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cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:43 AM Nov 2012

Remember UnskewedPolls.com? Their Final Prediction may Surprise You

Even UnskewedPolls.com has Romney falling apart over the last two weeks.

UnskewedPolls.com is the Right Wing site that got famous by grossly inflating all Romney numbers. So for them to end up predicting only a very narrow Romney win is shocking.

Unskewed Polls projection on October 26.



Unskewed Polls projection on November 1.



Unskewed Polls final projection on November 5.



http://www.unskewedpolls.com/

Freep-Land doesn't like it much.

"Didn't unskewed usually show Romney with big leads? I dont like this."

"This is quite different than what they had out about a week ago. Damn that Chris Christie. But I will take the win!!!"

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2955525/posts



11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Remember UnskewedPolls.com? Their Final Prediction may Surprise You (Original Post) cthulu2016 Nov 2012 OP
Those pictures are quite colorful! defacto7 Nov 2012 #1
if they lose even ONE more swing state, they lose all around lol nt msongs Nov 2012 #2
And, if Colorado were flipped... regnaD kciN Nov 2012 #3
I noticed that also Cali_Democrat Nov 2012 #10
And he has 2 states withing 1 point each krawhitham Nov 2012 #4
Can't wait to see the Freepers tomorrow night, bwa ha ha n/t condoleeza Nov 2012 #5
All that is remembered is the final poll ToxMarz Nov 2012 #6
+1 cthulu2016 Nov 2012 #8
A few things to think about as Obama takes his victory lap exboyfil Nov 2012 #7
They should call themselves Unhingedpolls.com davidpdx Nov 2012 #9
. cthulu2016 Nov 2012 #11
 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
10. I noticed that also
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 04:35 AM
Nov 2012

Obama has so many paths to victory. Also, the Latino vote in Colorado could be bigger than what pollsters are projecting.

ToxMarz

(2,169 posts)
6. All that is remembered is the final poll
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 04:10 AM
Nov 2012

Next election his crazy "UNSKEWED POLLS" will be touted as accurate because they ended up close in 2012. Probably will find some Rove and Koch funding for his little cheer leading project.

exboyfil

(17,863 posts)
7. A few things to think about as Obama takes his victory lap
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 04:27 AM
Nov 2012

In 2004 the compilation of polls predicted Bush by 1.7% in FL. The actual result was Bush by 5.0%. In OH the prediction was Kerry by 0.2%. The actual result was Bush by 2.1%. In NC Bush's margin of victory was underpredicted by 4.6%. Bush's margin was underpredicted by 1.9% in VA. In NH Kerry was overpredicted by 1%.

On the plus side the polls were very accurate for IA, PA (Kerry underpredicted by 1%), CO, and MI.

WI went for Kerry by 0.4% when Bush was predicted to win by 1%.

Takeaway
Still looks positive but a 3.3% miss in FL and 2.3% miss in OH makes me wonder (current Nate Silver shows 0.2% in FL and 3.8% in OH)

davidpdx

(22,000 posts)
9. They should call themselves Unhingedpolls.com
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 04:34 AM
Nov 2012

Seriously? Colorado, Ohio, NC, Virginia and Florida. Yeah right!

The first map only had Obama winning about 13 states. Who do they think Romney is Ronald Reagan reincarnated?

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