Thanks for sharing that.

I hate it when something looks like a lock--it always scares me.

Imagine their fright tonight! How are they ever going to sleep, poor little r's.

an Oregon Duck football fan and you'll gain complete immunity to those feelings after a couple of years. Cheers.

Im still realing from them getting dumped from number 2. They wont pass Kansas unless they score 100 points the next 3 games. BTW, my niece and nephew are both UofO
grads.

On to the Natty
Go Ducks

Howard Dean as DNC Chair and let him run his 50 State Strategy. I am so pissed he is not there. If he was there now, Mittins entire campaign would be eating dust tomorrow. Actually last month because he wouldn't get over 40-45 in any national poll. It would have been over looooooong ago. Our (OFA) ground game would be like Oregon running up 50 points in the ......first half.

I sent her to bed.

quite a lot the last couple weeks!

I was wondering if I should hold onto my bottle of Klonopin at the same time! NOT to end it, but just to keep myself in a fog long enough to peek out knowing I would have to face a reality I'm not sure I can fathom!

This AM my husband told me how much of a wreck I've been. BUT then, he added that he too had it on his mind quite a lot! THAT shocked me! I'm the political radical in our family!

Could this really be true? Please let it be! And to be honest I am a LIBERAL & know Obama is going to govern to my right! I know that he's ALREADY approved the southern portion of the pipeline that I'm completely opposed to.

BUT Romney/Ryan will be a nightmare that scares me to death! SUPREME COURT, No 1 reason to begin with & then it's on & on with an endless list of horrible policies they want to pursue.

I have taken Nate Silver with a grain of salt this election, along with all polls. While they try to paint an accurate picture of projected votes, there's a number of factors and intricacies that can throw a wrench in the gears, so to speak.

If these chances were accurate, though, that would be great. There's no way to tell other than trusting Nate Silver's model.

I'm holding my breath until they call it tomorrow night. Until then, nothing will make me feel better.

for Obama is low.

Nate Silvers models mean nothing

There's way, way to much going on in terms of voter intimidation, coercion and obstruction. We also have the polling problems in FL and OH and governors and sec's of state who aren't doing much to solve polling place access problems. Late voting machine software updates - the list goes on.

Republicans have a way of pulling these things out, and Democrats have a way of not investigating them or fighting back very hard.

It ain't over 'til the fate lady sings (or the Supreme Court Rules).

I recognize he has a good reputation for accuracy and analysis but let's not let that number fool us. We have a very close election ahead of us.

Yes we have to vote. But, it is not close and hasn't really been the entire general election campaign. Obama has held a steady lead of 30-50 electoral votes in the polls.

He's a libertarian, if anything.

It all comes down to asses to the polls--get 'em there by any means necessary. Walk, drive, push, pull--do what you have to do, get people to the voting booth, starting early.

They aren't leaving anything to chance. Works for me!

Further more...I hate non-voters.

you could lop off a good 20% & still feel good!

Obama will win in a landslide. This has always been true.

But, yes, we DO NEED TO VOTE in order for that to happen.

My thread posted on October 10, 2012

ELECTION SPOILER: Obama wins in a LANDSLIDE

I'm glad to see you feel the same as I do, WeekendWarrior.
The folks at DU need to chill out. This is in the bag.
Obama got this. Voter suppression or no voter suppression.
John Lucas

P.S.: Can't kill Obama's massive turnout!! LANDSLIDE THAT SUCKER!!!!

in literally a few years ... but I've been insanely busy the last few years.

This pretty much covers every scenario except an asteroid taking out the west coast.

I've been gone for some time, but I do remember many of your posts that I agreed with most of the time.

Me being a LIBERAL & all. Was wondering how many were still here. I've seen several, but a lot of new names too.

Fingers crossed!

Higher.

GOTV

GOTV !!!!

Woohoo..love it

there are no smilies to express my emotions

What does he attribute the 6% jump to?

Was there some new polls released or something?

He built in some wiggle room that is probably completely gone on election eve.

but I didn't study the other changes. I did take a quick look and saw Virginia is blue and so is Colorado. NC is still pink.

Sam

Goes limp more often than their . . . . uh, . . .other junk.

It will be even higher SOON!

This was actually my favorite album from 2010. Can we get much higher? It remains to be seen

Don't any one of you start taking it for granted, please!

and hopefully retires to live off the fat of his graft.

He will be called from henceforth Nate Gold.

