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cali

(114,904 posts)
Fri Feb 7, 2014, 11:07 AM Feb 2014

How do Democrats hold on to a Senate majority this year?

What seats do we need to hold?

Can Landrieu and Pryor manage to get re-elected in LA and AS, respectively?

Jay Rockefeller of W.V. is retiring. That seat will almost certainly go repub

Max Baucus of Wyoming is retiring. So is Tim Johnson of SD. The odds of dems retaining those seats is very slim.

Tom Harkin is retiring. Can dems hold that seat?

What about Begich in Alaska?

these are republican leaning states. Dems need repup candidates who are tea party crazy and will say crazy shit in order to hold the Senate, as well as needing solid dem candidates who are well funded.

23 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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How do Democrats hold on to a Senate majority this year? (Original Post) cali Feb 2014 OP
I think Landrieu is in real trouble. nt clarice Feb 2014 #1
Pryor is in worse trouble... Landrieu always seems in trouble JCMach1 Feb 2014 #17
Fingers crossed. nt clarice Feb 2014 #20
Kay Hagan in NC DURHAM D Feb 2014 #2
right. that's another seat that could be endangered. cali Feb 2014 #3
Yep... she will have an uphill struggle this time... JCMach1 Feb 2014 #18
Excellent topic. jsr Feb 2014 #4
Baucus is from Montana, where the dems have a better chance than fishwax Feb 2014 #5
fun fact--baucus's senate seat has been held by a dem since 1913 fishwax Feb 2014 #6
It really depends on their opponents Capt. Obvious Feb 2014 #7
that sounds reasonable. What do you think we pick up? cali Feb 2014 #8
Disagree with that spread Capt. Obvious Feb 2014 #11
Bruce Braley is the D running to replace Tom Harkin in Iowa, and holds a slight lead bullwinkle428 Feb 2014 #9
We do need to start thinking about this because we need to use our contributions wisely. I like the jwirr Feb 2014 #10
You have the right attitude. There are so many today who are hurting financially that they don't okaawhatever Feb 2014 #14
Thank you. jwirr Feb 2014 #21
with everything the reptilicons do i cant believe this country would give them the senate leftyohiolib Feb 2014 #12
the thing is, it's state by state, not a national referendum. cali Feb 2014 #15
Do you think the people who vote Republican are really aware of what the Republicans are doing? okaawhatever Feb 2014 #16
I agree with you on that. cali Feb 2014 #19
By shouting "HILLARY 2016!!!" Iggo Feb 2014 #13
By running a campaign on THIS -----> napkinz Feb 2014 #22
If history tells us anything, it tells us that this likely not to work in red states cali Feb 2014 #23

JCMach1

(27,559 posts)
17. Pryor is in worse trouble... Landrieu always seems in trouble
Fri Feb 7, 2014, 02:47 PM
Feb 2014

but always seem to squeeze a win out...

fishwax

(29,149 posts)
5. Baucus is from Montana, where the dems have a better chance than
Fri Feb 7, 2014, 12:14 PM
Feb 2014

they would in Wyoming--which isn't saying much.

fishwax

(29,149 posts)
6. fun fact--baucus's senate seat has been held by a dem since 1913
Fri Feb 7, 2014, 12:23 PM
Feb 2014

And the last republican to hold it, Joseph Dixon, was a progressive crusader against the big mining interests of the day.

I hope democrats can hold the seat. John Walsh, who is currently Lt Governor, appears to be the front runner for the nomination, I think.

Capt. Obvious

(9,002 posts)
7. It really depends on their opponents
Fri Feb 7, 2014, 12:35 PM
Feb 2014

and other factors of course.

I think Pryor is D.O.A. against generic opponent.
Landrieu could hold on due to family.
Belgrich is fine.

There's a lot of ugly R primaries ongoing with lunatics saying the darnedest things.
We will lose some seats but I think we pick up a few for close to a draw (Dems come out negative but hold the Senate)

Capt. Obvious

(9,002 posts)
11. Disagree with that spread
Fri Feb 7, 2014, 12:59 PM
Feb 2014

I think GA is looking very winnable with Nunn as standard bearer and the 8 loons trying to out-Akin each other.

