Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

geardaddy

(24,931 posts)
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 12:02 PM Aug 2014

Climate scientist drops the F-bomb after startling Arctic discovery

http://www.salon.com/2014/08/06/climate_scientist_drops_the_f_bomb_after_startling_arctic_discovery/?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=socialflow
There’s nothing like Twitter to take a complicated issue and force you to break it down to its essence. In a case where scientists in the Arctic discovered massive plumes of methane escaping from the seafloor, climatologist and Arctic expert Jason Box sums that essence up thusly:


The study concerns the large deposits of methane (CH4) — a greenhouse gas over twenty times more potent than CO2 — known to be buried beneath the Arctic. Stockholm University researchers found that some of that methane is leaking, and even making it to the ocean’s surface. They called the discovery “somewhat of a surprise,” which, according to Box, doesn’t quite communicate its importance. Motherboard senior editor Brian Merchant, sensing an opportunity to speak climate in more accessible language, followed up with Box, who stood by his assertion (and use of foul language):

“Even if a small fraction of the Arctic carbon were released to the atmosphere, we’re fucked,” he told me. What alarmed him was that ”the methane bubbles were reaching the surface. That was something new in my survey of methane bubbles,” he said.

“The conventional thought is that the bubbles would be dissolved before they reached the surface and that microorganisms would consume that methane, and that’s normal,” Box went on. But if the plumes are making it to the surface, that’s a brand new source of heat-trapping gases that we need to worry about.

“The Arctic is our most immediate carbon concern,” Box said, referring also to the CH4 escaping from the melting permafrost. But the sentiment can be expanded to all of climate change:

“We’re on a trajectory to an unmanageable heating scenario, and we need to get off it,” he said. “We’re fucked at a certain point, right? It just becomes unmanageable. The climate dragon is being poked, and eventually the dragon becomes pissed off enough to trash the place.”

