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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsCantor Campaign: Internal Poll Showed 34-Point Lead Over Tea Partier
An internal poll by House Majority Leader Eric Cantor's (R-VA) re-election campaign had him with a 34-point lead over primary opponent economics professor David Brat.
The poll, conducted by John McLaughlin of McLaughlin & Associates between May 27 and May 28 found Cantor with 62 percent to Brat with 28 percent, according to The Washington Post on Friday.
Cantor lost to Brat on Tuesday. With 90 percent of precincts reporting Brat defeated Cantor 55.4 percent to 44.6 percent. It was perhaps the biggest upset of any primary contest in the 2014 election cycle.
Brat ran a tea party challenge against Cantor focused on immigration. But Brat's candidacy didn't get much national attention or attention from the most prominent outside groups that have boosted conservative challenges to incumbent Republican lawmakers.
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/eric-cantor-david-brat-challenger-tea-party-internal-poll
onehandle
(51,122 posts)BayouBengal07
(1,486 posts)Dick Morris and Project Orca?
myrna minx
(22,772 posts)TwilightGardener
(46,416 posts)msanthrope
(37,549 posts)primary system would have prevented this.
xmas74
(29,674 posts)That was the first time I've ever voted for a Republican. Akin looked like the weakest to run against McCaskill and there was an actual effort from some groups to vote for the worst. Akin opening his mouth up shortly thereafter was the icing on the cake.
So many here on DU state they'll never vote for a Republican. I'll do again and again and again in cases like our 2012 primary.
TwilightGardener
(46,416 posts)xmas74
(29,674 posts)It was brilliant. If anyone else had one the primary McCaskill would have lost the election. They knew he was the weakest link.
Bernardo de La Paz
(49,027 posts)xmas74
(29,674 posts)Get him out there, overconfident and bragging. He'll slip up.
Arkana
(24,347 posts)nolabear
(41,990 posts)Feron
(2,063 posts)Looks like they got the unskewed poll.
Bobbie Jo
(14,341 posts)zappaman
(20,606 posts)I am starting a fund to help Cantor fight this.
Please donate what you can.
www.nowiknowhowalgorefeels.com
AtheistCrusader
(33,982 posts)Cantor DID
raincity_calling
(154 posts)We have NO idea who won or lost. None! All we have is a computer that spit out numbers
that said Cantor lost, that is it. We have no actual knowledge of whether the numbers presented
are true or not. There has been no verified count of the paper ballots (if in fact
there were paper ballots). You guys still don't get it! Why Cantor "lost" is purely conjecture
until you have an actual public count of the ballots. A computer program can give you any
number you want. One must count the actual ballots by hand to know the true count. We
can't rely on software and databases that can be easily manipulated by insiders.
AtheistCrusader
(33,982 posts)I'm sure no hand ballot election has ever been tampered with. Never. Not once.
:eyeroll:
gristy
(10,667 posts)raincity_calling has an absolutely valid point. If that poll was a good one, with a decent # of likely voters polled, there really is no good explanation for such a turn-around in such a short time, your snark notwithstanding.
sheshe2
(83,838 posts)I would have to say they get a fail.
sheshe2
(83,838 posts)Buuuye Buuuye Eric
malaise
(269,118 posts)Play with puppy - expect to be licked!
Hang out with dawg, 'ketch' fleas !
ProSense
(116,464 posts)malaise
(269,118 posts)Hubert Flottz
(37,726 posts)he had the same team of dunces doing the numbers for team Cant'or, that did the numbers for all those worthless budget proposals the republicans had been trying to push, since Bush crashed the economy in 2008. Cantor's voters all went on a hike up the Appalachian trail, is about what I figure caused the fudgy math blunder. Maybe his pollsters just decided to lie to him, like he'd been lying to the American people for 12 years? The folks that blew all that cash on Cantor, didn't get a very good "VALUE" when they funded the "VALUES PARTY's" #2 Man. Whatever it was, I loved it! Almost as good as seeing Rick Santorum and George Allen bite the political dust.
There is a song about Cantor's numbers...
malaise
(269,118 posts)Conway Twitty - hahahaahahahahah
Wounded Bear
(58,682 posts)at counting the votes before hand.
If they ever learn how to generate honest poll numbers, Dems might be in trouble.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)their last political campaign dollar tonight.
FSogol
(45,512 posts)I saw some by the dumpster behind Staples.
uponit7771
(90,348 posts)neverforget
(9,436 posts)jeff47
(26,549 posts)and only polled Republicans.
I'm guessing the massive change was due to Democrats voting in the Republican primary.
FSogol
(45,512 posts)Cantor lost because he is a crappy politician and even the GOP hates his "no-to-everything" politics.
elzenmahn
(904 posts)...because he spent too much time on the national stage, perhaps positioning himself to be the next speaker.
But it's not like he'll be hurting for work or $$ anytime soon. I'm sure that nearly every Repub lobby shop on K-street, not to mention every "think tank", would just luuuuuvv to have him - at whatever price he names.
In any case, good freaking riddance to him.
Algernon Moncrieff
(5,790 posts)I guarantee that most Cantor supporters thought "It's Cantor - he'll be fine without my vote" and skipped the trip to the polls.
Look at the race for NE-2. Lee Terry outspent Dan Frei 20-1, and only won by less than 3000 votes.
Hubert Flottz
(37,726 posts)Cantor's voters worked for Cantor, just about like Cantor had worked for the state of Virginia and the American people.(slim and none)
Algernon Moncrieff
(5,790 posts)Cantor had to have been on board with the Tea Party on 95% of their pet issues; to primary someone over that 5% is pretty disloyal.
warrior1
(12,325 posts)and he lost by 10.8, the amount of votes that it took to upset his polling was 7,212 (VA Elections results)
How many democrats voted for Brat?
Is it possible that over 7k democrats would have voted for Brat?
I'm just wondering if it's possible for a democrat to win this seat.
elzenmahn
(904 posts)...Virginia-7 is supposed to be beet-red.
But then, I will be doing a happy-dance if I'm proven wrong and the Dems win that seat.
EEO
(1,620 posts)Helen Borg
(3,963 posts)JI7
(89,260 posts)onethatcares
(16,178 posts)and I'll tell you what you want to hear too.
Just make it small bills, ok?
sheesh, one campaign with a $200K win would be like winning the lottery for me. Then I would sadly apologize and
you would never see me again.
kairos12
(12,865 posts)yellowcanine
(35,701 posts)Or maybe the "Wish in one hand, shit in the other" Polling Firm.
Zambero
(8,965 posts)The Titanic voyage of political polling debacles.
Happyhippychick
(8,379 posts)Ah hh....election night memories.
tomm2thumbs
(13,297 posts)Or something like that, eh Cantor?
bwahahahahaha
tomm2thumbs
(13,297 posts)or the Chinese
or the Russians
or my neighbor's 15 yo kid with the glasses
ad infinitum...
Hubert Flottz
(37,726 posts)Or was doing all the counting?
JHB
(37,161 posts)...the one that takes place at the polls, and only counts those who show up. (barring fraud and suppression)
spanone
(135,857 posts)Rex
(65,616 posts)Fail magic.
DefenseLawyer
(11,101 posts)See, there's your mistake right there.
librechik
(30,676 posts)Jack Rabbit
(45,984 posts)Perhaps it will go the way of Arthur Anderson.