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stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
Mon Oct 20, 2014, 02:10 PM Oct 2014

Global oil prices likely to touch to $60/barrel: Osama Kamal

If this happens, our economy is in for a very wild expansion and Russia, Venezuela and Iran are in big trouble.

----------------------------------------------
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/energy/oil-gas/global-oil-prices-likely-to-touch-to-60/barrel-osama-kamal/articleshow/44882725.cms

MUMBAI: Egypt's former petroleum minister Osama Kamal said global crude oil prices are set to fall drastically, predicting afurther erosion of as much as a third in the coming days. "I expect crude oil prices to touch $60 per barrel. This will impact several economies," said Kamal, who was in Mumbai to address the top Aditya Birla Group executives.

Read more at:
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/44882725.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst

35 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Global oil prices likely to touch to $60/barrel: Osama Kamal (Original Post) stevenleser Oct 2014 OP
And global warming will accelerate. But at least I can drive to my doom with cheap gas. Comrade Grumpy Oct 2014 #1
Depends. Some of this is from less demand. We will have to see how it shakes out. nt stevenleser Oct 2014 #2
If oil and gas are going to be considerably cheaper, then why do need the Keystone pipeline? LonePirate Oct 2014 #3
Oil from tar sands and shale costs more to extract upaloopa Oct 2014 #8
That would be below $70 for sure Yo_Mama Oct 2014 #33
It's been a long time since we had price war over oil. bemildred Oct 2014 #4
Interesting times ahead, indeed. Ykcutnek Oct 2014 #5
From the 1st link ... 1StrongBlackMan Oct 2014 #6
We're trying to do the same thing! Blue_Adept Oct 2014 #30
Does Obama get the credit? rickford66 Oct 2014 #7
From Republicans? Bahahahahahahah stevenleser Oct 2014 #13
Thanks, I needed that. rickford66 Oct 2014 #19
It's amazing who took notice when America went Oil positive Schema Thing Oct 2014 #9
Thomas Friedman seems to think it was a deliberate swipe at Russia and Iran stevenleser Oct 2014 #12
The Saudi's may be "allies" in the swipe at Russia and Iran Schema Thing Oct 2014 #20
come on 60 strawberries Oct 2014 #10
The positive effects on the US economy can't be overstated. It would be overwhelming. stevenleser Oct 2014 #11
The effects would clearly be overwhelming. Overwhelmingly BAD NickB79 Oct 2014 #15
I have heard one concern is deflation davidpdx Oct 2014 #24
I think the demand from new hired workers would work to counter that, AND once the stevenleser Oct 2014 #35
$60/barrel oil will kill the oil boom in N. Dakota NickB79 Oct 2014 #14
This, if OPEC allows it, would be to kill US production FLPanhandle Oct 2014 #16
The solution customerserviceguy Oct 2014 #26
Domestic production would decrease and less incentive Dawson Leery Oct 2014 #17
Maybe less incentive, but many consumers will still invest in solar and wind, etc. Tikki Oct 2014 #22
If it does it could turn our economy around in a real way herding cats Oct 2014 #18
This message was self-deleted by its author KinMd Oct 2014 #21
Woohoo... Screw Musk, Tesla, the Battery Gigafactory and transitioning to sustainable energy !!! Fumesucker Oct 2014 #23
Not really. Even at $2.75 a gallon of gas, a Tesla is attractive stevenleser Oct 2014 #25
Remember the gas price jump back in 2008? Fumesucker Oct 2014 #27
The cheaper energy is, the easier it is to waste The2ndWheel Oct 2014 #28
Somehow I suspect Europe and most of the rest of the world will resist buying F150s Fumesucker Oct 2014 #29
You know that KW is not a real thing, right? A HERETIC I AM Oct 2014 #31
That's why I love DU... Fumesucker Oct 2014 #32
Europe and the rest of the world are different than the US The2ndWheel Oct 2014 #34

LonePirate

(13,426 posts)
3. If oil and gas are going to be considerably cheaper, then why do need the Keystone pipeline?
Mon Oct 20, 2014, 02:33 PM
Oct 2014

Of course, you would need to assume the pipeline would have an impact on oil prices.

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
8. Oil from tar sands and shale costs more to extract
Mon Oct 20, 2014, 03:00 PM
Oct 2014

The Mid East oil is forcing prices to fall below the point where getting that oil is profitable.
I read this last week that since we are now exporting oil the Saudis are trying to force the prices down below our cost to extract oil.

Yo_Mama

(8,303 posts)
33. That would be below $70 for sure
Tue Oct 21, 2014, 09:37 AM
Oct 2014

Over the long term, a lot of these places can do it for $45 to $65. But many cos borrowed tons of money, so they were hoping for continuous high prices to cover their loans.

