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ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:09 PM Mar 2014

Bitcoin hate... I don't understand it... ?

I am a long-time user of Bitcoin. I mined some back in the day and watched the value steadily increase. I never got near Mt.Gox because it's been apparent that they were trouble for quite some time.

I've made several purchases at Overstock.com since they started accepting Bitcoin. I pay for website hosting with Bitcoin. I've even been paid for some of my used PC equipment I sold on Craigslist with Bitcoin. It works very well and I've never had any issue with it.

I don't understand all the hate it gets around here... Can someone explain why I should dislike this technology so much?

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Bitcoin hate... I don't understand it... ? (Original Post) ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 OP
My best guess... Democracyinkind Mar 2014 #1
I always assumed, considering the source, that he was talking about Jews. arcane1 Mar 2014 #3
That's an interesting observation. Democracyinkind Mar 2014 #9
In a non-Jew context I agree 100% arcane1 Mar 2014 #11
I used to work for a large swiss bank and then switched into auditing. Democracyinkind Mar 2014 #15
Exactly. He would know, and he may have had no bias when making that statement. arcane1 Mar 2014 #19
Regardless. I think an examination of Bit Coin will cause people to look behind the curtain at how GoneFishin Mar 2014 #116
Agreed. arcane1 Mar 2014 #117
The actual quote from Ford's book is different, the one given here is not verified Bluenorthwest Mar 2014 #125
We were discussing the dog whistling aspect in the subthread above. Democracyinkind Mar 2014 #126
Yes, and I've always like the John Kenneth Galbraith quote: enough Mar 2014 #8
Yes. There's a lot of defensiveness around the whole topic. woo me with science Mar 2014 #53
I also would like an answer to this question. I've never used it, but Bitcoin enough Mar 2014 #2
My speculative theory is that... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #7
The wild fluctuations in value show it has not yet been a medium of exchange muriel_volestrangler Mar 2014 #25
Not exactly. The insiders can create as much of it as they like. BlueStreak Mar 2014 #29
What insiders? drm604 Mar 2014 #88
You don't think the code can be exploited? BlueStreak Mar 2014 #92
"The unfortunate part is that we may never know exactly how this happened" BlueStreak Mar 2014 #96
Of course they won't say, because it's better to say they don't know than admit incompetence. n/t ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #167
That's one possibility. Three other possibilities are: BlueStreak Mar 2014 #177
I don't think you understand how Bitcoin works... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #106
Have you paid any attention to the hacker world the last 25 years? BlueStreak Mar 2014 #108
That's just ignorance on display... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #138
Even though it was all on public display (as open source) BlueStreak Mar 2014 #146
Oh, come down from your perch... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #148
So I have your personal guarantee that no hacker will figure out a clever way BlueStreak Mar 2014 #151
What highly successful attacks weren't supposed to be possible? DanTex Mar 2014 #158
Yep. Springslips Mar 2014 #173
Buffer overruns, e.g. BlueStreak Mar 2014 #188
Those are examples of software vulnerabilities, not breaches of cryptography. DanTex Mar 2014 #193
My point was simply that it is unwise to be over-confident BlueStreak Mar 2014 #197
It's also important to realize that the cryptography is secure. DanTex Mar 2014 #201
Cryptography is 1% of the system. BlueStreak Mar 2014 #208
If there are "many examples", then you shouldn't have a problem naming one. DanTex Mar 2014 #209
Here are 2 I pulled up in 5 seconds. I used The Google. That is really cool. Try it. BlueStreak Mar 2014 #210
Umm, none of those are examples of the encryption being broken. DanTex Mar 2014 #215
The point is encryption never lives alone. The system is vulnerable. BlueStreak Mar 2014 #217
Which is why it is important to understand what the vulnerabilities actually are. DanTex Mar 2014 #218
Then why has the bitcoin exchanges lost coins ... do you believe in magic ... MindMover Mar 2014 #203
The code itself is almost laughably simple. sir pball Mar 2014 #185
You may be wrong about your 50% claim. So says MIT. BlueStreak Mar 2014 #199
So it is kind of like S&H stamps or coupons that you use at the grocery store. madinmaryland Mar 2014 #54
You can use them that way in some places in the EU, or here in the US using gyft.com n/t ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #166
It's air. It's a bubble. It is backed by NOTHING. aquart Mar 2014 #43
It's backed by the same thing Federal Reserve Nots are, TransitJohn Mar 2014 #105
Slight bit of difference there, John jmowreader Mar 2014 #119
But not the credit of the United States. aquart Mar 2014 #134
I know little about it or how it works, so I have no opinion at this time. arcane1 Mar 2014 #4
Well, to me it's the same as using money... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #12
It seems like it would be fun if I had mined them myself. arcane1 Mar 2014 #21
Not if the value can drop 30% is a week. BlueStreak Mar 2014 #32
Where do you invest your bitcoins? joeglow3 Mar 2014 #47
Well, you could hold them... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #137
That is my concern with bitcoins as a currency joeglow3 Mar 2014 #141
I literally just said you can do that... ? ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #145
I don't invest in dollars. I invest WITH dollars joeglow3 Mar 2014 #147
Banking in established currencies provides wealth for many millions closeupready Mar 2014 #5
Well, that isn't what happened. This was a criminal enterprise. BlueStreak Mar 2014 #17
If it's different, you have to kill it instead of understand it. n/t Whisp Mar 2014 #6
Jealousy. Loudly Mar 2014 #10
Oh, I have not been able to mine my own for quite some time... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #16
Yes, I see a 1 terra hash miner available for $12,000. Loudly Mar 2014 #23
I prefer to use clam shells, buttons and bottle caps. L0oniX Mar 2014 #13
It isn't hate. It is seeing the bigger picture. Let me offer a metaphor BlueStreak Mar 2014 #14
But it can be audited... the ledger is 100% public. ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #20
So you have solved he crime already? I am impressed. BlueStreak Mar 2014 #24
Quite the little advocate aren't you? TeamPooka Mar 2014 #30
not hate. incredulity. arely staircase Mar 2014 #18
virtual lol TeamPooka Mar 2014 #31
To be fair, US currency is virtual as well. ZombieHorde Mar 2014 #110
Full faith and credit of the US Govenrment as opposed to arely staircase Mar 2014 #111
Well, it is an unrelgulated purely virtual currency stored on computers susceptible to hacking. Tommy_Carcetti Mar 2014 #22
Other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how did you enjoy the play? BlueStreak Mar 2014 #27
You and okaaywhatever crack me up Pretzel_Warrior Mar 2014 #51
How do I "like" this post? Bucky Mar 2014 #212
i hope bitcoin catches on usa liberal Mar 2014 #26
No taxes, something that is normally anathema to Democratic principles. randome Mar 2014 #39
Taxes are not tied to the currency paid. Ms. Toad Mar 2014 #81
There are no IRS determinations on bitcoins. randome Mar 2014 #84
The payment of taxes is no more voluntary Ms. Toad Mar 2014 #93
How will the IRS know you have unreported income pnwmom Mar 2014 #102
The same way they know if you have unreported barter income. Ms. Toad Mar 2014 #113
Except there is the question of scale. People talk about bitcoin substituting for banks. pnwmom Mar 2014 #115
There are people who create local currency for bartering Ms. Toad Mar 2014 #121
They're just tulips for nerds. And a ponzi scheme for nerds. pnwmom Mar 2014 #122
The person I know personally who has been involved with bitcoins Ms. Toad Mar 2014 #127
It may be taxable but it is easily hide-able. That's why it's being used for pnwmom Mar 2014 #101
Like I said in another post - Ms. Toad Mar 2014 #114
For one, online currencies such as eGold and Bitcoin are exceptionally useful for the purposes Maedhros Mar 2014 #64
Liberals believe in progressive taxation, and bitcoin facilitates tax evasion. pnwmom Mar 2014 #100
I really don't get it, either. X_Digger Mar 2014 #28
Paypal is subject to intense audits. BlueStreak Mar 2014 #34
Which is neither here nor there, re the value or validity of a digital currency. X_Digger Mar 2014 #38
Integrity of currency is neither here nor there? Say what? BlueStreak Mar 2014 #46
It is a real currency if people are trading other things of value for them. X_Digger Mar 2014 #48
I think most people here DO understand we have a fiat currency BlueStreak Mar 2014 #50
You seem hung up on that term, as if only 'fiat currency' is 'real'. X_Digger Mar 2014 #58
No. I already agreed they were both ffiat currencies. The difference is BlueStreak Mar 2014 #60
Err.. bitcoins aren't a fiat currency. There is no government running on bitcoins. n/t X_Digger Mar 2014 #61
It most certainly is a fiat currency BlueStreak Mar 2014 #63
If you say so. *shrug* X_Digger Mar 2014 #66
You aren't going to address the substantive issues, are you? BlueStreak Mar 2014 #68
It's not a fiat currency. DanTex Mar 2014 #69
Nonsense. Fiat means it is simply declared to exist BlueStreak Mar 2014 #73
No one has responded to my point about taxes, either. randome Mar 2014 #74
Likely because most people don't understand taxes. Ms. Toad Mar 2014 #83
The IRS is still studying this issue and has issued no regulations. randome Mar 2014 #85
The regulations would address whether it is treated as a currency or a commodity Ms. Toad Mar 2014 #87
So those who have bitcoins, are you paying some form of taxes on them? randome Mar 2014 #89
I don't have bitcoins - but it is a rare year Ms. Toad Mar 2014 #94
Money laundering is a favored activity, too. randome Mar 2014 #90
I was only addressing your assertion that there were "no taxes" Ms. Toad Mar 2014 #95
Here is the proof that this was all a Ponzi scheme from the start. BlueStreak Mar 2014 #77
Paul Krugman: "fiat money is backed by men with guns, bitcoin is not" DanTex Mar 2014 #80
Nope. At least not according to INVESTOPEDIA.... MADem Mar 2014 #202
Technically, yes, it is a real currency. DanTex Mar 2014 #67
My only exposure to it is a couple sites I know who have it as a payment option. X_Digger Mar 2014 #91
People hated my Pets.com stock too and I never understood it Johonny Mar 2014 #33
Exactly. And this isn't exactly a new concept. BlueStreak Mar 2014 #35
Did you report your income on your tax returns? randome Mar 2014 #36
Did you pay FICA taxes? State taxes? randome Mar 2014 #37
I've never read a comprehensible explanation of bitcoin "mining" kestrel91316 Mar 2014 #40
And we complain about the rich avoiding taxes. randome Mar 2014 #41
Nah, it's just some majorly deep cryptography. sir pball Mar 2014 #187
I'll stop pestering you after this, Reverend. randome Mar 2014 #42
And I'm the opposite Blue_Tires Mar 2014 #44
Explain bitcoin mining in simple terms, if you can Corruption Inc Mar 2014 #45
Mining is the creation of virtual coins BlueStreak Mar 2014 #49
What do those complex calculations DO? kestrel91316 Mar 2014 #52
It is not a crime. It is how the system works BlueStreak Mar 2014 #56
The system that was designed to hyper-inflate BlueStreak Mar 2014 #59
It's very hard to take your (reasonable) thoughts seriously when you're backwards on "inflation". sir pball Mar 2014 #182
I should have clarified I was talking about the value of each coin inflating BlueStreak Mar 2014 #186
I did understand what you meant, literally, but since you're talking economics.. sir pball Mar 2014 #189
There are numerous problems that will catch up with it, I think BlueStreak Mar 2014 #190
I remember Mondex.. sir pball Mar 2014 #192
If the technology is "digital cash" (like Mondex) rathern than a separate monetary system BlueStreak Mar 2014 #196
BITCOIN UNOCKED Capt. Obvious Mar 2014 #142
Here: jsr Mar 2014 #75
What BlueStreak said minus the vitriol is correct... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #76
Cost and value are not related in economics. mbperrin Mar 2014 #129
The big winners are the early insiders who dealt themselves millions of coins BlueStreak Mar 2014 #191
No smoking in any jail in Texas. mbperrin Mar 2014 #220
Just reminds me too much of some friends in the 80s who were doing some bartering stuff. Gidney N Cloyd Mar 2014 #55
You got in near the beginning and so you're a beneficiary of the ponzi scheme. pnwmom Mar 2014 #57
But how is it a ponzi scheme? Nobody is "at the top"... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #78
How do you think Mt Gox was working when almost all of its bitcoins had been stolen pnwmom Mar 2014 #97
They had a wallet of coins and had people double-withdrawing... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #98
They've known for some time their bitcoins were missing and yet they were taking pnwmom Mar 2014 #99
"inexplicably" lol. Don't think that is the right word. nt. NCTraveler Mar 2014 #198
Makes MtGox the Ponzi, with BTC as the money. sir pball Mar 2014 #184
You 'mined' by running a useless computer program muriel_volestrangler Mar 2014 #136
You sound jealous... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #180
It's not an 'investment'; it's a bet on how many people will follow you muriel_volestrangler Mar 2014 #181
Horse apples ahoy! ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #194
You're a speculator, like a Wall St. banker betting on the fall of a stock muriel_volestrangler Mar 2014 #200
I am speculating? Nonsense! This is an investment that required no upfront capital. ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #205
You really are sounding like those 1%er op-eds muriel_volestrangler Mar 2014 #207
Poster does not get it PowerToThePeople Mar 2014 #206
Looks like it is starting to unravel joeglow3 Mar 2014 #223
It might be because when I pulled a dollar from my wallet it says, TexasTowelie Mar 2014 #62
I don't know about "hate" but... DanTex Mar 2014 #65
Explain why you answer "no" to both of your questions. n/t ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #79
OK. I'll start with the second question. DanTex Mar 2014 #82
Very well said. mbperrin Mar 2014 #130
The exchange rate for Bitcoins is inherently unstable William Seger Mar 2014 #70
The systemic bias (by design) was hyper-inflation BlueStreak Mar 2014 #86
Actually, its trending towards stabilization - although a bit downward... TampaAnimusVortex Mar 2014 #103
"That said, I think that bitcoin is still going to be really volatile." William Seger Mar 2014 #109
Actually the chart does show increasing stability... TampaAnimusVortex Mar 2014 #132
"Increasing stability" compared to its ridiculously unstable past? William Seger Mar 2014 #133
Thats a bit of a high bar to set... TampaAnimusVortex Mar 2014 #135
"Bitcoin's problems are much worse than you thought" William Seger Mar 2014 #159
Pointless TampaAnimusVortex Mar 2014 #170
So, you'd like to change the subject William Seger Mar 2014 #178
The chart shows quite a bit of volatility. DanTex Mar 2014 #144
There's a lot you haven't heard about bitcoin I'm sure... TampaAnimusVortex Mar 2014 #149
Not really. I understand it pretty well. DanTex Mar 2014 #152
So the fact you responded so quickly means... TampaAnimusVortex Mar 2014 #153
Well, you did say "watch a few minutes". DanTex Mar 2014 #154
Demographically, three of DU's favorite Dwarfs are named "Cranky" "Codger" and "Ned Ludd" Warren DeMontague Mar 2014 #71
Beanie Babies hate...I don't understand it? nt MADem Mar 2014 #72
I've read several articles that implied it's being used to launder drug money. Also that it's just OregonBlue Mar 2014 #104
I'm trying to wrap my head around this... WhaTHellsgoingonhere Mar 2014 #107
I've got questions about Bitcoin. wercal Mar 2014 #112
Message auto-removed Name removed Mar 2014 #118
The bitcoin foundation does not control the ledger or pay bandwidth for it. DanTex Mar 2014 #120
It's not hate, hell if it was not for Bitcoin and their direct link to malware Rex Mar 2014 #123
hate? i don't hate bitcoins, but they they make it easier to laugh at my libertarian buddy who dionysus Mar 2014 #124
The word you might be looking for is not 'hate' but 'apathy'. Bluenorthwest Mar 2014 #128
I don't care if you like it. I am curious why people hate it. n/t ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #140
So you have no reasons to offer as to why anyone should like it? Apathy means 'don't care' Bluenorthwest Mar 2014 #143
Bitcoin supportters usually have invested alot and can't believe it's gone. CK_John Mar 2014 #131
You mean Mt.Gox supporters... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #139
Those who keep their bitcoin in their own wallets have NOTHING. tridim Mar 2014 #157
I have Bitcoin in my own wallet and I can convert it to USD in about 15 seconds... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #160
Given that it takes 10 minutes for bitcoin transactions to clear, this is unlikely... DanTex Mar 2014 #169
Unless you really know what you're doing, keeping bitcoins in your own wallet is a bad idea. DanTex Mar 2014 #168
A song from the 80s comes to mind when Bitcoin is discussed. Now what was it called...? randome Mar 2014 #150
That ain't workin...that's the way we do it!!! MADem Mar 2014 #204
Seems to me... NCTraveler Mar 2014 #155
I hate it because it's an obvious pyramid scheme that people take seriously. tridim Mar 2014 #156
How does it resemble a pyramid scheme? This I'd love to hear... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #161
I think it's mostly ignorance and jealousy. DesMoinesDem Mar 2014 #162
I think you're right on target... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #163
lol. Sucker. nt tridim Mar 2014 #164
Sucker? Bitcoin gained another $20 against the USD overnight... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #165
This statement alone is why I'm against it....instability. cbdo2007 Mar 2014 #179
So Paul Krugman is ignorant and jealous? DanTex Mar 2014 #171
A good personal rule of mine Blue_Tires Mar 2014 #175
hate it? no rdking647 Mar 2014 #172
MAYBE just maybe if the creator had not used a fake name when he started bitcoin Drew Richards Mar 2014 #174
It is distrust liberalmuse Mar 2014 #176
What I don't get is how Bitcoin even looks like a pyramid scheme... ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #195
People give an entity real money... liberalmuse Mar 2014 #213
Here are some articles that answer that for you. BlueStreak Mar 2014 #216
Ponzi scheme hate... I do not understand it... ? PowerToThePeople Mar 2014 #183
I hear Charles Ponzi was a very nice guy BlueStreak Mar 2014 #214
The implosion continues BlueStreak Mar 2014 #211
What implosion? Value is still up today... nt ReverendDeuce Mar 2014 #222
One experience from my mom made me dislike it sakabatou Mar 2014 #219
Hate comes from fear Marrah_G Mar 2014 #221

