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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsErik Brynjolfsson Explains How Technology Drives Inequality&The Scary Truth About Robots Taking Jobs
What are you telling people about at Davos?
Well we're telling them we're in the midst of what Andrew McAfee and I are calling "the second machine age." Just as the first industrial revolution automated and augmented muscle work, we're now doing the same with mental and cognitive tasks. There are some similarities in terms of the potential growth and disruption, but there are also some big differences.
Who is getting hit hardest by the rise of robots?
The data say that routine information processing tasks have been especially hard hit. Think of bookkeepers or travel agents or tax preparers. That has been some of the first wave of how the "second machine age" has been affecting work, but what Andy and I talk about is just this whole wave of new technologies that is affecting all sorts of professional tasks like diagnosing diseases, legal briefs, affecting tasks that require mobility and fine motor control. We recently rode in Google's driverless car, we visited Rodney Brooks' "Rethink" factory where they are making Baxter robots that can do a lot of precision tasks. So there's a whole set of categories that previously weren't affected that now are being affected.
What are the skills that a human can have that won't be replaced?
That's a really tough question actually, because Andy and I have been playing that game for a couple of years, and every time we think we have a task that can't be done, we find out shortly thereafter that there's somebody in a lab at MIT or Silicon Valley that's working on a prototype 0.1 of exactly a machine to do that task.
...every time we think we have a task that can't be done, we find out shortly thereafter that there's somebody in a lab at MIT or Silicon Valley that's working on a prototype 0.1 of exactly a machine to do that task.
So it is a little scary.
Well we're telling them we're in the midst of what Andrew McAfee and I are calling "the second machine age." Just as the first industrial revolution automated and augmented muscle work, we're now doing the same with mental and cognitive tasks. There are some similarities in terms of the potential growth and disruption, but there are also some big differences.
Who is getting hit hardest by the rise of robots?
The data say that routine information processing tasks have been especially hard hit. Think of bookkeepers or travel agents or tax preparers. That has been some of the first wave of how the "second machine age" has been affecting work, but what Andy and I talk about is just this whole wave of new technologies that is affecting all sorts of professional tasks like diagnosing diseases, legal briefs, affecting tasks that require mobility and fine motor control. We recently rode in Google's driverless car, we visited Rodney Brooks' "Rethink" factory where they are making Baxter robots that can do a lot of precision tasks. So there's a whole set of categories that previously weren't affected that now are being affected.
What are the skills that a human can have that won't be replaced?
That's a really tough question actually, because Andy and I have been playing that game for a couple of years, and every time we think we have a task that can't be done, we find out shortly thereafter that there's somebody in a lab at MIT or Silicon Valley that's working on a prototype 0.1 of exactly a machine to do that task.
...every time we think we have a task that can't be done, we find out shortly thereafter that there's somebody in a lab at MIT or Silicon Valley that's working on a prototype 0.1 of exactly a machine to do that task.
So it is a little scary.
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/erik-brynjolfsson-2014-1
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Erik Brynjolfsson Explains How Technology Drives Inequality&The Scary Truth About Robots Taking Jobs (Original Post)
FarCenter
Jan 2014
OP
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)1. Can a robot invent a robot?
It says people are inventing robots. If there are no human things that robots can't do, then robots will invent future robots.
They may even invent robots to replace themselves.
FarCenter
(19,429 posts)2. Its likely that they would improve rapidly beyond that point
Humans are inefficient because they have to go though a 25 year initialization period before they become truly expert. Then, after a couple of decades, most of their learning is lost.
Robots could rapidly assimilate all the learning of their predecessors and improve continuously.
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)3. That scares me