General Discussion

CreekDog

(46,192 posts) Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:50 AM Nov 2013

An expert in elections would rather be Herring (D-VA) than Obenshain (R-VA) now

in race where the candidates for Attorney General of Virginia has the Democrat down less than 1,000 votes, Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report is tweeting now 8:50pm (Pacific time):

https://twitter.com/Redistrict

Dave Wasserman ?@Redistrict 9:57pm
Whoa! via @Dsquared75 & @jlock, it appears a transcription error in Loudoun is currently shortchanging Herring (D) by ~600 votes.

Dave Wasserman ?@Redistrict 9 minutes ago
@ForecasterEnten Only that this won't be settled before midnight, but I'd still rather be Herring than Obenshain.

Dave Wasserman ?@Redistrict 2 minutes ago
AP has Obenshain (R) lead over Herring (D) down to 778 out of nearly 2.2 million votes. This probably won't be settled tonight.

Dave Wasserman ?@Redistrict 7 minutes ago
Fairfax County reporting an additional 7,732 absentees for Herring (D), 4,547 for Obenshain (R) beyond what is reported by state SBE.

Dave Wasserman ?@Redistrict 17 minutes ago
Also outstanding: Roanoke City's absentees, and likely more absentees from Richmond City. All which ought to help Herring (D).

Dave Wasserman ?@Redistrict 19 minutes ago
Herring (D) down 7,061 votes, but still out: absentees in Fairfax, Norfolk, Hampton, Newport News, PWC. Would rather be Herring.

Dave Wasserman ?@Redistrict 27 minutes ago
Arlington County absentees: Herring (D) 5,885 Obenshain 1,338. This thing's looking pretty good for Herring right now.

Mike Taphorn ?@MinnesotaMike1 30 minutes ago
@Redistrict Fairfax County Website has Herring with a larger margin than SBE (+5206) More Absentee's http://www.fairfaxcounty.gov/elections/webreports/resu1113.pdf …
Retweeted by Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman ?@Redistrict 35 minutes ago
The AP pegs Obenshain (R) lead at just 1,357 votes. If that's right, Herring (D) quite likely to overtake Obenshain with remainders.

20 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

An expert in elections would rather be Herring (D-VA) than Obenshain (R-VA) now (Original Post) CreekDog Nov 2013 OP

Good news and hope it holds BumRushDaShow Nov 2013 #1

That's great news! blue neen Nov 2013 #2

Hopefully Robbins Nov 2013 #3

Now, if we can just get rid of Tom Corbett and his gang of thugs in PA next year.... blue neen Nov 2013 #8

And NC need to take that State back BIG TIME, My mother is there Heather MC Nov 2013 #20

well, we still have to deal with a right wing legislature and heavily gerrymandered fed. districts spooky3 Nov 2013 #10

Good. I want a sweep in my state. cthulu2016 Nov 2013 #4

Herring +8k is possible. Dawson Leery Nov 2013 #5

I saw a NYT banner that said that the teabagger in AL lost BumRushDaShow Nov 2013 #6

keeping my fingers crossed... chillfactor Nov 2013 #7

thanks -- I posted several times tonight that I wondered about the absentee/early votes. spooky3 Nov 2013 #9

wow, he just tweeted that Obenshain's tiny lead is nearly gone due to misreporting CreekDog Nov 2013 #11

I see several transcription errors listed in his tweets... cui bono Nov 2013 #14

sounds like a transcription error somewhere CreekDog Nov 2013 #16

Yeah, in his tweets he mentions several transcription errors. Why so many errors? cui bono Nov 2013 #17

basically media outlets are calling and getting numbers read to them CreekDog Nov 2013 #19

I would find it strange for obenshain to win... ohheckyeah Nov 2013 #12

Tweet: Via AP, Obenshain (R) lead has shrunk to 153 & that doesn't include Loudoun/Buchanan correcti cui bono Nov 2013 #13

holy crap, there it goes CreekDog Nov 2013 #18

"inevitable recount" cui bono Nov 2013 #15

BumRushDaShow

(129,543 posts)

1. Good news and hope it holds

Reply to CreekDog (Original post)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:52 AM

Nov 2013

A sweep FTW! Crossing fingers.

blue neen

(12,328 posts)

2. That's great news!

Reply to CreekDog (Original post)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:53 AM

Nov 2013

This AG race is a real nail-biter!

Go Herring!

Robbins

(5,066 posts)

3. Hopefully

Reply to blue neen (Reply #2)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:56 AM

Nov 2013

Herring prevails In nail bitter.