Democracyinkind

(4,015 posts)
1. My best guess...
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:11 PM
Mar 2014

"It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning."

Henry Ford

I think this quote is pertinent, some realities are too uncomfortable to face. The nature of money and currency is such a subject.

 

arcane1

(38,613 posts)
3. I always assumed, considering the source, that he was talking about Jews.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:14 PM
Mar 2014

Though I admit I tend to view all of his quotes in that context.

Democracyinkind

(4,015 posts)
9. That's an interesting observation.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:18 PM
Mar 2014

I always took it as the one quote of Henry Ford that WASN'T concerned with Jews.

But maybe that's just because I agree with the content if the quote. I've seen this reaction in many people that looked into the roots of monetary systems.

 

arcane1

(38,613 posts)
11. In a non-Jew context I agree 100%
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:21 PM
Mar 2014

I work for a small bank, in the IT department, and recently we started getting into the derivative market, credit default swaps, and the like. They had someone come in and explain to all of us what these different things are and how they work, and you could see in everyone's eyes what they were thinking: "wow, this is all a huge scam!"

Democracyinkind

(4,015 posts)
15. I used to work for a large swiss bank and then switched into auditing.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:24 PM
Mar 2014

I had the same thoughts. But I will have to ponder on your comment. Maybe the quote is really about Jews. Henry never struck me as a deep thinker. Then again, he did get a close personal look into the heart of darkness that is monetary policy.

 

arcane1

(38,613 posts)
19. Exactly. He would know, and he may have had no bias when making that statement.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:29 PM
Mar 2014

Now you have me pondering the statement, from the other side

GoneFishin

(5,217 posts)
116. Regardless. I think an examination of Bit Coin will cause people to look behind the curtain at how
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 04:35 PM
Mar 2014

our monetary system works. Which may induce a "wow, this is all a huge scam!" moment for a growing number of people.

For the privileged few who have been bestowed the right to create money out of thin air, this growing awareness represents a threat to their scampire.

 

Bluenorthwest

(45,319 posts)
125. The actual quote from Ford's book is different, the one given here is not verified
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 05:40 PM
Mar 2014

"it is a serious question how [the people] would regard the [financial] system under which they live, if they once knew what the initiated can do with it.”

I would personally not quote Ford on banking because a great deal of his material was dog whistling.

Democracyinkind

(4,015 posts)
126. We were discussing the dog whistling aspect in the subthread above.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 05:45 PM
Mar 2014

Henry isn't really pertinent to the point I was trying to make, namely that we're collectively ignorant of the nature of our financial system.

Thanks for the info though. I'll check it out.

enough

(13,262 posts)
8. Yes, and I've always like the John Kenneth Galbraith quote:
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:17 PM
Mar 2014

"The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled."

woo me with science

(32,139 posts)
53. Yes. There's a lot of defensiveness around the whole topic.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:41 PM
Mar 2014

Many genuine liberals are obviously reasonably skeptical of bitcoin for a variety of reasons and have expressed those here. However, what's most interesting to me is that any *positive* mention of it whatsoever is immediately and vehemently countered by the full-time defenders of corporate policy in our midst. They seem dedicated to smearing any discussion of the topic that does not consist of mere mocking and dismissal of it, or smearing of it as solely a criminal enterprise.

I don't know enough about how bitcoin actually works to have an opinion about it, but I find the corporate defensiveness against it very interesting. What I do know is that people who use or recommend it often cite disgust with the corruption of our own banking system as the reason they decided to try it.

People more and more are aware that our monetary and banking system is rigged against them from the start. In a sovereign nation that *could* print its own currency and put it into circulation directly, we instead rely on the weird Federal Reserve system of hybrid public-private banks to lend the government money at interest. As a result, every single dollar that enters the system ends up profiting the billionaires and trillionaires at the top. There is no reason other than corruption for these banks to play the role of interest-sucking middleman that they do. The way the system is rigged, there is no possible outcome other than their enrichment and the impoverishment of others.

They create money out of thin air with the press of a button. They charge interest for every bit of it that enters the system. The people can never pay back more than was created in the first place. When we cannot pay it back, the banks then come for our very real assets....our houses and cars and everything we own.

Whatever the flaws of bitcoin, its rise right now IMO is significant because it reflects and underscores the rising anger, distrust, and frustration in this country over the fundamental corruption in our banking system. As long as we tolerate an economic and monetary system that is inherently corrupt and funnels money from the poor to the rich as part of its very structure, people will keep trying to develop alternatives.


Henry Ford had it right about a system he profited from:

"It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning."
Henry Ford

enough

(13,262 posts)
2. I also would like an answer to this question. I've never used it, but Bitcoin
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:12 PM
Mar 2014

has never seemed like a threat to anything I care about.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
7. My speculative theory is that...
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:17 PM
Mar 2014

My speculative theory is that people don't understand it.

The whole "ponzi scheme" stuff doesn't make any sense at all to me. Bitcoin is worth what the market says it is worth, no more and no less. You have to guard your own wallet from thieves. There are day traders, gamblers, buyers and sellers, and yeah there were some dope peddlers (but they get shut down quickly). There are also a ton of ways to spend them on goods and services, and converting them to USD is exceedingly simple at good exchanges.

It just really puzzles me...

muriel_volestrangler

(101,355 posts)
25. The wild fluctuations in value show it has not yet been a medium of exchange
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:44 PM
Mar 2014

but of speculation. "Bitcoin is worth what the market says it is worth" - yes, well, did you expect DU to think that a free market-utopian idea like that is good? A real medium of exchange is somewhat stable compare with the goods and services it purchases.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
29. Not exactly. The insiders can create as much of it as they like.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 09:16 PM
Mar 2014

OK, in theory there are algorithms that limit how quickly the supply expands, and a maximum all-time amount. But as we have seen, the insiders don't play by the rules. It is the ever-expanding supply that causes the reference to Mr. Ponzi.

drm604

(16,230 posts)
88. What insiders?
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:25 PM
Mar 2014

I'm not taking a position on whether Bitcoins are good or bad, but there are no "insiders" able to manipulate anything. It's all decentralized p2p stuff. There's no central server or processing house. Just because someone doesn't want to play by the rules doesn't mean that it's possible for them to not play by the rules.

Any changes to the the algorithms would require a majority of the participants to agree. This isn't just a gentlemen's agreement, it's enforced by the model. Sure someone could modify their personal copy of the Bitcoin software to play by different rules, but if they did so then none of the other participants would recognize any of their transactions so the attempt would be futile. All transactions must be approved by X other users (actually the users' mining software, using cryptographic algorithms) before they're considered valid. It's essentially mathematically impossible to generate more than 4 or 5 fake approvals without controlling more than 50% of all mining capacity. Since there are thousands of miners all over the world, it's not feasible to garner that level of cooperation.

Theoretically, there might be some flaw in the software that could be exploited, but the party doing that wouldn't have to have any special "insider" status, just a high level understanding of the open source-code and the mathematics involved.

What happened at MTGox was not a breach of the bitcoin algorithm, it was a breach of MtGox's weak security measures combined with the carelessness of people who thought it was a good idea to store their wallet info with a third party. Anyone who has access to your wallet keys has access to your Bitcoins. That's a necessary feature of the model. If you share your keys with anyone, than that person can access your Bitcoins themselves, or someone can hack them and gain access to your keys.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
92. You don't think the code can be exploited?
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:57 PM
Mar 2014

I realize this has been the claim all along, but it is truly astounding that anybody would make such a claim today. Have you not been paying attention to the news?

There will be people who figure out how to counterfeit these coins. Go ahead and tell me that is mathematically impossible. There have been how many viruses successfully released? And in every case a developer said "Gee, I didn't think such a thing was possible."

And I don't know where you are getting your information regarding the pathology of the MtGox problem. The news reports I have seen say this is very much an open question. It sound to me as if you are just making up a scenario that happens to fit the argument you want to make. Can you cite a definitive report that goes through those forensics in detail or are you just guessing?

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
177. That's one possibility. Three other possibilities are:
Tue Mar 4, 2014, 02:22 PM
Mar 2014

2) They really don't know what happened yet.

3) They know exactly what happened because they did it themselves and spent a year covering their tracks before it eventually crumbled. In this case, it might be essentially garden variety account theft, like any other bank theft except that these guys are completely unregulated and unaudited.

4) There was a successful hack into the heart of the Bitcoin algorithm. That would be the end of Bitcoin because if there is a single crack that exposes coins to theft or counterfeiting, you can't ever put Humpty Dumpty back together again. No matter. There are 5 other virtual currencies willing to step in.

On possibility #4, I have no evidence that this has happened in the case of MtGox, but I think it is entirely plausible that it will happen at some stage despite the protestations of the evangelists that it can't possibly happen. And that is where the distributed nature of the system is its downfall rather than a strength. In the case of Target (or any other hacking target), you take your lumps. erect stronger defenses, and move on. In the case of Bitcoin, it is out there and cannot practically be changed because the essence of the system is distributed onto thousands of computers. It is insane for any IT person to believe that any code is perfect. Therefore the only logical conclusion is that the game has always been to ride this long enough for the original insiders to reap a billion dollars or so before the system melts down.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
106. I don't think you understand how Bitcoin works...
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 03:04 PM
Mar 2014

Nobody can just fart up some fake coins. The blockchain forbids it. If they do, nobody on the network will agree and they will be orphaned. Each permutation of blocks becomes exponentially more difficult to crack and the solutions that are found have to be agreed upon by the entire network.

