General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRalston calls Nevada for Obama but still unsure about the Senate race.
PRESIDENT: I know the Romney folks and some RNC operatives believe they can still win, despite trailing by nearly 50,000 votes in early voting. But they need everything to break right President Obama hemorrhages Democrats and independents vote in huge numbers for Romney, two things I do not see happening. It would be very difficult for Obama to lose Nevada, especially because I think more than two-thirds of the vote is in, so whatever turnout advantage the GOP has on Tuesday wont be enough. Obama, 50 percent; Romney, 46 percent; others and none of the above, 4 percent.
U.S SENATE: Two years ago, I was pretty sure Reid was going to win, despite what the public polls said. This year, I have been pretty sure Heller would win, and the public polls have backed that up. But a few weeks ago, the cockiness of Team Heller seemed to dissipate as his advisers realized Romney was a drag and Obama might drag Rep. Shelley Berkley to victory. I would not be surprised to see her win now I have seen data that backs that up. There may even be a recount it is so close. (Trivia: Who presided over the last recount in a U.S. Senate race here? A secretary of state named
.Dean Heller. 1998. Harry Reid and John Ensign. Get ready, Ross Miller.) I really think Berkley was cut at the end by the Heller ads on house-flipping and the Italy trip the latter is obvious because her last spot was a defense against it. The seminal question is this: Can the Democratic machine save a congresswoman who has been caricatured as an unlikable and corrupt elected official and whose image is badly tarnished? My answer (and I am not confident in saying this): Almost. Heller, 49 percent; Berkley, 48 percent; others and none of the above, 3 percent. (Have I mentioned it could go either way?)
http://ralstonreports.com/blog/obama-will-win-state-heller-will-barely-squeak-horsford-takes-cd4-and-gop-will-take-state#.UJbChH1bv_9
struggle4progress
(118,295 posts)-LOKI -BAD FOR YA
(308 posts)Skidmore
(37,364 posts)There are still millions of votes to be cast yet.
RandySF
(58,900 posts)Nevernose
(13,081 posts)I love Shelley Berkley, have worked for several campaigns of hers, but there's no way she can equal the monumental SuperPac bullshit lie-flood they're smothering the state in.