More at link
80 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Climate scientist drops the F-bomb after startling Arctic discovery (Original Post) geardaddy Aug 2014 OP
These plumes have been going for years, so how exactly is this a surprise? redqueen Aug 2014 #1
Because not everyone is aware of it. gtar100 Aug 2014 #3
Point me to where I said it was a "non issue" - oh that's right you can't, cause I didn't. redqueen Aug 2014 #4
No you didn't, but your comments left me with that impression. gtar100 Aug 2014 #7
Yeah, by 'not news' I meant it's OLD news. redqueen Aug 2014 #11
maybe you should read the actual post santroy79 Aug 2014 #71
In the story you cited, the bubbles weren't reaching the surface. Jim__ Aug 2014 #15
OMG this is so frustrating redqueen Aug 2014 #22
According to the expert, the bubbles reaching the surface is what is new, at least to him. Jim__ Aug 2014 #25
I'm so over these kinds of 'discussions'. redqueen Aug 2014 #26
You asked what was new. The story explicitly stated what was new. Jim__ Aug 2014 #28
Oh my god. redqueen Aug 2014 #29
No good look to you! stonecutter357 Aug 2014 #30
I pointed that out in the other thread she links too and she seems upset by what I don't know, neverforget Aug 2014 #56
One BIG frustration I have with DU demwing Aug 2014 #42
One HUGE fucking problem I have with humans who have access to information redqueen Aug 2014 #44
Thank you demwing Aug 2014 #45
No, I didn't "know first". This is not a fucking contest. redqueen Aug 2014 #47
Everyone in this thread has tried to deal with you objectively demwing Aug 2014 #51
LOL, "everyone in this thread"... redqueen Aug 2014 #52
No, NOT "Fucking hell" demwing Aug 2014 #54
Your last article presented as "fact" regarding the methane release NM_Birder Aug 2014 #77
One problem I have is this new meaning of the word hipster navarth Aug 2014 #59
FYI - I'm 51 years old demwing Aug 2014 #75
You can try to correct him, but you would have limited success. navarth Aug 2014 #79
Try reading AlbertCat Aug 2014 #60
:( snagglepuss Aug 2014 #2
Before I read this post... Don't tell me!! The scientist said "We're fucked." Ok, I'll now go ChisolmTrailDem Aug 2014 #5
very sadly reccing. BlancheSplanchnik Aug 2014 #6
I guess it needs to be plugged up Jack Rabbit Aug 2014 #8
Head down pscot Aug 2014 #48
It cannot be "plugged up". Period. nt Bernardo de La Paz Aug 2014 #62
Huh? Phlem Aug 2014 #9
" Kind of makes all the arguing about politics seem small compared to this. " redqueen Aug 2014 #12
Exactly. Louisiana1976 Aug 2014 #32
We're fucked...yup, that sums it up...knr joeybee12 Aug 2014 #10
Relax Socialistlemur Aug 2014 #16
Not panicing tazkcmo Aug 2014 #19
need twitter & blogs? - Maher video Duppers Aug 2014 #34
This, pretty much. AverageJoe90 Aug 2014 #39
I think Box is pretty impressive- He's been doing this for 20+ years Marrah_G Aug 2014 #50
Yep, let's just sit back and relax and wait to see if this is a real problem. MH1 Aug 2014 #78
Meanwhile, we're fracking the Earth to get methane KamaAina Aug 2014 #13
The lazy idiots doing the cost-benefit analysis redqueen Aug 2014 #14
Lazy idiots is a bit much The2ndWheel Aug 2014 #21
I disagree with your opinions. nt redqueen Aug 2014 #24
"Civilization or not" blackspade Aug 2014 #74
Define civilization tazkcmo Aug 2014 #80
Because it costs a ton of money Socialistlemur Aug 2014 #18
It's too diffuse and too remote. GliderGuider Aug 2014 #20
You mean it's "too costly"? Trillo Aug 2014 #36
No, I mean "impossible with current technology." nt GliderGuider Aug 2014 #70
Here's the difference tazkcmo Aug 2014 #17
The conventional thought is right Socialistlemur Aug 2014 #23
Please define "trash the place"... vkkv Aug 2014 #27
8° C increase in temperature leads to: tclambert Aug 2014 #31
"Near term Human Extinction" (15 years?) = We're Fucked mackdaddy Aug 2014 #33
Guy McPherson? Are you honestly serious? AverageJoe90 Aug 2014 #38
Glad to know I am a dumbass. mackdaddy Aug 2014 #40
"Glad to know I am a dumbass." I didn't say or imply that, TBH. AverageJoe90 Aug 2014 #41
Oil companies could try to capture that methane Trillo Aug 2014 #35
Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Aug 2014 #37
On the upside. demwing Aug 2014 #43
Silver lining! deurbano Aug 2014 #49
Everyone should see him in the documentary "Chasing Ice" nt Marrah_G Aug 2014 #46
We need a president and a Congress who understand science. JDPriestly Aug 2014 #53
you don't think obama understands or cares? the urgency may be debatable but the certainot Aug 2014 #57
Clinton signed the Telecommunications Act that allows Republican wealthy and corporations JDPriestly Aug 2014 #63
the fairness doctrine was the key to allowing those radio stations to be used as certainot Aug 2014 #65
Yes. Thanks. JDPriestly Aug 2014 #67
His support of "clean coal" and expanding off shore oil exploration says otherwise. progressoid Aug 2014 #64
push dems left by challenging the right's best weapon certainot Aug 2014 #66
Talk radio is not stopping Obama and the other corporate Dems from opposing fossil fuels. progressoid Aug 2014 #68
it's politics and environmental groups give oil/coal radio a free speech free ride and certainot Aug 2014 #76
The oceans can dissolve a lot of gas. When the pressure of the gas overtakes the strength forces DhhD Aug 2014 #55
I attended an IPCC lecture; greiner3 Aug 2014 #58
Forever, from no onwards, whenever anyone denies science for political gain, Bernardo de La Paz Aug 2014 #61
Fuck yeah! Cha Aug 2014 #69
This is the result of corporate rule. Enthusiast Aug 2014 #72
Great. Thanks Petro companies for blocking climate legislation. blackspade Aug 2014 #73

redqueen

(115,103 posts)
1. These plumes have been going for years, so how exactly is this a surprise?
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 12:05 PM
Aug 2014

From 2009:


It's been predicted for years, and now it's happening. Deep in the Arctic Ocean, water warmed by climate change is forcing the release of methane from beneath the sea floor.

Over 250 plumes of gas have been discovered bubbling up from the sea floor to the west of the Svalbard archipelago, which lies north of Norway. The bubbles are mostly methane, which is a greenhouse gas much more powerful than carbon dioxide.

The methane is probably coming from reserves of methane hydrate beneath the sea bed. These hydrates, also known as clathrates, are water ice with methane molecules embedded in them.

