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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsShit. New Poll Gives Maine’s Governor a Commanding Lead
Maine’s Republican governor, Paul LePage, has opened up a 10-point lead over his Democratic challenger, Representative Michael H. Michaud, according to new poll released Sunday for The Maine Sunday Telegram/Portland Press Herald.
Mr. LePage’s 45-to-35-percent lead is outside the poll’s margin of sampling error and has struck fear in the hearts of Democrats. Previous polls had shown the race a dead heat between Mr. LePage and Mr. Michaud.
A third candidate, Eliot Cutler, an independent, continues to trail, with the new poll giving him 16 percentage points.
The poll has led Maine Democrats to turn up the heat on Mr. Cutler’s supporters, urging them to abandon Mr. Cutler and vote for Mr. Michaud; otherwise, they say, Mr. LePage is likely to win re-election.
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http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2014/10/27/?entry=3613&_php=true&_type=blogs&rref=us&module=Ribbon&version=context®ion=Header&action=click&contentCollection=U.S.&pgtype=article
Thanks a heap, Cutler.
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hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)cali
(114,904 posts)hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)On twitter political number crunchers said it was a poorly done poll.
GGJohn
(9,951 posts)hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)GGJohn
(9,951 posts)
former9thward
(32,016 posts)Statistician Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight blog recently ranked the UNH Survey Center 51st out of 337 polling firms for accuracy. I wonder where the "twitter political number crunchers" rank?
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)former9thward
(32,016 posts)So I have no idea what the margin is, if any. But I have learned not to attack polls just because I don't like the results. Especially this close to the election.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)Even good polsters come up with bad results.
former9thward
(32,016 posts)
NaturalHigh
(12,778 posts)The last time I checked, he has every right to run. That's how our system works.
If people want to make an argument for instant runoff voting, I'm all for it, but I won't vilify anyone for exercising his constitutional right to run for office.
drm604
(16,230 posts)Being a spoiler simply because it's your right isn't commendable.
yeoman6987
(14,449 posts)Without a third party in the race. I think Democratic Party actually benefits having them participate more then the Republican Party.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)
oldandhappy
(6,719 posts)Hard to believe but I live a long way from Maine, so maybe.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)Still, polls aren't the entire answer. Time to ramp up the last minute GOTV efforts to get more Democrats out to vote. Complacency and ennui are the ingredients in an unexpected defeat at the polling place.
