General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThe latest from the CDC on gun violence
A lot of discussion on gun violence gets derailed over what the actual facts are. The CDC is held up by many as a unbiased source so here is a synopsis of the latest CDC report. There are facts here to support both sides of the issue.
2. Most indices of crime and gun violence are getting better, not worse. Overall crime rates have declined in the past decade, and violent crimes, including homicides specifically, have declined in the past 5 years, the report notes. Between 2005 and 2010, the percentage of firearm-related violent victimizations remained generally stable. Meanwhile, firearm-related death rates for youth ages 15 to 19 declined from 1994 to 2009. Accidents are down, too: Unintentional firearm-related deaths have steadily declined during the past century. The number of unintentional deaths due to firearm-related incidents accounted for less than 1 percent of all unintentional fatalities in 2010.
5. Mass shootings arent the problem. The number of public mass shootings of the type that occurred at Sandy Hook Elementary School accounted for a very small fraction of all firearm-related deaths, says the report. Since 1983 there have been 78 events in which 4 or more individuals were killed by a single perpetrator in 1 day in the United States, resulting in 547 victims and 476 injured persons. Compare that with the 335,000 gun deaths between 2000 and 2010 alone.
7. Guns are used for self-defense often and effectively. Almost all national survey estimates indicate that defensive gun uses by victims are at least as common as offensive uses by criminals, with estimates of annual uses ranging from about 500,000 to more than 3 million per year in the context of about 300,000 violent crimes involving firearms in 2008, says the report. The three million figure is probably high, based on an extrapolation from a small number of responses taken from more than 19 national surveys. But a much lower estimate of 108,000 also seems fishy, because respondents were not asked specifically about defensive gun use. Furthermore, Studies that directly assessed the effect of actual defensive uses of guns (i.e., incidents in which a gun was 'used' by the crime victim in the sense of attacking or threatening an offender) have found consistently lower injury rates among gun-using crime victims compared with victims who used other self-protective strategies.
http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/human_nature/2013/06/handguns_suicides_mass_shootings_deaths_and_self_defense_findings_from_a.html
DanTex
(20,709 posts)According to the report, the U.S. rate of firearm-related homicide is higher than that of any other industrialized country: 19.5 times higher than the rates in other high-income countries.
Wow, 19.5 times higher. That sounds like a lot. Wonder why you left that out? I guess the NRA doesn't want you to focus on that number...
hack89
(39,171 posts)like I said, there are facts to support both sides of the issue. I choose the ones I did because many here dispute them.
hlthe2b
(102,236 posts)I wonder why the poster did so.... I wonder.....
DanTex
(20,709 posts)I think that covers it...
Duckhunter935
(16,974 posts)Interesting for a host of of the anti-gun group.
DanTex
(20,709 posts)Is that some kind of personal call-out?
Duckhunter935
(16,974 posts)just pointing out a fact that this group has many people who have it listed as a favorite. So are you saying the other poster is a "gun troll"?
hack89
(39,171 posts)hlthe2b
(102,236 posts)your narrative. Very disingenuous, sir.
hack89
(39,171 posts)we know that gun violence is too high. Lets settle on some facts that we can use to formulate a response.
hlthe2b
(102,236 posts)So much so, you posted the same identical misleading post elsewhere.
hack89
(39,171 posts)I was assuming that people would read the linked article and even the report itself before attacking. I guess I was wrong.
hlthe2b
(102,236 posts)disingenuous selective presentation of their key conclusions and findings.
hack89
(39,171 posts)so far your argument seems to consist of nothing more than a personal attack on me.
Why not calm down, read the report, and come back to rationally discuss the issue? Lets find some common ground.
hlthe2b
(102,236 posts)Such tactics are not those worthy of debate.
hack89
(39,171 posts)and I notice you have yet to actually address the issues I did choose to present.
All in all, you have done nothing to address what the CDC actually said. You have to learn to accept facts that do not agree with your positions.
