He's putting a new site together. I suspect it will be up well before November. Since that doesn't help you right now, though, I'd note that Pollster.com seems to be trying to do the aggregator thing, but I have no idea how solid their model is.

Do you know if he changed is mind, or is he doing both, or was I just misinformed?

... he's actually expanding to cover all kinds of stuff INCLUDING politics. C'mon, politics MADE him, he ain't leaving it.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

Is that ESPN bought Nate and the Fivethirtyeight brand, but that his new site will do sports, politics, and other data-driven analyses. It'll be more a case of Nate expanding ESPN than ESPN constraining Nate.

That forced them to not be able to have US customers, which sunk them.

If some bank had decided to bet 80 billion dollars on intrade futures and then package those bets into AAA rated bonds so that some hedge fund could sell them short, intrade would be getting a government subsidy by now.

A research project of the university of Iowa...

http://tippie.uiowa.edu/iem/markets/

You can even 'put your money where your mouth is' as participation in the IEM is legal for US residents.

I don't have too much interest in putting my money where my mouth is, though. It might spoil my illusion that I'm always right about everything...

Although I did make a little from Intrade by betting on Obama in 2008.