The methane plumes were discovered by an expedition aboard the research ship James Clark Ross, led by Graham Westbrook of the University of Birmingham and Tim Minshull of the National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, both in the UK.
...

http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn17625-as-arctic-ocean-warms-megatonnes-of-methane-bubble-up.html



Yes, we are f'd, but it is hardly news.

gtar100

(4,192 posts)
3. Because not everyone is aware of it.
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 12:31 PM
Aug 2014

Just because you are and have been for several years doesn't make this a non-issue. That's your personal relationship to the story. Now if you don't want anyone else to know, go ahead and say so.

redqueen

(115,103 posts)
4. Point me to where I said it was a "non issue" - oh that's right you can't, cause I didn't.
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 12:33 PM
Aug 2014

Might want to try reading my post again.

One thing that really fucking pisses me off is how little attention most people pay to this issue.

gtar100

(4,192 posts)
7. No you didn't, but your comments left me with that impression.
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 01:11 PM
Aug 2014

... "hardly news" Okay, it seems contradictory (to me at least) to say that when you want more people to know. Isn't the point that people really need to hear this stuff? And I think it is very relevant to today which very much makes it news.

The issue of methane as a greenhouse gas is not really common knowledge. And its potential level of danger to our ecosystem, from the reports I've heard, are alarming. Sadly, the real knuckleheads who need to hear this stuff have financial ties to the oil and gas industry or other industries that recklessly pollute our world. And just hearing about it is only the first step. So repeat, repeat, repeat as often as necessary. Put it into different words and different contexts. If the scientists are correct (and why should anyone second guess them except out of self-interest), this should be life-changing information.

I'll get off my soap box now. It's clear you care too and there was a misunderstanding of meaning in the words chosen.

redqueen

(115,103 posts)
11. Yeah, by 'not news' I meant it's OLD news.
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 02:06 PM
Aug 2014

Where was all this alarm and coverage years ago?

When these reports were ignored back then, I pretty much gave up hope.

 

santroy79

(193 posts)
71. maybe you should read the actual post
Fri Aug 8, 2014, 07:01 AM
Aug 2014

its news because now its reached the surface

"But if the plumes are making it to the surface, that’s a brand new source of heat-trapping gases that we need to worry about."




it even says its normal with the bubbles but now its escaping. So maybe you should be pissed at yourself for not reading....geez the hatred

Jim__

(14,083 posts)
15. In the story you cited, the bubbles weren't reaching the surface.
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 02:24 PM
Aug 2014
None of the plumes the team saw reached the surface, so the methane was not escaping into the atmosphere and thus contributing to climate change – not in that area, at least. "Bigger bubbles of methane make it all the way to the top, but smaller ones dissolve," says Minshull.

Just because it fails to reach the surface doesn't mean the methane is harmless, though, as some of it gets converted to carbon dioxide. The CO2 then dissolves in seawater and makes the oceans more acidic

Jim__

(14,083 posts)
25. According to the expert, the bubbles reaching the surface is what is new, at least to him.
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 02:50 PM
Aug 2014
“Even if a small fraction of the Arctic carbon were released to the atmosphere, we’re fucked,” he told me. What alarmed him was that ”the methane bubbles were reaching the surface. That was something new in my survey of methane bubbles,” he said.


redqueen

(115,103 posts)
26. I'm so over these kinds of 'discussions'.
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 02:53 PM
Aug 2014

Either you care enough to educate yourself or you don't. Do as you like.

Jim__

(14,083 posts)
28. You asked what was new. The story explicitly stated what was new.
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 02:58 PM
Aug 2014

The story you cited explicitly stated they had not seen that.

neverforget

(9,437 posts)
56. I pointed that out in the other thread she links too and she seems upset by what I don't know,
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 10:43 PM
Aug 2014

but we all agree that this is a big fucking deal.

 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
42. One BIG frustration I have with DU
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 08:52 PM
Aug 2014

Is this hipster "I knew about that years ago" attitude some posters wave around. It can be charming (but a little sad) when it's just reaching, but damned obnoxious when it's derogatory.

May the universe save us from those who are just too fucking awesome for the rest of us.

redqueen

(115,103 posts)
44. One HUGE fucking problem I have with humans who have access to information
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 09:09 PM
Aug 2014

is their propensity to claim to care about things while not actually bothering to educate themselves about those things, instead choosing to debate fucking semantics - or worse, sidestep the issue entirely in favor of trying to score internet tough guy points using petty, personal bullshit.