There's something called a 51% attack, but that's not really a concern now that Bitcoin is so widely used. It would be logistically impossible to coordinate that type of operation, even for state actors.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
108. Have you paid any attention to the hacker world the last 25 years?
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 03:09 PM
Mar 2014

I an not disputing that what you say is what the Bitcoin inverters REPRESENTED the technology to be. But the same can be said of the Microsoft software engineers, who have been pwned thousands of times. IMHO, only a fool believes code cannot be exploited.

So please, spare me a lecture about how open source code is infallible. As a person who has worked professional in software systems since 1973, I really don't need any technology lectures.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
138. That's just ignorance on display...
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 12:01 PM
Mar 2014

I told you how it works, and your rebuttal is "I've been in software since 1973!" Pulling the "get off my lawn" routine already?

You're confusing code exploitation with maths. In the case of cryptography, math win every time. Unless you're the NSA pushing a shit RNG into a NIST standard, you're not going to break 2+2=4. Nor are you going to craft a mystery wallet that fools everyone into thinking you have a billion coins, because that's not even how it works.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
146. Even though it was all on public display (as open source)
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 02:11 PM
Mar 2014

that didn't prevent a complete calamity with the Gox system. You can argue that the Gox problems had nothing to do with the resiliency of the Bitcion code -- but if you do so, you are talking out your ass because the full story has not been unraveled regarding Mt Gox.

But ignore Mt Gox. When there is money to be made, hackers find ways to exploit vulnerabilities. And whenever that happens (usually under his breath rather than admitting the vulnerability of his work) "that wasn't supposed to happen". You are giving me your personal guarantee that there are no vulnerabilities in the Bitcoin architecture. Excuse me if I don't take your personal guarantee for it. I've employed hundreds of software engineers over the years and I am always especially wary of the ones who thought they were invulnerable. Those people are the weakest links in the chain.

Given your "get off my lawn" reference, I assume you are not very experienced in IT. Come back in 20 years and see if you have the same opinions.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
148. Oh, come down from your perch...
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 02:31 PM
Mar 2014

"You are giving me your personal guarantee that there are no vulnerabilities in the Bitcoin architecture."

No, I said that it's mathematically impossible to conjure up coins. The only way to create coins is through rewards paid by solving cryptographic challenges. You cannot announce to the blockchain that you suddenly have an arbitrary number of coins in your wallet because you have no proof-of-work.

In order to forge coins, you'd need to conduct a 51% attack which is logistically impossible, even for state actors. You would need to control 51% of all peers on the network and coordinate a chain fork that would somehow remain backwards compatible with the mainline chain. It won't happen and cannot happen because a forked chain would result is completely different hashes. You simply cannot do it. No amount of "you whipper snappers in IT today don't know a thing about this" is going to change this.

Exploiting the wallet will only get you access to someone's balance. A far better attack vector (which is currently being done) is to simply look for wallet.dat and send a copy of it and hope the end user has not encrypted it. But making up coins? No.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
151. So I have your personal guarantee that no hacker will figure out a clever way
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 02:51 PM
Mar 2014

to impersonate a real coin or subvert the value of the coinage in any similar way?

On what basis should I believe you, given that we are now heading into our third decade of highly successful hacker attacks that "weren't supposed to be possible."

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
158. What highly successful attacks weren't supposed to be possible?
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 03:26 PM
Mar 2014

I don't know of many (any?) examples where hackers have actually broken any cryptographic protocols like bitcoin. Successful hacker attacks rely upon human failure, things like phishing or "social engineering". In less technical terms, they don't break the codes, they just steal the passwords.

Mt Gox was not a failure of the bitcoin protocol. Yes, there can still be fraud with bitcoins. If people entrust their bitcoins to someone else (like Mt Gox), then it is possible that the other party will steal them. That can also happen with other currencies (e.g. Bernie Madoff).

Springslips

(533 posts)
173. Yep.
Tue Mar 4, 2014, 01:23 PM
Mar 2014

Most hacks are from calling someone up somewhere and saying "I'm from your company's help desk and we need your password for computer stuff."

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
188. Buffer overruns, e.g.
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 02:32 AM
Mar 2014

Lots of hacks exploited that architectural weakness.

SQL injectors as another example.

There are loads of examples.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
193. Those are examples of software vulnerabilities, not breaches of cryptography.
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 09:39 AM
Mar 2014

The distinction is important. Spoofing bitcoins requires breaking a mathematically sound cryptographic protocol, and there are, to my knowledge, no examples of this ever occurring in any significant way.

Obviously, if you are storing bitcoins on your home computer, and that computer gets hacked somehow, then your bitcoins can get stolen. This is a real concern. But it is not a problem with the bitcoin protocol.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
197. My point was simply that it is unwise to be over-confident
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 11:15 AM
Mar 2014

There have been thousands of cases where what was believed to be a perfectly impenetrable technology has been penetrated.

This page identifies a large number of vulnerabilities that mail be exploitable. And they aren't all simple "I give the anonymous phone caller all my passwords - he said he was the official Bitcoin auditor" cases. Some are quite fundamental to the bitcoin architecture. And surprisingly this page doesn't even mention the well-documented "transaction malleability" problem that results for a small timing window where a hacker can take over a transaction.

https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Weaknesses

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
201. It's also important to realize that the cryptography is secure.
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 11:52 AM
Mar 2014

If you have any examples of cases where "what was believed to be a perfectly impenetrable technology has been penetrated," I would love to hear them. Buffer overruns are not an example.

The only kinds of technology which are or were considered impenetrable are strong encryption protocols, and I don't know of a single example where one has been breached. Nobody has ever believed that operating systems or web pages were impenetrable. And certainly nobody has believed that unregulated bitcoin exchanges were an impenetrably safe place to hold money. The closest thing to an "impenetrable technology" being breached, that I know of, is the possibility that NSA put in a back door in that pseudorandom number generator.

That list you linked to includes things like "Wallet Vulnerable to Theft" (i.e. your password could get stolen) and "Tracing a coin's history" (a privacy issue not a cryptography issue). And so on. Transaction malleability is also not a breach of the cryptography. It doesn't allow a hacker to "take over" a transaction. It doesn't actually change the transaction, just the metadata. But the bitcoins still go to the right place. The problem is just that it might confuse the sender, allowing a hacker to trick the sender into thinking the transaction never took place. But this certainly doesn't represent some catastrophic failure. It is actually a good example of the kind of bugs that might actually exist in the protocol. It is not a fatal problem, and it can be fixed, and it most definitely doesn't allow a hacker just to go around stealing bitcoins.

Look, I'm not saying that using bitcoins is a good idea right now. It's not. There are plenty of problems. For example, if you keep your bitcoins on a your own computer, then your computer can be hacked, or it can crash, in which case you lose all your money. This doesn't require a breach of bitcoin cryptography. On the other hand, if you trust your bitcoins to an online wallet, they can get easily just disappear (e.g. Mt Gox).

But taking a nihilist "all technology is insecure" approach isn't useful, or accurate. Because, by that argument, you also shouldn't trust banks with your money, because banks can get hacked too. The difference is that banks are highly regulated and insured, while bitcoin wallets are not.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
208. Cryptography is 1% of the system.
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 01:04 PM
Mar 2014

And there are most certainly many examples of cryptography systems having vulnerabilities -- some with intentionally designed trap doors. Ever wonder why the NSA doesn't seem to object to Bitcoin?

Banks are required to undergo audits. Banks are required to carry insurance. And Banks are backed by the government as the last resort.

You keep hiding behind cryptographyy, but cryptography is mostly irrelevant. Buffer overruns resulted in thousands of successful attacks against systems that were thought to be completely secure. I mentioned the SQL injection attacks because these were very ingenious, attacking a place nobody ever considered a vulnerability. Hubris is the enemy.



DanTex

(20,709 posts)
209. If there are "many examples", then you shouldn't have a problem naming one.
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 01:22 PM
Mar 2014

One example, of a cryptographic protocol (other than the NSA and Dual_EC_DRBG), which has been cracked. It may have happened, but I don't know of any examples. Just one example of a protocol that was thought to be "completely secure" but was successfully breached. You keep insisting, so I'm curious.

Banks are required to undergo audits. Banks are required to carry insurance. And Banks are backed by the government as the last resort.

I know this. That's why I said "banks are highly regulated and insured, while bitcoin wallets are not" in my last post. I'm not a bitcoin supporter. I'm just someone who thinks we should speak accurately about which risks are real and which ones are not. The risk that some unregulated bitcoin exchange will steal all your money is real. The risk that someone will crack the cryptography behind the bitcoin protocol is not. That's exactly the point.

The cryptography is not irrelevant. Cryptography is important. It is also important to understand what cryptography can and cannot do. Buffer overruns and SQL Injections are the result of poorly written code, not of breaches in cryptography. Everyone knows that code can be poorly written. Nobody has ever claimed that buffer overruns or SQL Injections would violate some deep mathematical principle. And simply using the fact that certain systems are insecure to then claim that cryptography is irrelevant is misleading.

Bitcoin isn't risky because the underlying protocols are suspect. It is risky because the people using those protocols are suspect.
 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
210. Here are 2 I pulled up in 5 seconds. I used The Google. That is really cool. Try it.
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 06:54 PM
Mar 2014
http://www.ibtimes.com/hardware-hack-busts-quantum-encryption-246622

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/09/19/beast_exploits_paypal_ssl/

The latter case relied on trickery rather than brute force, but it cracked through encryption nonetheless.

Here's another.
http://www.opptrends.com/2014/02/apple-inc-aapl-serious-security-flaw-hackers-could-break-encryption/

The point is that encryption, elegant as it might be, never lives on its own in the real world. It is always part of a larger system. And even if the encryption algorithm is secure at the unit level, there may be vulnerabilities at the system level. Arguing that a system is secure because one small unit of the system is robust -- well that just isn't much of an argument. Are you familiar with the distinction between units and systems in the IT world?

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
215. Umm, none of those are examples of the encryption being broken.
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 07:09 PM
Mar 2014

The first deals with quantum cryptography, which doesn't even exist yet in any practical way. The second seems to be a version of a trojan horse. The third is a man-in-the-middle attack. But none of those are instances of mathematically based strong encryption protocols being broken.

Yes, there are ways to hack systems without breaking the encryption. In fact, the *only* ways that systems are hacked are by doing other things besides breaking the encryption. That's the whole point. The bitcoin protocol itself is secure. But an unregulated online bitcoin exchange is not secure. Mt Gox is not the only example of this.

Which is why, I'll repeat again, I am not recommending that people use bitcoins. But I am recommending that people understand what the actual risks are, rather than random and misinformed fearmongering.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
217. The point is encryption never lives alone. The system is vulnerable.
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 07:17 PM
Mar 2014

You might as well argue that because there is no mechanism for a hacker to cause a bit to change from 0 to 1 on its own, that all computer systems are therefore safe.

Your argument makes no sense at all. Cryptography is only as strong as the system it serves.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
218. Which is why it is important to understand what the vulnerabilities actually are.
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 07:20 PM
Mar 2014

Someone cracking the bitcoin protocol and being able to manufacture bitcoins out of thin air? Not a risk.

Someone hacking into an online bitcoin exchange by other means, and stealing all the bitcoins? That's a big risk.

MindMover

(5,016 posts)
203. Then why has the bitcoin exchanges lost coins ... do you believe in magic ...
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 12:09 PM
Mar 2014

Last edited Wed Mar 5, 2014, 12:41 PM - Edit history (1)

you must, because you believe bitcoins have value

sir pball

(4,758 posts)
185. The code itself is almost laughably simple.
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 02:25 AM
Mar 2014

Did you know it's literally, honestly, simply, just a reverse hash? Of SHA-256, because breaking an NSA invention is trivial. Like their DES backdoor? It would take half the computing power of the whole BTC network to have something like a 10% chance of cracking one coin.

It's elegant in every sense of the word.

madinmaryland

(64,933 posts)
54. So it is kind of like S&H stamps or coupons that you use at the grocery store.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:42 PM
Mar 2014

So can I use it at JiffyLube when I get an oil change, and how do I explain it to them?

Can I use them at Kroger for my groceries, or at the package store to buy a six pack of Sam Adams Boston Lager??

aquart

(69,014 posts)
43. It's air. It's a bubble. It is backed by NOTHING.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 10:22 PM
Mar 2014

But if you want to buy those tulips, go for it.

Although with tulips, they at least had the bulbs to show for it and they are very pretty flowers.

jmowreader

(50,562 posts)
119. Slight bit of difference there, John
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 05:02 PM
Mar 2014

Federal Reserve Notes are backed by faith in the United States. It's been around a long time and everyone knows what it is.

Bitcoin is backed by faith in...what? Bitcoin itself? No one even knows who "Satoshi Nakamoto" really is, except that he seems to be a true believer in Austrian economics and way too many people have fallen into THAT snakepit.

aquart

(69,014 posts)
134. But not the credit of the United States.
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 12:57 AM
Mar 2014

But go for it. Buy your bitcoins. Air is precious, after all.

 

arcane1

(38,613 posts)
4. I know little about it or how it works, so I have no opinion at this time.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:15 PM
Mar 2014

In your experience, has it been better than using money?

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
12. Well, to me it's the same as using money...
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:21 PM
Mar 2014

I've never had to go through any additional hoops to use it or receive it. I protect my digital wallet to keep it from being stolen, just like my regular wallet.

The only difference is, I "mined" the coins back three years ago or so when "just anyone" could with a decent PC. The coins were worth pennies then and it was more of an academic exercise, but the value has gone up and the ones I have not spent are worth something worthwhile now.

I enjoy using it. It's fun!

