General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAnyone think AZ and TX will be the new purple of 2016-2020?
I think once folks soften up the healthcare reform after realizing the benefits of ACA, and on other issues like student loan relief. And once the get closer to passing the dream act, those states will become much more competitive for Dems, as these are issues that can mobilize the Latino community and young people to come out for Dems in full strength.
cdb120
(32 posts)Quixote1818
(28,971 posts)Bank on it!
CVAP-wise, here are the percentages they give for whites/hispanics/blacks/others by year:
2010: 57/26/13/4
2015: 51/31/14/4
2020: 45/36/14/5
2025: 35/44/14/7
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/07/30/1114634/-Projecting-Texas-The-Coming-Democratic-Plurality
That's what we're hoping for!!
Horse with no Name
(33,956 posts)was the wailing and gnashing of teeth that will commence tomorrow.
And the strides that will have been made across the country to remove some of the teathuggers.
And then...there is Texas. We will be sending a brand new batshit crazy teathug to take Kay Bailey's seat in the Senate. Not that he will vote any differently than she did, but still.
We have a decent Democrat running against him. Endorsed by even the RW newspapers...but hey, no doubt we will send the crazy one instead.
That is Texas right now. It won't be purple anytime soon.
TBF
(32,095 posts)and getting these folks registered.
ananda
(28,876 posts).. unless the Dems get organized, raise some serious money,
and establish a ground game stat!
Quixote1818
(28,971 posts)There is a good chance Texas will be blue by 2025.
justabob
(3,069 posts)justabob
(3,069 posts)with the exception of Ft Worth which is still cherry red. With the old guard dying off and the rapid demographic changes occuring as we speak, it is not unreasonable to think that Texas will swing back to purple and even blue. This attitude that nothing will ever change and Texas being a lost cause is so frustrating and not at all helpful. It isn't going to happen magically. It will take some effort and a bit of party attention and money, but it can and will happen.
Horse with no Name
(33,956 posts)the cities are blue and purple....except Ft. Worth, as you pointed out.
justabob
(3,069 posts)I may be overly optimistic, but with some effort that can be countered. As recently as 2000 there were NO dems on my ballot down-ticket... even in the heart of a big purple city. When Dean ran the DNC that changed, and not one race was uncontested. We need more of that out in the sticks. If the rural folks have a choice it increases our odds and with more activity and GOTV in the hispanic communities it can happen sooner rather than later.
Horse with no Name
(33,956 posts)TBF
(32,095 posts)FSogol
(45,527 posts)TBF
(32,095 posts)The Democratic presidential candidates to carry Texas were: Franklin Pierce, James Buchanan, Thomas Hendricks, Samuel Tilden, Winfield Hancock, Grover Cleveland, William Jennings Bryan, Alton Parker, Woodrow Wilson, James Cox, John Davis, Franklin D. Roosevelt, Harry Truman, JFK, LBJ, Hubert Humphrey, and Jimmy Carter.
txdemsftw
(461 posts)and we need to be kicking the Rick Perrys of the world OUT!!!!!!
ceile
(8,692 posts)Hispanics already make up the majority of school aged children. And I expect the Hispanic pop will be the majority in less than 20 years. The leg can redraw districts all they want, it won't change what's coming.
Oh and Perry has said he'll run for another term- no way in hell he gets re-elected.
txdemsftw
(461 posts)and bible-thumping politics and get the hell out!
HATE THAT MAN!!!!!!!! And if he is re-elected again, my gawd...I just don't know.
Quixote1818
(28,971 posts)See my post above.