Too bad the universe can't save us from people who have better things to do than learn.

 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
45. Thank you
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 09:23 PM
Aug 2014

for driving home my point.

You seem to think that since you knew first, you care more. Fine, you're smart, with great compassion. Try to apply some of those skills to your conversations on DU.

redqueen

(115,103 posts)
47. No, I didn't "know first". This is not a fucking contest.
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 09:30 PM
Aug 2014

I wish I understood what the hell it is that makes some people treat it like one.

In case you're still confused about my statements, I'm not trying to be a "hipster" I am genuinely fucking pissed at how little people seem to know about what is literally the single most important issue we face.

I'm pissed AT THE SITUATION. I'm pissed at THE MEDIA for treating this aspect of climate change the same as they always have treated this issue. I didn't get pissed at any individual until this became some kind of fucking game.

It sickens me that people can read about this seriously important issue and somehow manage to still want to get down in the mud and take shit personally/make shit personal. But some people are ALL ABOUT ego, I guess.

 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
51. Everyone in this thread has tried to deal with you objectively
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 09:46 PM
Aug 2014

But I guess we just missed the point. All your "OMGing" and "I'm so over these kinds of 'discussions'" comments weren't a reflection of your ego, they were about everyone else's ego.

Again, thanks are in order.

 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
54. No, NOT "Fucking hell"
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 10:06 PM
Aug 2014

roll your eyes all you like, but everyone that interacted with you acted objectively and diplomatically.

You could say "everyone except demwing" which I will gladly admit.

 

NM_Birder

(1,591 posts)
77. Your last article presented as "fact" regarding the methane release
Fri Aug 8, 2014, 11:20 AM
Aug 2014


uses the word "plausible" in every example.

Did you know that in order to be "fact", it cannot be "plausible" ?

navarth

(5,927 posts)
59. One problem I have is this new meaning of the word hipster
Fri Aug 8, 2014, 12:03 AM
Aug 2014

like it's derogatory. I've run into it with young people who tell me that now hipster is a BAD thing.

I don't get you guys at all.

Off topic, though.

 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
75. FYI - I'm 51 years old
Fri Aug 8, 2014, 10:37 AM
Aug 2014

but, I picked up the newly redefined term from my teenage son, who says he has never heard the word used as a compliment.

Words change, right? Shit happens.

navarth

(5,927 posts)
79. You can try to correct him, but you would have limited success.
Fri Aug 8, 2014, 12:41 PM
Aug 2014

I speak from experience.

At the very least, we don't have to repeat their shit. Of course the word might not be as important to you as it is to me.

Seems to me the word 'liberal' was made bad for a while there. Not saying they're equivalent, but still an interesting coincidence.

And how about some clowns using the word 'boomer' as a pejorative? Some words we fight back on. I guess for me, hipster is one of those words.

Not that my opinion should matter to you.

And now please back to our regularly scheduled discussion.......

 

AlbertCat

(17,505 posts)
60. Try reading
Fri Aug 8, 2014, 12:33 AM
Aug 2014

“The conventional thought is that the bubbles would be dissolved before they reached the surface and that microorganisms would consume that methane, and that’s normal,” Box went on. But if the plumes are making it to the surface, that’s a brand new source of heat-trapping gases that we need to worry about.

 

ChisolmTrailDem

(9,463 posts)
5. Before I read this post... Don't tell me!! The scientist said "We're fucked." Ok, I'll now go
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 12:35 PM
Aug 2014

read to see if I was right.

Edit to follow: ...

Jack Rabbit

(45,984 posts)
8. I guess it needs to be plugged up
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 01:45 PM
Aug 2014

Let's put oil and coal barons to good use. I don't think a little Dutch boy's finger is going to be sufficient for this one.

Phlem

(6,323 posts)
9. Huh?
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 01:58 PM
Aug 2014

"“The conventional thought is that the bubbles would be dissolved before they reached the surface and that microorganisms would consume that methane,"

That's the first time I've heard that. All the Scientific American articles and other indicate methane will reach the surface and fuck us all.



Kind of makes all the arguing about politics seem small compared to this.

