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Obama 41, Romney 38, Colbert 13 (PPP)
This article says Colbert would hurt Obama, which is no surprise. What's more striking is that Colbert would pull 6 points from Romney. (I hope a few of those are the conservatives who still don't get the joke and think Colbert is an idiosyncratic conservative.)
In the crosstabs Colbert gets 15% of everyone in the sample who called themselves "very conservative" to Romney's 66%, 10% of "somewhat conservative" to Romney's 63% and almost ties Romney among moderates (!) 18% to 21%
President Barack Obama leads Republican front-runner Mitt Romney in a general election matchup, but comedian Stephen Colbert could put a kink in the president’s plans if he were to run as an independent candidate, according to a poll released Tuesday by Public Policy Polling.
In a head-to-head match up, Obama gets 49 percent to Romney’s 44 percent. The president has slightly widened his lead in the past month: PPP’s December poll had Romney leading the president, 47 percent to 45 percent.
...
If the comedian should decide to abandon his exploratory committee for the Republican party and abandon encouraging South Carolina Republicans to vote for Herman Cain in favor of an actual run on an independent ticket, he would attract 13 percent of the vote, pulling Obama down to 41 percent and Romney to 38 percent.
...
Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, by contrast, gets only 7 percent of the vote in a three-way race, but he causes some trouble for Romney, giving Obama a seven-point lead over the Republican front-runner.
http://dailycaller.com/2012/01/17/colbert-independent-run-could-hurt-obama/
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_US_0117925.pdf
In a head-to-head match up, Obama gets 49 percent to Romney’s 44 percent. The president has slightly widened his lead in the past month: PPP’s December poll had Romney leading the president, 47 percent to 45 percent.
...
If the comedian should decide to abandon his exploratory committee for the Republican party and abandon encouraging South Carolina Republicans to vote for Herman Cain in favor of an actual run on an independent ticket, he would attract 13 percent of the vote, pulling Obama down to 41 percent and Romney to 38 percent.
...
Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, by contrast, gets only 7 percent of the vote in a three-way race, but he causes some trouble for Romney, giving Obama a seven-point lead over the Republican front-runner.
http://dailycaller.com/2012/01/17/colbert-independent-run-could-hurt-obama/
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_US_0117925.pdf
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