 

joeglow3

(6,228 posts)
47. Where do you invest your bitcoins?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:01 PM
Mar 2014

I am saving for high school, college and retirement. I invest in index funds. How do I invest my bitcoins?

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
137. Well, you could hold them...
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 11:53 AM
Mar 2014

I believe the value will rise. Or, you can exchange them for precious metals. Several places sell gold/silver/platinum bricks and bars (physical stuff, not that bullshit "buy gold today" speculative nonsense).

Or you can exchange them for USD and buy any investment vehicle you are interested in.

There are many options.

 

joeglow3

(6,228 posts)
141. That is my concern with bitcoins as a currency
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 12:17 PM
Mar 2014

A currency is more than just a means to buy stuff. There are many different things a currency needs to do, including investing. I fail to see how bitcoin can succeed as an alternative currency until it address that.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
145. I literally just said you can do that... ?
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 01:42 PM
Mar 2014

You can invest in them. But investment always involves risk. If you don't like the risk, that's a whole other matter entirely and is unrelated to Bitcoin.

 

joeglow3

(6,228 posts)
147. I don't invest in dollars. I invest WITH dollars
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 02:29 PM
Mar 2014

I take my dollars and use them to invest in Vanguard funds. I can't do that with bitcoin. Bitcoin, as a "currency" NEEDS some other currency as a medium.

Of course you can invest IN bitcoins. Just like you could invest in tulips centuries ago in Holland.

 

closeupready

(29,503 posts)
5. Banking in established currencies provides wealth for many millions
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:16 PM
Mar 2014

of people. So just as it is with any other non-Establishment sector, competing interests will destroy any and all competitors and upstarts if they can. Also, see the first response to your OP.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
17. Well, that isn't what happened. This was a criminal enterprise.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:26 PM
Mar 2014

It was not blown up because it was a threat to Chase Bank. Maybe Chase would have gotten around to that, but that isn't what happened. What happened is that it is an untrustworthy system run by crooks. The creators of Bitcoin did themselves in.

Let's not rewrite history so quickly. There will be plenty of time for that.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
16. Oh, I have not been able to mine my own for quite some time...
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:24 PM
Mar 2014

The game is for heavy hitters with $10,000+ to drop into custom mining hardware now. I have the few I mined when it was new and mining was much easier.

The reason for this is because the mining "difficulty" doubles about every month. Meaning it keeps getting harder and harder to mine coins. A normal PC cannot mine anything anymore. It just is not doable/practical in any way.

 

Loudly

(2,436 posts)
23. Yes, I see a 1 terra hash miner available for $12,000.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:36 PM
Mar 2014

Put it in a shed with an internet connection and an array of solar panels on top.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
14. It isn't hate. It is seeing the bigger picture. Let me offer a metaphor
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:24 PM
Mar 2014

Let's say a drug gang run a money laundering business that happened to sell, say, Valentines candies. One very well might say, "I don't see what the problem is. I've bought candy at this store every year and my girlfriend always liked it. Therefore it must be a good thing."

My opinion, and that of many others is that bitcoin was either conceived as a criminal enterprise from the ground up or else it was well-intentioned but easily taken over as a criminal enterprise. The fact that you have been able to complete transactions is no different than a few years ago when I got an exceptionally good rate on some bonds, and 6 months after a cashed in my bonds, the guy selling those bonds was arrested for a Ponzi scheme. I got lucky and they didn't try to claw back that money. You got lucky and one hopes a lesson might have been learned in the process.

Did you personally audit Mt. Gox? (No, of course not. Nobody did.) My point is that you have no basis for concluding that the other players are not also scamming the system. It is not audit-able, obviously, because Mt Gox got away with their scam for 2 years before the house of cards collapsed.

It isn't hate. It is wonderment that anybody could still trust this system.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
20. But it can be audited... the ledger is 100% public.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:31 PM
Mar 2014

The other thing to note is that Mt.Gox did not scam people. They were incompetent boobs that did not know how the technology works. They collapsed because they ignored their system hemorrhaging money. I read it best when they said that it's like writing a check to someone and then they photocopy the check, change the check number, then deposit both checks.

The only people that lost their coins were the ones that were using Mt.Gox as their wallet. There was no scam involved.

I keep my Bitcoins in my digital wallet only. I transfer them to whomever I am buying stuff from directly from my desktop PC, not through some website. In that respect, you're perfectly safe.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
24. So you have solved he crime already? I am impressed.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:41 PM
Mar 2014

Because the police in Japan are still at the point of unraveling the 2-year chain of events, including some DELIBERATE ACTS OF SUBTERFUGE by the Mt Gox operators to cover their tracks over a year ago. But if you say they weren't crooks, and the the guys who operated the LARGEST BITCOIN SERVER BY FAR didn't know what they were doing, and that it is all perfectly safe, then OK.

If I sound snarky, I am sorry. It is beyond my imagination how anybody could make the claims that you are making at this stage.

TeamPooka

(24,250 posts)
30. Quite the little advocate aren't you?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 09:17 PM
Mar 2014

Bitcoins are the new tulips.
You could buy things with bulbs for a while but the floor dropped and the market crashed.
Michael Hiltzik, a Pulitzer Prize winning business writer for the LA Times, has been tracking the flaws in the Bitcoin chain for quite a while now.
There are a lot of articles pointing to the questionable nature of the currency.
https://www.google.com/search?q=hiltzik+bitcoin+la+timjes&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:en-US fficial&client=firefox-a&channel=sb

arely staircase

(12,482 posts)
111. Full faith and credit of the US Govenrment as opposed to
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 03:31 PM
Mar 2014

full faith and credit of somebody somewhere on the internet.

Big difference

Tommy_Carcetti

(43,191 posts)
22. Well, it is an unrelgulated purely virtual currency stored on computers susceptible to hacking.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:32 PM
Mar 2014

The value of which is determined by forces not fully known to the general public.

I don't know why anyone would be skeptical of that.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
27. Other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how did you enjoy the play?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 09:06 PM
Mar 2014

Notice that the value has been all over the map, but in the last 3 months, it has been going down. And the huge volume days have all been down days. Since December, this currency has performed about as well as the Brazilian Cruzerio in the hyper-inflation days. Before they indexed their currency (the Real) to the dollar, you couldn't afford to place a want ad to sell a car because by the time the ad was printed, the currency lost a third of its value.

usa liberal

(9 posts)
26. i hope bitcoin catches on
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 08:57 PM
Mar 2014

desentralized, not controlled by any corporation or rich people finance group

what's not for a liberal to like

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
39. No taxes, something that is normally anathema to Democratic principles.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 09:52 PM
Mar 2014

Not only no taxes, but even less enforcement and regulation than exist with corporations now.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]There is nothing you can't do if you put your mind to it.
Nothing.
[/center][/font][hr]

Ms. Toad

(34,086 posts)
81. Taxes are not tied to the currency paid.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:02 PM
Mar 2014

If you receive income in bitcoins, that income is taxable. If you invest in bitcoins and they increase in value, the capital gain is taxable. If you buy goods, sales and use taxes still apply.

Granted, there is much less built in accountability, but the nature of the currency does not impact whether it is taxable or not. (Any more than - for example - barter currency (whether in local "bucks" or services) is not subject to tax - even though many people treat it as untaxable.)

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
84. There are no IRS determinations on bitcoins.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:09 PM
Mar 2014

In other words, you're saying that paying taxes on bitcoins is voluntary. That's exactly what Libertarians and ultra-Conservatives prefer.

http://www.nationaljournal.com/economy/how-is-bitcoin-taxed-the-irs-doesn-t-know-20140126

But the government remains mum: "The IRS is aware of the potential tax-compliance risks posed by virtual currencies," the agency said in an emailed statement. "The IRS continues to study virtual currencies and intends to provide some guidance on the tax consequences of virtual-currency transactions."


There is no enforcement mechanism. There is even less regulation than currently exists for banks and wealthy individuals. And no one has disputed my contention that the primary purpose for hoarding bitcoins is to dodge taxes.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]You have to play the game to find out why you're playing the game. -Existenz[/center][/font][hr]

Ms. Toad

(34,086 posts)
93. The payment of taxes is no more voluntary
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 01:24 PM
Mar 2014

than taxes on any other form of income.

The details of how it is treated (commodity v. currency) may be unclear - and there are no third party reporting mechanisms in place. But there are no reporting mechanisms in place for bartered exchanges either. That doesn't mean they aren't taxable - just that there isn't a third party reporter.

The enforcement mechanism (prior to any third party reporting requirements) will be the same as it is for any other income which is not reported by a third party. If you are audited, and unreported income is discovered, you will owe back taxes and penalties.

pnwmom

(108,990 posts)
102. How will the IRS know you have unreported income
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 02:55 PM
Mar 2014

if the income comes from the Bitcoin investment they don't know you have?

Ms. Toad

(34,086 posts)
113. The same way they know if you have unreported barter income.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 04:05 PM
Mar 2014

They don't.

Everyone is obligated to report their taxable income (and income is presumed taxable unless it is expressly excluded). Because not everyone would, absent a very big stick, the IRS has developed third party reporting requirements (your employer reports your income, financial institutions report income and securities transactions and withdrawals over $10,000, expenditures of over $500 by a business are reported on 1099-MISC forms, etc.) But all of those are only ways to incentivize people who would not otherwise report their income to do so.

Third party reporting serves to catch most of the big cheats - but it isn't supposed to be a substitute for direct reporting. Bitcoins are new enough that no third party reporting has yet been developed.

pnwmom

(108,990 posts)
115. Except there is the question of scale. People talk about bitcoin substituting for banks.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 04:08 PM
Mar 2014

It's supposed to be another form of currency, not random bartering.

Ms. Toad

(34,086 posts)
121. There are people who create local currency for bartering
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 05:27 PM
Mar 2014

who also intend (or at least hope) it to replace government currency. Over time, as some of those local currencies have gotten larger, guidance, letter opinions, and regulations have developed.

Just because there aren't currently mechanisms in place to require third party reporting doesn't mean that it will stay that way. I've known about bitcoins for 2-3 years because a co-worker was an early miner. But as anything beyond a novelty for nerds, bitcoins are fairly young. Give them time to catch up.

Ms. Toad

(34,086 posts)
127. The person I know personally who has been involved with bitcoins
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 05:52 PM
Mar 2014

is a bit of a nerd, but not a libertarian.

And bitcoin currency isn't a Ponzi scheme by any definition I've ever heard of a Ponzi scheme. You could certainly create a Ponzi scheme using bitcoin currency - in the same way you could create a Ponzi scheme using government issued currency, or gold, etc. It is the investment structure, not the currency, which makes something a Ponzi scheme.

pnwmom

(108,990 posts)
101. It may be taxable but it is easily hide-able. That's why it's being used for
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 02:53 PM
Mar 2014

drug selling and other taxable but illegal purposes.

Ms. Toad

(34,086 posts)
114. Like I said in another post -
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 04:07 PM
Mar 2014

I wasn't addressing what people might do illegally - I was responding to the statement that it was not taxed.

 

Maedhros

(10,007 posts)
64. For one, online currencies such as eGold and Bitcoin are exceptionally useful for the purposes
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 01:18 AM
Mar 2014

of laundering money and paying for illegal contraband or illegal services.

pnwmom

(108,990 posts)
100. Liberals believe in progressive taxation, and bitcoin facilitates tax evasion.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 02:51 PM
Mar 2014

That, among other things, is what a liberal shouldn't like.

X_Digger

(18,585 posts)
28. I really don't get it, either.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 09:14 PM
Mar 2014

The dollars you transfer via paypal are just bits, and the dollars in your bank account are just as digital. (Not like the 'dollars' in your pocket are any more 'tangible' in the sense of having a fixed value than those paypal bits.)

I don't have any bitcoins myself, but I have no idea where this hate comes from.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
34. Paypal is subject to intense audits.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 09:23 PM
Mar 2014

Most of their transactions go through credit cards, and that limits the customer liability. Basically, customers don't lose money when there is fraud on their credit cards.

The money in your bank account, digital as it may be, is protected by FDIC.

There are no protections whatsoever with Bitcoin, as the MtCox customers sadly just figured out.

X_Digger

(18,585 posts)
38. Which is neither here nor there, re the value or validity of a digital currency.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 09:48 PM
Mar 2014

I play a couple of games that have an in-game trading system. You can watch as certain common items become currency, traded for other items in quantity.

These same items can be bought (outside the game or in) with "real" money. One game company recently hired an economist to help understand and protect the market in these digital goods.





Stout shako for 2 refined!

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
46. Integrity of currency is neither here nor there? Say what?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:01 PM
Mar 2014

I think integrity of currency is actually pretty important.

Maybe as a chit in a game that isn't so important, but the Bitcoin people wanted to be taken seriously as a real currency.

X_Digger

(18,585 posts)
48. It is a real currency if people are trading other things of value for them.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:04 PM
Mar 2014

Be that dollars, rubles, or yen.

It doesn't matter if the 'thing' is a piece of paper, a bead or shell, a bag of salt (salary), or digital bits stored on a pc somewhere.



I think people just don't really understand how made up our system of currency is.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
50. I think most people here DO understand we have a fiat currency
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:17 PM
Mar 2014

But they also understand that this is heavily scrutinized, and that the government stands behind the currency.

It isn't just some guys.

X_Digger

(18,585 posts)
58. You seem hung up on that term, as if only 'fiat currency' is 'real'.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:10 AM
Mar 2014

Currency is currency, fiat or digital.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
60. No. I already agreed they were both ffiat currencies. The difference is
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:13 AM
Mar 2014

One has intensive scrutiny against fraud. The other doesn't.

One has governmental protections so that the average person is not harmed in case of calamity. The other doesn't.

