General Discussion

cthulu2016

(10,960 posts) Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:16 PM Nov 2012

Psssst... don't tell anyone, but Nate Silver just turned Florida pale BLUE

For Real.

52.5% chance of Obama win.

See for yourself:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

And ALL other blue colored states over 80% now. Virginia, New Hampshire, Iowa, Ohio, Colorado etc..

Florida is only this color...

But that is way better than this color...

20 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Psssst... don't tell anyone, but Nate Silver just turned Florida pale BLUE (Original Post) cthulu2016 Nov 2012 OP

That's a little surprising democrattotheend Nov 2012 #1

Florida has 29 EVs. We sure the heck DO need it so that Romney doesn't get it :) n/t Tx4obama Nov 2012 #8

well even if he were to take FL, ginnyinWI Nov 2012 #15

Ohio is going to be close and all the ballots in Ohio might not be counted until 20 days ... Tx4obama Nov 2012 #16

Shhh... this is the october surprise... WillyT Nov 2012 #2

Way cool ItsTheMediaStupid Nov 2012 #4

I don't expect it... but I'd like it cthulu2016 Nov 2012 #14

If it were not for voter suppression it would be sky blue! kelliekat44 Nov 2012 #3

I don't know that a model like 538's can predict suppression effects. cthulu2016 Nov 2012 #6

Oh good! tavernier Nov 2012 #5

A grateful nation thanks you cthulu2016 Nov 2012 #13

You're welcome. tavernier Nov 2012 #19

Woohoo :) Tx4obama Nov 2012 #7

I hope O takes FL! And if he does, I hope OFA teaches the FL Dem Party how to run Orlandodem Nov 2012 #9

91.4% chance of winning for President Obama now! Spazito Nov 2012 #10

Oh hell YES!!! MadrasT Nov 2012 #11

Looks like one of the horses just collapsed on the track Canuckistanian Nov 2012 #12

That's good news! Now let's reclaim North Carolina! RedCloud Nov 2012 #17

YES!!! VA_4_Democrats Nov 2012 #18

WE KNEW IT! Please add to our poll on Florida flamingdem Nov 2012 #20

democrattotheend

(11,605 posts)

1. That's a little surprising

Reply to cthulu2016 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:17 PM

Nov 2012

I would have given the edge to Romney there, but Nate Silver has been pretty on the money so this gives me hope. We don't need Florida, but I want it.

Tx4obama

(36,974 posts)

8. Florida has 29 EVs. We sure the heck DO need it so that Romney doesn't get it :) n/t

Reply to democrattotheend (Reply #1)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:23 PM

Nov 2012

ginnyinWI

(17,276 posts)

15. well even if he were to take FL,

Reply to Tx4obama (Reply #8)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:56 PM

Nov 2012

plus the red states, Indiana and N. Carolina, he'd still not have enough EV's. But Florida looks very nice in light blue all the same!

Tx4obama

(36,974 posts)

16. Ohio is going to be close and all the ballots in Ohio might not be counted until 20 days ...

Reply to ginnyinWI (Reply #15)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:59 PM

Nov 2012

after the election .

If Obama can get a clear win without Ohio then everything will work out better

WillyT

(72,631 posts)

2. Shhh... this is the october surprise...

Reply to cthulu2016 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:19 PM

Nov 2012

Oop... did I post that out loud ???

Damn!

Thanks for the heads-up !!!

& Rec !!!

ItsTheMediaStupid

(2,800 posts)

4. Way cool

Reply to WillyT (Reply #2)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:20 PM

Nov 2012

I haven't given up on any state we took in 2008 except Indiana.

I'm pulling for the Democrats in NC to turn it blue one more time!

cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)

14. I don't expect it... but I'd like it

Reply to ItsTheMediaStupid (Reply #4)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:33 PM

Nov 2012

kelliekat44

(7,759 posts)

3. If it were not for voter suppression it would be sky blue!

Reply to cthulu2016 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:20 PM

Nov 2012

cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)

6. I don't know that a model like 538's can predict suppression effects.

Reply to kelliekat44 (Reply #3)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:21 PM

Nov 2012

That's a wild card.

tavernier

(12,392 posts)

5. Oh good!

Reply to cthulu2016 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:20 PM

Nov 2012

My vote must have just been tabulated!

cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)

13. A grateful nation thanks you

Reply to tavernier (Reply #5)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:29 PM

Nov 2012

tavernier

(12,392 posts)

19. You're welcome.

Reply to cthulu2016 (Reply #13)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 11:13 PM

Nov 2012

Bazinga.

Tx4obama

(36,974 posts)

7. Woohoo :)

Reply to cthulu2016 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:21 PM

Nov 2012

Orlandodem

(1,115 posts)

9. I hope O takes FL! And if he does, I hope OFA teaches the FL Dem Party how to run

Reply to cthulu2016 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:23 PM

Nov 2012

a campaign. Our state party is totally inept, which is why we voted Obama in 2008 but Rick Scott in 2010 and our Dem delegation in Tally is so weak it can't pass gas, let alone legislation.