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BillZBubb

(10,650 posts)
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 03:01 PM Nov 2014

Is Hillary the Martha Coakley of national Democrats?

Coakley failed miserably in two statewide elections in a Democratic state. She had numerous problems.

Hillary got clobbered by Obama in the 2008 primaries. She continually stepped on her own toes. She has baggage as well. Hillary still turns off a big part of the Democratic base due to her IWR vote and others.

Of course the IWR resolution and the 2008 primaries were a long time ago--a lifetime in politics, so Hillary may well have grown a lot since then in political acumen and technique.

What do you think? If nominated, would she be favored over any republican to win the general election?

64 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Is Hillary the Martha Coakley of national Democrats? (Original Post) BillZBubb Nov 2014 OP
Gumby? Is that you? Darb Nov 2014 #1
No, not me. There's more Pokey in me. BillZBubb Nov 2014 #9
Well Hillary has won sharp_stick Nov 2014 #2
Coakley won elections too, in her district, but at the state level she fails. BillZBubb Nov 2014 #7
Coakley was our AG Capt. Obvious Nov 2014 #18
Coakley HAS won statewide, a few in Mass have said there is some sexism when it comes to electing JI7 Nov 2014 #20
The day that Coakley got the Dem gubernatorial nom,* I said, "Meet Governor Baker." merrily Nov 2014 #3
She may be the Harold Stassen of the 21st century tularetom Nov 2014 #4
Or the Adlai Stevenson II MineralMan Nov 2014 #6
i'm pretty neutral on hillary, but no, there's no comparison here at all. not even close. unblock Nov 2014 #5
"Clobbered"? She got 17 million votes, almost the same as Obama brooklynite Nov 2014 #8
Delegate count, delegate count... BillZBubb Nov 2014 #10
So if Hillary is the Martha Coakley of the Democratic Party, that makes Howard Dean.....? brooklynite Nov 2014 #11
Is Howard running for president? I hadn't heard that he was. BillZBubb Nov 2014 #13
That was close also. Tom Rinaldo Nov 2014 #16
I doubt she'd make the same mistake twice. Algernon Moncrieff Nov 2014 #23
Hillary did not get "clobbered" in the delegate count either. former9thward Nov 2014 #36
There is an asterisk on that popular vote. AtomicKitten Nov 2014 #61
Your asterisk not mine. former9thward Nov 2014 #62
It's wiki's asterisk/footnote, not mine or yours. AtomicKitten Nov 2014 #63
Was also close until she realized it was over and her delegates pledeged to Obama.. joeybee12 Nov 2014 #44
Super delegate count, super delegate count. Beacool Nov 2014 #46
Clobbered? i thought the popular vote wax almost even. hrmjustin Nov 2014 #12
Remember 2008, they were saying no Democrat except Hillary could win. BillZBubb Nov 2014 #14
Once it is clear who is running we will have a better idea. hrmjustin Nov 2014 #17
She ran a very bad campaign in 2008. Algernon Moncrieff Nov 2014 #22
I would do away with caucuses. hrmjustin Nov 2014 #26
Wow there sure were a lot of rocks turned over last night. The slugs and trolls are out in force. Pisces Nov 2014 #15
A little sensitive, are we Fish? BillZBubb Nov 2014 #28
Post removed Post removed Nov 2014 #29
She was able to get elected to the Senate, which is more than Coakley could do. Algernon Moncrieff Nov 2014 #19
Yes, but my analogy was Coakley won locally, but couldn't win the state. BillZBubb Nov 2014 #32
I think the same could be said of Warren & O'Malley Algernon Moncrieff Nov 2014 #34
Absolutely, I agree. Hillary has a great resume. BillZBubb Nov 2014 #40
I don't remember Obama clobbering Hillary. Control-Z Nov 2014 #21
If you consider the power of the Clinton Machine LawDeeDah Nov 2014 #24
No. It wasn't. (nt) Control-Z Nov 2014 #25
Yes, it was. Delegates, delegates, delegates. BillZBubb Nov 2014 #31
What is your definiton of getting "clobbered" former9thward Nov 2014 #37
50%+1. BillZBubb Nov 2014 #41
Yeah, an unknown Senator who gave the Keynote speech former9thward Nov 2014 #48
Compared to the Clintons? LawDeeDah Nov 2014 #49
Clinton got more votes in the primaries than did Obama. former9thward Nov 2014 #50
Bullcrap!!! Beacool Nov 2014 #47
No. Agnosticsherbet Nov 2014 #27
Your numbers are very misleading. BillZBubb Nov 2014 #30
He won by 1 tenth of 1 percent of the vote. Your use of words like "clobbered" is misleading. Agnosticsherbet Nov 2014 #35
Unknown? former9thward Nov 2014 #38
It's pretty clear this poster doesn't have any clue about either the Obama - Clinton primary race OR MADem Nov 2014 #43
Failed miserably? Clobbered? What election were you watching? MADem Nov 2014 #33
"I'm not going to wave the sexist card"! BillZBubb Nov 2014 #39
You don't have a grasp of MA politics. MADem Nov 2014 #42
Hillary got clobbered????? Beacool Nov 2014 #45
No Mike Nelson Nov 2014 #51
That is an odious description. longship Nov 2014 #52
Nope, it is an important question. BillZBubb Nov 2014 #53
Totally irrelevant until she declares as a candidate, or indeed anybody does. longship Nov 2014 #56
I just love the smell of right wing talking points leftofcool Nov 2014 #54
When you find some, let me know. BillZBubb Nov 2014 #55
Try Googling Rand Paul on HRC leftofcool Nov 2014 #58
Uh-uh Old Nick Nov 2014 #57
Clobbered? People have short memories... she is NO Coakley JCMach1 Nov 2014 #59
No. Rex Nov 2014 #60
Yes. nt silvershadow Nov 2014 #64