One is a managed money supply designed for stability. The other is completely unmanaged and designed to hyper-inflate.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
63. It most certainly is a fiat currency
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:47 AM
Mar 2014

Last edited Sun Mar 2, 2014, 01:27 AM - Edit history (1)

Fiat simply means there is an arbitrary authority declaring "it shall be so" -- literally the translation of the Latin. Most documents talk about "governments" because it has usually been governments that have created fiat currency. (But not always. A few years back while traveling in England, somebody slipped me a 10 pound note issued by the Technology Bank of Scotland -- or some such name. It took me a bit of time to get that honored at an English bank, but it was honored. In that case, it was the bank that created the fiat currency.) In this case the "government" is the founders of Bitcoin, but it is fiat nonetheless.

And if you want to get technical, the US dollar is not created by "government fiat". It is a fiat of the Federal reserve system, which is not a governmental agency, but our government approves of it and guarantees it.

But you are just tossing out red herrings. I identified the main reasons why Bitcoin is more of a Ponzi scheme than a reliable currency. Rather than address those points you want to have a semantic debate. No, thank you. I won't have any more comments about the meaning of the word "fiat" or any other red herring you want to put out there. If you want to discuss the substantive concerns, I would happy to do so.

X_Digger

(18,585 posts)
66. If you say so. *shrug*
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 01:41 AM
Mar 2014

Monetary theory says different, but okay. And what agency sets monetary policy for the creation of bitcoins? As far as I can tell there isn't one, unless you call an algorithm an agency.

You accuse me of playing with semantics, but get semantic about US dollars being a fiat currency once removed?

*snort*

Mr Pot, I'd like you to meet Mrs. Kettle.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
69. It's not a fiat currency.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 02:10 AM
Mar 2014

Fiat currency is money that is issued and declared to be legal tender by some government. Bitcoin is not. The founders of bitcoin do not qualify as a "government" in any sense of the word.

Bitcoin is much closer to gold than it is to the dollar. It derives it's value from the facts that (a) it is in limited supply and (b) people believe that it is valuable.

I agree that whether or not it is "fiat" currency is besides the point. The real question is whether it will ever become a legitimate currency in wide use as a medium of exchange. Currently it is not, and it is unlikely that it ever will be. Which means that, for the forseeable future, it is just a speculative investment that resembles a Ponzi scheme.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
73. Nonsense. Fiat means it is simply declared to exist
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 11:40 AM
Mar 2014

It has nothing to do with government. Economists usually say "by government" because they never believed some conman with a computer would find enough suckers to pull this off.

Fiat currency is in contrast to currency that is made from or at least backed by something if real intrinsic value, such as a precious metal. Fiat currency is simply currency that is not intrinsically valuable. Geesh, it isn't that complicated.

And I continue to notice that none of you want to address the substantive issues.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
74. No one has responded to my point about taxes, either.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 11:46 AM
Mar 2014

One of the primary purposes to gather on DU seems to be discussing how the rich so easily avoid taxes. And now we have a number of DUers who want to be like the 1%.

It's disheartening.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]"If you're bored then you're boring." -Harvey Danger[/center][/font][hr]

Ms. Toad

(34,086 posts)
83. Likely because most people don't understand taxes.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:09 PM
Mar 2014

enough to point out that your point is incorrect. Income made using bitcoins is every bit as taxable as any other income. Taxation is not currency dependent - so a transaction which would be taxable in dollars doesn't lose its taxable character merely because the currency of the transaction is bitcoin.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
85. The IRS is still studying this issue and has issued no regulations.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:11 PM
Mar 2014

Voluntary taxation. Now where have I heard of that concept before?
[hr][font color="blue"][center]You have to play the game to find out why you're playing the game. -Existenz[/center][/font][hr]

Ms. Toad

(34,086 posts)
87. The regulations would address whether it is treated as a currency or a commodity
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:20 PM
Mar 2014

I.e. how to tax it - not whether it is taxable.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
89. So those who have bitcoins, are you paying some form of taxes on them?
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:29 PM
Mar 2014

Do you pay your taxes in bitcoins? Or do you simply not report because your transactions are hidden from prying eyes? My guess is the latter.

Without IRS guidance and an enforcement mechanism, taxation is entirely voluntary.

A Libertarian's wet dream.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Everything is a satellite to some other thing.[/center][/font][hr]

Ms. Toad

(34,086 posts)
94. I don't have bitcoins - but it is a rare year
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 01:31 PM
Mar 2014

in which all my income is reported to the IRS by a third party.

Every year for the past 25 years I have reported rental/royalty income from a gas well on our property. In many years I have reported Schedule C income for "businesses" of which the IRS would have no independent knowledge, and perhaps 10% of the years I have been doing taxes I have received job related income (other than salaries) which I reported on the miscellaneous income line.

Reporting your income is only voluntary, in the sense that the IRS doesn't audit every single person every single year. It is still legally required to be reported.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
90. Money laundering is a favored activity, too.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:34 PM
Mar 2014
http://www.businessinsider.com/do-you-have-to-pay-taxes-on-bitcoins-2013-4#ixzz2up8ij6Vx
Folks hoping to use Bitcoins to skirt tax laws have a couple of things going for them. First, there isn't a simple way to track down individual miners. The system tracks each and every transaction but doesn't divulge miner identities.

Second, like a little kid with a lemonade stand, the IRS isn't going to go after someone who's earning a few extra Bitcoins on the side. Most of the legal attention surrounding Bitcoins has been on the system's propensity to attract money launderers and drug traffickers.

"The system of tracking money is based on banking," Stewart said. "I could transfer $100,000 worth of Bitcoins to someone and no one would know about it really."

[hr][font color="blue"][center]No squirrels were harmed in the making of this post. Yet.[/center][/font][hr]

Ms. Toad

(34,086 posts)
95. I was only addressing your assertion that there were "no taxes"
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 01:33 PM
Mar 2014

Not how easy it might be to violate the law and get away with it.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
77. Here is the proof that this was all a Ponzi scheme from the start.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 11:51 AM
Mar 2014

See http://www.wired.com/wiredenterprise/2013/12/fbi_wallet/

The inventor, Satoshi Nakamoto, dealt himself a million of the coins -- 5 % of the total money supply. By today's prices, that is $500 million. However, notice that he defined it to be a fixed supply of money (21 million coins). If he could hype it enough -- and enlist enough other insiders, drug dealers and other criminals who would help him hype it, demand would continue to grow when the supply stopped growing. So the coin would have to hyper-inflate to $2000, $10,000, maybe even $50,000 per coin. If that happened, his Ponzi share would be worth $10 billion or more.

And his fortune would be paid for by the losses all the later players took through hyper-inflation.

That was the idea, plain and simple. With the collapse of Mt Gox, the value is going down, not up, so Nakamoto has a paper loss of $500 million from the peak value.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
80. Paul Krugman: "fiat money is backed by men with guns, bitcoin is not"
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 11:57 AM
Mar 2014
http://www.businessinsider.com/paul-krugman-on-bitcoin-2013-12

Fiat Money, as defined by John Maynard Keynes:
Fiat Money is Representative (or token) Money (i.e something the intrinsic value of the material substance of which is divorced from its monetary face value) - now generally made of paper except in the case of small denominations — which is created and issued by the State, but is not convertible by law into anything other than itself, and has no fixed value in terms of an objective standard.


From Greg Mankiw's "principles of economics" textbook:
fiat money: money without intrinsic value that is used as money because of government decree


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fiat_money


You were saying?

MADem

(135,425 posts)
202. Nope. At least not according to INVESTOPEDIA....
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 11:58 AM
Mar 2014
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/fiatmoney.asp

Definition of 'Fiat Money'

Currency that a government has declared to be legal tender, but is not backed by a physical commodity. The value of fiat money is derived from the relationship between supply and demand rather than the value of the material that the money is made of. Historically, most currencies were based on physical commodities such as gold or silver, but fiat money is based solely on faith. Fiat is the Latin word for "it shall be".

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
67. Technically, yes, it is a real currency.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 01:54 AM
Mar 2014

But, at the moment, it functions much more as a speculative investment than as a currency. I don't have statistics (and I don't know if they are available), but my understanding is that the amount of bitcoins that are actually traded for goods or services is much smaller than the total number of bitcoins outstanding. Which means that most people purchasing bitcoins are just hoping to trade them back to some more mainstream currencies for a profit.

This means that, for the time being at least, bitcoins are a bubble. If bitcoins actually become a viable currency, not just nominally, but also in practice, then that could change. But I don't see that happening. On the other hand, who knows. But either way, at the present time, bitcoins are not functioning primarily as a currency.

X_Digger

(18,585 posts)
91. My only exposure to it is a couple sites I know who have it as a payment option.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:34 PM
Mar 2014

One is for digital goods, so it seems rather apropos in that case.

Johonny

(20,880 posts)
33. People hated my Pets.com stock too and I never understood it
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 09:23 PM
Mar 2014

oh wait NOW I UNDERSTAND IT. I'm not exactly buying a lot of gold or Light In The Box either. What you see is hate a lot of people see as a medium of limited value at a hyper-inflated price. When investing it is important to understand just because people aren't buying what you are buying doesn't mean they hate you or it, they just see a different evaluation than you. Almost all the upside of bitcoin seems gone and in the end a lot of people don't want a thing that isn't backed by anyone and has a very uncertain future. It is possible one of these virtual currencies does catch on, but it is very hard to predict which one will be the currency of say 2050. If you wanted to invest in virtual currencies you would be wiser to invest broad market over currencies that have more upside.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
35. Exactly. And this isn't exactly a new concept.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 09:36 PM
Mar 2014

I was involved in a system in the 1990s called Mondex. Practically the same concept except that it was run by banks so there was regular auditing and no customer ever lost a penny (unless they lost their digital wallets.) Notably, there was no wild currency fluctuation as it was based on established currencies.

Mondex had its evangelists. And they were just as starry-eyed and detached from reality as the Bitcoin zealots. In the end, it just wasn't worth the trouble. Or another way to say it is that cash and credit cards really do when most people want.

That isn't to say that a virtual currency could never work. IMHO, we are near the breaking point with credit card fees. We need relief from those fees, but the answer is not to turn the monetary system over to crooks and vulnerable technologies without any fraud protections.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
36. Did you report your income on your tax returns?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 09:40 PM
Mar 2014

[hr][font color="blue"][center]Birds are territorial creatures.
The lyrics to the songbird's melodious trill go something like this:
"Stay out of my territory or I'll PECK YOUR GODDAMNED EYES OUT!"
[/center][/font][hr]

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
37. Did you pay FICA taxes? State taxes?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 09:44 PM
Mar 2014

[hr][font color="blue"][center]There is nothing you can't do if you put your mind to it.
Nothing.
[/center][/font][hr]

 

kestrel91316

(51,666 posts)
40. I've never read a comprehensible explanation of bitcoin "mining"
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 09:52 PM
Mar 2014

Sounds like printing money, one penny at a time so nobody will know what you are doing.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
41. And we complain about the rich avoiding taxes.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 09:55 PM
Mar 2014

Sounds like a number of DUers like that concept, too.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Treat your body like a machine. Your mind like a castle.[/center][/font][hr]

sir pball

(4,758 posts)
187. Nah, it's just some majorly deep cryptography.
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 02:32 AM
Mar 2014

It involves computing the reverse of an NSA-developed "signature" against a reference within a margin of error which tightens as the number of remaining coins nears zero.

And when they reach zero, well, if you get a coin, you can also read my password here, plus the President's to nsa.gov. It's that secure.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
42. I'll stop pestering you after this, Reverend.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 10:11 PM
Mar 2014

But you should admit to yourself if not your fellow DUers: you like avoiding taxes, don't you? That, to me, is the 'beauty' of BitCoin.

And that's why Democrats should scorn it.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]A ton of bricks, a ton of feathers, it's still gonna hurt.[/center][/font][hr]

Blue_Tires

(55,445 posts)
44. And I'm the opposite
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 10:30 PM
Mar 2014

because for the life of me I can't understand the appeal of using them...

It might help if the currency had a bit more credibility behind it, or if 90% of those singing its praises weren't libertarian nutbars...

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
49. Mining is the creation of virtual coins
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:14 PM
Mar 2014

That involves running software on your computer to do complex calculations and then submit to the bitcoin network. If you are successful, you now have created "money" out of thin air.

In theory anybody can do it, but as more and more coins are created, it becomes exponentially more difficult to create coins. So as time passes, the only people who can do this are those who buy specialized hardware. In other words, in reality there are insiders and outsiders. If you aren't an insider, you will have to buy bitcoins with real money.

It seems to me those who got in early when it was relatively easy to create coins "for free" are very enthusiastic about it -- and why not? Free money. But as time passes, that isn't such an attractive thing. And where we are now is that a bunch of insiders are still cranking out coins, which is probably a big reason why the value just keeps dropping.

Supposedly there is a fixed limit on the total amount of currency that will ever be created out of thin air. If demand is strong at that point, then obviously the value will inflate. (But of course, the insiders could change the rules and decide to raise the money supply -- you know, "virtual quantitative easing.&quot Nothing about this system favors stability. In short, it is a real mess.

 

kestrel91316

(51,666 posts)
52. What do those complex calculations DO?
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:36 PM
Mar 2014

Are people aiding in the commission of some sort of digital crime when they do the calculations for somebody??

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
56. It is not a crime. It is how the system works
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:52 PM
Mar 2014

Think of it this way. There is defined a finite, specific number of bitcoins (as an abstract numerical algorithm). This is 21 million coins.

But they aren't in a vault. They aren't even identified anywhere at first. They are just known to exist numerically. So the complex calculations are the steps necessary to discover bitcoins that are not already in circulation. As each one is discovered it gets increasingly difficult to discover the next one.

In the past, an individual with an average computer and above average tech skills could mine (i.e. discover) bitcoins rather easily. Today, an individual can only do it with very specialized hardware -- application specific integrated circuits built specifically for the job of mining bitcoins.

