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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWarren, Sanders beat Hillary in poll of DFA members
Last edited Sat Nov 22, 2014, 04:29 PM - Edit history (1)
If you only listened to Washington pundits, youd wonder why Democrats are even bothering holding primaries and caucuses.
- Charles Chamberlain, Democracy for America
The members of the progressive group that grew out of Howard Deans presidential campaign are not exactly ready for Hillary.
Democracy for America (DFA) has been asking their roughly one million members whom the group should support in a hypothetical 2016 Democratic presidential primary. Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren was the clear favorite, with support from 42% of respondents, according to results shared with msnbc ahead of their release later Thursday.
In second place was Vermont independent Sen. Bernie Sanders, who is seriously considering a presidential bid as a Democrat, with 24%. Just one point behind was former secretary of State Hillary Clinton at 23%.
From there, the numbers drop off significantly, with former Labor Secretary Robert Reich who told msnbc he is not interested in running capturing 3% of the vote, and Vice President Joe Biden getting just 2%. Former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb, who announced an exploratory committee Thursday, received less than 1% of the vote.
Warren has repeatedly said she is not running for president and there is no evidence thus far that shes interested. Sanders is seriously considering a run, and recently hired a top Democratic strategist to help plan a bid.
http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/warren-sanders-beat-hillary-poll-liberal-groups-members?adbid=746970968691085&adbpl=fb&adbpr=114945745226947&cid=sm_m_lastword_4_20141121_35989557
Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)billhicks76
(5,082 posts)The overly prolific commenters on DU trying to shove Hillary inevitability down our throats are going to have a meltdown over this. Hillary is horrible. Of rather have Liz regardless that she used to be a Republican. Hillary was President If The College Republicans.
TheBlackAdder
(28,209 posts)I have reservations with Hillary too.
If it came down to her or a GOPer like Christie/Ryan/other... I'd begrudgingly vote for her.
Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)Get BUSY!!!!
woo me with science
(32,139 posts)Third Way inevitable Hillary places THIRD right behind Sanders.
This THIRD place finish despite having been in the public eye for years and years as both First Lady *and* Secretary of State...while he is routinely ignored or dismissed/discounted by the MSM.
And this is just the *beginning* of public familiarity with the policies of Warren and Sanders.
Go away, Third Way Hillary.
arcane1
(38,613 posts)Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)Hillary is not a progressive at all. She will not be winning the '16 nomination because she's the same old, same old - nothing new and exciting about her. She has lips firmly planted on the corporatists ass, and her support will not endear any progressives.
joshcryer
(62,276 posts)I myself don't have the stomach for it. After being part of Draft Gore (larger than Ready for Warren by a mile), the Dean campaign, and basically fighting for the underdog, I can't and won't do it.
The 2016 election will be easily a $2 billion, more likely $6 billion campaign (thanks to Oligarchy United). It's going to be rough.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)The problem with people promoting Sanders and/or Warren is that they don't even understand or acknowledge the fact that elections aren't won on Election Day. Then, when their chosen savior loses, they give up, toss up their hands & say "They cheated! The game is rigged! The winner is no better than a Republican!", instead of buckling down and getting ready for the next campaign & the one after that.
Marr
(20,317 posts)In my experience, by the way, the left wing of the party is a hell of a lot more involved, knowledgeable, and active in politics than the self-described "moderates", DLC/Third Way, Reagan Democrat types, who can't even be bothered to show up on election day half the time.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)The people that went back to the land in the '60s & '70s - and are still doing it are some of the hardest working people I've ever met.
Voice for Peace
(13,141 posts)baldguy
(36,649 posts)and cast aspersions on people whom I generally respect.
Voice for Peace
(13,141 posts)although I think it was you, not hippies, that was being cast upon.
Rex
(65,616 posts)They seem to hate the electoral process, which seems strange for self-proclaimed progressives.
noiretextatique
(27,275 posts)they made that pretty clear with Nader.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)Rex
(65,616 posts)baldguy
(36,649 posts)They do more damage to the cause then Republicans ever could in their wildest dreams.
