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Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 03:48 PM Aug 2014

When presented with data about changing US demographics, liberal whites will move right

NY Times article.

Here's a snip:


The Great White Hope
MAY 20, 2014


<...>

Craig and Richeson’s second study, “On the Precipice of a ‘Majority-Minority’ America,” published last month, is even more directly relevant to the strategic choices facing Republicans. The authors found that whites – whether they called themselves liberals, centrists or conservatives — all moved to the right when exposed to the information about the approaching minority status of whites. This “suggests that the increasing diversity of the nation may engender a widening partisan divide,” Craig and Richeson write.

These findings led the two authors to observe that the future of the contemporary Republican Party may not be as bleak as some say. “Whites may be increasingly likely and motivated to support conservative candidates and policies in response to the changing racial demographics,” they write. “These results suggest that presumptions of the decline of the Republican Party due to the very same changing racial demographics may be premature.”

<...>

P.R.R.I. initially asked respondents a direct question: did they agree or disagree with the statement, “The idea of an America where most people are not white bothers me.” As you might expect, agreement was low, with just 13 percent saying they were bothered by the prospect of a majority-minority America. Then P.R.R.I. used a separate indirect technique to try to determine how many respondents were in fact disturbed by the growth of the minority population, but unwilling to admit it.

<...>

White Democrats, at 11 percent, were more circumspect than white Republicans, at 18 percent, when explicitly asked if they were bothered (see Figure 1). But the indirect response technique revealed another interesting fault line: The list experiment showed that a slightly higher percentage of white Democrats, 33 percent (compared to 30 percent of white Republicans), are bothered by the United States becoming a white minority nation.


http://www.nytimes.com/2014/05/21/opinion/edsall-the-great-white-hope.html?hp&rref=opinion
49 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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When presented with data about changing US demographics, liberal whites will move right (Original Post) Cali_Democrat Aug 2014 OP
What if we don't? gratuitous Aug 2014 #1
You read the entire article in two minutes? Cali_Democrat Aug 2014 #3
"bothered by the United States becoming a white minority nation" = NOT become more RW Vincardog Aug 2014 #9
how liberal were they before ? JI7 Aug 2014 #2
Guess is that many Democrats call themselves liberal but really never were. Dawgs Aug 2014 #4
Yup. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Aug 2014 #8
Perhaps that explains why Hillary is opening her big fat mouth. Maybe she thinks she can pull Liberal_Stalwart71 Aug 2014 #5
YUP DonCoquixote Aug 2014 #14
For some reason, breaking race into "white" and "non-white" annoys me. arcane1 Aug 2014 #6
Well, this liberal white has been saying for years that in time we'll all be the same color anyway. Arkansas Granny Aug 2014 #7
I am another granny, and I agree with you, Arkansas Granny! raging moderate Aug 2014 #11
I may be one of the few that's close, but I have these weird spots.... ;) moriah Aug 2014 #12
In elementary school, one of my kids noticed ... surrealAmerican Aug 2014 #15
My husband, who's a big science wonk, talks about dogs a lot, in this same vein. calimary Aug 2014 #32
I have known people (mostly redheads) whose skin was milk-white or pretty close to it. nomorenomore08 Aug 2014 #36
I tend to think of "white" people as "seasonally colored" ... eppur_se_muova Aug 2014 #47
My grandfather went from hiding his partial Irish Catholic ancestry... hunter Aug 2014 #38
One of the most homogenic species on the face of the Earth, and ... dawg Aug 2014 #10
True "liberals" would not give a shit about whether whites are a majority. Nye Bevan Aug 2014 #13
This time around, we agree wholeheartedly. nomorenomore08 Aug 2014 #37
Did they even poll millenials? JaneyVee Aug 2014 #16
Wait, they found a bunch of people who didn't already know this was happening? winter is coming Aug 2014 #17
I reject the thesis of this article. n/t Laelth Aug 2014 #18
Scientific evidence like this can be painful... Cali_Democrat Aug 2014 #19
The article doesn't support the conclusion DavidDvorkin Aug 2014 #20
+1. n/t winter is coming Aug 2014 #21
Reason number 4829408 why racism will simply not die Number23 Aug 2014 #22
I kinda remember something like that. bravenak Aug 2014 #43
A truly low moment on this web site. Not unsurprising in the least, but low as hell Number23 Aug 2014 #45
Oh, the articles NEVER say what they say. bravenak Aug 2014 #48
They must be 1 percenters!!1one! Number23 Aug 2014 #23
I just feel I'm becoming a bit obsolete. Starry Messenger Aug 2014 #24
I am certain that your open mind- and heart- will keep you forever relevant. bettyellen Aug 2014 #27
I hope so, thank you! :D Starry Messenger Aug 2014 #33
Oh hell no! That survey is bunk. bettyellen Aug 2014 #42
Some of us White Liberals Robbins Aug 2014 #25
I'm a liberal white woman married with children onecaliberal Aug 2014 #26
Since the writer is a fellow at the Hoover Institution among other things, I suspect he is wrong still_one Aug 2014 #28
The studies were conducted by two professors at Northwestern University in the Psych department Cali_Democrat Aug 2014 #29
Yes, it's important to read them since they don't support this story's conclusions. (nt) jeff47 Aug 2014 #34
Bullshit. nt valerief Aug 2014 #30
Most of us on DU (or that have a DU mindset) etherealtruth Aug 2014 #31
This white liberal can't wait until whites are the minority. BillZBubb Aug 2014 #35
Me too. This government by and for "old white men" has gotten way too calcified. n/t nomorenomore08 Aug 2014 #41
It reads like a conservative dreaming the White Strategy their party is invested in may still work herding cats Aug 2014 #39
and then there's this from the NY Times in 2012 LiberalElite Aug 2014 #40
Another pantload AgingAmerican Aug 2014 #44
WTF L0oniX Aug 2014 #46
I hear there is a bridge in Brooklyn for sale whistler162 Aug 2014 #49

