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babylonsister

(171,074 posts) Mon Oct 20, 2014, 05:45 PM Oct 2014

No Republican Wave: Senate Polls Show More Good News For Democrats

http://www.politicususa.com/2014/10/20/republican-wave-senate-polls-show-good-news-democrats.html

No Republican Wave: Senate Polls Show More Good News For Democrats
By: Jason Easley
Monday, October, 20th, 2014, 5:21 pm

Two new polls of the Senate races in Kansas and North Carolina reveal that a Republican wave remains media wishful thinking, as Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan leads in North Carolina, and Independent Greg Orman is tied with Sen. Pat Roberts in Kansas.

The PPP poll of North Carolina found Sen. Kay Hagan leading her Republican challenger Thom Tillis 46%-43%. The bad news for Republicans is that the North Carolina race features a voter breakdown that looks like the roadmap to a Democratic victory. Hagan lead with women (49%-37%), African-Americans (85%-4%), and young voters (61%-27%). Tillis leads with men (49%-42%), white voters (55%-34%), and seniors (54%-37%) Hagan has a better net approval rating (-9) than Tillis (-12), and has consistently maintained the same roughly three point lead for months.

The Kansas Senate race is turning into a nailbiter. A new Monmouth University poll shows Independent Greg Orman tied with Republican Sen. Pat Roberts 47%-47%. One of the main issues for Orman is that he has not been able to completely persuade Democrats. Orman got the support of 81% of Democratic. His support among Dems is ten points lower than the level of support for Democratic gubernatorial candidate Paul Davis. What is helping Orman is that only 76% of Republicans are supporting Sen. Roberts. Orman’s inability to woo more Democratic support is probably due to his refusal to say who he will caucus with if he wins.

Democrats keep doing better than the media is giving them credit for. The 2014 election is extremely close. The idea that there will be a Republican wave as some sort of backlash against President Obama remains a media driven fantasy.

snip//

The battle for control of the United States Senate will likely to come down to five close elections. The Senate majority will be decided by results in Georgia, Kentucky, Arkansas, Kansas, and Iowa.

Democrats are hanging tough, and in position to turn the Republican wave of 2014 into a trickle down the pant leg of American democracy.

16 replies

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No Republican Wave: Senate Polls Show More Good News For Democrats (Original Post) babylonsister Oct 2014 OP

I stand by my months old prediction: notrightatall Oct 2014 #1

I hope you are right. Nika Oct 2014 #3

That would be GREAT! PatrickforO Oct 2014 #11

I don't see how republiCONs can even hold their own madokie Oct 2014 #2

Propaganda n2doc Oct 2014 #8

"Defies logic is what it does." MANative Oct 2014 #9

This has been my opinion all along, bsis. sheshe2 Oct 2014 #4

It's odd that I've seen no evidence of any GOP wave. tridim Oct 2014 #5

Sadly, this piece is from politicususa MannyGoldstein Oct 2014 #6

I figured you could google if you don't trust the source, Manny, babylonsister Oct 2014 #7

Just for kicks, I looked up the first race mentioned MannyGoldstein Oct 2014 #16

Mailed two ballots for Senator Mark Udall, today. CrispyQ Oct 2014 #10

Dems are doing better than the GOP-owned media is saying they are? Mon dieu! nt valerief Oct 2014 #12

+1 freshwest Oct 2014 #15

I'm voting for him. (Orman) Sky Masterson Oct 2014 #13

YES!! Morning Joe was saying the OPPOSITE this morning!..I figured they whathehell Oct 2014 #14

notrightatall

(410 posts)

1. I stand by my months old prediction:

Reply to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Oct 20, 2014, 05:50 PM

Oct 2014

Dems hold the Senate, net gain of 6-10 in the House.

