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Bye Bye Turkish PM Recep Tayyip Erdogan -it's not if, it's when (Original Post) malaise Jun 2013 OP
du rec. xchrom Jun 2013 #1
No bad deed goes unpunished jakeXT Jun 2013 #2
Add to that his neo-liberal agenda malaise Jun 2013 #3

jakeXT

(10,575 posts)
2. No bad deed goes unpunished
Tue Jun 4, 2013, 08:49 AM
Jun 2013

Abandoning the "Good Neighbor" policy that has seen Turkey well throughout its existence has had both positive and negative effects. It has caused Erdoğan's stock to rise in the West, and his diplomatic efforts regarding Iran should be lauded. However, its meddling in the Syrian uprising has revived tensions between Ankara and its Kurdish population when relations between the two looked to be normalizing. Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu's visit to Iraqi Kurdistan and its recognition of its regional government was seen as a major step forward in Turkish-Kurd relations.

The Erdoğan administration miscalculated by throwing its support behind the Free Syrian Army. It created a burgeoning refugee problem (current estimates put the number of refugees at 150,000 and rising) and rekindled PKK attacks in its southeast. Erdoğan seems to be hoping that the rebels will win and install a Turkish-style democracy in Syria, one that would be Sunni-dominated. All well and good for Turkey to have a like-minded government on its border, but if relations were improving under Assad, why take a chance and support the opposition?

The AKP now has a dilemma on its hands. Facing elections in 2014, the question remains whether Davutoğlu's and Erdoğan's foreign policy will see the AKP ousted from power, in spite of the economic gains the country has made under them. Public opinion shows that the majority of Turks are uneasy with the more interventionist policies. Nevertheless, Erdoğan should keep pushing for a diplomatic solution in Iran. A war between Iran, Israel, and possibly the United States would be disastrous for the region as a whole, in addition to the economic damage it would cause Turkey. On the other hand, in order to hedge his and his party's bets, it would be wise for Erdoğan to scale back and let the situation in Syria play itself out. The last thing Ankara needs is for the conflict to spill over into its territory.

http://www.diplomaticourier.com/news/topics/diplomacy/1434-the-implications-of-turkeys-foreign-policy-qresetq

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