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cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)
Fri Sep 27, 2013, 01:16 PM Sep 2013

Cruz Republican Presidential front-runner, and Trusted over Boehner 51%-20%

Asked of Republicans, of course. PPP (most accurate pollster of 2012) continues to do their stellar work making Republicans look ridiculous by doing accurate polling on questions the Republicans would just as soon nobody was asking of Republicans.


In my personal analysis of the general shape of the Republican primary preferences, it's looking like the Defiantly-Deranged wing is leading the Pretense-of-Sanity wing by 48%-44%. (These folks won't remember who Cruz is a month from now, but today's Cruz fan will be picking some other lunatic. Cruz is a place-holder for crazy.) I split the 10% for Ryan between the two wings because, though Ryan is crazy, his schtick is pretending to be a serious policy wonk so many folks who picked him in this poll would have done so trying to vote for pretense-of-sanity. That is to say, half of the people who would say Ryan today would be okay with a Jeb Bush type. IMO.

Batshit Crazy Vote
Canadian-born Ted Cruz 20%
Rand Paul 17%
Paul Ryan 5%
Rick Santorum 3%
Scott Walker 3%

Self-styled 'reasonable' Vote
Chris Christie 14%
Jeb Bush, 11%
Marco Rubio 10%
Bobby Jindal 4%
Paul Ryan 5%



September 27, 2013
Cruz emerges as GOP leader

PPP's newest national poll finds Ted Cruz is now the top choice of Republican primary voters to be their candidate for President in 2016. He leads the way with 20% to 17% for Rand Paul, 14% for Chris Christie, 11% for Jeb Bush, 10% each for Marco Rubio and Paul Ryan, 4% for Bobby Jindal, and 3% each for Rick Santorum and Scott Walker.

Cruz has gained 8 points since our last national 2016 poll in July while everyone else has more or less stayed in place. He's made himself the face of a government shutdown over Obamacare, and the Republican base supports that by a 64/20 margin. It's not surprising that Republicans identifying as 'very conservative' support a shutdown 75/10, but even the moderate wing of the party supports it by a 46/36 margin.

Cruz is leading the GOP field based especially on his appeal to 'very conservative' primary voters, who he gets 34% with t0 17% for Rand Paul and 12% for Paul Ryan. Voters who fall into that ideological group make up the largest portion of the Republican electorate at 39%. With moderates Cruz gets only 4% with Christie leading at 34% to 12% for Jeb Bush and 10% for Marco Rubio, but they only account for 18% of GOP voters and thus aren't all that relevant to Cruz's prospects for winning a Republican nomination.

Our numbers also suggest that Cruz is now viewed more broadly as the leader of the Republican Party. When asked whether they trust Cruz or GOP leader Mitch McConnell more, Cruz wins out 49/13. When it comes to who's more trusted between Cruz and Speaker John Boehner, Cruz has a 51/20 advantage. And when it comes to Cruz and 2008 GOP nominee and Senate colleague John McCain, Cruz wins out 52/31. He now has more credibility with the GOP base than the folks who have been leading the party for years.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/09/cruz-emerges-as-gop-leader.html
12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Cruz Republican Presidential front-runner, and Trusted over Boehner 51%-20% (Original Post) cthulu2016 Sep 2013 OP
Meet the next Republican nominee? Ted Motherfucking Cruz? Cali_Democrat Sep 2013 #1
He'll be campaigning in style... pinboy3niner Sep 2013 #3
What a douche... giftedgirl77 Sep 2013 #7
You'd Hayduke Bomgarte Sep 2013 #10
I'd have to learn how to be ambidextrous giftedgirl77 Sep 2013 #11
But, but, but his BIRTH CERTIFICATE! AleksS Sep 2013 #2
No Cali_Democrat Sep 2013 #4
Yeah, but it's Canada cthulu2016 Sep 2013 #12
Could be entertaining Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Sep 2013 #5
Christie or Bush will easily gain on him when it matters Pretzel_Warrior Sep 2013 #6
he's dangerous as hell. spanone Sep 2013 #8
I do not care what PPP says KamaAina Sep 2013 #9
 

giftedgirl77

(4,713 posts)
7. What a douche...
Fri Sep 27, 2013, 01:36 PM
Sep 2013

I told my husband that once I finally get out of the military I want to get a job on capital hill as an aide so I can run up & kick the shit out of these fuckers. Apparently he didn't think I could get away with it. I think it would be pretty popular. Monday could be kick an idiot day.

 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
4. No
Fri Sep 27, 2013, 01:23 PM
Sep 2013

IOKIYAW - It's OK If You Are White

If Obama was white, he would have never been hounded for his birth certificate.

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