Nika

(546 posts)

3. I hope you are right.

Reply to notrightatall (Reply #1)

Mon Oct 20, 2014, 05:57 PM

Oct 2014

PatrickforO

(14,578 posts)

11. That would be GREAT!

Reply to notrightatall (Reply #1)

Mon Oct 20, 2014, 07:20 PM

Oct 2014

Hope it happens. I bet a guy at work a steak dinner - on him if the Dems win in Colorado 2 out of three (Udall, Romanoff and Hickenlooper), and on me if two of the three Republicans win.

I can taste it now!

madokie

(51,076 posts)

2. I don't see how republiCONs can even hold their own

Reply to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Oct 20, 2014, 05:55 PM

Oct 2014

this election let alone gain seats. Especially in the Senate. Defies logic is what it does.
Who in their right mind will vote for a republiCON this time around

n2doc

(47,953 posts)

8. Propaganda

Reply to madokie (Reply #2)

Mon Oct 20, 2014, 06:59 PM

Oct 2014

And a vast amount of it from RW no name sources

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10025690083

All I see here in Georgia are anti-Nunn ads, most from the NRA.

MANative

(4,112 posts)

9. "Defies logic is what it does."

Reply to madokie (Reply #2)

Mon Oct 20, 2014, 07:02 PM

Oct 2014

There it is in a nutshell. Republicans do not understand, employ, or condone logic except of the twisted type. Those of us who are actually rational weep over its demise in the public arena. Republicans are not "in their right mind" because they've been told that thinking is evil.

sheshe2

(83,793 posts)

4. This has been my opinion all along, bsis.

Reply to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Oct 20, 2014, 06:09 PM

Oct 2014

The GOP and Corporate Media has been preaching doom and gloom all along. I haven't believe a word of it, they are just trying to suppress the vote.

GOTV2014!

tridim

(45,358 posts)

5. It's odd that I've seen no evidence of any GOP wave.

Reply to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Oct 20, 2014, 06:34 PM

Oct 2014

Only rich people talking about it on the teevee. So odd.

MannyGoldstein

(34,589 posts)

6. Sadly, this piece is from politicususa

Reply to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Oct 20, 2014, 06:42 PM

Oct 2014

Which means it could be fantasy.

Are reputable sources saying the same?

babylonsister

(171,074 posts)

7. I figured you could google if you don't trust the source, Manny,

Reply to MannyGoldstein (Reply #6)

Mon Oct 20, 2014, 06:50 PM

Oct 2014

but here's one and there are others if you care to look.

http://atr.rollcall.com/house-races-2014-nrcc-dccc-wave/?dcz=

MannyGoldstein

(34,589 posts)

16. Just for kicks, I looked up the first race mentioned

Reply to babylonsister (Reply #7)

Mon Oct 20, 2014, 10:24 PM

Oct 2014

Paints a much different picture than what politicususa paints, as is often the case:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/nc/north_carolina_senate_tillis_vs_hagan-3497.html

I'm not sure how one spins that as good news.

CrispyQ

(36,478 posts)

10. Mailed two ballots for Senator Mark Udall, today.

Reply to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Oct 20, 2014, 07:14 PM

Oct 2014

valerief

(53,235 posts)

12. Dems are doing better than the GOP-owned media is saying they are? Mon dieu! nt

Reply to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Oct 20, 2014, 07:39 PM

Oct 2014

freshwest

(53,661 posts)

15. +1

Reply to valerief (Reply #12)

Mon Oct 20, 2014, 10:14 PM

Oct 2014

Sky Masterson

(5,240 posts)

13. I'm voting for him. (Orman)

Reply to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Oct 20, 2014, 07:42 PM

Oct 2014

I am as liberal as it gets. Roberts has to go! Even if he sometimes votes with the republicans and sometimes votes with the Democrats, it's still better for Kansas and the nation than Pat (My Kansas address is a recliner in a campaign donors guesthouse) Roberts!

whathehell

(29,067 posts)

14. YES!! Morning Joe was saying the OPPOSITE this morning!..I figured they

Reply to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Oct 20, 2014, 08:21 PM

Oct 2014

were probably just spinning.

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