Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

highplainsdem

(49,029 posts)
Sun Feb 5, 2012, 01:14 AM Feb 2012

NV caucus: Low turnout. Romney gets lower percentage than in 2008, despite Mormon vote.

Real-time results at this HuffPo page:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/02/04/map-nevada-caucus-2012-results_n_1254520.html

With 42.9% of the precincts reporting, Romney is getting 42.5% of the vote, compared to 26.2% for Gingrich, 18.4% for Paul, and 13% for Santorum.

In 2008, Romney got 51.1% of the vote, compared to 13.7% for Paul and 12.7% for McCain.

Turnout seems to be way down from 2008. I believe South Carolina, which Gingrich won, was the only GOP primary so far with more votes than 2008.

And GOP turnout for the NV caucus in 2008 was poor compared to Democratic turnout, 44,000 to 116,000.

We don't know this year's GOP caucus turnout yet, but so far with 43% of precincts reporting, that's only about 16,000 people.

Mormons made up just over a quarter of the caucus participants this year, as they did in 2008:

http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/02/nevadas-a-romney-romp/

Romney got 90% of their vote.

That means that approximately half of the votes for Romney -- possibly more than half -- came from Mormons, though they make up only 7% of the population of the state.

This was NOT a resounding victory for Romney.

It shows there really isn't much enthusiasm for his candidacy in Nevada, except among his fellow Mormons.

8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
NV caucus: Low turnout. Romney gets lower percentage than in 2008, despite Mormon vote. (Original Post) highplainsdem Feb 2012 OP
Axelrod: ProSense Feb 2012 #1
and everyone was down except for South Carolina rufus dog Feb 2012 #2
no way this clown is going to beat Obama. provis99 Feb 2012 #3
Agreed Boombaby Feb 2012 #8
Here are two great reports Rachel did on the subject: rocktivity Feb 2012 #4
What a joke! Only slightly 10K participated in the process... JCMach1 Feb 2012 #5
I'm starting to wonder if a lot of Democrats helped give Newt his S.C. victory. tanyev Feb 2012 #6
7:35 MST Romney has 46.7% with 71.1% counted davidpdx Feb 2012 #7
 

rufus dog

(8,419 posts)
2. and everyone was down except for South Carolina
Sun Feb 5, 2012, 01:31 AM
Feb 2012

They seem to have a dilemma. Mitt can win the primary contests but can't get the base excited. Newt can whip the base into a lynch mob but that will motivate the Dems to come out in record numbers.

davidpdx

(22,000 posts)
7. 7:35 MST Romney has 46.7% with 71.1% counted
Sun Feb 5, 2012, 10:37 AM
Feb 2012

I would say based on the vote current vote count, the total number of people who voted will be 25,000 +/= 1,000. I also am predicting Romney will not go over 50%.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»NV caucus: Low turnout. ...