General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRemember UnskewedPolls.com? Their Final Prediction may Surprise You
Even UnskewedPolls.com has Romney falling apart over the last two weeks.
UnskewedPolls.com is the Right Wing site that got famous by grossly inflating all Romney numbers. So for them to end up predicting only a very narrow Romney win is shocking.
Unskewed Polls projection on October 26.
Unskewed Polls projection on November 1.
Unskewed Polls final projection on November 5.
http://www.unskewedpolls.com/
Freep-Land doesn't like it much.
"This is quite different than what they had out about a week ago. Damn that Chris Christie. But I will take the win!!!"
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2955525/posts
defacto7
(13,485 posts)What do they mean ? Is it Surrealist art ?
msongs
(67,417 posts)regnaD kciN
(26,044 posts)...even they'd have to give the election to Obama.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)Obama has so many paths to victory. Also, the Latino vote in Colorado could be bigger than what pollsters are projecting.
krawhitham
(4,644 posts)condoleeza
(814 posts)ToxMarz
(2,169 posts)Next election his crazy "UNSKEWED POLLS" will be touted as accurate because they ended up close in 2012. Probably will find some Rove and Koch funding for his little cheer leading project.
exboyfil
(17,863 posts)In 2004 the compilation of polls predicted Bush by 1.7% in FL. The actual result was Bush by 5.0%. In OH the prediction was Kerry by 0.2%. The actual result was Bush by 2.1%. In NC Bush's margin of victory was underpredicted by 4.6%. Bush's margin was underpredicted by 1.9% in VA. In NH Kerry was overpredicted by 1%.
On the plus side the polls were very accurate for IA, PA (Kerry underpredicted by 1%), CO, and MI.
WI went for Kerry by 0.4% when Bush was predicted to win by 1%.
Takeaway
Still looks positive but a 3.3% miss in FL and 2.3% miss in OH makes me wonder (current Nate Silver shows 0.2% in FL and 3.8% in OH)
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)Seriously? Colorado, Ohio, NC, Virginia and Florida. Yeah right!
The first map only had Obama winning about 13 states. Who do they think Romney is Ronald Reagan reincarnated?