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)Creative editing to illustrate one aspect of a multifaceted problem is certainly much too weak to be considered nefarious.
hack89
(39,171 posts)and label them NRA talking points. Now they are CDC talking points so I thought people might want to at least talk about them. Apparently not.
Cerridwen
(13,257 posts)Priorities-for-Research-to-Reduce-the-Threat-of-Firearm-Related-Violence (released June 5, 2013: web site)
A couple more links from the report's main page:
Briefing Slides (.pdf warning)
Press Release
Report Brief (.html version)
Research Priorities (.pdf warning)
Snippet from the main page:
In January 2013, President Barack Obama issued 23 executive orders directing federal agencies to improve knowledge of the causes of firearm violence, what might help prevent it, and how to minimize its burden on public health. One of these orders directed the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) to, along with other federal agencies, immediately begin identifying the most pressing problems in firearm violence research. The CDC and the CDC Foundation asked the IOM, in collaboration with the National Research Council, to convene a committee tasked with developing a potential research agenda that focuses on the causes of, possible interventions to, and strategies to minimize the burden of firearm-related violence. The committees proposed research agenda focuses on the characteristics of firearm violence, risk and protective factors, interventions and strategies, the impact of gun safety technology, and the influence of video games and other media.
About the IOM:
Established in 1970, the IOM is the health arm of the National Academy of Sciences, which was chartered under President Abraham Lincoln in 1863. Nearly 150 years later, the National Academy of Sciences has expanded into what is collectively known as the National Academies, which comprises the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, the National Research Council, and the IOM.
The IOM asks and answers the nations most pressing questions about health and health care.
Gormy Cuss
(30,884 posts)Here's a key section for those who don't have the time to read it :
These issues related to research design and data, if not addressed, will limit the ability of researchers to perform rigorous studies, as well as the ability of policy makers to use research to inform the development and evaluation of future policies. The CDC, in collaboration with its federal and state partners, can improve the reliability and accuracy of data and research about firearm-related violence.
CONCLUSION
The research agenda proposed in this report is intended as an initialnot a conclusive or all-encompassingset of questions critical to developing the most effective policies to reduce the occurrence and impact of firearm-related violence in the United States. No single agency or research strategy can provide all the answers. This report focuses on the public health aspects of firearm violence; the committee expects that this research agenda will be integrated with research conducted from criminal justice and other perspectives to provide a much fuller knowledge base to underpin our nations approach to dealing with this very important set of societal issues.
THIS is why the CDC must be enabled to study gun violence as a public health issue.
Cerridwen
(13,257 posts)It paints quite a different picture when taken as a whole.
MillennialDem
(2,367 posts)According to that link, about 70-80 million own a gun.
For math simplicity, rounding up yields about 90 million adults own a gun.
If there are 3 million defensive uses per year, that leads to 1 in 30 adults PER YEAR using a gun defensively. Given that an average adult at age 18 has more than 60 years of life left, that leads to the typical adult who owns a gun using said gun defensively more than twice in their lifetime.
Of course I rounded up to the 90 million number and also there are quite a few adults who own their "grandpappy's gun" or some plinking gun but would be extremely unlikely to ever use it for self defense, because it's stored in a corner of the basement, the attic, a storage shed, etc.
So for more fuzzy math simplicity, we can assume that if the 3 million number is correct, the typical adult who owns a gun using said gun defensively will use that gun THREE times in their lifetime.
Of course there would be cases of more or less - those who never use a gun or use it defensively only once would be quite common - but at the other end of the spectrum, those who use their gun 10 times defensively in their life would be quite common as well. I honestly don't know of anyone who's even had to use their gun once, let alone going on 10. As far as I know, the only person who has shot a gun (other than for plinking) is my wife/partner's stepdad who shot some raccoons invading the garage and that was about it, which doesn't even count as defensive gun use. Of course I'm not counting those I know who are/were in the military.
There are many cops who have never had to use their gun in their entire career...