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)baldguy
(36,649 posts)And getting behind someone who isn't even running - and has publicly said she supports someone else on top of it - is a sure way to lose. America can't afford to have the Dems lose.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)Nobody is defeating anybody, they are freely choosing the candidate they want to support.
billhicks76
(5,082 posts)Clinging to someone who moves the center further to the right is criminal. Why do you think we have crazy Tea Partiers in power now? Because of that...it's that simple. We have cultural divides in this country so people want to differentiate themselves from the opposition so when we keep acting like normal republicans then the real republicans have to go off the cliff to the right to separate themselves. Get a clue.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)Purges, litmus tests & pogroms. That's one way to make sure nothing ever gets done & let the RW win by default.
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)baldguy
(36,649 posts)Aerows
(39,961 posts)For supporting someone other than Hillary????
That is so much hyperbole, it needs to be called supermegabole.
Wow. Words have meaning, and I don't think you know what that word means.
billhicks76
(5,082 posts)We all know the money and power and media influence the Repubs have at their fingertips. We even see all their surrogates all over the web advocating for them and sometimes posing as someone they are not. It all gets exacerbated when we lose out way and move further right to please these jerks. All it does is push the center further to the right. If your suggesting Democrats should abandon their core principles and ignore what they stand for out of fear of alienating those scared of bogey-man litmus tests then you really are kidding yourself. We already list the Senate because if that ridiculous position.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)billhicks76
(5,082 posts)I do think Karl is close with people like the Clintons....more than people are willing to accept.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)as he would for ANY Democrat.
And here you are following in his footsteps.
It's all theater to divide us. He likes Hillary as she represents Wall St and is a Democrat In Name Only.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)And casting any center-left Dem as a DINO oligarch is a central plot point.
If the Democrats are divided, who do you think wins? How do you think the minority party has been able to maintain power for the last 45 yrs?
billhicks76
(5,082 posts)I've grown up. You should do the same. The game is rigged. Extreme measures and not playing footsie with power brokers needs to be taken. For some of us this is real life.
Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)A phony liberal.
Yep, that's exactly what she is.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)May i remind you the same exact shit happened in 2008?
baldguy
(36,649 posts)(That's you BTW.)
The people explicitly calling for purges & litmus tests are supporters of Warren & Sanders who want to get rid of the Clinton supporters.
Imagine what Warren & Sanders would have to say about that?
Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)Therefore not purging her. Just dont need her drama and her baggage the size of Texas. Thanks, but no thanks. Therefore Hillary is not a viable candidate for the Democratic Party. Its called a process of elimination not purging.
Nice try.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)And tell the purgies to fuck off.
Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)because Americans are actually PISSED off at the idea of a "dynasty" and "same old shit".
Third Way Democrats are not true Democrats at all. They are Republicans in disguise, and they need to be thrown out.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)Who's the real DINO here? You - a supporter of Stalinist purges who believes the very people who've been successful in getting Democrats elected "need to be thrown out" of the party? Or me? I have repeatedly stated the I will support the Democratic Party nominee for President in 2016. I doubt you can say the same.
saintsebastian
(41 posts)You talk a lot about purges, without really considering what or who is being purged. Is a purge necessarily bad if those that are being purged are pro-war corporatists? Is it automatically a bad thing to expel, say, fascists from your ranks simply because expelling them may be described as purging them? I get that "purge" is a buzzword among the establishment crowd, but I'm not buying the argument that being a "big tent party" at any cost is always, unquestionably and without caveat a good thing.
Hell, it may even be helpful to judge ourselves on who doesn't consider themselves welcome in our party. If the bankers, weapons manufacturers, torturers, war makers, etc. begin to feel that they have a foe in the Democratic Party, it may signal to us that we're finally doing something right.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)They believe they can't successfully articulate their positions. They believe they can't win in an open debate. They believe they can't gather enough votes, either in the party or nationally. They believe their arguments are too weak & their support is too thin, so they need to summarily remove the competition.
Bernie Sanders doesn't believe that. Elizabeth Warren doesn't believe that. I don't believe that.
So, who's the DINO here?
saintsebastian
(41 posts)You failed completely to address the point I was attempting to make. Is a "big tent party" something you're striving for even if it means the inclusion of warmongering oligarchs?
In response to your reply: I'm not sure what you mean when you say that progressives "can't gather enough votes", and are therefore cleansing the party of those they're supposedly afraid of. Do you realize that any so-called purge would happen via the ballot box? Without a primary, this scary purge you speak of wouldn't even be possible. So, the idea that we're incapable of getting out the vote and so, by getting out the vote in a primary we're purging the party, doesn't make very much sense.