That would mean Republicans only victory tonight was Christie.

With A dem AG joining Dem govenror,LT governor,and Senate things can Improve In Virginia.

2016 will be good with no more voter supression In Virginia.

blue neen

(12,328 posts)

8. Now, if we can just get rid of Tom Corbett and his gang of thugs in PA next year....

Reply to Robbins (Reply #3)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:03 AM

Nov 2013

....their voter suppression tactics have been epic!

I remember the presidential election night coverage last year and the long lines of people waiting in Virginia. They waited for hours in some places, just to exercise their right to vote. It was inspiring to see their resolve, but so infuriating to see what the Republicans had managed to do.

Heather MC

(8,084 posts)

20. And NC need to take that State back BIG TIME, My mother is there

Reply to blue neen (Reply #8)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:58 AM

Nov 2013

spooky3

(34,483 posts)

10. well, we still have to deal with a right wing legislature and heavily gerrymandered fed. districts

Reply to Robbins (Reply #3)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:05 AM

Nov 2013

cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)

4. Good. I want a sweep in my state.

Reply to CreekDog (Original post)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:58 AM

Nov 2013

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)

5. Herring +8k is possible.

Reply to CreekDog (Original post)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 12:58 AM

Nov 2013

A Clean sweep if so!

BumRushDaShow

(129,543 posts)

6. I saw a NYT banner that said that the teabagger in AL lost

Reply to CreekDog (Original post)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:00 AM

Nov 2013

so getting this VA race would show a clear rejection of teathugery.

chillfactor

(7,584 posts)

7. keeping my fingers crossed...

Reply to CreekDog (Original post)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:01 AM

Nov 2013

a win for Herring would be the icing on the cake!

spooky3

(34,483 posts)

9. thanks -- I posted several times tonight that I wondered about the absentee/early votes.

Reply to CreekDog (Original post)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 01:04 AM

Nov 2013

Very glad to get some answers.

CreekDog

(46,192 posts)

11. wow, he just tweeted that Obenshain's tiny lead is nearly gone due to misreporting

Reply to CreekDog (Original post)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:04 AM

Nov 2013

Dave Wasserman ?@Redistrict 9:57pm
Whoa! via @Dsquared75 & @jlock, it appears a transcription error in Loudoun is currently shortchanging Herring (D) by ~600 votes.

cui bono

(19,926 posts)

14. I see several transcription errors listed in his tweets...

Reply to CreekDog (Reply #11)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:23 AM

Nov 2013

what's that about?

CreekDog

(46,192 posts)

16. sounds like a transcription error somewhere

Reply to cui bono (Reply #14)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:27 AM

Nov 2013

his lead was around 800 votes, but 600 of that was due to an error.

cui bono

(19,926 posts)

17. Yeah, in his tweets he mentions several transcription errors. Why so many errors?

Reply to CreekDog (Reply #16)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:28 AM

Nov 2013

Is something fishy going on?

CreekDog

(46,192 posts)

19. basically media outlets are calling and getting numbers read to them

Reply to cui bono (Reply #17)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:33 AM

Nov 2013

if beleagured election workers accidentally misread a tally sheet, very possible, all being done on the fly, that's understandable.

these small errors in reporting to the media happen frequently, but the margin isn't usually this close, so it goes unnoticed.

ohheckyeah

(9,314 posts)

12. I would find it strange for obenshain to win...

Reply to CreekDog (Original post)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:14 AM

Nov 2013

I don't know anybody that splits the vote. That's not to say that nobody does, but in my experience, it's unusual.

cui bono

(19,926 posts)

13. Tweet: Via AP, Obenshain (R) lead has shrunk to 153 & that doesn't include Loudoun/Buchanan correcti

Reply to CreekDog (Original post)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:22 AM

Nov 2013

Dave Wasserman ?@Redistrict 1m

Wow. Via AP, Obenshain (R) lead has shrunk to 153 & that doesn't include Loudoun/Buchanan corrections/new precincts. http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2013/by_county/VA_Page_1105.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS …

CreekDog

(46,192 posts)

18. holy crap, there it goes

Reply to cui bono (Reply #13)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:29 AM

Nov 2013

Herring has the lead, basically, that's what the news amounts to.

thanks for the update!

cui bono

(19,926 posts)

15. "inevitable recount"

Reply to CreekDog (Original post)

Wed Nov 6, 2013, 02:24 AM

Nov 2013

Dave Wasserman ?@Redistrict 1m

Bottom line on VA AG: there are going to be lots of shifts in the vote before we even get to the inevitable recount. No answers tonight.

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