General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTexas may just be blue soon....
Update: Texas Reaches Record Number of Registered Voters on Voter Registration List for November 6 General Election
http://www.sos.state.tx.us/about/newsreleases/2012/101912.shtml
AUSTIN, Texas Texas Secretary of State Hope Andrade today announced Texas reached a record number of registered voters on the Official List of Registered Voters. As of Friday, October 19, Texas has 13,646,226 registered voters; the highest number in state history. Tuesday, October 9 was the last day to register to vote in the November 6, 2012 General Election.
underthematrix
(5,811 posts)I think it's gonna turn blue this election
LisaL
(44,973 posts)But you have to know that already.
IDoMath
(404 posts)Slim but non-zero. With the high number of registrations, the Latino presence, NM already turned blue and the state turn blue from the south up... It could happen.
2016 is more possible but 2012? Yes, a minor miracle could happen.
TBF
(32,064 posts)and they are insane. BUT, the young latino demographic shift could change things substantially in the next 15 years.
Quixote1818
(28,946 posts)Here is a post I just made about this on another thread. By 2025 fore sure.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=1718583
DonRedwood
(4,359 posts)DMacTX
(301 posts)Ter
(4,281 posts)n/t
CthulhuShadow
(11 posts)is for Texas to turn blue for his first election in 2016. He's already working on his classmates.
codjh9
(2,781 posts)back, and then left again. But I get tired of it being so damned Red. But it was Blue for years - in the ol' Southern conservative-moderate-Dem mold, before it started going Red-Red-Red. I'm talking about the 50's, maybe 60's ... probably 40's too ... if my dad was still alive he could tell me for sure (but yes, I know, I could look it up).
standingtall
(2,785 posts)We've already got California's 55 electoral votes, as well as New Yorks 29 electoral votes in our pocket. Florida is already a swing State with 29 electoral, and if we add the 38 electoral votes of Texas too. Then the party is truly over. I cannot wait for that day to come.
Trailrider1951
(3,414 posts)It is coming, maybe not this year, maybe not next, but the tide is coming in, and will overtake those conservatives, who have nothing for the common man, and wash them away! Yah, from my keyboard to God's ears, LOL. I think it will happen, but gradually.
trebor1069
(4 posts)the rest of the state needs LOTS of work! I think 2016 is realistic.
DonCoquixote
(13,616 posts)Especially when Obama wins.
Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)It's not likely to happen, especially considering since 1876, the Republicans have taken the White House 3 times (1876, 1888, 2000) by winning the Electoral College while losing the popular vote. The Democrats have never done that.
IDoMath
(404 posts)Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)I notice that all states that have signed on to the compact so far have recently all been "blue" states. While I support popular election of the President in theory, the devil is in the details.
For example, let's say that the Republican wins the popular vote, but the Democratic candidate wins all the signing states and would have become President if the old system had been in place. I could see a lot of lawsuits resulting from that.
On the other hand, it would actually give my vote some value, since my state's electoral votes almost always go to the other candidate.
IDoMath
(404 posts)The party out of power supports it and the party in power blocks it. An Obama electoral win / Romney popular win would be great for this movement IF the current backing states don't withdraw.
Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)might encourage some Romney states to sign on, but I think it would also cause the present signers to take another look at their support.
On the other hand, if this had been in place in 2000, we would have had President Gore, with no Supreme Court interference, and GWB would have been just a footnote.
IDoMath
(404 posts)That that memory is still fresh and raw enough that current supporting states would not withdraw just because the tables turned.
Hugabear
(10,340 posts)If they get rid of the electoral college, they can kiss their chances of ever winning another presidential election goodbye. If we didn't have the electoral college, then Bush would not have won in 2000 (I know, technically he shouldn't have won the electoral vote either).
mick063
(2,424 posts)South Dakota gets two Senators.
Big money wants South Dakota to have two Senators.
You throw out the electoral college, and the populists will be screaming for a more representative legislative body to align with it.
uponit7771
(90,347 posts)...matter of the burbs in the south...not voting dem but getting them OUT to vote dem.
The rest of the state is almost a lock with Latino voters and here the Latino vote is NOT a LIV especially amongst the youth.
sadbear
(4,340 posts)by 2020.