gratuitous

(82,849 posts)
1. What if we don't?
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 03:51 PM
Aug 2014

What if liberal whites don't move to the right? Or some do and some don't? Will it all be attributable to white people losing majority status? Or will it be due to other factors? Will white liberals who don't get more conservative become traitors to their race? The New York Times paid someone for this bullshit.

Vincardog

(20,234 posts)
9. "bothered by the United States becoming a white minority nation" = NOT become more RW
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 04:14 PM
Aug 2014

This article is full of RW BS

JI7

(89,279 posts)
2. how liberal were they before ?
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 03:51 PM
Aug 2014

these are probably the types who are ok with some liberal laws within their own community when it comes to things like the environment , small businesses etc.

but when it comes to people of different backgrounds moving in their neighborhoods they get uncomfortable.

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
8. Yup.
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 04:09 PM
Aug 2014

When the word 'liberal' means nothing more than 'not a raving theocratic conservative', there's no surprise here.

 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
5. Perhaps that explains why Hillary is opening her big fat mouth. Maybe she thinks she can pull
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 04:01 PM
Aug 2014

Reagan Democrats and some of those PUMA white liberals who never really liked Obama anyway. If she can get enough of those, pull a good number of Hispanics, Independents and moderate, pro-war Republicans, she won't need us Negroes to win.

She and her team were able to exploit race during the 2007-2008 primaries once she started losing. Maybe her Southern Strategy tactic will help her.

DonCoquixote

(13,616 posts)
14. YUP
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 06:14 PM
Aug 2014

She and Bill were all the more willing to exploit racism when it suited them. Why do you think she supports Israel, because she knows the GOp has been trying to woo another Democrat stalwart, the Jews. Not that Jews are falling for it (as Noam Chomsky can tell you) but the overture is made that Democrats will not threaten the Mid east war machinewith Hillary in charge.

