General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsARKstorm fears Northern California Residents as Atmospheric River sets up WHOAH!
http://www.theweatherspace.com/news/TWS-112712-arkstorm-california-atmospheric-river-coming.htmlTheWeatherSpace.com) - The ARKstorm was what would be predicted as a major rainfall event that would consist of a lot of snowfall in the Sierra Nevada Mountains, followed by a tropical air mass that melts all the snow.
Such a scenario might actually be coming, with the first round hitting on Wednesday, then Thursday into Friday, another on Saturday, and then lasting through Sunday as well. A full five days worth of heavy rainfall in Northern and Central California.
This will bring heavy mountain snow to the higher elevations, but below 8,000 feet it should be all rain. This will melt a lot of the snow that is already up there and cause major flooding in the Central Valley zones.
If you read the article Sacramento is going to get hit with large rainfall and flooding
San Francisco too
Very Ugly weekend Stay safe
lovuian
(19,362 posts)Jankyn
(253 posts)...and I'm not buying this guy's reporting.
Yes, we are getting the same jetstream-driven band of rainstorms that cause so much trouble in the Northwest last week. But most weather outlets--in addition to flood warnings about the usual places--are NOT describing this using terms like "atmospheric river," nor are they referring to the ARK Storm scenario.
This strikes me as alarmist post on an amateurish site.
That said, we live in on the first floor of a high-water 1910 four-plex two blocks from the levee on the American River in downtown Sacramento. We are prepared, with bug-out bags for quick evacuation and supplies in case we get stranded. Plus, we've got another floor and an attic above us, and an inflatable raft in the front closet.
Never hurts to be prepared--and to have your flood insurance paid up--when you live in a flood zone.
Great Hope the storm fizzles out
CreekDog
(46,192 posts)The storm is here, there will be a lull for about 24 hours and will start up again.
The rainfall totals by the end of next weekend could be record setting.
lovuian
(19,362 posts)and you will get hit again in a few days afterward
It is dangerous high tide and full moon...sound familiar ...Sandy ...high tide full moon
CreekDog
(46,192 posts)CreekDog
(46,192 posts)Read more here: http://www.sacbee.com/2012/11/28/5014591/river-of-storms-headed-for-northern.html#storylink=cpy
shanti
(21,675 posts)i need to rake leaves now, but when this storm hits, i fear ALL of the leaves will end up down, so i'm going to wait until afterwards. these are from my neighbors' trees though, not my tiny tree. my yard is a leaf magnet
lovuian
(19,362 posts)I'm glad your on it
when they say ATMOSPHERIC RIVER that is serious dangerous weather
shanti
(21,675 posts)when i was driving to socal for thanksgiving. it would have been a nightmare on the roads. i definitely plan to get all i need before then so it won't be necessary to go out.
lovuian
(19,362 posts)thank goodness it wasn't during the holidays
XemaSab
(60,212 posts)Under the rationale that if I didn't, they would all wind up blocking the storm drain and the whole street could flood.
We got a big tree.
lovuian
(19,362 posts)hope the storm is not an Arkstorm
I'm just sayin...
Le Taz Hot
(22,271 posts)it refers to "Central California." That's a HUGE swath. Fresno's forecast is "chance of scattered rain" during those days and Fresno is the central part of Central California.
A couple of weeks ago there was some screaming headlines that there will be snow in the Central Valley!!!111!!!!! The map showed all white in this area. Turns out, it was fog.
MNBrewer
(8,462 posts)*sigh*
Oh, wait, that's for THIS week. NEver mind
waddirum
(979 posts)Does the storm fear the California residents, or do the residents fear the storm?