Ironically, it seems to be the Ready for Hillary crowd who largely scoff at the of competition for the nomination.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)Liberals want actual progress, recognize that there are processes & procedures required to get there, understand that wishing dictatorial powers on one person is fantasy, but that it takes hard work by many dedicated individuals to achieve these ends, and while sometimes may be disappointed, are not disheartened in the quest to improve their lives & the lives of others.
OTOH, "liberals" only say they want progress, refuse to accept that simply wishing for something won't make it so, pout like spoiled children when they don't get their way, and - just like the fascists you accuse moderates of being, are likely to stab good Democrats in the back, and - just like fascists, have an authoritarian streak that demands purity, calling for purges and litmus tests, and - just like fascists, are happy to see the Democratic Party defeated.
You don't seem to understand OR CARE that I DIDN'T PULL THE IDEA OF PURGES OUT OF MY ASS - IT CAME DIRECTLY FROM THESE SUPPOSED "LIBERALS" THAT YOU'RE DEFENDING!!
So, again - who's the real DINO here?
saintsebastian
(41 posts)Again, I am not doubting that a purge/litmus test mentality exists. It does. The question I'm raising, which you seem not to want to address, is whether or not purges and litmus tests are automatically and inherently bad. Surely there are some principles, whether or not they regard economics or war and peace, where a line should be drawn. Or do you think it is possible to be both the party of Wall Street fat cats and the working poor? Doesn't it sound like a better idea to be the party that pledges to put an end to perpetual bombing campaigns than it does to be the party whose slogan is "Eh the Other Guys Are (Slightly) Worse"?
And quit asking who is and isn't a DINO. I never called you a DINO.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)And you seem further to be an anti-Democratic Party line that been originated & promoted by RW Republicans. To wit: It's fucking obvious that purges & litmus tests are automatically and inherently bad. THEY'RE ANTI-DEMOCRATIC AND AUTHORITARIAN BY THEIR VERY NATURE!! If you weren't a DINO you'd understand that.
saintsebastian
(41 posts)It's rich, frankly, that you describe any potential expulsion of moderates as "anti-democratic" when it's through the ballot box and by voting that any "purge" would take place. Is voting suddenly anti-democratic when the votes are cast for progressive populists?
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)Ironically, you're "de-liberaling" people for not agreeing with you, demanding the abandonment of debate and democratic process, and seeking an appointment of someone by overhead fiat... and you think people who like Sanders are the problem.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)I've said it repeatedly: I will vote for the nominee of the Democratic Party for President in 2016. I just don't think it's going to be Sanders. Or Warren, for that matter. ITOH, the people explicitly calling for purges & litmus tests want to get rid of the Clinton supporters.
They want to bypass the democratic process. They want to weaken the party. They want to alienate the great majority of the electorate. And they want to ensure a Republican victory on 2016.
Authoritarians do purges. Purists do litmus tests. Neither are in the Democratic Party tradition.
The people shouting loudest against Clinton & for Warren & Sanders mistakenly see the Democratic Party as hopelessly corrupt & in the pocket of Wall Street. What they don't see & really can't answer honestly is: If the Democrats are so hopelessly corrupt, why did their "liberal savior" Elizabeth Warren join the Party? Why is old uncorruptible Sanders looking to run as a Democrat?
I've never stated a preference for a candidate as yet. You can prop up you mistaken beliefs with unfounded assumptions based on your own biases & prejudices, but that won't change until we actually have some candidates.
Voice for Peace
(13,141 posts)what others should be doing -- to set an inspiring example,
to encourage, instead of criticizing.
So we didn't start three years ago, let's start today. Let
us know what you are doing for the cause.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)Getting behind someone who isn't running is a sure way to lose.
Why don't we try not to lose for a start?
Voice for Peace
(13,141 posts)and I wish I could remember where I was reading about that,
it was pretty convincing and a somewhat technical explanation.
Hillary started running for President when she ran for Senator.
She has always been 'third way.' I have never liked her or
Bill either for that matter.
Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)Right.. you have nothing at all, baldguy.
