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hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)
Tue Jun 17, 2014, 02:36 PM Jun 2014

Who here has a close race where they live this November?

With all this talk of elections that are happening in 2016, lets actually have a thread on the election happening THIS YEAR.


My congressman is Michael Grimm of indictment and balcony fame. Reports show he is not raising much money and I that local GOP leaders expect him to lose his seat.

Domenic Recchia is his Democratic challenger and would be the first person elected in this district not from the Staten Island part of the district.


Also my state senate district might be really competitive this year if we can get our councilman here to challenge our state senator.

We are trying to take back the NYS from the GOP and traitors that caucus with them that call themselves traitors.

45 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Who here has a close race where they live this November? (Original Post) hrmjustin Jun 2014 OP
I live in a blue-trending district. HooptieWagon Jun 2014 #1
This was a disgrace. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #7
In NC, Tillis v. Hagan... WorseBeforeBetter Jun 2014 #2
Probably one of the more closest races. I saw her ahead by one percent in a poll. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #8
Illinois governor's race. greatauntoftriplets Jun 2014 #3
Hopefully democrats turnout the vote. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #9
I hope so. greatauntoftriplets Jun 2014 #22
hard to tell hfojvt Jun 2014 #4
There are a few house races in play in the state but I think the incumbents are favored. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #11
I do, but it does not matter nadinbrzezinski Jun 2014 #5
Yes you have a toss up race there. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #12
On the bright side it is early nadinbrzezinski Jun 2014 #16
Grimm started to sound good on climate change but changed back when he got in trouble. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #19
Mind you, if DeMaio gets it, I don't expect any changes nadinbrzezinski Jun 2014 #24
Swing district politicians always play it safe. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #25
This is beyond swing district nadinbrzezinski Jun 2014 #26
The funny thing is in this district is we have several city and state competitive districts here hrmjustin Jun 2014 #27
This is why we will see Peters edge out DeMaio nadinbrzezinski Jun 2014 #32
I remember and I am sorry that happened. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #34
In Minnesota, we may have a very close race for the Governor's office. MineralMan Jun 2014 #6
Glad Franken is in good shape. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #13
He still needs a strong Democratic turnout, though. MineralMan Jun 2014 #18
Indeed! GOTV. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #23
We do. A couple at least. Seeking Serenity Jun 2014 #10
I have high hopes for AR this year. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #14
Hope we don't disappoint then. Seeking Serenity Jun 2014 #17
. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #20
right here - scott vs Crist - statistical dead-heat right now DrDan Jun 2014 #15
I hope it turns around for FL. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #21
so do most of us who live in Florida DrDan Jun 2014 #33
well the de s need turnout in the I 4. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #36
Georgia has 2 n2doc Jun 2014 #28
I am hoping as well. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #30
They don't call him Crooked Deal for nothing! n/t n2doc Jun 2014 #35
If there are runoffs do you think the democrats can win them? hrmjustin Jun 2014 #37
I don't think there are runoffs in the general, just the primaries n2doc Jun 2014 #38
GA law says if no candidate gets 50 percent in the general then there will be a runoff. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #39
Well then I hope Carter and Nunn Get more than 50% n/t n2doc Jun 2014 #40
I do too. I think they can do it. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #41
I am rooting for both Carter and Nunn. n/t RebelOne Jun 2014 #42
I thought it was Raw Deal. KamaAina Jun 2014 #45
More like hoping for a miracle - TBF Jun 2014 #29
I hope you guys can make a political earthquake happen. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #31
North Carolina - Kay Hagen octoberlib Jun 2014 #43
I hope so as well. hrmjustin Jun 2014 #44
 

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)
1. I live in a blue-trending district.
Tue Jun 17, 2014, 02:56 PM
Jun 2014

The local and state Democratic Parties selected an out-of-towner (Alex Sink) to contest Bill Young's former seat. She ran a poor campaign (again) and lost. Oh, well. Then, for this fall's election, the Parties chased out a filed Democratic candidate, by threatening him, to clear the path for THEIR candidate. Oops, Sink decided not to run. Plan B: Get an veteran ex-republican to run. Only one problem, he switched parties too late, and has to run as an I. Oops, it turns out he lied about education on his resume (which obviously wasn't vetted). He withdraws, citing he didn't realize a campaign would be so time-consuming (<rolleyes&gt . Deadline has passed to file, so now my blue-trending congressional district has no Dem at all on the ballot. Local and State Party couldn't have fucked it up worse if they tried. Adjoining congressional district has same problem... no Dem candidate on the ballot.
BTW, I should point out that the FDP is firmly in the hands of Third Way Democrats. They expend more effort in keeping progressives and liberals off the ballot than they do defeating Republicans. The "behind the scenes" power brokers are Sen Bill Nelson and Rep Debbie Wasserman-Shultz. So when you ask how is it possible for a blue state like Florida ( 3/4 million more Dems than Reps ) can end up voting solid red... there you have your answer.