 

arcane1

(38,613 posts)
6. For some reason, breaking race into "white" and "non-white" annoys me.
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 04:01 PM
Aug 2014

There will still be more white people than any other kind of people. But by framing it as "white minority" it seems almost designed to make people think "more Latinos than whites" and thus affects how people might react.

Arkansas Granny

(31,535 posts)
7. Well, this liberal white has been saying for years that in time we'll all be the same color anyway.
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 04:06 PM
Aug 2014

That's what seems to be happening in my family, at any rate. In 4 generations we've gone from 100% Swedish to the inclusion of Native American, Asian and Hawaiian, among others. If my grandchildren and great grandchildren were to tally all of their ethnic roots, it would sound like a roll call at the UN. I see the same thing happening in many families I know.

raging moderate

(4,311 posts)
11. I am another granny, and I agree with you, Arkansas Granny!
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 04:27 PM
Aug 2014

And it will probably happen in the nick of time to save our descendants from the sun's increasing ultraviolet rays, etc.

The color "white" is a delusion, anyway. I believe that many white people have actual brain damage from the mental gymnastics required of them in early childhood, trying to look at their pale brown skin and "see" the color white there. Nobody is really white. When I worked with children in small groups, I used to place a piece of white paper on the beige table and put my beige hand across the paper and ask them, "What color is the table? What color is the paper? What color is my hand?" Then I would push the paper over in their direction. "And what color is your hand?" They were genuinely confused. The human race comes in various shades of brown. Some are pale or pinkish brown (beige?), some are medium brown(tan?), and some are deep brown (chocolate?). I took these synonyms out of my thesaurus, all under the listing for "brown." The shade differences have been exaggerated to create divisions that can be exploited by crafty manipulators.

moriah

(8,311 posts)
12. I may be one of the few that's close, but I have these weird spots.... ;)
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 04:32 PM
Aug 2014

My legs are blinding with the amount of glare they produce out in the sun, but I still have freckles on my knees.

Still, very cool exercise, really it is. Glad you took the time with kids that young to show them that we don't fit into cardboard cutout categories.

surrealAmerican

(11,365 posts)
15. In elementary school, one of my kids noticed ...
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 06:34 PM
Aug 2014

... that some of the "white" kids had darker skin than some of the "black" kids. Yes, there's a range, and race is a social construct that has little to do with "color".

calimary

(81,527 posts)
32. My husband, who's a big science wonk, talks about dogs a lot, in this same vein.
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 09:01 PM
Aug 2014

Consider - if humans disappeared off the face of the earth, what would happen to the dogs? Those that survived would be mating at random, and all the different breeds of dogs would soon disappear. They'd be bred out. And what you'd be left with would be one main general all-purpose dog, probably medium-large in size, and medium-brown in color.

nomorenomore08

(13,324 posts)
36. I have known people (mostly redheads) whose skin was milk-white or pretty close to it.
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 09:14 PM
Aug 2014

But otherwise you're right - most people are some shade of brown or beige.

eppur_se_muova

(36,305 posts)
47. I tend to think of "white" people as "seasonally colored" ...
Fri Aug 15, 2014, 12:13 AM
Aug 2014

or "facultatively pigmented". (Yes, I am "white".)

hunter

(38,337 posts)
38. My grandfather went from hiding his partial Irish Catholic ancestry...
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 09:16 PM
Aug 2014

... to boycotting my wedding (in his words) to a "Mexican girl," to realizing and accepting, and then at last celebrating, that his contributions to future humanity, both genetic and intellectual, would belong to people with ethnic backgrounds spanning the entire inhabited earth and optimistically Star Trek future into outer space someday. He retired as an engineer working on the Apollo project. Metal parts he designed and held in his hands are in the Smithsonian. I have a bit of metal that orbited the moon.



My grandfather was never hard-core racist, misogynist, or homophobic. He truly had friends of all colors, sexes, ethnic backgrounds, and sexual orientations. He moved freely in Hollywood culture, kept confidences. Gay, Jewish, Black, Woman, whatever. In a professional setting it didn't matter to him. What most mattered to him was the engineering, the math.

