General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAre cuts to Social Security and Medicare on the table?
http://www.alternet.org/tea-party-and-right/obama-deal-could-target-retirement-programsThe next few days may be the most perilous for ordinary Americans in Obamas presidency, as the White House is looking for a deal with far-right Republicans that takes Obamacare off the budget-cutting table, reopens the federal government and raises its debt ceiling.
As the government shutdown continues, Democrats have seen their approval ratings soar, prompting pollsters to say that the GOP will be punished in the next federal election. But whats shaping up 13 months from now is less important than what will shape up in the next 13 or so days. Thats because the White Houses openness to revive grand bargain talks with GOP radicals over future funding for entitlements like Social Security and Medicare, and more tax cuts for the wealthy, can only end badly for the middle- and working-class Americans.
If we went into serious negotiations, then I think that could be taken in short order, Rep. Tom Cole, R-OK and House Appropriations Committee member, said Friday, after negotiating Thursday night with other House GOP leaders at the White House over ending the shutdown and debt stalement.
The problem that Democrats face is that the agenda of the Houses slightly less-extreme Republicans is not new. It is still so far to the right that a deal could imperil programs that Democrats have built over decades, starting with the cornerstone of the 1930s New Deal, Social Security, and continuing in the 1960s War on Poverty, with Medicare, or health care for seniors. Fully funding retirement security programs is needed more than ever today, as near-retirees owe an average of $102,000 on home loans and $18,000 on credit cards, according to Social Security Administration statistics.
Hekate
(90,901 posts)djean111
(14,255 posts)It seems like all Congress does now is chip away at the conservative wish list, and they are doing pretty well, we still have austerity. They keep moving the goalposts to the right, and the dems keep following them.
Hekate
(90,901 posts)... his immovable spot and will not negotiate with an entity holding a gun to Uncle Sam's head.
Chemisse
(30,817 posts)Will he, in a relieved rush of good will, and with a desire to show the world that he is always willing to negotiate, let these programs be further eroded?
I am betting that he will, but I REALLY hope I am wrong.
Hekate
(90,901 posts)... as far as you can throw him.
Somehow I think you don't REALLY hope you're wrong at all -- you just want confirmation of the opinion you already hold.
socialist_n_TN
(11,481 posts)When Obama himself has come out in favor of putting several items in those programs up for negotiation. And that's negotiation WITH THE SAME ECONOMIC TERRORISTS WHO ARE NOW HOLDING THE GOVERNMENT HOSTAGE. In "negotiations" with these people (and yes, this is AFTER they put the "gun" away) why do you think they are going to be more reasonable than they are now?
We'll see what happens, but that Shock Doctrine scenario is still a possibility.
hooverville29
(163 posts)Note on p.3 the social security 'offerings.'
hooverville29
(163 posts)LiberalElite
(14,691 posts)Where did that term come from? I mean it. I don't know. Thanks.
hooverville29
(163 posts)The paper contains the term 'grand bargain' and the Prez had been using the term describing it anyhow, paper or not. Notice on page 3 of the document the Social Security proposal, including restraining the CPI, which so inflamed liberals on the Hill, as did 'revenue enhancement' inflame the conservatives.
LiberalElite
(14,691 posts)djean111
(14,255 posts)Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)thelordofhell
(4,569 posts)4bucksagallon
(975 posts)your statistics show. If one has that kind of debt problem maybe they should consider delaying retirement a little longer. Maybe?
Chemisse
(30,817 posts)Retirees just need to make hard choices; Social Security was never meant to allow one to continue a high standard of living, just make sure you have some dignity in your old age and not be eating cat food, curled up under a bridge somewhere.
4bucksagallon
(975 posts)That sounds like debt for someone starting out life, just out of college, with a new job and a future ahead of them to pay it down. Please explain?
"as near-retirees owe an average of $102,000 on home loans and $18,000 on credit cards, according to Social Security Administration statistics."
Okay they got their debt, now they can retire......... No..... first you pay off your debt and debtors then you retire. That's what I did. If you don't like reality go live in your alternate universe. You think Social Security checks are going to pay off that kind of debt? Nice dream land you live in.
DURHAM D
(32,616 posts)boomers were preparing to start saving toward retirement and paying off their mortgages after they helped their kids through college only to be called upon to care for aging parents followed by helping to educate their grandchildren. Meanwhile half of the people across these four generations did not have health insurance so medical treatment went on the credit card.