And really, even that is getting out of range. The dominant mode of mining now is as part of pools. If you have a powerful computer available, you can join a pool with hundreds of other people. The complex processing is divided among all of your collaborators and you all share in the coins that are mined.

It might be possible for a person with off-the-shelf hardware to make a few coins as part of a pool, but that is slowing down now, and realistically the pools will soon consist only of people with specialized hardware.

So the money supply grows in a way that has nothing to do with supply and demand. It will never be a stable currency. It was never designed to be. It was designed to be finite and to reward the insiders who got on board the earliest -- i.e.. just like a Ponzi scheme or multi-level marketing. Those who mined a lot of coin certainly didn't welcome the meltdown of Mt Gox because this scheme was designed to hyper-ingflate, but instead it is hyper-collapsing.

It could yet recover and return to hyper-inflation mode, which will please those holding bitcoins. And that is ultimately why there are some loud voices still pimping this stuff all over the Internet.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
59. The system that was designed to hyper-inflate
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:10 AM
Mar 2014

As I said above, the total universe of bitcoins (circulated + not yet discovered) is 21 million. Take a look at the chart here:

https://blockchain.info/charts/total-bitcoins

Simple chart, right? You see two things:

1) Even though it is getting exponentially more complex to mine coins, more and more resources are being thrown at the task each month, such that the growth is almost constant at a little under 200,000 coins a month.

2) Well more than half the coins are now in circulation. If this constant rate continues all coins will be in circulation in 4 more years.

Let's assume that the system doesn't implode because of Mt Gox, and other racketeering that will probably arise, Let's assume that despite what we have seen the past week, the system is squeaky clean from here on out. What happens in 4 years if the currency is increasingly popular? Increasing demand chasing after fixed supply?

Are we to believe the insiders never even thought about that? Can anybody identify a single example where hyper-inflation was successful?

sir pball

(4,758 posts)
182. It's very hard to take your (reasonable) thoughts seriously when you're backwards on "inflation".
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 01:58 AM
Mar 2014

BTC was designed to deflate, just like gold...not inflate like the Zimbabwean Dollar or the post-WWI German Mark.

You make some fair points about BTC as a nascent currency, but it's really hard IMO to take you seriously when you can't get inflation vs. deflation right.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
186. I should have clarified I was talking about the value of each coin inflating
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 02:29 AM
Mar 2014

If you are holding coins the value will rise if there is a fixed supply of coins and a growing number of people wanting to use them.

The "inflation" I was talking about was the value of the coin, and I take your point that is the opposite of the most common use of the term by economists. The insiders designed a system wanting to see the value of the coin go up rapidly so they could cash out their millions of hoarded coins for billions of dollars.

sir pball

(4,758 posts)
189. I did understand what you meant, literally, but since you're talking economics..
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 02:37 AM
Mar 2014

..it's seriously vitally important to be right on "inflation/deflation" - BTC will never, by design, be the Zimbabwe dollar. Buying nothing more than a loaf of bread with a billion.

It could, OTOH, make everybody who owns one BTC incredibly rich, if, as you speculate, they get mined out, and the value of one coin does in fact rise to silly levels.

But, since you're presumably anti-BTC, isn't that what you want to avoid? One tulip bulb trading for tens of thousands?

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
190. There are numerous problems that will catch up with it, I think
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 02:54 AM
Mar 2014

So at this stage my bet is that it will fizzle out and the early insiders will get rich, but not multi-billion rich. I can't affect that one way or another. I just think it is important to understand the intentional Ponzi nature of Bitcoin. If one agrees that at some point the world won't live with a system where the currency keeps rising in value, maybe even exponentially, then there comes a point where it collapses. And at that stage, the last ones in get screwed. That is exactly what happens in a Ponzi scheme.

I do believe important lessons should be learned from this debacle because after all is said and done and Bitcoin is some footnote on some obscure Wiki page, we still have the issue of our credit card system being an order of magnitude more expensive then it deserves to be. A better solution is needed. And ideally this won't be a system that is rigged to make a few early insiders unimaginably wealthy.

Indeed, there are other digital currencies under development. I mentioned the Mondex system, which I was personally involved with for a few years, providing IT systems that were to enable that. Mondex didn't try to be a currency of its own. It just tried to provide a really cheap way for transactions to be conducted in the traditional currencies. In the wake of Bitcoin, I wouldn't be surprised to see the banking system try to get out in front of the parade now.

And I also wouldn't be surprised to see the NSA push a system they could arm with more traceable features.

Whatever systems emerge will probably not have the feature of a fixed supply of currency.

sir pball

(4,758 posts)
192. I remember Mondex..
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 03:47 AM
Mar 2014

Literallly a "digital" "currency", backed by "full faith and credit"?

I still don't think a "digital currency" (BTC) to matter from a digital "currency" (my bank account per my card) to a currency (bills in my wallet). Given the same medium of exchange, i.e. a card, like we all use, the source of funds is fungible.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
196. If the technology is "digital cash" (like Mondex) rathern than a separate monetary system
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 11:13 AM
Mar 2014

it avoids the stability problems. The Bitcoin people intentionally set this up as a monetary system and gamed it from the start to try to pay themselves billions of dollars.

In the end, Mondex failed because cash has been so convenient for thousands of years. At that time, the volume of online sales was a tiny fraction of what it is today, and the credit card companies were charging maybe 5% (compared to 5-7% today). So a digital cash system might reach a critical mass today.

jsr

(7,712 posts)
75. Here:
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 11:51 AM
Mar 2014
http://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2013/06/how-a-total-n00b-mined-700-in-bitcoins/
How a total n00b mined $700 in bitcoins
We take a Butterfly Labs Bitcoin miner, plug it in, and make it (virtually) rain.
by Lee Hutchinson - June 29 2013, 5:00pm CDT

http://www.datacenterknowledge.com/archives/2014/02/24/mining-experiment-running-600-servers-year-yields-0-4-bitcoin/
Mining Experiment: Running 600 Servers for a Year Yields 0.4 Bitcoin
February 24th, 2014 By Rich Miller

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
76. What BlueStreak said minus the vitriol is correct...
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 11:51 AM
Mar 2014

I mined early and made a few coins. I forgot about them until they became more valuable.

The stuff about the value dropping is not accurate, however. As the cost of mining rises, so does the value. Of course there are market fluctuations that correspond with world events.

When China said their banks could not use Bitcoin in December, the value dropped for about a week. When Russia banned it, it dropped for a few days. The last few weeks have seen some high-profile fraudsters and incompetent showmen get taken down, and the value has taken a hit. But it's clawing its way back up there. China has also clarified its position that the currency is not banned, but banks cannot treat it and regulate it as the yuan.

Its high was at $1000 per coin. The hysteria of that caused a little sell-off and it settled at around $840 for a little more than a month. Then the bad news came, and it's around $600 now (and rising).

mbperrin

(7,672 posts)
129. Cost and value are not related in economics.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 06:14 PM
Mar 2014

Otherwise, you could spend vast sums of money and get vast sums of value. Not at all supported in theory nor in reality.

Just thought I'd clear that up.

It appears to me that the big winners in this thing are those selling the "mining" machines.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
191. The big winners are the early insiders who dealt themselves millions of coins
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 03:02 AM
Mar 2014

when that was relatively easy to do. For them, they have a waiting game and they hope that the MtGox fiasco doesn't keep the value from reaching $2000 or $10,000.

I agree with your point that mining hardly seems worth the effort at this stage of the "Easter egg hunt", and the newcomers that are making money are the people catering to the Johnny-come-lately miners (hardware systems, pool consortiums, etc.)

And I assume somebody made a whole lot of money off the MtGox thing if they can only stay out of prison to enjoy it. Can you buy cigarettes in prison with bitcoins?

mbperrin

(7,672 posts)
220. No smoking in any jail in Texas.
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 11:17 PM
Mar 2014

Means less repaint, lest anyone think we care about prisoners' health.

Gidney N Cloyd

(19,846 posts)
55. Just reminds me too much of some friends in the 80s who were doing some bartering stuff.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:47 PM
Mar 2014

Eventually the bottom fell out of their little alternative economy.

pnwmom

(108,990 posts)
57. You got in near the beginning and so you're a beneficiary of the ponzi scheme.
Sat Mar 1, 2014, 11:58 PM
Mar 2014

Of course it doesn't bother you.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
78. But how is it a ponzi scheme? Nobody is "at the top"...
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 11:52 AM
Mar 2014

"A Ponzi scheme is a fraudulent investment operation that pays returns to its investors from existing capital or new capital paid by new investors, rather than from profit earned by the individual or organization running the operation."

None of that is going on here.

pnwmom

(108,990 posts)
97. How do you think Mt Gox was working when almost all of its bitcoins had been stolen
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 02:15 PM
Mar 2014

over the years?

How do you think they were paying people who made withdrawals if they weren't using the funds of people who were depositing their funds?

How do we know the same thing couldn't happen at any of the other Exchanges?

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
98. They had a wallet of coins and had people double-withdrawing...
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 02:47 PM
Mar 2014

Their "cold wallet" was inexplicably linked to their "hot wallet" and their shitty code was allowing folks to perform double-withdrawls.

I can see how it might look like a Ponzi scheme, but it was truly gross incompetence.

pnwmom

(108,990 posts)
99. They've known for some time their bitcoins were missing and yet they were taking
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 02:49 PM
Mar 2014

in more deposits, which they used to pay people who wanted to withdraw. That's how a ponzi scheme works.

sir pball

(4,758 posts)
184. Makes MtGox the Ponzi, with BTC as the money.
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 02:06 AM
Mar 2014

You are, of course, absolutely right about M:TG-OX (Magic : The Gathering - Online Exchange) being a scam.

And scams are scams, with BTC, USD, Euros, gold, or seashells.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,355 posts)
136. You 'mined' by running a useless computer program
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 10:58 AM
Mar 2014

and now, you are trying to persuade people to give you goods, services or money because you ran that useless computer program earlier (and the average person cannot now 'mine' by themselves, as you admit). You expect them to put something of value into the scheme so that you can take it out, when you've contributed nothing yourself.

You are one of those 'at the top'.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
180. You sound jealous...
Tue Mar 4, 2014, 05:01 PM
Mar 2014

I'm not trying to persuade anyone. I'm just trying to understand the vitriolic hate for something new and different.

It really sounds like you're jealous. Anyone who gets into an investment at the outset which pans out and receives a high-return is somehow someone at the top of a pyramid scheme? That's just ridiculous.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,355 posts)
181. It's not an 'investment'; it's a bet on how many people will follow you
Tue Mar 4, 2014, 06:23 PM
Mar 2014

Investments are when you use money to produce something new. Bitcoin 'panned out' for people who mined (a useless activity), or who bought it at a lower price than they sold (or obtained something for an equivalent price in a currency). But by saying it 'panned out', you're admitting it isn't a currency itself - it's a useless commodity.

Anyone who gets into useless speculation at the outset which is then publicised, and pans out and receives a high-return, is someone at the top of a pyramid scheme. Live with it - your involvement with bitcoin was a bit of speculation that benefited you, but made someone else lose. Real investment produces a net benefit; you were the winner of a zero-sum game.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
194. Horse apples ahoy!
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 10:35 AM
Mar 2014

What you people can't understand is that nobody has "lost"... And calling mining a "useless activity" is so ridiculous. You mine, you get coins worth real dollar value. Nothing wrong with that unless you don't like money from the sky.

Jealousy. Sheer jealousy.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,355 posts)
200. You're a speculator, like a Wall St. banker betting on the fall of a stock
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 11:45 AM
Mar 2014

Like them, you're happy to get money for doing nothing. And that's part of free market capitalism (the useless part - running the computer program was useless - it didn't achieve anything. It just got you in the pyramid scheme early). That's the economy we're in, but the trouble is that, like many Wall St. bankers at the moment, you seem to want to be loved for grabbing some money for nothing. If the coins have real dollar value to you, you must have taken that value off someone. They lost. No goods or services have been produced as a result - it's not as if you invested in a company that produces something. It was a game that you won. Luckily, it's on a far smaller scale than the speculation that caused the 2008 recession, and the people who lost can probably afford to, and neither are they 'too big to fail'.

You wanted to know why people don't like bitcoin. We're telling you. "Money from the sky" - well, obviously, value doesn't drop out of the sky, so you know this wasn't an 'investment'. I hope that calling it 'money from the sky' shows you're beginning to realise that it's not money, not an investment, fundamentally useless, and so deserving of a nonsense term like 'money from the sky'.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
205. I am speculating? Nonsense! This is an investment that required no upfront capital.
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 12:37 PM
Mar 2014

I invested nothing in Bitcoin other than mining (the so-called "useless program&quot and maybe $5 worth of electricity.

After two and a half years, the coins I mined are suddenly worth almost $700 a piece.

If I sell them now, they are getting bought by someone who wants them for $700 a piece.

Or, I keep them and the value goes up or down. Or I can buy things on Overstock.com or Gyft.com or any other site that accepts them.

You still don't understand what a pyramid scheme is. Nobody gets anything from me and I give nothing to anyone. There's no pyramid whatsoever. If you continue to state that, you continue to provide an excellent example of willful ignorance.

I put some curiosity and technical skill into something early on and I am now reaping rewards from it and you're flat out jealous. That's what this really boils down to.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,355 posts)
207. You really are sounding like those 1%er op-eds
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 12:52 PM
Mar 2014

You're convinced you did something - "technical skill". What, did you write the computer program yourself? Were you involved in the design of bitcoin? You think you have got a 'reward'. Rewards are for having done something. A lottery win is not a 'reward'. Your 'technical skill' was no more than the technical skill of buying a ticket.