But as a white kid born at the dawn of the twentieth century, and later as an Army Air Force officer, he was often blind to his own "white privilege." The miscegenation of my generation troubled him at first. He even had trouble with my mom's background. She was as American wild west as he was, and not thank God (in his words again) Mormon, but my mom's family never made any effort to conceal their origins as Scandinavian and British Island Catholics, Quakers, Jews, and other assorted heretics, pacifists and misfits who fled Europe to America (and some of them the U.S. Civil War) when political or ethnic conflicts got too hot. Better hungry and lost than hung.

One of my ancestors was a mail order bride to Salt Lake City who didn't like sharing a husband and ran off with a U.S government surveyor, later establishing a homestead that is still a very long ways down a dirt and gravel road from the nearest Wal-Mart or MacDonalds, especially in the winter. My own kids, nephews and nieces, are like "roll call at the UN."

I haven't lived in "white" communities for most of my life now. I've been a "minority" white guy in my communities for a long, long, time. But I still experience occasional evidence of white male privilege. I don't like that. Don't call me "sir" and switch to English when I'm just the guy tagging along on my wife's business. Don't be the guy who talks only to the man of the household. You'll offend us both, no sale.

dawg

(10,624 posts)
10. One of the most homogenic species on the face of the Earth, and ...
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 04:17 PM
Aug 2014

we're constantly dividing ourselves up along "racial" lines. It would be funny if it were not so sad.

Nye Bevan

(25,406 posts)
13. True "liberals" would not give a shit about whether whites are a majority.
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 04:39 PM
Aug 2014

Those people who would "move right" were not liberals to begin with.

 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
19. Scientific evidence like this can be painful...
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 06:58 PM
Aug 2014

because it exposes latent racial hostility within liberal whites that many people didn't think existed, but it's there.

The solution is to directly address the issue rather than bury one's head in the sand like an ostrich.

DavidDvorkin

(19,497 posts)
20. The article doesn't support the conclusion
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 07:30 PM
Aug 2014

Maybe I missed an important paragraph, but all I saw was that the study uncovered evidence that white Democrats were more "bothered" by the prospect of the US becoming a white minority nation than they were willing to admit, perhaps even to themselves. I don't know what the respondents meant by "bothered" and I don't think the researchers do, either.

More important, the conclusion that these white voters will therefore become more conservative in their voting is a supposition by the researchers. I didn't see where that came from in their data.

Number23

(24,544 posts)
22. Reason number 4829408 why racism will simply not die
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 08:31 PM
Aug 2014

and the "it's not race, it's class" argument is the calling card of the stupid and deliberately ignorant.

Mitt Romney won a landslide among white voters, defeating Barack Obama by 59 to 39 percent. In the process he won every large segment of white voters, often by double-digit margins: white men, white women, white Catholics, white Protestants, white old people, white young people.


Yet, when a black poster here dared to raise a similar point, it lead to a mega epic whine with a thousand responses and half as many recs.

Number23

(24,544 posts)
45. A truly low moment on this web site. Not unsurprising in the least, but low as hell
Fri Aug 15, 2014, 12:02 AM
Aug 2014

Glad you still stuck around.

Another unsurprising thing is the people saying that somehow the results don't say what the authors of the article or the study think it says. Once again something that is news/shocking to whites is like "duh" to black folks.

Number23

(24,544 posts)
23. They must be 1 percenters!!1one!
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 08:36 PM
Aug 2014
That “exposure to the changing demographics evokes the expression of greater explicit and implicit racial bias.” One group of respondents was shown evidence of the demographic trends and another was not. Those who saw the evidence “expressed more negative attitudes toward Latinos, Blacks, and Asian-Americans” than participants who were not shown the evidence. The authors concluded that “rather than ushering in a more tolerant future, the increasing diversity of the nation may instead yield intergroup hostility.”


