If it wasn't for mass media, the GOP would never win elections again.

Mid-term elections are typically bad for the party that controls the White House.

Funny how Nate Silver was a GOD in 2012 when he was predicting an easy Obama victory. But now we call him garbage when he predicts a GOP win of the Senate.

and you will see the races are close. Early voting is going well for us in many races.

"news I don't like to hear" doesn't automatically mean bias.

anyway I mailed it in last week.
too bad everyone can't do that.

and this makes the Senate 53(R) and 47(D)

Next, assume Orman caucuses with the Democrats. They are now at 48 Seats.

There is an outside chance the Democrats could win the runoff elections in GA and LA. African American voters and young people will show up in these 2 states if they know control of the Senate is at stake.

If the Democrats win these 2 runoffs it would get them to 50 with the help of Orman.

if they didn't vote in the election, they can't vote in a runoff. Not voting in the general makes them ineligible to vote in the runoff.

Complacent Democrats,oh I'am so tired of all of these campaign ads,I'am not going to vote. Yah,right,if you don't vote then you don't have the right to bitch if this election goes south on you. Voted the fist day of early voting in saying that,have yet to hear a peep as to any get out to vote effort by the local Dems and when I called to volunteer for phone banking,friggin voice mail. Bullshit!!!!

Banned, and equal pay for equal work, and young folks going to college on Pell grants better vote, along with labor who at least wants a Chance at minimum wage

Personally I think the polls under represent the young assuming they won't vote, along with women and other demographics

Do pollsters call more cell phones or land lines. Cell phones most likely will represent a younger group

Isn't there likely to be a runoff?

And a sidebar - it always makes me ponder life when I see double-digit undecideds in polls less than 1 week before election.

The third party's in GA and LA will draw votes from the right. Without them in play, the Republicans do better in the runoff.

I didn't see the part at first that explained the 66% was for the ultimate outcome. It says for GA that the probability that Perdue will finish ahead of Nunn on November 4 is 63% (which still seems high to me), but the chance that the winner will receive less than half of the vote, requiring a run-off election on January 6, is 55%. The probability that Perdue will win the Georgia senate seat is 66%.

If Sullivan wins, it won't be by much, and I have serious doubts that he will.

It's so easy for everybody to say that Alaska is a Republican state, but in truth we are more than 60% non-declared. We will be electing an Independent/Democratic governor ticket, which I think will help Mark Begich and even Forrest Dunbar, who is giving Don Young a real run for his money.

It's interesting up here, and people who try to analyze it from outside just don't understand the subtleties of this state.

How so?