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edhopper

(33,587 posts)
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:32 PM Nov 2012

Important exit poll metrics

The projected count can be off (as we sadly learned in '04) But other factors are more important.
If the turnout is less white and younger, Obama wins.
Also Romney needs to win Ohio by over 10% today to overcome the early voting lead O has.
So unless they show a big projected vote for Romney of near 60%, we can ask to hear from the fat lady.



Edit: I said "pole" heh, heh.

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Important exit poll metrics (Original Post) edhopper Nov 2012 OP
Exit polls are no crystal ball, period... regnaD kciN Nov 2012 #1

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)
1. Exit polls are no crystal ball, period...
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:08 PM
Nov 2012

Remember eight years ago? Right about this time, we were all giddy with the news that exit polls showed Kerry up big in Ohio and winning Florida as well. Now, remember how we all felt a few hours later. Don't draw conclusions from exit polls -- bottom line.

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