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Election eve betting odds from Ladbrokes. (Original Post) RandySF Nov 2012 OP
sounds good but I have no idea...! renate Nov 2012 #1
The way I understand it.... RandySF Nov 2012 #2
So if you put down $9 you get $2? joshcryer Nov 2012 #3
That's if you bet on Obama. RandySF Nov 2012 #4
Well yeah. joshcryer Nov 2012 #5
They're not the inverse because the bookies want to make money muriel_volestrangler Nov 2012 #7
Odds continuing to point to an Obama victory ever more likely muriel_volestrangler Nov 2012 #6

renate

(13,776 posts)
1. sounds good but I have no idea...!
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 01:42 AM
Nov 2012

I don't know how betting works . I'd have thought since one of the two is guaranteed to happen, the odds for one would be the inverse of the other. (Guess not.)

muriel_volestrangler

(101,321 posts)
7. They're not the inverse because the bookies want to make money
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 08:45 AM
Nov 2012

So they don't pay you back quite as much as you'd expect for what they think is the true probability of a win.

For those odds of 2/9 and 10/3, to know exactly what you'd get back if you bet on both candidates, you'd have to bet £117 on Obama (9x13 - you win 2x13=£26, and get the £117 back) and £33 on Romney (3x11 - win 10x11=£110, and get the £33 back). But that means you've staked 117+33=£150, while you'll get back £143. There's the bookie's profit.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,321 posts)
6. Odds continuing to point to an Obama victory ever more likely
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 08:33 AM
Nov 2012

Page to show all the major UK bookies current odds here: http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/politics-and-election/us-presidential-election/winner

Ladbrokes is now Obama 1/5, and some are even further - 2/13. Every single one shows blue, ie they have recently alerted their odds to say Obama victory is getting more likely.

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