TBF
(32,064 posts)A dem governor would help and I'm hoping Julian Castro has an eye on that spot.
sadbear
(4,340 posts)And I'm not just saying that either. A Castro candidacy could ignite the change in the Texas electorate that's expected to happen sooner or later. I'd prefer sooner.
DemoTex
(25,399 posts)Barbara Jordan, Ann Richards, and Molly Ivins
justabob
(3,069 posts)DemoTex
(25,399 posts)Can I throw Bob Wills in there too?
justabob
(3,069 posts)That is really good news about voter registration! I keep hoping beyond hope that the hispanic GOTV effort makes a difference this year, but I think it will be next time. It is a shame that the dems didn't capitalize on the Ron Paul stuff and the general dislike for Romney. We'd be a lot closer to that goal of a purple/blue Texas.
theoldman
(3,674 posts)I live in the DFW area and it is about 90% Republican. I believe that Austin is about the only large city that is predominantly Democrat. The only way that Texas can become blue again is for the Hispanics to become heavily Democrat.
justabob
(3,069 posts)San Antonio, El Paso, Houston, Austin, Dallas. I live in DFW too. It will definitely take some work, but it can be done.
kentauros
(29,414 posts)It's a meme that gets repeated here and elsewhere too often, probably because people don't want to do any research.
Dallas County made national and even international history when they elected Lupe Valdez for Dallas County Sheriff. Not only voting in a woman in that role, but a Hispanic lesbian woman! In North Texas, the part of the state known by us all as the belt-buckle of the Bible Belt.
And then Houston made national history by voting in the first lesbian mayor (Annise Parker) of a major city.
You might also look at a county-by-county voting map, especially of South Texas in the Valley. Last time I checked, it was blue with purple tinge on the northern edges.
uponit7771
(90,347 posts)PATXgirl
(192 posts)It won't be this year.
MrsBrady
(4,187 posts)goes blue.
It's been driving me crazy for several years....
The party needs to spend some freaking money here.
We could win it. Drives me nuts.
Also, Fort Worth has some of the highest population influx in the country.
That will help to turn it blue
We need more women and hispanics voting, and Texas has some of the lowest percentage of female voters.
We need help.
bmbmd
(3,088 posts)Two counties north of Dallas. Won't happen here. Ever.
Horse with no Name
(33,956 posts)And will add my ever, ever, ever.
libtodeath
(2,888 posts)VA_4_Democrats
(20 posts)VA is going blue in 2012, Texas in 2016!!!
RedCloud
(9,230 posts)Make those repugs work hard to keep any big state in their easy column!
southmost
(759 posts)but it'll be well worth it
happyslug
(14,779 posts)And Texas went Democratic in every election from its admittance into the union in 1845 till 1980 except for the following:
1. 1972 and Nixon's landslide
2. 1956 it went with Eisenhower.
3. 1952 Texas voted for Eisenhower
4. 1928 and Hoover's landslide
5. In 1868 when it could not vote for it was under Reconstruction
6. In 1864 it was in open Rebellion against the US.
7. In 1860 it went with the Southern Democrats of Breckenridge over the Northern Democrats under Douglas.
Total Democratic Victories 26, 27 if you add the 1860 election when Texas went to the Southern Split of the Democratic Party. Now 1980 is the start of Texas going Solidly GOP, which it has in every election since (Thus Texas is 26-13-1-1-1, Democratic - GOP - Under Occupation during Reconstruction - In open rebellion - voting for a Southern Democrat instead of the Main Democratic Candidate).
http://www.100bestwebsites.org/alt/evmaps/electoral-maps.htm
2roos
(26 posts)Hillary Clinton (P) and Julian Castro (VP) -Mayor of San Antonio -great speech at the DNC - might bring Texas into play - the big cities are blue- but the rural and suburban areas are the confederacy.
Egalitarian Thug
(12,448 posts)Liberal Mommy
(202 posts)My eldest will get to vote for the 1st time tomorrow. Her fiancé is also voting for Obama. She has 3 sibling future voters. As parents, I believe we can teach our children about equality, in both economic & social situations.
Major Nikon
(36,827 posts)So did my wife and my son. In a couple of years my daughter will also.