So shove your phony assumptions and accept that Hillary Clinton is not a nominee and will never be one. Even if she runs, she still has to get through the debates where she will be trounced by any true liberals. Her polls will drop and get beat again after her "inevitability" again, just like in '08.
Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)Please do provide the link, or stop your phony assertions.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)Here for example: Elizabeth Warren: I am not running for president
And she has also said repeatedly that she wants Hillary to run: Elizabeth Warren: I hope Hillary Clinton runs for president
The only "phony assertions" are those coming from the phony "progressives" who state categorically that they won't vote for anyone else.
Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)I am talking about Ms. Hillary Clinton.
Thank you!
baldguy
(36,649 posts)Have you been living on Mars for the last decade?
Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)group.
She isn't running as far as I know. You know that.
If she declares her candidacy, fine, but she still won't get my vote. If she is the 2016 Democratic nominee, I'll vote for her, but I will not work or donate any money to her. She has tons of PACs and her 1% friends that she doesn't need me to give her any money.
I want you to understand something: Pushing a person to vote for someone that they don't want makes voters sit at home.
Think about it.
Aerows
(39,961 posts)completely. I'll vote for her if I have to, but I will do everything I possibly can to make sure she isn't the nominee, and I won't be donating or working for her.
arcane1
(38,613 posts)baldguy
(36,649 posts)They didn't succeed until Reagan in 1980. They didn't decline to put up a candidate during those years, but they didn't spot building their base either.
C Moon
(12,218 posts)TerrapinFlyer
(277 posts)The Democratic Party needs to start leaning more left.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)And, there are worse places to start from than that, in fairness.
True Blue Door
(2,969 posts)Anyone else is likely to be a disaster, and Hillary would be a disgraceful disaster.
Of course, I'm always open to new candidates, or old candidates exceeding expectations.
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)Most of us anyways.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)It's certainly nice to hear good news about your candidate (or non-candidate in this case) but to think this reflects the reality of the Democratic Party at large is naive.
These are points that should also be considered from the linked article:
DFA grew out of the 2004 presidential campaign of Howard Dean, who has said publicly that hes supporting Hillary Clinton in 2016.
The poll is not scientific and should be read with plenty of caveats, but offers the temperature of one group of committed progressive activists. For instance, Ready for Warren, a super PAC which is trying to draft the senator into the race, has been sending emails to supporters this week urging them to vote for Warren in the DFA poll.
Larger public opinion surveys show Clinton in a dominant position in the likely 2016 Democratic presidential field, even among progressives
Good luck to Elizabeth Warren. She's being rewarded for her loyalty to Clinton and the Democratic party.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)This poll was little more than an online poll for DFA members only where people could tell others how to vote to sway the results. Very much like how people on DU 'DU' vote in online polls to sway the results.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)This was a poll of national progressives, 1 million strong, and the results were enlightening. You accuse people in DFA of voter fraud,"tell others how to vote to sway the results" so present your factual info with names, dates and times. If you have accusations that are scientific bring them for all to see or understand this a valid indicator of a national group of progressives.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)This was a poll of national progressives, 1 million strong,
0ut of over 1,000,000 members, 164,733 (approximately 10%) voted online. Warren pulled 40% or so of that 10%.
You accuse people in DFA of voter fraud, "tell others how to vote to sway the results"
No, the OP's linked article does. Quote: Ready for Warren, a super PAC which is trying to draft the senator into the race, has been sending emails to supporters this week urging them to vote for Warren in the DFA poll.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)Present the e-mail evidence so we can see just how threatening they were to DFA'ers. Then uncover and reveal which of those 164,733 were so intimidated by being TOLD they have no choice of their own in voting and must sway the election or else.
Was your poll a closed poll of Dems only or did it include Repubs and Independents? What percentage of progressive/millennials/conservaDems were represented in your cited poll? Also exactly how many responders were in your poll,1000 or 164,733?
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Who said anything about threatening?
In a closed poll for members only who already lean a certain way, how else do you think the 'poll' will turn out. Rather like asking vegans what america's favorite food is then announcing meatless burgers are the most popular food.
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)hmmm...
They polled DEMOCRATS & Hillary wasn't the favorite. Deal with it.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)NO ONE is denying the polls results. What is being questioned is that results are consequential based on the leanings of those polled.