3 million is nonsensical and anyone who entertains that is accurate within an order of magnitude is off their nut. I expected better from the CDC.
Moreover there are only about 300 (less actually) justified homicides via firearm. If there are 3 million defensive uses, that means 1 in 10,000 encounters where the gun owner is justified in using force result in death. I know many cases would involve running away, injury (but not death) or holding the perpetrator until police arrived, but 1 in 10,000 is also completely unrealistic.
hack89
(39,171 posts)the OP argues for a lower figure.
MillennialDem
(2,367 posts)dismiss it as bogus and not even say it.
hack89
(39,171 posts)that is still a substantial number, especially since many here say defensive gun use is a myth. The CDC certainly does not view it as a myth.
MillennialDem
(2,367 posts)relatively realistic one.
500,000 still implies that only about 1 in 1,666 defensive gun uses results in death..... that's still an awful low probability....
Even 100,000 means well under 1% of defensive gun uses results in the death of the perpetrator.
hack89
(39,171 posts)as for defensive gun uses resulting in death, wouldn't you expect a low number? First of, handguns are not particularly lethal so you would expect many more people wounded vice killed. But more importantly, most defensive gun uses do no involved actually shooting someone - in many cases the sight of a gun is enough for a felon to flee.
MillennialDem
(2,367 posts)Between 2006-2010, all justified gun (not just handgun) self defense = 192-232. I rounded up to 300...
Of course I would expect a low number I already stated most felons would likely:
A. Flee or surrender if the weapon was brandished
OR
b. Flee or surrender if the weapon was shot, but survive
But like I said, you really expect 1,665 felons will flee or surrender for every one that dies when a gun is involved to be a reasonable median rather than high end estimate?
hack89
(39,171 posts)Lee-Lee
(6,324 posts)Most don't even involve firing a shot at all, the mere presence of the gun changes the balance of power and the aggressor rethinks and flees or is held at gunpoint.
I responded to plenty of cases where a gun was used defensively- only a handful involved a person being shot, none died.
MillennialDem
(2,367 posts)Do you think 1 in 10,000 (this is almost an incomprehensibly large number / low probability) or 1 in 1,666 or 1 in 400?
If I may ask are you involved in police or fire or EMT and have you personally been to 400 (let alone 1,666 or 10,000) incidents where a gun was involved?
Lee-Lee
(6,324 posts)I was a sheriffs deputy, in a mostly rural NC county- but responding just in areas outside city limits as the various PDs handled inside city limits unless we went as backup.
I probably responded to or had happen on my shift something between that 400 and 1666.
That number will of course depend on just how you define defensive use of a gun. Some are clear, others may not count depending on your definition.
When I started working domestic violence I had cases a few times a month where a spouse had fled or moved in with family or friends and thier abuser showed up and was run off or detained by someone with a gun. Only one was actually shot, he lived.
MillennialDem
(2,367 posts)Once a week (~4 times a month) would take 100 months (over 8 years) to get to 400 defensive gun use incidents, and over 400 months (pushing 40 years) to get to 1,666. And that's with you working the type of cases that are high probability of gun use, ie domestic violence. In my view, unless you are involved in situations like that (another would be if you had a drug addict living in the house and he had drug addict friends) or of course, you are a police officer... your probability of needing to use a gun in self defense is next to nill. It can happen of course, but all kinds of rare things happen; people get struck by lightning too - it's just extremely rare.
Lee-Lee
(6,324 posts)I would say that at least in my area it would likely be that the degree of defensive uses that involve guns would have a ratio of perp shot/not shot that is greater than 1/400, much less killed.
The vast, vast majority of calls where someone used a gun defensively the gun is never fired. Most where shots are fired nobody is hit.
So 1/400 defensive uses resulting in death seems way unlikely in my experience, unless some areas of the country are way, way off to the opposite end of the spectrum.
MillennialDem
(2,367 posts)depend on what is defined as defensive use.