Socialistlemur

(770 posts)
16. Relax
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 02:30 PM
Aug 2014

The referenced article is just a little column in salon.com...and the author's credentials aren't really that impressive. Regarding the Dr Jason Box quotes, they are from Twitter. Nowadays young scientists try to use twitter and blogs to get their names out in the media. Putting out a twitter set of comments like this gives the guy a lot of coverage. But it's fairly meaningless.

Regarding the science, sea floor methane emissions are fairly common in some areas. And depending on water temperature and water depth the methane can be consumed by bacteria as it ascends through the water column.

If the methane is bubbling through a single breach in sea floor sediments then the bubbles can reach the surface. Methane leaks are much more frequent where the sediments have generated natural gas, and in some places they are very common (for example, the Gulf of Mexico, the Atlantic offshore Trinidad, the Caspian Sea, and of course in the seas surrounding the Arctic Ocean).

What I tend to notice is that ongoing natural phenomena tend to be used to throw the public into a panic. The Arctic does need careful study and observation, and if the world were to warm a lot more it could cause serious hassles to people living close to the coast (sea level will definitely rise). However, this isn't that big a deal at this time. Every summer we see this type of article, but this is well known and documented.

tazkcmo

(7,300 posts)
19. Not panicing
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 02:33 PM
Aug 2014

But this is not old news. Methane bubbles, yes. Making it to the surface and entering the atmosphere? Pretty new.

 

AverageJoe90

(10,745 posts)
39. This, pretty much.
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 06:46 PM
Aug 2014

BTW, you may find this article by Andrew Revkin interesting.

Here, you can also read about in the Good Reads section, if you'd like:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/101699386

Marrah_G

(28,581 posts)
50. I think Box is pretty impressive- He's been doing this for 20+ years
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 09:45 PM
Aug 2014

At 41 and with his experience I would NOT say about him:

"Young scientists try to use twitter and blogs to get their names out in the media. Putting out a twitter set of comments like this gives the guy a lot of coverage. But it's fairly meaningless. "

He is leading the Dark Ice study, was featured in the documentary "Chasing Ice" which I thought was great and in Rollingstone.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jason_Box

http://bprc.osu.edu/wiki/Jason_Box_Professional_Bio

http://darksnowproject.org/

MH1

(17,607 posts)
78. Yep, let's just sit back and relax and wait to see if this is a real problem.
Fri Aug 8, 2014, 11:26 AM
Aug 2014

I'm sure if it really turns into a problem and lots of people need to migrate from the coasts or wherever, other civilized areas will happily and peacefully absorb the immigrants. Not a big deal at all.



 

KamaAina

(78,249 posts)
13. Meanwhile, we're fracking the Earth to get methane
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 02:18 PM
Aug 2014

in the form of natural gas. Why can't they find a way to recover this methane that's reaching the surface naturally?

redqueen

(115,103 posts)
14. The lazy idiots doing the cost-benefit analysis
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 02:21 PM
Aug 2014

don't take the destruction of our atmosphere into account. Just like they do with the pollution of the water supply.

The2ndWheel

(7,947 posts)
21. Lazy idiots is a bit much
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 02:35 PM
Aug 2014

If we ever actually took our destruction and/or disruption of the environment into the equation, and of course not only from a human perspective, we probably couldn't do anything. At least not to the scale that we want to do it to, both big and microscopic.

That's the real cost-benefit analysis. Civilization or not. If we want it, nothing can really stand in the way. If we don't, well we'll have plenty of issues there too.

blackspade

(10,056 posts)
74. "Civilization or not"
Fri Aug 8, 2014, 09:04 AM
Aug 2014

So it's a zero sum issue for you?

Really?

What kind of civilization are we talking about here?

tazkcmo

(7,300 posts)
80. Define civilization
Sat Aug 9, 2014, 11:13 AM
Aug 2014

I don't think shitting in your back yard is civilized. I don't think destroying the very thing you depend on to live is civilized. And I really don't believe it's an either or situation.

Socialistlemur

(770 posts)
18. Because it costs a ton of money
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 02:32 PM
Aug 2014

It's not really that much gas, and it's released in relatively short lived bursts of bubbles which don't really amount to much. If people are worried about methane they ought to start sorting their garbage and advocate methane capture in their local organic garbage dump.

 

GliderGuider

(21,088 posts)
20. It's too diffuse and too remote.
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 02:35 PM
Aug 2014

So we can't capture it and we can't transport it even if we could capture it.