Some of the conventional low-yield rigs go off an on based on oil prices, so there's more of a cut there, to be honest.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
6. From the 1st link ...
Mon Oct 20, 2014, 02:45 PM
Oct 2014

Egypt is implementing an ambitious plan of developing the Suez Canal Axis through a project involving ship building and maintenance yards, which will bring in $100 billion in investments into the country, he said.


Imagine that ... Investing in the infrastructure! I wonder what effect that has had on Egypt's civilian unemployment rate.

Blue_Adept

(6,399 posts)
30. We're trying to do the same thing!
Tue Oct 21, 2014, 08:34 AM
Oct 2014

Isn't that what Keystone is all about? And the copious amount of jobs it will produce?! Just more efficiently than how the Egyptians will do it!

Schema Thing

(10,283 posts)
9. It's amazing who took notice when America went Oil positive
Mon Oct 20, 2014, 03:05 PM
Oct 2014


as in, produces more than it imports. This happened what, like 2 months or less ago?


Makes one wonder if Obama has had this strategy since being elected.... or at least had it in his back pocket when dealing with all the conflicts around the globe.
 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
12. Thomas Friedman seems to think it was a deliberate swipe at Russia and Iran
Mon Oct 20, 2014, 03:54 PM
Oct 2014

The Russians think so too. http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/15/opinion/thomas-friedman-a-pump-war.html?smid=fb-share&_r=0

I am not so sure anymore. Whatever seems to be happening seems too large to be deliberate manipulation.

Schema Thing

(10,283 posts)
20. The Saudi's may be "allies" in the swipe at Russia and Iran
Mon Oct 20, 2014, 11:04 PM
Oct 2014


but they are also seeming to be much better behaved allies than previously - their oil is cheaper too, and they have to deal with an energy production positive America as well.

It all seems rather win/win for us, as it also has to have the effect of at least slowing down the rush to expensive (fracking) extraction.
 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
11. The positive effects on the US economy can't be overstated. It would be overwhelming.
Mon Oct 20, 2014, 03:52 PM
Oct 2014

And the punishing effects on Russia can't be overstated either.

I so hope this happens too!

NickB79

(19,253 posts)
15. The effects would clearly be overwhelming. Overwhelmingly BAD
Mon Oct 20, 2014, 05:08 PM
Oct 2014

Unless someone's miraculously come up with a way to sequester a few billion tons of carbon

http://climate.nasa.gov/effects/

Like a junkie taking a hit of crack, it SEEMS positive while you're high.

Not so much when the long-term effects set in.

davidpdx

(22,000 posts)
24. I have heard one concern is deflation
Tue Oct 21, 2014, 02:08 AM
Oct 2014

What do you think? If prices were to drop significantly, would it be a problem?

It's a damn shame this didn't happen months ago when I was actually in the US. I think gas was about $3.75 a gallon then. I didn't drive that much, just across the state and back maybe 750 miles.

I have noticed that the price of LPG here in Korea dropped. It was about 1100 KRW per liter and for awhile it was around 999 per liter.

 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
35. I think the demand from new hired workers would work to counter that, AND once the
Tue Oct 21, 2014, 10:01 AM
Oct 2014

available pool of workers is mostly hired, it would create upward pressure on wages which would increase demand even further.

NickB79

(19,253 posts)
14. $60/barrel oil will kill the oil boom in N. Dakota
Mon Oct 20, 2014, 04:06 PM
Oct 2014

Due to the expense of extracting tight oil (vs. a conventional well), as well as the added expense of shipping it via train instead of pipeline, prolonged oil at $60/barrel would DESTROY the profit margins of the Bakken oil well operators.

Well operators would stop new drilling operations, existing wells deplete rapidly due to the nature of frack oil drilling, and those boom towns would turn to ghost towns.

US oil production would plummet, and oil prices would likely spike again.

I for one would LOVE to see the oil bubble burst on the Plains; I hate the fucking Bakken will all my heart and soul.

FLPanhandle

(7,107 posts)
16. This, if OPEC allows it, would be to kill US production
Mon Oct 20, 2014, 05:19 PM
Oct 2014

also to make alternative energy production non economical.

Basically, OPEC would be dumping product to maintain control over energy. Right now US production is way up and alternative energy production is taking off. All long term disasters for OPEC.

customerserviceguy

(25,183 posts)
26. The solution
Tue Oct 21, 2014, 07:22 AM
Oct 2014

is a tax on imported oil. Keeps the price up, and shores up the domestic industry. The money can be used to fund infrastructure improvements, or just simply to close the deficit.