Kentucky is possible. We have a credible candidate and turtle is not popular - and that's if he survives the primary.

I think Iowa is safe - though safer if King was running as the R nominee.

I already said above that I think Begich is fine.

WV is probably lost, but the R's could put up a losing candidate as they have in recent years.

SD - gone.

And keep your eyes peeled for surprise retirements ala Snowe.
I keep wondering if Collins will follow suit.

bullwinkle428

(20,629 posts)
9. Bruce Braley is the D running to replace Tom Harkin in Iowa, and holds a slight lead
Fri Feb 7, 2014, 12:47 PM
Feb 2014

at the moment over a field of Repukes. Iowans hold an overall negative view of ACA, which is making the polling data kind of close. Keeping fingers crossed for the eventual Republican candidate to utter something shockingly stupid and sexist during the campaign to help tilt the scales.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
10. We do need to start thinking about this because we need to use our contributions wisely. I like the
Fri Feb 7, 2014, 12:48 PM
Feb 2014

50 state strategy but we need to be smart about this. Here in MN we can expect to keep our Senate seats so our goal should be to help take the House back.

I am as poor as one of those church mice but I want to know who needs to be given that $10 they were talking about last night on Ed. I remember a long time ago thinking that I was donating to save our country. While I was right in the long run - we are still here - I think the feeling fits today more than back then. If we let the Senate and even the House revert to rethug control we are done for.

Get out there to vote and if at all possible donate to the Democrats in the most need.

okaawhatever

(9,462 posts)
14. You have the right attitude. There are so many today who are hurting financially that they don't
Fri Feb 7, 2014, 01:48 PM
Feb 2014

think $5 or $10 can help, but they're wrong. For every $10 a Democrat donates the Koch brothers have to donate close to $1 Billion dollars. There are 340,000,000 people in this country. While not all are working age, there are 100,000,000 who are and who support Democratic policies. Thank you for your willingness to do what you can. People like you are the ones who can change the outcome the most.

okaawhatever

(9,462 posts)
16. Do you think the people who vote Republican are really aware of what the Republicans are doing?
Fri Feb 7, 2014, 01:51 PM
Feb 2014

While they have their share of crazies, I think the greater problem is people who are completely unaware of what the Republicans are really doing to this country. Remember, they aren't cutting unemployment benefits to hard working people who lost their jobs due to Wall Street, they're government freeloaders who are trying to get a reward for voting Democratic. Just ask Fox news.

napkinz

(17,199 posts)
22. By running a campaign on THIS ----->
Fri Feb 7, 2014, 04:11 PM
Feb 2014
17,000 People Will Die Uninsured in Red States Because GOP Leaders Refused Medicaid Expansion

Simone Sanner
February 6, 2014

Dr. Steffie Woolhandler is co-author of the new study Opting Out Of Medicaid Expansion: the Health And Financial Impacts. The new study just released has found up to 17,000 people will die as a result of the refusal of red state governors to participate in expanded Medicaid programs.

There are 8 million people who will not receive coverage under the new law that are eligible for it. Of that 8 million, as many as 17,000 people will die having not gotten the medical care those in blue states have access to. Another 750,000 will suffer from untreated depression, diabetics will not have access to medication, and women will not have access to pap smears and mammograms.

Woolhandler attributes this to a political move on the part of red state governors, as the program is 100% completely funded by the federal government for the first three years. After those three years have passed, 90% of the costs will be funded by the federal government.

States making the investment in their people will see an approximate 50% reduction in the number of people without any health insurance whatsoever.

read more: http://aattp.org/17000-people-will-die-uninsured-in-red-states-because-gop-leaders-refused-medicaid-expansion/
















 

cali

(114,904 posts)
23. If history tells us anything, it tells us that this likely not to work in red states
Fri Feb 7, 2014, 04:19 PM
Feb 2014

effective nationally, but not regionally.

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