I know that the headline comes from the newspaper (and not from lovulan), but poor language and grammar scare me as much as the weather.
lovuian
(19,362 posts)An ARkStorm (for Atmospheric River 1000 Storm) is a hypothetical but scientifically realistic "superstorm" scenario developed and published by the United States Geological Survey, Multi Hazards Demonstration Project (MHDP). It describes an extreme storm that may impact much of California causing up to $725 billion in damages and repair (most caused by flooding), and affect a quarter of California's homes. The event would be similar to intense California storms which occurred in 1861 and 1862.[1] The name "ARkStorm" means "Atmospheric River (AR) 1000 (k)." The name was created as a way of quantifying the magnitude of west coast storms. It also meant to be drawn as a parallel to the biblical Noah's Ark story.
this is one scary scenario on a climate model computer YIKES
warrior1
(12,325 posts)Areal Flood Watch
Statement as of 11:12 AM PST on November 27, 2012
... Flood Watch remains in effect from Thursday afternoon through
Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Watch continues for
* a portion of northern California... Sacramento Valley... West
Slope northern Sierra Nevada... northern Sierra
foothills... Carquinez Strait and Delta... Clear Lake
area... Shasta Lake area... Lassen park... motherlode... northern
San Joaquin Valley and East Slope of the northern coastal
mountains.
* From Thursday afternoon through Sunday afternoon
* confidence is high in a prolonged period of moderate to heavy
precipitation. The heaviest precipitation is expected over
Shasta County along with Butte and western Plumas counties where
a large area of rainfall amounts of 12 to 18 inches or more will
be possible through the weekend. In the Sacramento
Valley... rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches with higher amounts
possible through the weekend. 2 to 4 inches are possible in the
northern San Joaquin Valley by Sunday.
* Impacts: debris flows likely... especially near recent burn scars
in Shasta... Tehama... Colusa... and Plumas counties. Urban and
Small Stream flooding will occur in the valley and foothills
with river flooding expected on the upper Sacramento River.
Mountain river and stream flooding above the reservoirs is possible.
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.
msongs
(67,460 posts)lovuian
(19,362 posts)a climate model and then poof in 2012 we get an Arkstorm which happened a hundred years ago
is that a coincidence or what ...they even estimate the monetary damage
amazing
XemaSab
(60,212 posts)lovuian
(19,362 posts)How is the weather there ? Be Safe
WinkyDink
(51,311 posts)Why, yes, I am a Grammar....Maven.
Prism
(5,815 posts)It is pouring down in East Bay at the moment. Had I biked, it would have been squishy and not so happy times.
Stay safe out there.
lovuian
(19,362 posts)High winds Full moon and High Tide
Warpy
(111,378 posts)NM is horribly dry and everything is getting really crunchy out there.
Bugger. Extended forecast says the most we can expect out of it is a few passing clouds.
DollarBillHines
(1,922 posts)I am headed for NY.
Let it rain...
The crops are in.
This is all a bunch of Weather Channel crap.
Let it rain, we need it. Harvest is over and the timing is perfect
That being said, my pool guy is foaming at the mouth.
My pool is already covered with leaves.
longship
(40,416 posts)And do not camp at Donner's pass this week.
Just some friendly advice.
lovuian
(19,362 posts)Sacramento's homeless seek refuge from week's storms
http://www.sacbee.com/2012/11/29/5017528/sacramentos-homeless-seek-refuge.html#storylink=cpy
While Northern California braces for torrential rains and winds, homeless people are taking refuge in malls and libraries, under parked vehicles, freeway overpasses and roof overhangs, and in light-rail cars.
They are also flooding an already overburdened Sacramento housing network.
Connie Frank, co-director of Maryhouse homeless services center, said staff is trying to put a roof over children's heads during the storm.
"It's heartbreaking," Frank said of families with children who come into Maryhouse seeking shelter. "We had a young mom and dad come in two days ago with an 8-month-old baby, and they had slept outside the night before. It's Shocking
lovuian
(19,362 posts)Megastorms Could Drown Massive Portions of California
Huge flows of vapor in the atmosphere, dubbed "atmospheric rivers," have unleashed massive floods every 200 years, and climate change could bring more of them
Dec 1 storm this weekend