They are, however, planning on mining seafloor methane hydrates. Oh joy.

http://science.howstuffworks.com/environmental/green-tech/energy-production/frozen-fuel4.htm

tazkcmo

(7,300 posts)
17. Here's the difference
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 02:31 PM
Aug 2014

From the article:

"Even if a small fraction of the Arctic carbon were released to the atmosphere, we’re fucked,” he told me. What alarmed him was that ”the methane bubbles were reaching the surface. That was something new in my survey of methane bubbles,” he said.

“The conventional thought is that the bubbles would be dissolved before they reached the surface and that microorganisms would consume that methane, and that’s normal,”
Box went on. But if the plumes are making it to the surface, that’s a brand new source of heat-trapping gases that we need to worry about.

Emphasis mine

Socialistlemur

(770 posts)
23. The conventional thought is right
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 02:38 PM
Aug 2014

However, a high volume methane leak through a sediment layer on or just beneath the sea floor and in shallow water (or in a swamp) can allow the methane to reach the surface. When it does on land it can catch fire. I suspect that started fire worshipper religions in the Paleolithic and Neolithic. When it happens offshore it can be large enough for bubbles to reach the surface, but that's rare and short lived (the layer releasing the methane depletes, this lowers the rate, and the bacteria eat what comes out quite nicely).

 

vkkv

(3,384 posts)
27. Please define "trash the place"...
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 02:56 PM
Aug 2014

Ocean levels increased 100 ft?

That certainly would change some things..

mackdaddy

(1,528 posts)
33. "Near term Human Extinction" (15 years?) = We're Fucked
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 05:35 PM
Aug 2014

There are some "extremist" climate scientist who believe that we have set off a series of natural climate cycles that are UN-stoppable, and the climate is in the first stages of a rapid extreme warming. Methane released directly into the atmosphere is up to 100 times more "effective" as a green house gas than Carbon dioxide. There is a fairly massive amount of methane frozen in "hydrates" under the arctic ocean and arctic tundra. If we have warmed the arctic enough to start the methane hydrates melting and releasing the methane directly into the atmosphere, then we humans can do nothing to stop global warming. Even if we stopped burning all fossil fuels, global warming would continue to intensify. This warming causing more warming is the positive self accelerating feedback loops. There are many of these, the methane release, and melting arctic sea ice are two of the most important.

So if this theory is true, we could see massive climate warming an resulting effects not in 75 or 100 years but in 10 or 20 years. Warming and more acidic oceans would kill most of the plankton, and nearly all sea life. Warmer oceans would also mean regular cat 5 hurricanes/typhoons. 0f winters and 100f summers with extended period of drought followed by flooding storms would wipe out crops and return dust bowl days, and global famine. Forests drying and burning up, massive mudslides, temperature extremes. No food and water means massive civil unrest to the point of lord of the flies.

Dr. Guy McPherson http://guymcpherson.com/ is one of the major climate scientist pushing this extreme view. Most of the discussion on his website is a bit over my head, but he had a couple of good interviews with Thomm Hartmann available on you-tube which were a bit more direct. His message is basically it is too late, and we have triggered the end of humanity. So live a good life of what time humanity has left.

I am certainly not a climate scientist, and I really hope these people are wrong. But, if it is even a remote possibility that humanity is in hospice, might that not be a little bit important? How many climate scientist have to say "we're fucked" to make that a scientific certainty.

http://systemchangenotclimatechange.org/article/melting-polar-ice-caps-ticking-timebomb-earths-climate-system

REM "Its the end of the world as we know it"




 

AverageJoe90

(10,745 posts)
38. Guy McPherson? Are you honestly serious?
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 06:32 PM
Aug 2014

I'm sorry to come across as harsh, but hobody who's done any genuine research on this subject takes this lunatic seriously. At all.

If you want some real information, I'd like to suggest Skeptical Science, or Andrew Revkin's DotEarth blog over at the NYTimes(warning: Revkin may be a tad too optimistic for some tastes, to be truthful). Guys like McPherson are doing nothing but dragging us down, and (unwittingly, perhaps) giving ammo to the Koch Bros. and the other funders of denialism to paint us all in a bad light. And believe me, we DON'T need that now.