The authors found that whites – whether they called themselves liberals, centrists or conservatives — all moved to the right when exposed to the information about the approaching minority status of whites


Starry Messenger

(32,342 posts)
24. I just feel I'm becoming a bit obsolete.
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 08:38 PM
Aug 2014

My classrooms in CA are getting more diverse, and sometimes I think I must look like a relic. Mostly I worry about staying relevant.

 

bettyellen

(47,209 posts)
27. I am certain that your open mind- and heart- will keep you forever relevant.
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 08:49 PM
Aug 2014

The more things change, the more the important things in life stay constant. Bet on it.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
25. Some of us White Liberals
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 08:41 PM
Aug 2014

Won't turn right.

In the obama era I haven't turned right.While white liberal Democrats may be minority of White voters some of us won't go back on what we believe because whites become minority of country.Being white Democrat already makes me kind of a minority when only 39 to 44 percent of whites will vote Democrat.

onecaliberal

(32,931 posts)
26. I'm a liberal white woman married with children
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 08:48 PM
Aug 2014

There is zero chance any of us are/will move right because minorities are growing in number or will number more than us.
I do not judge people by their skin color but rather their character. Only ignorance, racism and stupidity would cause white liberals to move right.
I doubt this article is factual.

 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
29. The studies were conducted by two professors at Northwestern University in the Psych department
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 08:53 PM
Aug 2014

They're actually very interesting studies IMO.

Good stuff.

I highly recommend you read both of them.

etherealtruth

(22,165 posts)
31. Most of us on DU (or that have a DU mindset)
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 09:00 PM
Aug 2014

... probably won't .... but I can see that happening with some. I question whether it will be a lasting shift or a transitional one ....?

herding cats

(19,568 posts)
39. It reads like a conservative dreaming the White Strategy their party is invested in may still work
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 09:19 PM
Aug 2014

To assume just because some white liberals may be more "bothered" than they admit openly at the prospect of becoming a minority, doesn't mean they're going to change their whole ideology. That's projecting the reaction of conservatives onto non-conservatives. It could just as easily mean they recognize that minorities in the US are discriminated against, and the reality of their being associated with the word evokes feelings which "bother" them.

LiberalElite

(14,691 posts)
40. and then there's this from the NY Times in 2012
Thu Aug 14, 2014, 09:20 PM
Aug 2014
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/13/us/us-will-have-no-ethnic-majority-census-finds.html?_r=0

Census Officials, Citing Increasing Diversity, Say U.S. Will Be a ‘Plurality Nation’
By MICHAEL COOPER
Published: December 12, 2012
The term “minority,” at least as used to describe racial and ethnic groups in the United States, may need to be retired or rethought soon: by the end of this decade, according to Census Bureau projections released Wednesday, no single racial or ethnic group will constitute a majority of children under 18. And in about three decades, no single group will constitute a majority of the country as a whole.

P.S.: NYC where I live, has been a minority majority city for some time and it hasn't resulted in the end of civilization as we know it. See below the NYTimes again: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/28/nyregion/28nycensus.html :

-snip-
For the first time, black, Hispanic and Asian residents of New York City and its suburbs are a majority of the metropolitan area’s more than 19 million residents, according to the 2010 census, released last week.

New York is the first major metropolitan area in the country outside the South or West in which non-Hispanic whites have become a minority of the population.

Some of the same dynamic that transformed New York into a majority-minority city in the 1980s also contributed to that benchmark in the 23 counties that make up the metropolitan area: New York’s five boroughs, as well as Nassau, Suffolk, Westchester, Rockland and Putnam Counties, Fairfield County in Connecticut and 12 counties in New Jersey.
-snip-
 

whistler162

(11,155 posts)
49. I hear there is a bridge in Brooklyn for sale
Fri Aug 15, 2014, 05:35 AM
Aug 2014

might interest anyone that relies on polls! Use the millions the Nigerian prince sends you!

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