So, you wasted $5 of electricity (producing carbon dioxide? I hope not) on running the program to allow you to enter the world of bitcoin. You speculated your $5, and now you can get far more money, or goods for which you'd otherwise pay money.

This is a pyramid scheme because you mind some bitcoins, and since then, you've been trying to publicise the wonders of bitcoin, telling people on the internet how it's an 'investment'. You need people to think that way so they buy some, and the increased demand convinces the exchanges to increase the price in dollars. "Nobody gets anything from me and I give nothing to anyone. " Well, yes, that's why it's pyramid scheme. You're just at the tip, with, you hope, money or goods flowing to you, if you can convince others to keep putting money into the system.

 

PowerToThePeople

(9,610 posts)
206. Poster does not get it
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 12:47 PM
Mar 2014

Cognitive dissonance. His/her response to you is proof.

They claim it is not a ponzi (pyramid) scheme right after they lay out a ponzi scheme.


TexasTowelie

(112,384 posts)
62. It might be because when I pulled a dollar from my wallet it says,
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:29 AM
Mar 2014

"This note is legal tender for all debts, public and private." I won't accept payment for any debts owed to me in any other form of currency, with the possible exception of catnip.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
65. I don't know about "hate" but...
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 01:37 AM
Mar 2014

The bitcoin skepticism comes basically from two questions
1) Is bitcoin going to become a viable currency?
2) If it did, would that be a good thing?

IMO, the answer to both questions is "no", which would mean that bitcoin is basically a big bubble/Ponzi scheme.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
82. OK. I'll start with the second question.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:05 PM
Mar 2014

It would be bad because, in practice, it would work like a gold standard, in that there is a fixed supply that can't be managed. We know from extensive history that this inflexibility amplifies economic fluctuations by, for example, not allowing the central bank to expand the money supply to respond to a recession caused by a drop in aggregate demand. This is the reason that most nations, including the US, dropped the gold standard.

For the first question, I guess it's possible that bitcoin will become a widely used currency, but there's no indication that that is going to happen any time soon. Right now, it functions as a speculative investment. Actual transactions that take place using bitcoins are minimal, most people who buy them are just hoping to sell them off at a greater price. And I don't see any reason why this is ever going to change. Who knows, anything's possible, but other than that, there aren't any persuasive arguments or indications that bitcoins are actually going to take over as a viable currency.

William Seger

(10,779 posts)
70. The exchange rate for Bitcoins is inherently unstable
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 03:34 AM
Mar 2014

... and it never will stabilize, because the rate is driven entirely by the winds of speculation, not by any common perception of "value." Between the time that someone offers something at a given Bitcoin price and someone accepts that offer, the exchange rate could have gone up or down substantially, so one side or the other gets a random advantage on the deal. And by next week, of course, the exchange rate might either skyrocket or crash. Bitcoins, therefore, flunk the most important test for what most people would consider to be a viable currency -- stability -- and if most people don't consider it to be a viable currency, then it never will be. And that's without even considering all the ways the system might be hacked or gamed by people who really understand how it works.

Buying Bitcoins is not an "investment"; it's just a bet that other speculators will drive the exchange rate up. Good luck.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
86. The systemic bias (by design) was hyper-inflation
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 12:18 PM
Mar 2014

I think it is fair to assume that a well-performing system would attract more users and increasing demand against fixed supply will drive the price up. That's what the system was designed to do. It was a Ponzi scheme with the inventor starting by giving himself 5% of the currency -- a million coins.

With a calamity on the scale of MtGox, demand can crater and the price goes down. I completely agree with what you are saying. My only point is that the design was as a Ponzi scheme, for the value to just keep going up. And the thing this system had over Ponzi is that there need not have been a day of reckoning. With a traditional Ponzi scheme, you have to keep selling to new suckers oin order to pay off earlier suckers. In the Bitcoin Ponzi scheme you don't have to pay off the earlier suckers. They get paid automatically because the bitcoin value keeps increasing. As long as it is seen a s a viable currency, there is no day of reckoning. And even if demand were to drop, the Ponzi operator doesn't have to do a reckoning. The coin holders simply lose part of their value. So it is actually a lot better than most Ponzi schemes.

What is amazing is that if not for the corruption of the Mt Gox people, this might just have worked and the inventor very well could have ended up with $20 billion, $40 billion or more. Hopefully the inherently criminal nature of this system has been exposed now and it will fade into oblivion.

Here's an article that talks about some of the practicalities when honest merchants deal in this stuff.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/groupthink/2014/02/24/tax-trouble-may-burst-the-bitcoin-bubble-for-merchants/

TampaAnimusVortex

(785 posts)
103. Actually, its trending towards stabilization - although a bit downward...
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 02:55 PM
Mar 2014

Also, it's use as a payment network means that the fluctuations generally don't affect most people given that they purchase things in terms of dollars and pay for them in Bitcoins.

That means you shop online and buy a widget for 15 dollars, and at checkout, you can pay using Visa, Paypal, or Bitcoins. If using Bitcoins, they would immediately be transferred from your wallet to the vendors wallet who would immediately convert them back to dollars if they wanted - so there isn't any time for there to be wild swings in price. This is occurring NOW... in places like overstock.com and many other vendors (go take a look!).

Your suggestion that it will never stabilize isn't backed up by the facts, as the chart below shows - the trend is clearly one towards greater stability, once the initial birth pangs had passed. Variability is certainly within a $50 to $100 dollar norm. Further developments underway to develop more mature market devices should also work to increase stability. See the following article.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2013/04/12/bringing-derivatives-to-bitcoin-should-help-stabilise-the-price/

William Seger

(10,779 posts)
109. "That said, I think that bitcoin is still going to be really volatile."
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 03:26 PM
Mar 2014

"This isn’t going to fix that problem.”

Thanks for the link, and I'd say the chart itself is a fact substantiating my point.

As for your example, when I checkout using Bitcoins, say the current exchange rate is $500; the merchant would want 0.03 Bitcoin for his $15 list price, correct? So how much did I pay for that 0.03 -- more or less than $15? I suppose I could buy them just before the purchase, but then what's the point? Just to make the transaction untraceable?

TampaAnimusVortex

(785 posts)
132. Actually the chart does show increasing stability...
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 07:11 PM
Mar 2014

In the beginning, we were seeing wild swings of over $500 to $800 in a very short time period. That doesn't happen anymore. The trend is towards less volatility. The swings on average are becoming less and less over time. This is projected to improve even more as the market capitalization increases as well.

In your example, you could purchase them at the instant of sending them to the vendor automatically, through some vendor Coinbase, and pay some small exchange fee of 0.5% or you could use the existing credit system (Visa/Mastercard) which is 2% or 3%. Now, you could say that you will pay off your credit card instantly or use a debit card and avoid the interest charges, but guess what - those prices are embedded into the price of the product automatically.

Just like occasionally you'll see gas stations offering two different prices for gas still.. the "cash price", and the "credit" price, which is higher by a few cents.

Bitcoin on the other hand can have almost no transaction fee (it's practically non-existent - It's about to be 1/10 of a cent regardless of the size of the purchase). Smart businesses will bring those discounts to the customers (as we are already seeing in some cases where online sites are offering discounts for the use of Bitcoin).

Also... Bitcoin will be able to bring financial services to those few billion poor people around the world that cant afford a bank account yet, but might have a cell phone. It will allow that farmer in Nigeria to crowdsource a micro-loan from a charity in Kansas directly, with no middle men. It will enable the free flow of capital into (and out of) the poor hyperinflated countries of Africa where the tin pot dictators have destroyed their currencies and allow the citizens to start trying to actually build some type of economic progress finally.

People just haven't thought through all the implications yet for what all it brings to the table...

William Seger

(10,779 posts)
133. "Increasing stability" compared to its ridiculously unstable past?
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 12:11 AM
Mar 2014

So what? It looks like it's currently "stabilizing" on a decided downward trend, driven by a downturn in speculative confidence, which is my point. So far, there is absolutely no evidence to suggest that it will ever stabilize along a flat or moderately increasing line. Nor can I think of any reason to expect that it ever will, given that its only value is the result of arbitrary, day-to-day speculation. Ignoring that fact while focusing only on potential advantages could be a costly mistake.

But time will tell, eh?

TampaAnimusVortex

(785 posts)
135. Thats a bit of a high bar to set...
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 10:30 AM
Mar 2014

No currency ever stabilizes on a flat or moderately increasing line... have you looked at the charts of the dollars vs the yen? Or the Euro? They are just as chaotic, just over a slightly longer time frame, and that's primarily because they have a larger usage base. Again, when bitcoin scales to those level and has the advanced derivative markets they do, it will show similar behavior.

William Seger

(10,779 posts)
159. "Bitcoin's problems are much worse than you thought"
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 07:29 PM
Mar 2014
For one thing, any financial instrument that experiences such wide swings in price over a short period is clearly not something you want to use as a transactional tool. If you're a business with money in, say, Greece, and you want to cash it out as dollars in the U.S., you don't want to use a device that could cost you 20% of your money if you oversleep by an hour.


http://www.latimes.com/business/hiltzik/la-fi-mh-bitcoins-problems-20140209,0,983176.story#ixzz2uwfMZJFl

TampaAnimusVortex

(785 posts)
170. Pointless
Tue Mar 4, 2014, 11:38 AM
Mar 2014

"The bitcoin faithful would like you to believe that the virtual currency's recent price swings result solely from the crisis at Mt. Gox, a leading bitcoin exchange firm headquartered in Tokyo."

I knew to stop reading right there in the first sentence... when someone wants to misrepresent an entire community in the first line of an article, there isn't much point in going on any further.

Bitcoin's use as a currency isn't the issue - as I mentioned, it will stabilize as maturity comes... it's function as a currency is just the first application on the blockchain technology just like email was the first application (more or less) on the internet. You obviously have no understanding of the blockchain or it's potential other uses, or even the potential uses in freeing the underbanked of the world currently with even the current bitcoin tech.

How about the building of applications like Etherum that ride on top of the blockchain that enable smart contracts, smart agents, or distributed autonomous organizations? You really have no idea what the future is about to bring... Totally oblivious...

William Seger

(10,779 posts)
178. So, you'd like to change the subject
Tue Mar 4, 2014, 02:44 PM
Mar 2014

... away from my actual points: (A) Bitcoin exchange rates are much too volatile for MOST people to consider it as a viable currency; (B) there isn't really any compelling reason or evidence to think that it will ever stabilize enough for that to happen; and (C) buying Bitcoins is just a bet, not an investment.

But, no, I'm not "totally oblivious" to the Bitcoin proselytizing (I even watched your video); it's just nor relevant to my points. I can see the underlying technology taking off, which is no guarantee whatsoever that Bitcoin itself will not crash and burn.

Good luck with your bet. As I said, time will tell, but in the meantime, get over yourself.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
144. The chart shows quite a bit of volatility.
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 12:26 PM
Mar 2014

The wild swings you are talking about occurred about 3 months ago. It's not the distant past. And even in the relative "stability" of the last 2 months, the volatility has still been much higher. And I don't know who exactly is "projecting" that bitcoin is going to become less volatile. A lot of people are actually projecting that the value of bitcoins is going to drop to zero. Looking at financial charts and trying to predict the future based on them is a time-honored way of losing money.

Also... Bitcoin will be able to bring financial services to those few billion poor people around the world that cant afford a bank account yet, but might have a cell phone. It will allow that farmer in Nigeria to crowdsource a micro-loan from a charity in Kansas directly, with no middle men. It will enable the free flow of capital into (and out of) the poor hyperinflated countries of Africa where the tin pot dictators have destroyed their currencies and allow the citizens to start trying to actually build some type of economic progress finally.


Umm, what? Farmers in Nigeria are going to be getting microcredit from bitcoins? Haven't heard that one before...

TampaAnimusVortex

(785 posts)
149. There's a lot you haven't heard about bitcoin I'm sure...
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 02:38 PM
Mar 2014

Watch a few minutes of Andreas Antonopoulos's presentation here and you'll understand.



and if that doesnt do it for you... see here for uses outside of money.

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/02/08/3-game-changing-uses-for-bitcoin-that-have-nothing.aspx

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
152. Not really. I understand it pretty well.
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 02:54 PM
Mar 2014

I can't say the same about the guy in this video. He seems to really think that the Byzantine Generals Problem was unsolved until 2008 by Satoshi Nakamoto. Lamport, Shostak, and Pease would probably have something to say about that...
http://www.andrew.cmu.edu/course/15-749/READINGS/required/resilience/lamport82.pdf

I get that technologically, bitcoin is a pretty good idea. But it's not the greatest invention since the internet. And, more important, the fact that it's technologically cool doesn't mean it's actually useful as a currency.

TampaAnimusVortex

(785 posts)
153. So the fact you responded so quickly means...
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 02:58 PM
Mar 2014

You didn't even get to the part where he discussed its use in helping those poor overseas...

Whatever. You obviously have your mind made up. Good luck with that.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
154. Well, you did say "watch a few minutes".
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 03:03 PM
Mar 2014

The first few minutes were spent talking about Byzantine Generals.

Maybe that part was just for the lay audience, but the fact that he's willing to exaggerate to make bitcoin seem more revolutionary than it is doesn't really convince me that this is a great source to go to for an in-depth and factual analysis.

I'm sure this guy thinks that bitcoin is going to be helping the poor overseas. I just don't see it. Sorry if I didn't feel like spending 20 minutes watching a ra-ra-bitcoin video. That doesn't make be closed-minded, it makes me busy.

Warren DeMontague

(80,708 posts)
71. Demographically, three of DU's favorite Dwarfs are named "Cranky" "Codger" and "Ned Ludd"
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 03:49 AM
Mar 2014


This one hits a sweet spot for all 3.