 

AverageJoe90

(10,745 posts)
41. "Glad to know I am a dumbass." I didn't say or imply that, TBH.
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 08:26 PM
Aug 2014

But we do need to be careful not to get suckered in to someone's game, just because said source happens to be alternative, or "edgy", or whatever the case may be. It never hurts to take stuff with a grain of salt sometimes....just saying.

Trillo

(9,154 posts)
35. Oil companies could try to capture that methane
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 06:14 PM
Aug 2014

before it reaches the surface, it would at least be some good press for an industry so Koch'd. Seems like all they'd need to do is find the ocean floor plumes, where they start, and put a funnel over them, with a hose to the surface to collect the gas. Then, resell it as natural gas, so at least it gets burned before release.

 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
43. On the upside.
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 09:04 PM
Aug 2014

my upcoming lifetime of student loan repaymemts seem suddenly less oppressive.

Perhaps that's due to a drastic redefining of the term "lifetime."

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
53. We need a president and a Congress who understand science.
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 09:55 PM
Aug 2014

Please. Please. Please. Or at least math.

That's why I am backing Elizabeth Warren. She at least understands numbers. We can't afford another president who doesn't really understand what risks we are taking with our slow movement toward alternative energy.

 

certainot

(9,090 posts)
57. you don't think obama understands or cares? the urgency may be debatable but the
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 11:19 PM
Aug 2014

motherfuckers sabotaged carters reelection, started wars, and have done a lot more than that to maintain their status quo.

i just heard the local dumbass on the limbaugh station, endorsed by the U of NM lobos, bring on two professional GW deniers for an hour for a veery friendly interview. it happens all the time in all states (these guests and others travel the talk radio circuit) and their sponsoring think tanks probably pay the radio stations payola style.

and they reach tens of thousands of commuters in the afternoon.

they left a few minutes at the end of the show for callers and i happened to get through (they must have forgotten the last time i got through a year or so ago) so i said "hi folks i was just thinking how in ten or even just five years from now the work you're doing to delay action on global warming might be considered treasonous", then i got cut off.

other than a few people getting through once in a lucky while, partly because of call screening and partly because it's completely ignored by the people whose asses it's kicking, they rule the airwaves reaching 50 mil a week.

until that gets fixed good luck getting warren or sanders or any major reforms.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
63. Clinton signed the Telecommunications Act that allows Republican wealthy and corporations
Fri Aug 8, 2014, 01:27 AM
Aug 2014

to buy lots and lots of media.

 

certainot

(9,090 posts)
65. the fairness doctrine was the key to allowing those radio stations to be used as
Fri Aug 8, 2014, 01:39 AM
Aug 2014

a coordinated lying machine. they already had a lot of those stations before clinton and they used them to push him right and force compromise, thanks to the left ignoring it. media consolidation just allowed them to reduce the number or republican owners who might have decided to switch programming when they figured it was bullshit.

they could have had all the stations in the world but the fairness doctrine would have prevented the psyops it is now.

progressoid

(49,999 posts)
64. His support of "clean coal" and expanding off shore oil exploration says otherwise.
Fri Aug 8, 2014, 01:28 AM
Aug 2014
Climate Failure: U.S. Passes Saudi Arabia As World’s Largest Oil Producer

Is President Obama’s “all of the above” energy policy a success? Or a climate failure?

A report issued recently by Bank of America declared the United States has now surpassed Saudi Arabia as the world’s largest oil producer. The daily output average for the first quarter of 2104 exceeded 11 million barrels, a significant increase from the previous quarters’ (Sept-Dec 2013) average of 7 million barrels, according to the International Energy Agency.

The expansion of domestic oil production in the U.S. has been significant under President Obama, supported by his “all of the above” — or rather the American Petroleum Institute's “all of the above” — energy strategy which has overseen a four-fold increase in drilling rigs under his administration.

http://www.desmogblog.com/2014/07/19/climate-failure-u-s-passes-saudi-arabia-world-s-largest-oil-producer

 

certainot

(9,090 posts)
66. push dems left by challenging the right's best weapon
Fri Aug 8, 2014, 01:43 AM
Aug 2014

there will be no rational national discussion of energy and global warming or any other major issue as long as the left ignores talk radio

progressoid

(49,999 posts)
68. Talk radio is not stopping Obama and the other corporate Dems from opposing fossil fuels.
Fri Aug 8, 2014, 02:11 AM
Aug 2014

They willingly support oil.

There will be no rational national discussion of energy and global warming with Democrats that only give lip service to green energy.

