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Ruby the Liberal

(26,219 posts)
Sun Nov 11, 2012, 12:48 AM Nov 2012

Nate Silver: Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential Race

His post election polling analysis has been posted. TIPP was the most accurate.

1: Gallup, Rasmussen, ARG and Mason-Dixon failed big time.

2: Still including Gravis as if it had any credibility?

Opening:

As Americans’ modes of communication change, the techniques that produce the most accurate polls seems to be changing as well. In last Tuesday’s presidential election, a number of polling firms that conduct their surveys online had strong results. Some telephone polls also performed well. But others, especially those that called only landlines or took other methodological shortcuts, performed poorly and showed a more Republican-leaning electorate than the one that actually turned out.


Full results + charts: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race
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Nate Silver: Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential Race (Original Post) Ruby the Liberal Nov 2012 OP
Funny. Gravis performed just as well as ABC/Washington Post cthulu2016 Nov 2012 #1
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