Like this one from DFA:
SunSeeker
(51,579 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)SunSeeker
(51,579 posts)And if you're talking about the Dem primary polls, those showed Obama beating Hillary soon after the start of the primary season.
Do you really think this DFA poll is predictive of who the Dem nominee will be?
aspirant
(3,533 posts)" after the start of the primary season" so you ignore all polls before the primary begins, right? That means all these Wall Street Hillary polls and the DFA polls should be ignored because the 2016 primary hasn't begun yet. Do you agree that if the DFA poll isn't predictive, then the Hillary polls aren't predictive either?
SunSeeker
(51,579 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)When you tell someone how to vote, your NOT suggesting, recommending, begging, asking, kindly hinting or any other gentle nudging.
Answer my questions on your cited poll or we will all know how sciencitifically ridiculous your position is.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)... and suggested they vote for Warren. Is that not a fact?
Answer my questions on your cited poll or we will all know how sciencitifically ridiculous your position is.
What poll did I cite?
Oh, here's one:
WOW! Eerily accurate.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)"Suggested they vote for Warren" and in post #17 "people could TELL others how to vote" so now when you're pushed into a corner you change your words hoping none of us will notice. This is ridiculously naive.
"What poll did I cite"? Let's go to post #11, "larger public opinion surveys show Clinton in a dominant position in the likely 2016 Presidential field". Then when I ask for facts on these 2016 polls you present a 2008 poll and pretend again your previous words are forgotten or never existed. I stand by ridiculous evasions.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)DU this poll:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=104x3275746
DU this poll:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10025071034
DU this poll:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251141861
DU this poll:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=364x365690
See? You've just been told to do things under no threat.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)And regardless of your answer, I TOLD you to do things without threatening you.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)"People could tell others how to vote to sway the results" is your statement. If you told me to do something and I didn't then how could you sway my vote or any DFA voter to alter the poll and skew the results? This is an untainted poll and it's results should be understood. Hillary is in third place and falling.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)I just proved the two aren't the same.
Warren isn't running. I'll bet Sanders won't either. And if they did, they'd go the way of DFA's last pulse poll winner.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)No, you suggested that e-mails were telling people how to vote to screw up the results. I pointed out that telling people was a lot stronger then suggesting, but suggesting wasn't as believable as telling when you implied their votes were swayed. With Hillary sitting in an embarrassing third place, how can this poll be right? Now you persistently point to a 2008 DFA poll as your basis of disputing this recent poll. I cite the 2008 Presidential Primary where Hillary is a proven loser.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Quote me where I suggested that.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)Post # 17 "people could tell others how to vote to sway the results"
Post# 31 " were encouraged to vote one way by another progressive group and in no way represents the democratic electorate at large".
Now don't get evasive on me again. I'm having patience with you because I know your memory is fading and I have to keep pointing to your posts. I remind you again of the 2016 Clinton presidential polls and the questions I had for you.
How am I in last place when I'm not running for anything or maybe you have forgotten again?
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)The OP has many words, those are the ones you chose to represent your views. Now I know its only been a few minutes but have you forgotten again to answer my questions on the 2016 Clinton polls. I first asked a few hours ago but that's probably forever lost in your short-term memory.It's been interesting with you always suggesting to "look over there, not here, over there". Wolfie, you have to remember here has value too.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)And he has hired a really good Democratic strategist.
He's in for '16, and he'll get my vote unless there are more attractive potential candidates who is left of Obama and Clinton that has closely matched my ideals and policies.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)ZombieHorde
(29,047 posts)I'm glad they stop selling them early, or I would eat them several times a week. So yummy.
LawDeeDah
(1,596 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)LawDeeDah
(1,596 posts)Watchout Busters, she's Gonna Graph Ya!
or
Achtung Baby, a weighted Hillary Poll is About to Drop on Your Head!
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)I think its BS.
Give us a link from their website, and then I'll believe you.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)tritsofme
(17,380 posts)This is one of the most bizarre exchanges I have seen on DU in some time.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)I made two claims:
1. Polling is done by a random sampling of registered and/or likely voters
2. The online poll for DFA members allowed people to tell others how to vote to sway the results. Very much like how people on DU 'DU' vote in online polls to sway the results.