It's an idea that can be approved by all sides of the political spectrum.

Tikki

(14,557 posts)
22. Maybe less incentive, but many consumers will still invest in solar and wind, etc.
Mon Oct 20, 2014, 11:50 PM
Oct 2014

with the extra money....
We've been through this scenario before.

It will, actually, be a great time to invest in alternative energy.


Tikki

herding cats

(19,565 posts)
18. If it does it could turn our economy around in a real way
Mon Oct 20, 2014, 05:22 PM
Oct 2014

So long as your not invested in, or dependent on big oil paying your bills, you almost cannot help but benefit from a drop in oil prices. The money people don't have to pay extra for fuel adjustment costs on items and services, heating their homes and their own transportation costs, among other expenses which would drop, can all be put to use in other areas of our budgets.

It's like a stimulus boost which each of us get to benefit from.

Response to stevenleser (Original post)

Fumesucker

(45,851 posts)
23. Woohoo... Screw Musk, Tesla, the Battery Gigafactory and transitioning to sustainable energy !!!
Mon Oct 20, 2014, 11:58 PM
Oct 2014

Hummers for Everyone!!!

Get your minds out of the gutter, I was talking about those goofy looking trucks.

 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
25. Not really. Even at $2.75 a gallon of gas, a Tesla is attractive
Tue Oct 21, 2014, 06:59 AM
Oct 2014

As Tikki notes up thread, alternatives still are good investments at the lower gas an oil prices. What is NOT attractive are things like hydrofracking, tar sands and other more expensive methods for extracting oil.

Fumesucker

(45,851 posts)
27. Remember the gas price jump back in 2008?
Tue Oct 21, 2014, 07:33 AM
Oct 2014

People actually started buying smaller and more fuel efficient cars during that period of high gas prices.

But this is America and within three months of gas prices returning to normal the F150 was once again the most popular new vehicle in America.

We do not learn, certainly not about energy prices. An oil price dip like this will put the sustainable energy movement back for longer than it lasts.

The2ndWheel

(7,947 posts)
28. The cheaper energy is, the easier it is to waste
Tue Oct 21, 2014, 07:56 AM
Oct 2014

It's not about learning. We'll never turn down cheap energy. Granted, it's never been cheap in an ecological point of view, but we're not built to worry about the health of the planet anyway. 7+ billion people on the planet, so a few will care just by chance, but no form of life will not use cheap and easy energy.

We like to think of ourselves as "evolved", but we wouldn't have gotten to the point that we think we've evolved to without the cheap energy along the way.

Fumesucker

(45,851 posts)
29. Somehow I suspect Europe and most of the rest of the world will resist buying F150s
Tue Oct 21, 2014, 08:30 AM
Oct 2014

And will continue to drive smaller and more fuel efficient vehicles despite the precipitous drop in oil prices.

Meanwhile check out the 2015 Kenworth Pilgrimage.



In a general sense you are correct, organisms tend to use what energy is available and if energy is readily available they will not optimize for energy efficiency.

Possibly the single biggest problem with America is that every single thing eventually ends up being optimized for generating revenue which means all other measures are secondary if they even get noticed at all.

Take the Pink Ribbon for breast cancer Komen foundation for instance, turns out it's a revenue generating scheme for the executives before it's a charity.

A HERETIC I AM

(24,371 posts)
31. You know that KW is not a real thing, right?
Tue Oct 21, 2014, 08:50 AM
Oct 2014

Someone may have built what you pictured above, but there is no such thing as the "2015 Kenworth Pilgrimage"

That picture has been floating around for ten years at least.

The2ndWheel

(7,947 posts)
34. Europe and the rest of the world are different than the US
Tue Oct 21, 2014, 09:41 AM
Oct 2014

Japan is an island. China and India have like 2.5 billion people combined. Europe was built up when cars didn't exist, then went through a couple wars in the 20th century, then built back up again, but still in a relatively confined space. Then there's most of the rest of the world, which has enough trouble with more basic things than F150's.

The US is 5% of the human population, but uses 25% of the world's energy. We're going to waste energy. Is it because we're greedy? Maybe a little. The US was also the last one standing after the 20th century, and we set up the international system we have today. The US military is the developed world's military, except only US taxpayers pay for it. We're ok with that because nobody can tell us no. Europe is ok with that since they can spend what would've gone to their own military if they had to get the resources themselves on their various social programs.

The more expensive energy is, the more we'll optimize for efficiency. If it's cheap, then it's going to be about revenue/profit, because why wouldn't it be? That just goes back to what were the eventual benefits from the surplus of agriculture. That surplus bought people, at least some people, time to do other things. That's all money does too.

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