Are you retired military?
4bucksagallon
(975 posts)Social Security recipients will never be able to pay off that kind of debt. The minimum payments on those credit card bills. $18000 at 18% making minimum payments which start at $450/month it would take you 33 years to pay of the debt. How much do you think Social Security pays on average? The average monthly Social Security benefit for a retired worker was about $1,230 at the beginning of 2012. Now add in the extra $100K+ for mortgage and you have a disaster in the making. Keep working for a few more years.
DURHAM D
(32,616 posts)You did not answer my question.
melody
(12,365 posts)My husband retired. With his pension, Social Security and our savings, we manage fairly well even with a mortgage payment. It's all in how a retirement is planned.
hfojvt
(37,573 posts)handily found with a non-blue link http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=3840337
I think the numbers are hype. That some people have debt, but that they also have assets worth much more than their debt.
Why keep the debt then?
Well, if your mortgage debt is costing you 4%, but your assets are earning 6% then it would be foolish to pay off your debt.
Worried senior
(1,328 posts)and I am very worried. Life has been such that my husbands Teamster pension is very small and while grateful it wasn't what we had hoped for. He became disabled so this is what we've got along with our SS. No great savings and every year it gets a little harder to hang on.
RebelOne
(30,947 posts)I declared a Chapter 13 bankruptcy many years ago as I was over my head in credit card bills. All my debt was paid off, when a year later I was laid off my job. I was already 71, so I decided to retire. I would still be working today if I could, but no one is going to hire a person in his/her 70s, and I am not about to be a Walmart greeter.
My sole income is Social Security, but daily living expenses are overwhelming -- rent, electric, cable, TV, Internet, food, etc. Luckily, I don't have to drive to work and back anymore, so I use very little gas.
KG
(28,753 posts)Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)The alternet piece links to an LA Times piece, claiming that backs up the idea of the Administration's "openness to revive 'grand bargain' talks with GOP radicals over future funding for entitlements like Social Security and Medicare"
Only problem? Well, I looked at the LA Times article it linked to, and I can't find that anywhere. Can you?
http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/politicsnow/la-pn-republican-senators-shutdown-solutions-obama-20131011,0,7305655.story
Then yesterday we had a thread full of awful-sounding hyperbole about how "Obama's putting Chained CPI on the table"... Really? Did someone actually SAY that? Who?
Uh, well, uh, um..
no, I mean, what was the actual administration quote or source?
Uh, well, uh, um...
turns out it was some chowderhead at the National Review. Sure, it sounds like a good idea to him. But he's not the Administration.
DireStrike
(6,452 posts)Whenever the GOP decide to stop throwing tantrums, they are going to get SOMETHING. They are probably also not going to give anything. Nearly all of the "negotiations" during Obama's term (and for the past few decades) have just been filled with goodie bags for conservatives and very little for anyone else.
As the president has flirted with these type of things before, it makes sense to wonder if he'd do it again.
I'd rather have a false positive in this case as well. These programs are too important to play with.
socialist_n_TN
(11,481 posts)That's it in a nutshell. My questions would be what's to be negotiated with these terrorists even when they put the gun down? I feel sure it's not going to be single payer health care, lowering the age of Medicare, and increasing social security benefits so more can retire early and open up jobs for younger workers. THOSE items WON'T be on the table. The items negotiated will be the size of the CUTS to those programs.
There should be NO cuts to those programs. They should be expanded.
Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)I don't think pre-emptively getting mad at the administration about an idea they haven't actually proposed, though, is really the way to go.
hooverville29
(163 posts)He coined the "Grand Bargain" term. It's wise never to say never on this one.
Oilwellian
(12,647 posts)Recent Press Conference Transcript
Pakid
(478 posts)If you have kids today you know just how hard it can be for them to get any job at all and try to get a good job most of them were sent to china in order to line the pocket of the rich. Maybe you lost your job at 60 or had a lot of health problems or you own a business with worker and you are trying to not put the shaft to them! So yes I can see how many seniors could have a lot of debt
KoKo
(84,711 posts)get jobs...the money to try to keep them going until they could.