There are people out there who think pointing a gun at kids retrieving a ball out of your yard is defensive use and those that think you have to retreat in your own home from a burglar and take all other measures first before even pointing the gun, let alone firing it.
A lot of out calls that involved gun use were dispatched something like this:
Person hears noise, somebody is attempting to enter their home. Homeowner grabs gun, announces they are home and armed, doesn't go out to confront. Attempted intruder retreats, homeowner stays inside until we arrive.
They did use a gun, can't say for sure if it was the announcement they had a gun or just the alerting of their presence that deterred the prowler, but either way it was there but not fired.
Other common one was the same but homeowner sees/hears somebody outside attempting to break into a car/shed/barn. They arm themselves going to investigate, prowler flees. Kind of a gray area, but they were relying on the firearm to help deter/stop a crime and also to help deter the thief from assaulting them as they did so. I could debate the wisdom of this course of action by people, seeing it both ways, but regardless it is common.
Pretty common for either, even in rural areas. Almost always the same 1-2% of folks well known to us who were out stealing, much of it was meth related.
MillennialDem
(2,367 posts)the mere presence of a person catching him is what deters / makes him run away, not the fear of a gun or knife.
He's never been shot at or had someone brandish a gun at him.
If he was ever scared away by the owner with a gun he didn't see it, though the owner could claim it was a self defensive use of a gun.
Lurks Often
(5,455 posts)Facts aren't allowed if they don't fit the view the anti-gun extremists want to promote.
Cerridwen
(13,257 posts)FIREARM-RELATED VIOLENCE (Page 11 of the downloaded report)
Society-Level Factors, 35
Community-Level Factors, 36
Situational Factors, 37
Individual-Level Factors, 38
Research Questions, 39
FIREARM VIOLENCE PREVENTION AND OTHER
INTERVENTIONS
Targeting Unauthorized Gun Possession or Use, 44
Individual Risk and Protective Factors, 45
Social, Physical, and Virtual Environmental Interventions, 46
Research Questions, 48
IMPACT OF GUN SAFETY TECHNOLOGY
Gun Technology Safety Features, 53
Overview of Past and Ongoing Research on Gun Safety
Technology, 54
Challenges to Developing Gun Safety Technologies, 55
Current and Ongoing Research, 58
Research Questions, 59
VIDEO GAMES AND OTHER MEDIA
Overview of Past and Ongoing Research on Media Violence
and Violent Acts, 63
Longer-Term Longitudinal Studies in Youth on Exposure
to Media Violence, 65
Research Question, 66
Mass Shootings
According to the Congressional Research Service, public mass
shootings have claimed 547 lives and led to an additional 476 injured
victims since 1983 (Bjelopera et al., 2013, pp. 7-8). Mass shootings are
a highly visible and moving tragedy, but represent only a small fraction
of total firearm-related violence. Although it may seem that protection
against such an event is nearly impossible, proactive law enforcement
activities, including community policing and intelligence-led policing,
may help prevent some mass shootings (Bjelopera et al., 2013). Analyz-
ing the details of a prevented event against those of a realized event
might provide guidance to schools and other locations with large groups
of people about efficient and effective ways to avoid such an event.
Proactive mental health risk assessment and interventions may also pre-
vent some mass shootings. It is also apparent that some mass murder in-
cidents are associated with suicides (Bell and McBride, 2010). However, the characteristics of suicides associated with mass murders are not
understood.
At the broadest level, firearm violence is either fatal or nonfatal.
Within the category of fatal incidents, types of violence include suicides,
homicides, and unintentional fatalities. Mass shootings may be consid-
ered either a separate category or a subset of homicides. Those types of
firearm violence vary substantially with respect to the typical shooter,
intent, and population affected. Similarly, there is substantial variation
among the types of nonfatal violence, which encompass unintentional
and intentional injuries, threats, and defensive use of guns. Thus, it is
important to understand the distinctive characteristics of the various
types and subtypes of violence. For example, suicides in youth may be
motivated by very different factors from those in older adults, a diver-
gence that will affect the design of any prevention strategy. However,
suicides and homicides share a very important characteristic that is im-
portant here, namely, that most acts appear to be reactive and unplanned.