sharp_stick

(14,400 posts)
2. Well Hillary has won
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 03:04 PM
Nov 2014

a couple of elections so....not a really good comparison.

That being said, I'd like to see other candidates come forward but if she does run and win I'll do everything I can to get her elected. If for nothing else the number of veins that would pop on the hypertensive foreheads of the GOP would be totally awesome.

BillZBubb

(10,650 posts)
7. Coakley won elections too, in her district, but at the state level she fails.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 03:32 PM
Nov 2014

Hillary has won a statewide election, but at the national level she failed.

I still think it is a valid comparison, just at different scales.

JI7

(89,254 posts)
20. Coakley HAS won statewide, a few in Mass have said there is some sexism when it comes to electing
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 05:03 PM
Nov 2014

women to Governor and Senate and even Warren was in a tough race until scott brown started with the racism and other ugly attacks and revealed himself to be a piece of shit.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
3. The day that Coakley got the Dem gubernatorial nom,* I said, "Meet Governor Baker."
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 03:06 PM
Nov 2014

* not the gubernatorial nom per se, but the state party endorsement.

Hillary is a better candidate than Coakley, but I don't think Hillary will win the general.

I consider untrue memes statements like "Hillary is the only Democrat who can beat the Republicans" and, "If Hillary runs, she'll wipe the floor with them."

Nominate her at your peril, fellow Dems and give us no real choice at your peril, Dem Party PTB (assuming you really want to win in 2016).

MineralMan

(146,318 posts)
6. Or the Adlai Stevenson II
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 03:16 PM
Nov 2014

He never could get a break, it seems. I remember him from his second try at Ike and as a primary opponent of JFK. I was still a kid for both, but remember both elections.

unblock

(52,264 posts)
5. i'm pretty neutral on hillary, but no, there's no comparison here at all. not even close.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 03:13 PM
Nov 2014

she'd be president hillary right now were it not for the absolutely amazing, once-in-a-century kind of candidate and campaign that obama ran *combined* with the foregone conclusion of a republican defeat, which pulled republican money into the democratic primaries.

and in all likelihood, it will be president hillary yet. i certainly don't see any democrat beating her this time around. if the economy doesn't go into an actual recession, i think we're still favorites to win.

Tom Rinaldo

(22,913 posts)
16. That was close also.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 03:54 PM
Nov 2014

It took Obama a long time to put that race away. Hillary lost by being overconfident at first, and by not building a campaign machine for the caucus states (related to over confidence) which is where Obama ran up his delegate totals, with far fewer Democrats participating in those contests.

And I think you have to give Obama credit for being a charismatic and inspirational candidate to millions. For starters, no other national Democrat has ever faced trying to win a presidential campaign running against a major (sitting Senator etc.) African American candidate. That scrmabled the picture.