Personally know so many who did this and they got the loans during the good days of strong housing prices from the 90's through to the 2006 disaster. That almost 15 years of this and in many cases the original house lost value after 2006 and the loans are still there.
Yes, there were many who bought vacation homes with the home equity loans during that time and they are in the same fix trying to pay back those loans because the markets are still not great in many areas for home sales.
Others had medical bills they used Home Equity Loans to pay for and with the poor job market it's hard to save.
cali
(114,904 posts)and the Chained CPI is in President Obama's 2014 budget.
DURHAM D
(32,616 posts)It is a constant with him.
Oilwellian
(12,647 posts)madfloridian
(88,117 posts)This is one that Obama has pushed. But he calls it the Superlative CPI, which it is not.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10023833863
jsr
(7,712 posts)PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)Enthusiast
(50,983 posts)JVS
(61,935 posts)99Forever
(14,524 posts)We fund the government, pay our debts, and stop holding the American people hostage. End of negotiations.
Ain't it grand?
socialist_n_TN
(11,481 posts)Actually my Grand Bargain would consist of raising Social Security payouts, paid for by removing the income cap, allowing more people to retire early and opening up jobs for younger folks. Of course then you'd have to institute Medicare for All, so all those new retirees healthcare would be taken care of.
Also we need to junk the corporate takeover embodied in the TPP treaty.
99Forever
(14,524 posts)... go into ANY negotiations with ANY demands, even when they are holding ALL of the strong cards.
Only far rightie, tiny minority, wacko, nutjob, bullies get to define the terms and scope of ALL legislation.
TBF
(32,114 posts)we clearly have plenty of domestic work that needs to be done. I pity the party that tries to cut social security - those baby boomers paid in for years and I don't think they are going to be amused by such shenanigans. And they vote.
99Forever
(14,524 posts)And we remember. Haven't missed a vote since 1972, myself, nor will I as long as I am converting oxygen to carbon dioxide. I will only vote for candidates that have the spine to stand up for us, having a particular letter behind their name has become meaningless. Want my vote and support? Work FOR us. If not, go pound sand.Period.
TBF
(32,114 posts)when we talked a little about politics last night the first thing my mom said was "they'd better not cut social security". She feels just as you do - she paid in ever since she started working (and she still works very part-time at 69 years of age because she likes to get out of the house a little). Social Security was never a give-away program - everyone paid in with the expectation that it would be available if they were lucky enough to reach retirement.
The politicians that "borrowed" that money for other business should be fired as far as I'm concerned. That should have been a lock-box account.
Junkdrawer
(27,993 posts)then the Chained CPI will seem like a reasonable compromise.
Welcome Back My Friends to the Show that Never Ends.....
on point
(2,506 posts)JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)Let the freak out commence!!!!
socialist_n_TN
(11,481 posts)If it doesn't happen, GREAT! But somehow I don't think they're going to be negotiating on a "left" version of a Grand Bargain. Do you?
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)many many times in the last 4+ years.
Folks are sure Obama is about to cut SS. It's his evil plan ... He's going to cave bla blah blah.
It's an oldie but a goodie.
Ends the same way every time.
Enthusiast
(50,983 posts)if the president had not appointed two anti-social security zealots to head up his deficit commission. And the President was the one that proposed Chained CPI to begin with. What are we supposed to think? Just take your word for it while we watch social security cut?
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)originally.
A change which has gone absolutely no where. A change which isn't going anywhere.
Prediction after prediction about how bad Obama wants that change to happen "this time". Predictions that have been wrong over and over.
There's no need to take my word for that. Its simply a fact.
Enthusiast
(50,983 posts)And you know it. You are defending the indefensible.
We, the baby boomers, paid extra into social security so the fund would be there for our retirement. The Neo-Con, Chickenhawk, the criminal Wall street bandits, the filthy Fascists, big tax cutters and war profiteers think just because they stole the money the case is closed. It isn't closed. For all the billions of dollars worth of propaganda millions of us can still see through your bullshit smokescreen. We are on to your shit.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)I'm mocking the Combustible Hair Club, who freaks out about cuts that aren't happening and have done for for nearly 5 years.
Oh ... I'm 50, and have been paying into SS all along as well.
socialist_n_TN
(11,481 posts)we should ignore what the President proposes and what says and rely on his secret, unspoken plan to frame the Republicans? IOW, just shut the fuck up and let Obama handle it without speaking out.