Which one isn't true?
aspirant
(3,533 posts)Why are you so ridiculously evasive. What claims, scientific claims, how can you do that when your so evasive. Isn't it true you are evasive and the issue I'm questioning about,you are evading. Evasion can be harmful when coupled with memory loss. Is evasion a positive trait? If it is should we teach this in our schools?
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Again, I ask what poll you are referring to?? Quote me the post where I cited a poll.
In post 17 I didn't cite Clinton 2016 polls. Here is the EXACT wording of post #17:
Polling is done by a random sampling of registered and/or likely voters. This poll was little more than an online poll for DFA members only where people could tell others how to vote to sway the results. Very much like how people on DU 'DU' vote in online polls to sway the results.
So what are disputing?
Do you deny polling is done by a random sampling of registered and/or likely voters? All public opinion polling is a social science with strict rules about sample size, random selection of participants and margins of error.
Do you deny the DFA poll quoted in the OP was an online poll for DFA members? Do you deny the PAC 'Ready For Warren' emailed DFA members telling them to vote for Warren?
Just what the fuck are you denying??
Democratic primary polls are ALWAYS from registered voters who are Democrats or lean Democratic. And to your obvious chagrin, Hillary leads among liberals. All of the most recent data suggests that Clinton doesn't have any real problems on her left flank. Indeed, she's actually stronger with liberals than she is with more moderate Democrats. And very, very few liberals have anything but nice things to say about her.
To wit:
* A new CNN/Opinion Research poll shows that when voters are asked whether they would prefer Clinton, a more liberal alternative or a more conservative one, about twice as many non-Clinton voters say they prefer the more conservative one (20 percent) to the more liberal one (11 percent).
* A Washington Post/ABC News poll this month showed Clinton taking a bigger share of the vote in the 2016 primary among self-described liberals (72 percent) than among moderate and conservative Democrats (60 percent).
* The same poll shows 18 percent of moderate Democrats don't want Clinton to run. Just 6 percent of liberal Democrats agree.
* The WaPo-ABC poll also shows liberal Democrats approve of Clinton's tenure at the State Department by a margin of 96-1, while moderate Democrats approve of it 84-12. Sixty-seven percent of liberals strongly approve of Clinton's performance, nearly 9 in 10 say she is a strong leader, and only slightly fewer say she's honest and trustworthy.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/06/16/hillary-clinton-doesnt-have-a-problem-with-liberals-not-hardly/
And, she leads among millennials:
http://www.motherjones.com/mojo/2014/10/hillary-clinton-millennials-poll
http://www.politico.com/story/2014/10/poll-hillary-clinton-millenials-111723.html
http://reason.com/poll/2014/07/17/millennials-plan-to-vote-for-hillary-cli
aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)I'm going thru each of your polls. Preliminary results;
1) Your Millennials polls are from 2 sources, Fusion TV and Reason-Rube polling
a) Fusion tv is a 1 YEAR OLD COMPANY catering to the English speaking Hispanics, doesn't sound like an all-encompassing TV poll to me, more like DFA. DfA had 164,733 voters, how many did Fusion have?
b)Reason-rube is a self-defined right wing libertarian group. I give about as much credence to that poll as Fox News polls.
"A social science with strict rules about sample size, random selection of participates and margins of error" Did you forget the variability in polls? How can 4 polls on the same issue has different results and still be called a science. The Turtle's national polling was too close to call on Nov 3 and turned out to be a 15% blowout. If the national polls are so precise, why do lots of politicians waste their money on secret internal polls? Could how the questions are asked play any role in the outcome?
Now to denying. "online poll for DFA members" stated plainly in my posts." e-mailed DfA members telling them to vote for Warren"; I used that in my arguments. "Hillary leads among Liberals" ;not in the DFA poll.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)That's something that Republicans usually do. Not that I haven't seen it on left leaning sources.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)Last edited Sat Nov 22, 2014, 11:13 PM - Edit history (1)
This is great. You make statements and I counter and you have no rebuttal. You attack the DFA poll and then say I have nothing when I attack your poll results.Time to re-think that one. Now you accuse me of being a repub and left-leaning sources too. What a stretch, the repub that is.
On to your polls;
!) CNN/ORC ;respondents 306 dems 175 independents : poll taken in JUNE 2014 5 months before the mid-terms. Poll was between Hillary and no names (ghosts), they didn't even put in Bernie's name. Hillary as nominee 42% satisfied but not enthusiastic 41% enthusiastic, no landslide here. Methodology;" Subgroups with a sampling error of 8.5% or larger are not displayed and instead are denoted with an N/A,is this poll all-inclusive?