Hack, did you read the report before posting the writer's, er, condensed editorial of the report? It doesn't appear so as you might have realized there is far more to the report than a few abbreviated statistics without the context of their use.
I can find all kinds of out-of-context quotes to make almost any argument about gun violence using only this 120-report; if I were inclined to do so.
I highly recommend people read the entirety of the report before forming an opinion. Reading a reporter's report of a report is rarely a reliable way of forming a fact-based opinion.
hack89
(39,171 posts)what I am hoping is that we can have gun discussions using the same data. There are many here that deny that gun violence is decreasing, or believe that defensive gun use is a myth. Some also believe that mass killings are common and increasing. I was hoping that by using CDC data we can at least reach a consensus on basic facts regarding gun violence and have a more nuanced discussion beyond "fuck the NRA, fuck gun humpers, gunz are evil". We will see.
Cerridwen
(13,257 posts)The CDC commissioned the report.
The article in the OP does not include citations to the quotes and makes it damned near impossible to find the context of the quotes. Think "Gish Gallop."
The conclusions the author of the article makes are stated as fact that obscure the nuances and subtleties presented in the actual report. Call it lazy or call it dishonest; either way, it is incomplete and inaccurate.
The author of the article also left out the discussions in the report that looked at individual, societal, community, and situational factors that may contribute to gun violence; as well as economic and health issues.
Also, when I click a link to an OP with the subject line that includes "the latest from the CDC," I expect to see something from the CDC and not from Slate. For myself, I would request you provide links to reports and/or studies along with any editorials "reporting" the results of a report. But, that is my preference and others may not care.
" I was hoping that by using CDC data we can at least reach a consensus on basic facts regarding gun violence and have a more nuanced discussion"
Your objective could have been better met had you included the facts and nuance from the report rather than those distilled through a reporter.
hack89
(39,171 posts)for example, does it point out any areas that require more attention over others?
Cerridwen
(13,257 posts)you wanted to discuss this based on facts.
First the facts must be present; that requires the inclusion of the report containing said facts. I brought that here.
Unfortunately, the facts in the report are not being discussed here due to the diversion of the debate produced by the article you linked.
Now I see I was wrong to take you at your word. Again, my apologies.
Have fun in your...debate.
JJChambers
(1,115 posts)It appears as if research, data, science and logic are only popular when they provide answers we want. I'm shocked to see how many posters here are attempting to ignore real data because it doesn't fit their Narrative.
Cerridwen
(13,257 posts)The article linked leaves out large swaths of the report including variables to be addressed and researched as well as context for the quotes.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)We should be ashamed.
hack89
(39,171 posts)and it continues to decline. More to the point, gun violence is steadily going down. Yes, it needs to be lower. But we are on the right path.
leftyladyfrommo
(18,868 posts)I just looked up the gun figures. In 2010 over 20,000 were killed by guns. And over 76,000 were treated in ER for gunshot wounds.
Doesn't sound too good to me.
hack89
(39,171 posts)Which, while tragedies, has nothing to do with how safe America is. Yes, we can reduce violence further - do you have any suggestions?
leftyladyfrommo
(18,868 posts)That's pretty terrible in itself.
How many of those people would have lived if there hadn't been a gun handy? Hard to say.
I just looked up the homicides in Kansas City for 2013. There were 106. That figure hasn't changed much over time. Other big cities have seen a decline of about 15.9.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Especially in cities.
Eleanors38
(18,318 posts)...but it's hard to deny the data CDC collected.
Hack, what's your secret? How'd you get this in GD (Guns Damned)?
Iggo
(47,552 posts)hack89
(39,171 posts)I specifically chose those examples because there are many here that deny them. I thought it would make some question their per-existing views. I was wrong.