My only answer to that is that I will NOT STFU for ANY President, whether D or R. I WILL speak out when he proposes something that I disagree with, nth dimensional chess match or not.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)To demonstrate the totally unnecessary level of freak out found in your response to me.
socialist_n_TN
(11,481 posts)What exactly WERE you recommending to folks that are concerned about a potential Grand Bargain? Because it sure seems like you're saying "Don't worry. Obama's got this!"
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)on fire is not necessary.
And there are a wide array of options between that, and doing nothing.
socialist_n_TN
(11,481 posts)But I AM going to let everybody I can know about even the POSSIBILITY of cuts to Social Security and Medicare.
There's one simple fucking answer to all this talk about "cuts". RAISE TAXES ON THE ONES THAT HAVE THE MOST MONEY AND WEALTH. And if you don't have the votes for that, frame the issue in such a way that everybody KNOWS the one who DON'T want to raise taxes on the wealthy. It's not like these programs are going to be in trouble tomorrow, except for trouble from our "representatives".
LiberalElite
(14,691 posts)I freak out because I'm nearing retirement age. I'm one of those with debt although not as much as some. I don't have enough saved, for a number of reasons both good and bad. I haven't always made the best decisions. It happens. Social Security will be HALF my retirement income. Social Security and Medicare are repeatedly mentioned as being considered for cuts. Whether these cuts haven't happened for 5 years or not doesn't mean they couldn't ever happen and if they do, my economic future, such as it is, will be ruined. If that's no reason for my "hair to be on fire" I don't know what is.
Nite Owl
(11,303 posts)Most of the deficit is from their spending during the Bush years. SS can be easily fixed by raising the cap. Medicare is a good deal for us and if they are cutting SS and we have to pay more where does the rest come from? Do we need to beg for food? Raise taxes on the wealthiest. They have pay their share and stop complaining.
JVS
(61,935 posts)NSA, Homeland Security, ongoing wars, etc. Offer to shut those down. It's not like the NSA has been improving the administrations public image anyway.
MisterP
(23,730 posts)they already have the 2nd Republicans-but-with-weed party waiting in the wings
BluegrassStateBlues
(881 posts)'Obama rejected latest House GOP offer'
and 'Obama and Boehner talks at a standstill'
Whatever gets web traffic I guess.
This is a fluid situation that doesn't require frequent articles with outdated information.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)decoder ring. Then it all becomes clear.
Oilwellian
(12,647 posts)Transcript from recent White House press conference
Faygo Kid
(21,478 posts)The danger is very real; let's just say I work in a position to know. Again, take no chances.
socialist_n_TN
(11,481 posts)I'd rather be accused of having my "hair on fire" than to wake up in a couple of months with cuts to entitlement programs (and yes by Lesus, they're entitlement programs because I paid into them and I'm fucking ENTITLED to them) or, what's more likely, some sort of Sequester II cutting and gutting programs for the working class and poor.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)grand bargain talk
hfojvt
(37,573 posts)and don't match their primary sources. http://www.ssa.gov/retirementpolicy/research/debt-trend.html
Average household debt is about $100,000 and 80% of near-retirement households have debt?
Most people in this country simply can NOT afford $100,000 in debt.
Then think of a person buying a house - when they are in their 30s. So they pay on that house for twenty years and they are now in their 50s, nearing retirement and yet they STILL owe $100,000 on that house? Does not compute.
So I check their primary sources. Don't really find a category for "near retirement" although there is a lot of data there and I may have missed it. Looking at the 55-64 age group I find that only 53.6% of households have mortgage debt, and 41.3% have credit card debt and 40.7% have installment loans (mostly for cars).
But then checking table 6, I find that the median net worth for those age 55-64 is $179,400 and the average net worth is $880,500. That is NET worth, meaning assets minus debt. That number dwarfs the average debt. There are lots of very rich people pulling the average up, but even the median is pretty astounding. 50% of households ages 55-64 have net worth over $179,400!!
So yeah, 77.7% of them have debt, but for 50% of them, they also have assets worth much more than their debt.
4bucksagallon
(975 posts)It ludicrous to even think about. Just paying the credit card debt off at the minimum payment schedule it would take 33 years. Starting payments of 450 bucks a month.