 

certainot

(9,090 posts)
76. it's politics and environmental groups give oil/coal radio a free speech free ride and
Fri Aug 8, 2014, 10:53 AM
Aug 2014

have been for 25 years.

i went to a 365 protest some years back with 500 other people to a state capitol protest and there was NO local media coverage in the major papers TV. if 50 of those had gone to the state radio station, or to the university putting it's logo on that station to help it sell global warming denial, it would have made a bigger impact.

it's total bullshit that our orgs are getttting their asses kicked an dwaste so much of our donations and activism because NONE of them even try to address the talk radio problem. OWS is another missed opportunity for exactly the same reason.

and dem or republican, they're trying to get elected and some democrats actually try. their position and strength to push a sane agenda is directly up against a massive fossil powered MIC and their LOON servants represented by the loon party which is informed, motivated and ordered in large part by a talk radio psyops.

the oil thing goes way back and is big money in politics. but the left has been useless trying to push ANY major reform the last 25 years precisely because they let a few hundred blowhards on 1000 very loud soapboxes kick their ass around and take free potshots all day at their candidates and issues.

my call to that radio station, where their lies and disinformation get challenged in real time happens so infrequently it's pitiful.

DhhD

(4,695 posts)
55. The oceans can dissolve a lot of gas. When the pressure of the gas overtakes the strength forces
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 10:22 PM
Aug 2014

of the water, the ocean can not keep the gas in solution any longer and it "boils" out or bubbles out.

As you know from a can of soft drink, when the liquid contents warms up, the CO2 bubbles come to the top surface and escape.

The ocean is heating up enough to allow the gas to bubble up and OUT of the sea water. The gas rises in the atmosphere to then trap more of the heat of sunlight. The sun's radiation deflects heat back to the Earth's surface which means more heat to the sea water (and land). It is a vicious heating loop that feeds on itself increasing the release of more gas and more heat.

Can it be stopped is the question. With top scientist saying we-Planet Earth is in a funk, I believe the partial pressures of each of the greenhouse gases are adding up to a huge Vapor Pressure at the surface of the oceans. Have we passed the vapor pressure tipping point?

 

greiner3

(5,214 posts)
58. I attended an IPCC lecture;
Thu Aug 7, 2014, 11:23 PM
Aug 2014

In 2008.

The lecturer stated that their recent report was damning enough (not to mention the newest report), but it did not contain estimates for one major category; methane releases from permafrost and also future mining of;

"Climate change impacts on methane hydrates

Huge amounts of methane are stored around the world in the sea floor in the form of solid methane hydrates. These hydrates represent a large energy reserve for humanity. Climate warming, however, could cause the hydrates to destabilize. The methane, a potent greenhouse gas, would escape unused into the atmosphere and could even accelerate climate change.

How methane ends up in the ocean

People have been burning coal, oil and natural gas for more than a hundred years. Methane hydrates, on the other hand, have only recently come under controversial discussion as a potential future energy source from the ocean. They represent a new and completely untapped reservoir of fossil fuel, because they contain, as their name suggests, immense amounts of methane, which is the main component of natural gas. Methane hydrates belong to a group of substances called clathrates – substances in which one molecule type forms a crystal-like cage structure and encloses another type of molecule. If the cage-forming molecule is water, it is called a hydrate. If the molecule trapped in the water cage is a gas, it is a gas hydrate, in this case methane hydrate.
Methane hydrates can only form under very specific physical, chemical and geological conditions. High water pressures and low temperatures provide the best conditions for methane hydrate formation. If the water is warm, however, the water pressure must be very high in order to press the water molecule into a clathrate cage. In this case, the hydrate only forms at great depths. If the water is very cold, the methane hydrates could conceivably form in shallower water depths, or even at atmospheric pressure. In the open ocean, where the average bottom-water temperatures are around 2 to 4 degrees Celsius, methane hydrates occur starting at depths of around 500 metres."

We're fucked, worse, if mining the hydrates begins.

Bernardo de La Paz

(49,045 posts)
61. Forever, from no onwards, whenever anyone denies science for political gain,
Fri Aug 8, 2014, 01:13 AM
Aug 2014

Forever, from no onwards, whenever anyone denies science for political gain, point them at all the damage caused by the delays the climate deniers engineered with their roadblocks to public policy.

Never let a science denier hurt us like the climate change deniers have.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Climate scientist drops t...