Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:19 AM Nov 2012

The ten worst predictions of the 2012 election

Seeing all these right-wing idiots proven wrong is almost as satisfying as winning the election:

Not everyone predicted President Barack Obama’s victory in the 2012 election. In fact, though the polls showed Obama gaining steam in the finals days of the election, many pundits claimed that the numbers oversampled Democratic voters and explained that voters were more enthusiastic for Mitt Romney. It’s worth immortalizing who said what, and why they did. Here’s a list of ten of the most egregiously blown calls:

1. Dick Morris: “This is going to be a landslide.” The former Clinton adviser predicted a dominant Romney win, calling it “the biggest surprise in recent American political history.” Claiming that polls were oversampling Democrats, Morris wondered if “it will rekindle the whole question on why the media played this race as a nailbiter.”
2. Roger Kimball: “Obama is toast.” The publisher of prominent right-wing book imprint Encounter Books and a frequent contributor to conservative outlets, Kimball boldly predicted that Romney “is going to win, big time.” It was easy, he could “tell you in three syllables and a few numbers…Ben-gha-zi.” Though the Benghazi story played big in right-wing media before the election, a vanishingly small number of voters reported foreign policy being the top priority in the election – let alone the Embassy issue, which the Romney campaign had completely dropped in the stretch.
3. Karl Rove: “At least 279 electoral votes.” “It comes down to numbers. And in the final days of this presidential race, from polling data to early voting, they favor Mitt Romney,” Rove wrote in a WSJ op-ed ignoring the fact that most polls showed growing momentum for the president. He predicted that Romney will win 51 percent of the popular vote and “at least 279 electoral votes.”
...

http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2012/11/07/1140401/the-ten-worst-predictions-of-the-2012-election/
5 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
The ten worst predictions of the 2012 election (Original Post) DanTex Nov 2012 OP
Don't forget Dan Rather's gut qanda Nov 2012 #1
And where is George Will on this list? BlueStreak Nov 2012 #2
That's true, Will should definitely be there. DanTex Nov 2012 #3
+1 qanda Nov 2012 #5
Will and Barone. DCBob Nov 2012 #4
 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
2. And where is George Will on this list?
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:32 AM
Nov 2012

Most of the people listed in that article are unknown to 98% of the public. But Rather and Will are well known and their incompetence needs to be highlighted.

Anybody who is off that badly should never be allowed on any media. They should be washing cars or dishes or something that is a lot less harmful than their current position.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
4. Will and Barone.
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:37 AM
Nov 2012

George Will made an appearance this past weekend on ABC News' This Week With George Stephanopoulos, predicting that Romney would unseat Obama with a 321-217 Electoral College vote. “I’m projecting Minnesota to go for Romney,” Will said at the time. “It’s the only state that’s voted Democratic in nine consecutive elections, but this year, there’s the marriage amendment on the ballot that will bring out the evangelicals, and I think it could make the difference.” On Election Night, Obama won Minnesota.

Michael Barone predicted a similar 315-223 vote count, swaying Romney's way.

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/karl-rove-george-will-pundits-387264

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»The ten worst predictions...