I'm not saying Clinton is unbeatable this time, but no she did not get clobbered in any sense once she got past her disastrous campaign beginning.

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)
23. I doubt she'd make the same mistake twice.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 05:08 PM
Nov 2014

Different mistakes, perhaps. I think she'll work much harder in Iowa, New Hampshire, and the other early states.

former9thward

(32,030 posts)
36. Hillary did not get "clobbered" in the delegate count either.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 07:49 PM
Nov 2014

Obama got 2,285½ and Hillary got 1,973. She beat him in the popular vote 17,857,501 to 17, 584, 692. You may have a different definition of "clobbered" than most people.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2008

 

AtomicKitten

(46,585 posts)
61. There is an asterisk on that popular vote.
Tue Nov 11, 2014, 03:07 PM
Nov 2014

from wiki you cited and bears repeating, again:

Although Obama led Clinton in delegates won through state contests, Clinton claimed that she had the popular vote lead as she had more actual votes from the state contests. However, this calculation could not include many states that had held caucuses, which Obama had dominated, and it did include Michigan and Florida, which neither Clinton nor Obama contested due to the Democratic National Committee's penalization of those states for violating party rules.

former9thward

(32,030 posts)
62. Your asterisk not mine.
Tue Nov 11, 2014, 03:17 PM
Nov 2014

I don't believe the DNC has any business telling the states when they can have elections and when they can't. That is a direct assault on democracy. I am glad Clinton participated in those contests when the people in those states wanted to have elections. You may want a dictatorial top down Party, I don't.

 

AtomicKitten

(46,585 posts)
63. It's wiki's asterisk/footnote, not mine or yours.
Tue Nov 11, 2014, 03:25 PM
Nov 2014

The steering committee of the DNC made the rules, a committee btw on which sat a pro-Clinton 12-member majority. They made the rules of the contest which FFS are not "an assault on democracy." It was not until it was clear she could not win did she insist on changing the rules. The Clintons are ruthless poor sports who believe themselves above the rules of the contest that they held sway on establishing and everybody else followed.

 

joeybee12

(56,177 posts)
44. Was also close until she realized it was over and her delegates pledeged to Obama..
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 09:50 PM
Nov 2014

And his lead was largely the delegates who are members of Congress, not the ones she got in the primaries...her post is really stupid...do you recall anything from 2008?

 

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)
12. Clobbered? i thought the popular vote wax almost even.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 03:41 PM
Nov 2014

And imo there is no other Democrat that can win next time other than Hillary. Just my opinion.

BillZBubb

(10,650 posts)
14. Remember 2008, they were saying no Democrat except Hillary could win.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 03:52 PM
Nov 2014

There are some good alternatives who might just be able to rouse the entire Democratic base. We'll see in the primaries. Of course, Hillary may be able to do the same. I don't rule her out.

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)
22. She ran a very bad campaign in 2008.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 05:06 PM
Nov 2014

Barack Obama being from Illinois also made folks in the Quad Cities area more familiar with him, and that helped him take Iowa.

If I could make one reform, it would be that everybody caucused or held primaries on the same day so that Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina ceased wielding disproportionate power.

Pisces

(5,599 posts)
15. Wow there sure were a lot of rocks turned over last night. The slugs and trolls are out in force.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 03:53 PM
Nov 2014

2 years of these "What do you think" posts after bashing Hillary or any other Democrat they want to bludgeon.
Soon DU will be a place Repukes can come and feel right at home as they are moving into the neighborhood fast and furious.

BillZBubb

(10,650 posts)
28. A little sensitive, are we Fish?
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 06:05 PM
Nov 2014

Since I am neither a slug nor a troll, I take offense at your juvenile insult.

If you think this was a "bash", you have trouble with comprehension.

Response to BillZBubb (Reply #28)

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)
19. She was able to get elected to the Senate, which is more than Coakley could do.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 05:00 PM
Nov 2014
At the moment she'd likely be favored over every known, likely GOP candidate, simply because she's better known and has higher favorables. Will that be true in 15 -18 months? It depends on who the Republicans look likely to nominate. I think Hillary whips Ted Cruz or Mitt Romney. OTOH, Scott Walker or Chris Christie present problems. Jeb Bush? Unknown - is he remembered as a former Florida governor, or as W.Bush's brother who's likely to be just as bad.