greatauntoftriplets

(175,733 posts)
3. Illinois governor's race.
Tue Jun 17, 2014, 02:58 PM
Jun 2014

The incumbent (who took over when Rod Blagojevich was impeached) is running against a wingnut Republican gazillionaire (Bruce Rauner), who wants to cut the minimum wage, among other things.

Rauner claims he'll save the state from its financial hole, but offers no specifics. So far, unfortunately, it's a tight race.

hfojvt

(37,573 posts)
4. hard to tell
Tue Jun 17, 2014, 03:02 PM
Jun 2014

the governor's race might be close and some of the nearby state house races might be as well.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
5. I do, but it does not matter
Tue Jun 17, 2014, 03:03 PM
Jun 2014

it is just California. I even posted analysis of the race earlier, but that was seen as somehow pushing the Republican and was alerted on. And I mean the does not matter to many here, by the way.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
16. On the bright side it is early
Tue Jun 17, 2014, 03:15 PM
Jun 2014

but to be honest, Peter's voting record makes me wish for Bilbray... you cover politics you get really cynical after a while.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
26. This is beyond swing district
Tue Jun 17, 2014, 03:21 PM
Jun 2014

but hey, I could bend your ear... and everybody else's

I know this district a tad too well

 

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)
27. The funny thing is in this district is we have several city and state competitive districts here
Tue Jun 17, 2014, 03:23 PM
Jun 2014

and that might help to drive turnout.

NY is notorious for low turnout.

MineralMan

(146,288 posts)
6. In Minnesota, we may have a very close race for the Governor's office.
Tue Jun 17, 2014, 03:07 PM
Jun 2014

Mark Dayton, our Governor, won with a tiny margin and had to get through a recount. It looks better for Al Franken, though, in his Senate race. Even though he also won his office only after a long, long recount, he seems to have gained in popularity during his term, and should win without too much trouble.

A lot will depend on Democratic turnout. That's why everyone in the DFL Party organization here in Minnesota is committed to a strong GOTV effort for November.

In my own legislative districts, both state and federal, our incumbents, all progressive Democrats, will win going away.

GOTV 2014, wherever you are. Someone's depending on you.

MineralMan

(146,288 posts)
18. He still needs a strong Democratic turnout, though.
Tue Jun 17, 2014, 03:16 PM
Jun 2014

His re-election isn't a lock, by any means. If we have a poor turnout by Democrats, he could lose, and so could Governor Dayton. We all have to work hard to make sure that doesn't happen.

Complacency and apathy are not options in this election.

Seeking Serenity

(2,840 posts)
10. We do. A couple at least.
Tue Jun 17, 2014, 03:10 PM
Jun 2014

The Senate race between Pryor and Cotton will be close, I predict. So too the governor's race between former congressmen Mike Ross (D) and Asa Hutchinson (R), although I think both Ds will prevail in the end.

And I have no idea about the 2nd District congressional race between former NLR mayor Patrick Henry Hays (D) and banker and arts patron French Hill (R).

DrDan

(20,411 posts)
15. right here - scott vs Crist - statistical dead-heat right now
Tue Jun 17, 2014, 03:14 PM
Jun 2014

appears Crist has lost his double-digit lead . . . and scott and a pile of $$$$$$$$$$$

bad news for us Floridians

DrDan

(20,411 posts)
33. so do most of us who live in Florida
Tue Jun 17, 2014, 03:30 PM
Jun 2014

cannot understand why anyone would vote for that felon, except that he is an R . . .

n2doc

(47,953 posts)
38. I don't think there are runoffs in the general, just the primaries
Tue Jun 17, 2014, 04:12 PM
Jun 2014

hoping Kingston wins the GOP primary in the Senate, he polls far worse against Nunn than does Perdue.

TBF

(32,056 posts)
29. More like hoping for a miracle -
Tue Jun 17, 2014, 03:24 PM
Jun 2014

really hoping Wendy Davis can put some better percentages on the chart even if she doesn't win. We may not be quite their demographically (info I've seen in the past indicate we've got to get to 2020-24 before the demographics really trend more in our favor - dinos dying off and young hispanic vote rising).

On a positive note the latin community here loves Hillary Clinton, so there's that.

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