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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsJared Bernstein - What is needed in the new Fed Chair
http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/09/15/whats-needed-in-the-next-fed-chief/?_r=0...
Bubble watcher: Neither Mr. Bernanke nor his predecessor, Alan Greenspan, believed that the Federal Reserve could identify asset price bubbles or do much about them, especially with interest rates (a blunt tool for that purpose, as Mr. Bernanke said). Yet in both of their cases, we know that they were warned of the housing bubble by (a precious few) colleagues. The economist Dean Baker was showing me graphs of home prices diverging from rental prices in a novel and scary pattern back in 2002!
...
Bank regulator: Heres something I learned during my stint at the White House during the financial crisis. To bail out banks invokes deep moral hazard, which makes such moves both deservedly unpopular and bad economics (moral hazard exists when an economic actor or institution doesnt face the cost of its actions, like when you bail out a bank that screwed up). But given the global interconnectedness of financial institutions and connectedness, not size, is the relevant and threatening factor here the Fed (and Congress) could easily be back in the bailout business unless proactive steps are taken.
In other words, avoiding moral hazard is a luxury you often dont have once the implosion has begun. So your best move is to avoid it.
...
Consumer ally: The next Fed chief must learn to love and work closely with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Id recommend a standing lunch date with Richard Cordray, the agencys first director and someone with sharp antennae for credit irregularities that can serve as early warnings for bubbles.
Macro-manager: This is huge, of course, and the challenges here are well known. Mr. Bernanke, aided by Ms. Yellen, has been consistently strong in using both traditional interest rate policy and creative asset purchasing and forward guidance methods in the pursuit of closing persistent output gaps.
...
Better forecaster:
...
Communicator
...
Bubble watcher: Neither Mr. Bernanke nor his predecessor, Alan Greenspan, believed that the Federal Reserve could identify asset price bubbles or do much about them, especially with interest rates (a blunt tool for that purpose, as Mr. Bernanke said). Yet in both of their cases, we know that they were warned of the housing bubble by (a precious few) colleagues. The economist Dean Baker was showing me graphs of home prices diverging from rental prices in a novel and scary pattern back in 2002!
...
Bank regulator: Heres something I learned during my stint at the White House during the financial crisis. To bail out banks invokes deep moral hazard, which makes such moves both deservedly unpopular and bad economics (moral hazard exists when an economic actor or institution doesnt face the cost of its actions, like when you bail out a bank that screwed up). But given the global interconnectedness of financial institutions and connectedness, not size, is the relevant and threatening factor here the Fed (and Congress) could easily be back in the bailout business unless proactive steps are taken.
In other words, avoiding moral hazard is a luxury you often dont have once the implosion has begun. So your best move is to avoid it.
...
Consumer ally: The next Fed chief must learn to love and work closely with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Id recommend a standing lunch date with Richard Cordray, the agencys first director and someone with sharp antennae for credit irregularities that can serve as early warnings for bubbles.
Macro-manager: This is huge, of course, and the challenges here are well known. Mr. Bernanke, aided by Ms. Yellen, has been consistently strong in using both traditional interest rate policy and creative asset purchasing and forward guidance methods in the pursuit of closing persistent output gaps.
...
Better forecaster:
...
Communicator
...
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Jared Bernstein - What is needed in the new Fed Chair (Original Post)
Mass
Sep 2013
OP
Uncle Joe
(58,378 posts)1. Kicked and recommended.
Thanks for the thread, Mass.
ProSense
(116,464 posts)2. "Mr. Bernanke, aided by Ms. Yellen"
Given that Obama nominated Janet Yellen to serve as Vice-Chair of the Fed, why would anyone believe he wasn't seriously considering her over other potential candidates?
On April 28, 2010, President Obama nominated Yellen to succeed Donald Kohn as vice-chair of the Federal Reserve System.[9] In July, "[t]he Senate Banking Committee voted 17 to 6 to confirm her, though the top Republican on the panel, Senator Richard C. Shelby of Alabama, voted no, saying he believed Ms. Yellen had an 'inflationary bias.'" At the same time, on the heels of concerned testimony by Fed chair Bernanke, FOMC voting member James B. Bullard of the St. Louis Fed made a statement that the U.S. economy was "at risk of becoming 'enmeshed in a Japanese-style deflationary outcome within the next several years.'" Bullard's statement was interpreted as a possible shift within the FOMC balance between inflation hawks and doves. Yellen's pending confirmation, along with those of Peter A. Diamond and Sarah Bloom Raskin to fill vacancies, was seen as possibly furthering such a shift in the FOMC. All three nominations were seen as "on track to be confirmed by the Senate."[10]
On October 4, 2010, Yellen was sworn in for a 4-year term ending October 4, 2014. Yellen simultaneously began a 14-year term as a member of the Federal Reserve Board that will expire January 31, 2024.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Janet_Yellen#Vice_Chairwoman
On October 4, 2010, Yellen was sworn in for a 4-year term ending October 4, 2014. Yellen simultaneously began a 14-year term as a member of the Federal Reserve Board that will expire January 31, 2024.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Janet_Yellen#Vice_Chairwoman