Surveys show that most people (by which I don't mean most people on DU) look back at the Clinton years very positively. The same cannot be said of the Bushes.

Other unknowns: a majority of voters say they don't feel represented by either party? Does an independent, like a Jon Huntsman or a Bernie Sanders (if he runs "I" as opposed to "D&quot come along and capture some of those votes? If Christie or Romney get nominated, does the Cruz/Palin wing of the party break away and take about half the party with it?

BillZBubb

(10,650 posts)
32. Yes, but my analogy was Coakley won locally, but couldn't win the state.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 06:17 PM
Nov 2014

Hillary could win at the state level but can she win nationally? I don't know the answer, but I do know she's not as imposing a candidate as a lot of DU'ers want to believe.

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)
34. I think the same could be said of Warren & O'Malley
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 06:37 PM
Nov 2014

Also, she was SecState for four years, which no other Dem candidate brings to the table.

BillZBubb

(10,650 posts)
40. Absolutely, I agree. Hillary has a great resume.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 09:35 PM
Nov 2014

My worry about any of the candidates is are they electable? Some people just don't seem to have the charisma (or whatever it is) that gets enough people fired up to vote for them.

Some people are able to do that even with those that have differences in policy.

Control-Z

(15,682 posts)
21. I don't remember Obama clobbering Hillary.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 05:05 PM
Nov 2014

It was a close race up to the bloody end when the math became impossible for her to win.

 

LawDeeDah

(1,596 posts)
24. If you consider the power of the Clinton Machine
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 05:09 PM
Nov 2014

going up against a relatively unknown senator...

yAH, it was a clobber. A rout and a drubbing, a massacre.

BillZBubb

(10,650 posts)
41. 50%+1.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 09:38 PM
Nov 2014

When the opponent is a one term, unknown Senator and you are the prohibitive favorite going in.

Maybe you would prefer to call it a monumental upset?

former9thward

(32,030 posts)
48. Yeah, an unknown Senator who gave the Keynote speech
Tue Nov 11, 2014, 01:45 AM
Nov 2014

at the Democratic Convention in 2004. Really unknown ...

 

LawDeeDah

(1,596 posts)
49. Compared to the Clintons?
Tue Nov 11, 2014, 11:18 AM
Nov 2014

You really think as many people that recognized the Clinton name from so many years back, knew who that Senator was in 2004?

No. Obama was a relative unknown even up to the primaries. People were watching Storage Wars, not the Dem convention. He stood in the background and gradually came up front during the finals because his words gained recognition, not his surname. He had to actually campaign while Hillary was renting helicopters and following inept advice from Penn and Bill and could only attack Obama's message because she didn't have one of her own. She was very disrespectful, she and Bill and the team will not be forgiven by a lot of people for the desperate moves they made when they discovered they were sunk.

Hillary Clinton got her arse handed to her by an unknown, in fact she was so damn sure of her easy win she and her crack team didn't even look beyond Super Tuesday for planning.

Routed, and drubbed.

former9thward

(32,030 posts)
50. Clinton got more votes in the primaries than did Obama.
Tue Nov 11, 2014, 11:57 AM
Nov 2014

Out of 4100 delegate she lost by 300. Hardly a "rout" or a "drubbing".

Agnosticsherbet

(11,619 posts)
27. No.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 05:25 PM
Nov 2014

She isn't my preferred Candidate.

But she is capable of running a really tough election campaign.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/democratic_vote_count.html

In the popular vote in the primary (17,535,458 48.1% 17,493,836 48.0%) he only received 32,000 more votes that Hillary Clinton, and only one by one tenth of a percent.

It was along primary, hard fought, and the closeness of the election in number votes shows that she was in no way clobbered.

BillZBubb

(10,650 posts)
30. Your numbers are very misleading.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 06:13 PM
Nov 2014

Winning the nomination is like winning the general election: delegates in one, electoral votes in the other.

Obama started as a virtual unknown, with far less resources, and without the ability to fully organize in every state at least early on. He had to pick where to put his resources. So, yes Clinton did get a lot of votes, but a lot of that had to do with Obama not fully contesting every state and not having the money to run ads.

In delegates, it was a crushing defeat for Hillary.

Agnosticsherbet

(11,619 posts)
35. He won by 1 tenth of 1 percent of the vote. Your use of words like "clobbered" is misleading.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 06:48 PM
Nov 2014

Considering that he is not going to run in 2016, we should compare Clinton to other primary challengers.

