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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsJanet Yellen is putting banks and everyone else in the financial world on notice
David Jolly ?@davjolly 4hJanet Yellen "thinks interest rate policy is a poor substitute for good regulation," @Neil_Irwin writes http://t.co/PuqsufP8Zn
____ First, many Fed critics view too-low interest rates during the mid-2000s as a crucial factor behind the housing and credit bubble that popped so disastrously beginning in 2007. Sure, higher interest rates in 2003 to 2006 might have slowed the rate of home price growth, Ms. Yellen concedes. But, she adds, the magnitude of this effect would likely have been modest relative to the substantial momentum in these prices over the period but the job losses and higher interest payments associated with higher interest rates would have directly weakened households ability to repay previous debts, suggesting that a sizable tightening may have mitigated vulnerabilities in household balance sheets only modestly.
Moreover, she argues higher interest rates would have done nothing to address some important points of vulnerability in the pre-crisis financial system, such as excessive leverage in the worlds largest banks.
She doesnt absolutely rule out using interest rate policy as a tool to combat financial excess, while making clear it is a less than optimal option. But with her speech on Wednesday, Ms. Yellen is putting banks and everyone else in the financial world on notice: The Fed is not going to protect you from making mistakes. It is just going to try to ensure that if you do make them, the rest of us wont pay the consequences.
Yes, the Yellen Fed will raise interest rates one day, (projections from the policy makers point to that day being in 2015). But they will probably do so because the United States economy is getting back on its feet, not to lean against the winds of markets . . .
read: http://t.co/PuqsufP8Zn
MannyGoldstein
(34,589 posts)There's a new talk in Washington these days, thanks to Warren. Hopefully it will be followed up by action.
bigtree
(85,998 posts). . . thank you, Elizabeth Warren and President Obama (who actually nominated Yellen)!
Tetris_Iguana
(501 posts)is the day the easy money bubble pops.
And I doubt the .01% will be affected nearly as much as the rest of us.
frazzled
(18,402 posts)Dodd-Frank was the law that requires banks to hold more capital. Stress tests were, of course, the rallying cry of the reviled Timothy Geithner, who advocated "forcing all the banks to undergo "stress tests" that would reveal how much of a capital shortfall they had."
Janet Yellen is simply holding fast to the policies put in place by the Obama administration and Congressional Democrats. Thanks, guys.
bigtree
(85,998 posts)onethatcares
(16,172 posts)to read that gobbledeegook and got a headache five paragraphs in.
macroprudential bullshit on an immense scale if you ask me.
Maybe if the freaking banks couldn't borrow money from the U. S. Treasury at 0% interest and loan it to us suckers
at 8.9% until the hidden rate change occurs, we'd be in a much better place.
Just the backdrop of that meeting looks scary for the working class.
bigtree
(85,998 posts). . . it's a good representation of how much of our nation's finances are involved in things which most Americans can't touch, much less fathom. IMF gobbledygook is scary, if just for the depth and breath of it which is designed to be out of average American's control.
She has offered some new ideas on controlling the rate of investments and loans; especially during periods of instability.
The Magistrate
(95,247 posts)Violators need to forfeit their gains and go to jail.
bigtree
(85,998 posts). . . but Yellen did agree earlier in the year to Warren's (and others') request that the Fed weigh in more on enforcement matters. That eye to enforcement is coupled with the Yellen Fed considering more stringent trading rules.
'Enforcement' for the Fed involves a vote from the 5-member panel, and they did finally meet in April for the first time since 2010 . . .
Warren and Cummings, the top Democrat on the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee, made a case for changes in a Feb. 11 letter to Yellen: http://goo.gl/vJnSuF