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BumRushDaShow

(129,096 posts)
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:44 PM Nov 2012

Sam Wang, Princeton Election Consortium: * Obama: 309 * Romney: 229

At the top of the page: http://election.princeton.edu/

* As of November 5, 8:00PM EST:
* Obama: 309
* Romney: 229
* Meta-margin: Obama +2.34%
* Probability of Obama re-election: Random Drift 98.2%, Bayesian Prediction 99.8%

He and Nate have alot of back and forth and they are incredible statisticians. Sam actually bested Nate in the last election (and has done more elections in the past).

Hope it holds or gets even better!

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Sam Wang, Princeton Election Consortium: * Obama: 309 * Romney: 229 (Original Post) BumRushDaShow Nov 2012 OP
99.8% chance is too low VA_4_Democrats Nov 2012 #1
LOL BumRushDaShow Nov 2012 #2
It's now beyond their ability to steal it. Barack_America Nov 2012 #3

VA_4_Democrats

(20 posts)
1. 99.8% chance is too low
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:47 PM
Nov 2012

We're gonna win, 100%! Virginia is going BLUE and so will almost every state! Romney will get Texas and crazy states, but WHO CARES!! We've got it!!!

BumRushDaShow

(129,096 posts)
2. LOL
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:50 PM
Nov 2012

I feel NoVA rumbling now. Cantor thought he felt an earthquake last year, well wait to people hit them polls!

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