OregonBlue

(7,754 posts)
104. I've read several articles that implied it's being used to launder drug money. Also that it's just
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 02:57 PM
Mar 2014

another way for the TeaBaggers to try to undermine the government. For those reasons alone, I would never invest. Also, look what happened with Mt. Gox. The money was "stolen" and now they want court protection by declaring bankruptcy. Either you are outside the system or you are part of the system and should be regulated. Seems like a Libertarian scam to me.

 

WhaTHellsgoingonhere

(5,252 posts)
107. I'm trying to wrap my head around this...
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 03:09 PM
Mar 2014

...is it not analogous to asking why people hate the casino economy?

If you invested $100 and made $300 in purchases, good for you. Whatever you "lost" wasn't real. It was merely an opportunity loss. If, on the other hand, you had gone in deep, say $5000, and made $300 in purchases, then puff!...then you would understand all the hate.

Some people know when to walk away from the craps table and others don't. I'm a craps player and get out as soon as I get ahead. I figure $100 for a couple of hours of entertainment is a good deal. But it's a casino economy nonetheless.

wercal

(1,370 posts)
112. I've got questions about Bitcoin.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 03:50 PM
Mar 2014

Who publishes the version updates for Bitcoins?

Who pays the bandwidth for the Bitcoin ledger?

The answer to this question has been that there is a 'Bitcoin Foundation'.

https://bitcoinfoundation.org/

The founders of Bitcoin are members of this foundation's board...essentially controlling Bitcoin.

Looking through the bio's, their communications director's bio boasts she used to be a legislative assistant for 'a congressman'...upon further research - Peter Roskam, R-Illinois.

I am not confident that:

1) Bitcoin prices are stable
2) The people who created Bitcoin do not still control it (what happens to your Bitcoin wallet if the foundation quits paying bandwidth for the ledger?)
3) I would trust ANY 'wallet' system.

So I don't like it. But the biggest reason I don't like it, and the reason some Bitcoin proponents may sense they are 'hated'...everybody who tries to recruit me to Bitcoin sounds like an Amway salesman trying to herd in the next batch of suckers - because at the end of the day, their Bitcoins are useless until somebody else buys them. And by 'buy', I mean convert to a traditional currency - which is exactly what online retailers are doing a nano-second after you buy from them with Bitcoin.

Response to wercal (Reply #112)

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
120. The bitcoin foundation does not control the ledger or pay bandwidth for it.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 05:11 PM
Mar 2014

The "ledger" is distributed, and anyone who participates in bitcoin mining is taking part in maintaining and updating it. That is one of the supposed strengths of bitcoin: there is no single server which holds the information of who owns what. By making it distributed, it is more secure, since there isn't any single computer that can be hacked into to modify the ledger.

From a technology point of view, bitcoin is sound. The Mt Gox thing wasn't a failure of the bitcoin protocol. It's not that the bitcoin ledger itself got hacked, it's more that (roughly speaking) a computer holding a bunch of passwords to bitcoin wallets got hacked. So people who let Mt Gox hold bitcoins for them lost their money.

On the other hand, from an economic point of view, bitcoin is basically a Ponzi scheme or at best a speculative bubble. The prices are way too volatile for it to function as a currency, and most people who own them are simply hoping to sell them to someone else at a higher price. The amount of actual commerce that takes place in bitcoins is tiny. Just because it's a good technological idea doesn't mean it's actually a good currency.

 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
123. It's not hate, hell if it was not for Bitcoin and their direct link to malware
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 05:32 PM
Mar 2014

I wouldn't have a job! Keeps me in business!

dionysus

(26,467 posts)
124. hate? i don't hate bitcoins, but they they make it easier to laugh at my libertarian buddy who
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 05:39 PM
Mar 2014

is obsessed with them...

 

Bluenorthwest

(45,319 posts)
128. The word you might be looking for is not 'hate' but 'apathy'.
Sun Mar 2, 2014, 06:10 PM
Mar 2014

Your own OP offers not one advantage or reason I should use it, care about it or give it a second thought. The part about you 'mining' something that does not actually exist and making 'profit' from it has an Amway Diamond Level rhetorical feel to it. I can already buy, sell, use Overstock, you name it, if bitcoin offered a discount or any actual advantage I assume you'd name the advantage. To use them would require effort on my part that I am not motivated to expend simply for the sake of doing something.
You want me to like bitcoin, sell me the idea, don't ask me why I hate something I don't even give a fig about. When folks use the word 'hate' casually in a world full of the real deal, I rarely take then seriously.

 

Bluenorthwest

(45,319 posts)
143. So you have no reasons to offer as to why anyone should like it? Apathy means 'don't care'
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 12:24 PM
Mar 2014

and I neither like nor dislike it because I am apathetic to it. Calling apathy to a seemingly worthless fad 'hate' is cute, but it avoids the real question which is why should anyone give a fuck about it at all? What are the features and benefits that are not available in other forms of exchange?

The fact that you can not answer the question 'why should I use it' and instead chant 'they hate it' is just silly time. It's the marketplace, if folks are not buying the product that's how it goes. One could either sell them on the product or shout 'hate' and try to bully folks into hitching their wagons to a product that they don't want, which won't work. Not giving a shit is neither hate nor love, it is apathy. Most people don't even know about bitcoin, much less trust it or feel compelled to use it.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
139. You mean Mt.Gox supporters...
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 12:04 PM
Mar 2014

Because those who keep their Bitcoin in their own wallets haven't lost anything. The community has been pounding it into everyone's head that using on-line wallets is a bad, bad, double-plus ungood practice. But still, people continue to do it.

Be smart. Keep your BTC local.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
160. I have Bitcoin in my own wallet and I can convert it to USD in about 15 seconds...
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 07:39 PM
Mar 2014

How is that "NOTHING"?

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
168. Unless you really know what you're doing, keeping bitcoins in your own wallet is a bad idea.
Tue Mar 4, 2014, 11:36 AM
Mar 2014

Why? Because, while the bitcoin protocol is secure, your computer is probably not.

This doesn't apply to you if you are truly an expert in computer security -- although even many security experts recommend keeping sensitive information protected by air gap. But even so, this makes bitcoins more of a curiosity for tech geeks than a viable currency. And I imagine even those geeks would become little hesitant keeping, say $5M of bitcoins on a home computer.

Yes, keeping bitcoins on an online wallet is a bad idea. But so is keeping them on a home computer. The only option that leaves is for legitimate, regulated bitcoin banks to pop up. But if that happens, the supposed "advantages" of bitcoins will disappear. Because no legitimate bank is going to let you, say, transfer $100M across the globe instantaneously with zero transaction cost.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
150. A song from the 80s comes to mind when Bitcoin is discussed. Now what was it called...?
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 02:47 PM
Mar 2014

Oh, yeah! You get yer money for nothin' and yer kicks for free!



[hr][font color="blue"][center]The truth doesn’t always set you free.
Sometimes it builds a bigger cage around the one you’re already in.
[/center][/font][hr]

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
155. Seems to me...
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 03:11 PM
Mar 2014

That every time someone makes the case for bitcoin, they sound like an investor trying to get their hands on my money to extend the life of their Ponzi scheme. The arguments against are pretty sharp and precise. I don't hate bitcoin, the system in itself seems extremely flawed.

"I mined some back in the day and watched the value steadily increase"

Did you self report this for your taxes? You are claiming it has value along the same lines as monetary value. Have you reported your earnings with respect to the increased value in your INVESTMENT? Most of the time I see an individual promoting bitcoin they always talk about it as an investment, one that is not taxed. You can self report.

tridim

(45,358 posts)
156. I hate it because it's an obvious pyramid scheme that people take seriously.
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 03:19 PM
Mar 2014

Same reason I hate Amway.

IT. IS. A. SCAM.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
161. How does it resemble a pyramid scheme? This I'd love to hear...
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 07:42 PM
Mar 2014

I don't see any parallels between Bitcoin and Amway.

 

DesMoinesDem

(1,569 posts)
162. I think it's mostly ignorance and jealousy.
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 07:43 PM
Mar 2014

You can see the ignorance in this thread. People call it a ponzi scheme, a pyramid scheme, they confuse it with Mt. Gox and think it is worthless, conspiracy theories that the algorithm was cracked and it can be counterfeited. Other people are just jealous (jelly). I think much of that has to do with the fact that those evil libertarians were one of the first groups to invest in it and have made a lot of money.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
163. I think you're right on target...
Mon Mar 3, 2014, 07:51 PM
Mar 2014

The funny thing is, I know a small pack of libertarians and they hate Bitcoin too.

I think it's a fantastic experiment and I hope it's around for a long, long while. Price is up around $100 today alone.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
165. Sucker? Bitcoin gained another $20 against the USD overnight...
Tue Mar 4, 2014, 10:25 AM
Mar 2014

Right now, on just one popular exchange, there are $7m in buy orders against $5m in sell orders.

cbdo2007

(9,213 posts)
179. This statement alone is why I'm against it....instability.
Tue Mar 4, 2014, 03:23 PM
Mar 2014

It's too difficult to use something that fluctuates so much from one day to the next as a real currency. Rather than hoping for a $20-$100 gain each day, you should be hoping for 1-2 cents difference each day, both up and down. That's how real currency works.

Currently there is a major bit-coin bubble so in the environment that it's currently in, it definitely resembles a "scam" more than a "currency".

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
171. So Paul Krugman is ignorant and jealous?
Tue Mar 4, 2014, 11:51 AM
Mar 2014

In the end, like all asset bubbles, some people will make money and others will lose it. And the quantities of money we're talking about aren't really very big.

Whatever "hate" there is not about the technology, but about the economic beliefs that accompany it -- basically the belief that central banking is evil and we need some kind of "pure" currency. Bitcoin is the new gold standard.

Blue_Tires

(55,445 posts)
175. A good personal rule of mine
Tue Mar 4, 2014, 01:57 PM
Mar 2014

is to be uniformly against anything wealthy economic libertarians overwhelmingly support...

And this rule over the years is batting 1.000...

 

rdking647

(5,113 posts)
172. hate it? no
Tue Mar 4, 2014, 12:50 PM
Mar 2014

i think its like the dutch tulip bubble,and beanie babies.
2 years ago it was worth $5. not its 6-700 bucks? i dont think so.
i know a few companies accept it but that doesnt mean it has any value to me. when its pretty much universally accepted maybe but now... nope

Drew Richards

(1,558 posts)
174. MAYBE just maybe if the creator had not used a fake name when he started bitcoin
Tue Mar 4, 2014, 01:28 PM
Mar 2014

I might take it seriously but then again...probably not.

I too researched it when it came out and did a little data mining but it became apparent very quickly that it was a ponzi scam against the individual vs massive data mining concerns and sellers of Bull Shit non-existent mining products that if they ever DID create...they made 100 of them for themselves with your money first...

Oh and if you joined a coop? You got bupkiss...

If you want to love it...more power to you...just don't expect anyone else to get on board now at the end of it where they will never make their money back...and it costs thousands of dollars to even do the hashes anymore to get a SMALL percentage of a bitcoin...

You got yours fine...I hear you.

But you AINT getting mine...NUFF SAID

liberalmuse

(18,672 posts)
176. It is distrust
Tue Mar 4, 2014, 02:19 PM
Mar 2014

In anything that is a Libertarian wet dream. Notice how Mt. God is seeking government help. Typical! Then there's the dark money aspect. But the main reason I don't like bitcoins is because it resembles a pyramid scheme. You need a couple of smart people and a whole lot of suckers. If I'm going to be a sucker, I want to be one in a scenario where there is recourse if something goes wrong.

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
195. What I don't get is how Bitcoin even looks like a pyramid scheme...
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 10:39 AM
Mar 2014

I've seen folks throw that term around (along with Ponzi scheme) and it's almost like nobody really knows what it means. Just parroting what you've heard or read before doesn't make it true.

A pyramid scheme is like Amway. You recruit people, you get a cut of their sales. When they recruit, they get a cut of their recruits' sales and the person at the top gets a cut as well. The whole idea is to create an army of sales people. Eventually, the Amway "diamond" becomes the leader of the local pack. It's ridiculous.

Bitcoin, in no way imaginable, operates in that fashion.

liberalmuse

(18,672 posts)
213. People give an entity real money...
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 07:04 PM
Mar 2014

and have it converted into virtual money. And they do not know who they are really giving it to, since it is all a virtual transaction.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
216. Here are some articles that answer that for you.
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 07:15 PM
Mar 2014
http://www.garynorth.com/public/11828.cfm

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/view_from_chicago/2013/04/bitcoin_is_a_ponzi_scheme_the_internet_currency_will_collapse.html

The basic similarity is that the design of the pyramid is to enrich the earliest participants at the expense of the suckers that come later in the game. It isn't exactly like Amway or Madoff, but it shares the central principles. The inventor creates a system and deals himself a huge vested interest. He surrounds himself with other crooks who will hype it in exchange for big shares in the system. They get to work pumping up the fantastic results, knowing that as time progresses the coins will be in short supply (if their hype is successful). That creates the opportunity for the early insiders to cash out with hundreds of millions of dollars, if not billions while the later suckers are left with a collapsed system that isn't worth the paper it isn't printed on.

That is why the Ponzi comparisons are unavoidable.
 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
214. I hear Charles Ponzi was a very nice guy
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 07:06 PM
Mar 2014

Good to animals.

Never an unkind word to anybody.

What does a guy have to do to get a little love?

ReverendDeuce

(1,643 posts)
222. What implosion? Value is still up today... nt
Thu Mar 6, 2014, 04:01 PM
Mar 2014

Down a bit from two days ago, but there's no implosion. This news is nothing.

sakabatou

(42,170 posts)
219. One experience from my mom made me dislike it
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 07:26 PM
Mar 2014

Where she works, they got hacked and their files locked. The hacker demanded a ransom in bitcoins (I forget how much). They got their files back without paying. What she said was that such a transaction is or could be anonymous or untraceable.

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