Romney could win and it wouldn't contradict this!

However, the probably that Obama will win is very good

So many of us Floridians have had so much crap thrown at us! This would warm my little cockles if only because of THE ALIEN... Rick Scott!

I have seen Scott up close & personal... AND I was shocked that he's not very tall. He's always looked gangly so I assumed he was tall... NOT!

Regardless many people have their pet pictures of him. He's a piece of work though. I've always believed he was JEBBY'S project anyway!

303 EV's in states where he is 80+%.
28% chance for Obama in NC.

everything else looks decided (if the polling is accurate).

slowly incrementing towards 99%.

Note that the NOW is the same as the Nov. 6.

He constructed it to converge on the day of the election.

Although Brad Pitt is the star, and a good one, the statistical "nerd" in the fact-based story/screenplay, portrayed in the film by Jonah Hill, really IS Nate Silver. No shit!

although Nate's PECOTA system was similar to the systems developed by DePodesta and Bill James.

We need to get everybody to the polls, especially people who voted for President Obama in 2008, but aren't sure if they are going to vote this year. The intimidation tactics have begun in earnest from the Romney kool-aid drinkers (otherwise known as the party of the 3 R's - rich, racist, or religious). The latest tactic is to continually espouse the prediction of a landslide win for romney. We will win if people get out and vote!

y gracias a los latinos americanos por su participacion

92.2% !!!!

To EVERYONE who hasn't voted... YOU STILL NEED TO VOTE!!

I did a while back, but I urge EVERYONE to keep the ball rolling! If Nate's numbers hold, I can't wait to see RobMe/Ryan cryin' But it's NOT OVER!

Should have said too excited. Was thinking how RobMe acts all the time... he's SNOOTY & SNOTY. Far from the other.

I've got to get some sleep and get ready for a long anxiety filled day tomorrow.

Nate is really putting himself out there for major reticule, I sure hope he looks like a genius afterwards.

He is breaking statistical analysis down. His numbers are solely a product of the polls out there.

“Don’t trust that this is in the bag,” Moore said. “Don’t do the end zone dance tonight.” It’s “not safe.”
This Nate Silver number needs to be at 100 percent, before I feel comfortable. 1 percent chance of that
Asshole Romney becoming president is still too high for comfort.

This whole thing is just making me so nervous I can hardly think about it anymore!!
The thought of that buffoon (Mittins) becoming the Leader of the Free World, is just the most horrifying nightmare I can imagine!!!
Wake me up when Obama Wins....

Take that, Pubbie Pundits. (I am talking to you Kathleen Parker!)

...and happy I found DU!

In my heart we really do have this!

No man can serve two masters...You cannot serve God and Money...Where your treasure is, there will your heart be also...Inasmuch as you have done it unto the least of these my brethren, you have done it unto me. (Jesus)

I think it means God willing the OP is right, and Mittens tries to serve money as his god, as evidenced by all the activity he does trying to squeeze the USA from getting a proper portion in tax percentage from his earnings, and therefore, his uncaring attitude about the poor and suffering, as opposed to Obama's stances, means he's not a very good guy and most people realize it... I just hope that nearly all of those people will go vote! Too many people refuse to go vote, it's frustrating to say the least!


gObama!

And they told me "we got this!"

Most of them anyway.

I think we're gonna do it!! And for god's sake, get some sleep people.. we have a long afternoon/evening/night tomorrow.

Happy Election Eve!

the winner.

Just sayin'.

sorry about that

Hi,

In a last-minute directive issued Friday night that could disenfranchise thousands of Ohioans and tip the outcome of the election, Republican Secretary of State Jon Husted changed requirements for submitting provisional ballots on Election Day.

The directive requires voters, not election officials, to fill out a confusing form listing the type of ID they provided to vote. This new directive is a clear violation of Ohio law and puts even more votes at risk of not being counted.

Secretary Husted has also instructed election officials to not count ballots where that part of the form has not been correctly filled out by the voter.

That's why I signed a petition to Jon Husted, Secretary of State and Governor John Kasich.

Will you sign this petition? Click here:

http://signon.org/sign/ohio-secretary-of-state?source=s.em.mt&r_by=5893479

Thanks!

I can't imagine that the good people of Ohio and Florida will keep these despicable evil-doers in office the next time they're up for re-election. I am awed and inspired by the people who stand in line for hours--HOURS!--to vote.

Woohoo!