and NC so lets assume he wins them. Obama still has a small but steady lead in both Ohio and VA. Ohio is outside the MOE when you take into account the sample size of the poll average. If you don't know this, then you are as innumerate as a person who can't read the New York Times is illiterate. And there is no excuse, none, for people who are given these high perches in our society to be that innumerate. Again, such a blatant illiteracy on the part of Mr. Todd and host of others would never be tolerated in a modern newsroom. So why is this blatant innumeracy. Mr. Todd couldn't pass a basic stats class so why is he given a job to explain math?
Horse with no Name
(33,956 posts)one day Fucky was a political reporter and then he was an election numbers guru.
It was an amazing transformation....
limpyhobbler
(8,244 posts)and he plays it pretty well.
His job is to say the election is really close.
It's not him, it's the role. If he told the truth he would be immediately replaced by a different actor.
TeamPooka
(24,229 posts)no big red nose either, but he's still a clown.
Nika
(546 posts)Period, no other result is acceptable.
BumRushDaShow
(129,095 posts)ChristianDemocratMom
(14 posts)it hurts my heart that so many seniors will vote against themselves in florida.
budkin
(6,703 posts)It doesn't look good for Mitt
Sekhmets Daughter
(7,515 posts)Look, if we want someone better we have to make our feelings known by switching channels and letting MSNBC know why. I've been tuning into Current as soon as he comes on...and earlier if Scarborough is being too obnoxious.
LiberalFighter
(50,947 posts)Vietnameravet
(1,085 posts)The media really does want to keep the circus going...keep up the suspense and keep up the ratings..not to mention they want to avoid the appearance of bias even if it means agreeing with the righties and claiming the sun is blue and rises in the west..
snappyturtle
(14,656 posts)Welcome to DU!
Separation
(1,975 posts)I put myself on a media blackout concerning any polling information. I would go further for a total news blackout but I'm to much of a news junkie to do that. It would probably save you a few grey hairs in the long run if you paid no mind to them. Last poll I saw was on bill maher last week from Nate Silver. I think it will be close in the popular but President Obama will take the electoral....wish there was a finger crossed smilee.
kelliekat44
(7,759 posts)Sirveri
(4,517 posts)how many would just stay home and not bother to vote? That typically punishes the Dems. This is somewhat of a good thing in that respect.
MissMarple
(9,656 posts)Calling it would make them appear partisan, and there is still a possibility they might call it wrong. Not a probability but a possibility. And then there is the charge that if they call it it may affect the election by making some voters more determined to vote. They will not touch any of those with a ten foot pole, or as the case may be, a poll.
And the fat lady sings at 270 electoral votes, as we know.
Maeve
(42,282 posts)David Zephyr
(22,785 posts)Every word you wrote. And then some.