The only Democratic candidates at the moment are Jeff Boss, Vermin Supreme, and Robby Wells.

Assuming that she decides to run in the primary, I think she will defeat all of them soundly, though I admit there a dark humorous side to me that would like to see a President named Vermin Supreme.

former9thward

(32,030 posts)
38. Unknown?
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 07:54 PM
Nov 2014

Obama gave the keynote address at the 2004 Democratic convention. You have a funny definition for "clobbered in delegates" and "unknown".

MADem

(135,425 posts)
43. It's pretty clear this poster doesn't have any clue about either the Obama - Clinton primary race OR
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 09:48 PM
Nov 2014

the MA gubernatorial race. He doesn't have a sense of the dynamic or the competing elements at play in either case. He also thinks that "clobbered" is a synonym for "hair-thin margin."

Go figure!

MADem

(135,425 posts)
33. Failed miserably? Clobbered? What election were you watching?
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 06:21 PM
Nov 2014

The margin was razor thin. Boo Hoo Charley does NOT have a mandate.

Had Falchuk not run, Coakley would have been governor elect.


I'm not going to wave the sexist card, but your definitions of 'failed miserably' 'clobbered' and 'numerous problems' stink on ice to me.

Here's what's ACCURATE:

"Charlie eaked out a win...." Charlie BARELY squaked by" and "Almost too close to call."

But hey, this is MA, where we've never elected a woman governor. They have to work ten times as hard to get one tenth the credit.

You need to work on your "thesis" there. It's bogus.

BillZBubb

(10,650 posts)
39. "I'm not going to wave the sexist card"!
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 09:29 PM
Nov 2014

But you did. That's one of the oldest rhetorical gimmicks in the book.

Nothing sexist in my post. I was actually thinking of using Crist as an example, but he was a republican and he won the governorship. Coakley just stands out because she failed twice in a highly Democratic state when running for a high position with an open seat. I remember when she lost to Brown most people here felt she failed miserably. The fact that she is a woman isn't the issue.

MADem

(135,425 posts)
42. You don't have a grasp of MA politics.
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 09:44 PM
Nov 2014

Name all of the women elected to the corner office in years past, why don't you?

Yeah, no problem with sexism in MA, nothing to see here, move along.

Ask Shannon O'Brien--she'll tell ya.

Beacool

(30,250 posts)
45. Hillary got clobbered?????
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 11:29 PM
Nov 2014

Maybe in your world. In mine she almost got the same popular vote number, but Obama did manage to be ahead by 114 pledged delegates due to the caucus states. She won most if the big state primaries. Neither one had enough delegates to win the nomination out right, enter the super delegates. That's not "clobbering", that's barely eking a win.



longship

(40,416 posts)
52. That is an odious description.
Tue Nov 11, 2014, 12:54 PM
Nov 2014

I have no position whatsoever on the 2016 campaign and am likely not to have any for at least a year. I am not necessarily a big fan of Hillary Clinton.

But this is a despicable post. It is a clear attempt to poison the well, two years before an election which she has not yet announced as a candidate. In fact, nobody has.

Give it a rest, my friend.

BillZBubb

(10,650 posts)
53. Nope, it is an important question.
Tue Nov 11, 2014, 01:05 PM
Nov 2014

Does Hillary Clinton have the charisma, sales ability, likeability, personality (or whatever that special "it" is) to fire up the Democratic base and close the deal in a national election?

Obama has "it", obviously. It is possible Hillary does to, but if so that hasn't been apparent.

I'm not pushing any other candidate and right now Hillary is the frontrunner for the nomination by a long shot. It is very important to ask questions about electability for all our candidates, whomever they may be.

BTW, if she wins the nomination I will fully support her candidacy.

In politics, there is no rest.

longship

(40,416 posts)
56. Totally irrelevant until she declares as a candidate, or indeed anybody does.
Tue Nov 11, 2014, 01:28 PM
Nov 2014

Enough said?

I hope so.

Let us not descend into permanent presidential campaign Hell.

leftofcool

(19,460 posts)
58. Try Googling Rand Paul on HRC
Tue Nov 11, 2014, 01:40 PM
Nov 2014

Your OP reads almost word for word exactly what RP has said about Hillary. But, don't let that stop you from bashing her. Carry on.

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