2) Wash.Post/ABC News, another May/June poll ; Again Clinton vs generic liberals(ghosts). The article says " things can always change and the Clintons can indeed be tied to the 1% pretty easily", can that be the resounding affirmation we look for in a poll?
See how easy it is for non-evasion.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Denying reality? Trying to find every little out to the point you look desperate just to prove an internet poll means something?
Face it, every scientifically conducted poll has Clinton ahead. One internet poll where members of a left leaning group votes by clicking a button is your one little ray of faux hope. Sad, really.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)I've already answered your denying questions. Why are you so desperately trying to prove a ! year old company's TV poll as having meaning? Again no rebuttals to your unscientific polls, just want us to fall inline behind Wall Street Hillary. Hillary leading a little known ghost is not science. Voting by clicking a button is so passe and must be outlawed in your strict rules. It' sad isn't it that progressives have a way to have their voice heard in this Hillary dictatorship. Now it's time to get to the heart of the issue, WILL YOU RISK YOUR LIFE ON A POLL? We both know what a sane person's answer is!
"one little ray of faux hope" does that mean your an Obama hater too?
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)You've not answered anything you just made excuses. You sound like people trying to spin their way out of global warming because they find one or two scientists they can convince to say it's not true.
It's the mark of a true progressive to deny spin and insult. congratulations
aspirant
(3,533 posts)Now you accuse me of being a global warming denier, talk about grabbing for straws. Is that all you got? You could be here for a 1000 years, it's my right to define it as I see it.Excuses, no I've just presented the other side, the argument that 500 people could never define 360 million people. If you think human beings are that simple, then it's time to elect a monkey.Your unscientific science is a joke, plain and simple.National polls are nothing but brainwashing propaganda to guide the masses in the direction our corp. masters want. I've answered every question you asked, that's why you have no questions in your post. I will present my unanswered question for a third time, WILL YOU RISK YOUR LIFE ON A POLL? Now answer the question.It's the mark of a true repub to accuse others of the things they are doing, trying to turn their weaknesses into strengths. I hope all my progressive brothers/sisters read this to see your true colors or probably they already know. Just move on to the repub party where you belong because your insults(progressive trait) aren't cutting the mustard.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)Wolfie you're being evasive again. "Deny the results" of a 1 person probability poll, no I would weigh the results. Any poll has a probability of truth no matter the size.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Science denier
aspirant
(3,533 posts)Poll denier, it's time you go back to your Republican home, they've missed you.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)F.
You are assuming #2. I was not influenced in any way when I voted in that poll. No-one told me how to vote.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Since no one was talking to you.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Stop doing it
aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)RiverLover
(7,830 posts)Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)Ok. your loss.
I am a DFA member, and I appreciate that they asked me who I would prefer in '16.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)I signed up for DFA ages ago. And OFA and Moveon and ... and...
Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)If you didn't, kwitcherbitchin.
You sat out on that poll, didn't you?
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)And kindly point out where I've been 'bitchin.'
Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)on the DFA poll.
"It makes no difference' - it means you sat out on that poll and have no right to whine about it.
I did, and I have the right to discuss it.
You don't. You sat out the vote.
End of story.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)Have a nice day. If you want, Google yourself and Clinton on that search bar top right of your screen..
I had more than enough to know what your loyalties are.
Typical Third Way behavior. You have been accused of evading several questions. And your credibility isn't a very good one when it comes to Clinton.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)woo me with science
(32,139 posts)A few months ago, we were lectured that somewhere around a million percent of "liberal Democrats" preferred Hillary Goldman-Sachs:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10025800473
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10025117294
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10025106823
This is just the beginning of the implosion of corporate Turd Way PR...
Wait 'til Sanders and/or Warren are actually talking to the electorate.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)So we should believe the reported DFA results but not THAT part?
woo me with science
(32,139 posts)Of *course* she started out ahead, professor! She was First Lady and Sec. of State!
But now she's fighting at third in this major poll of over a *million,* and her numbers have also been falling steadily in the polls of the total electorate. Yeah, people are starting to pay attention...
This whole thread is a comedy of tortured Third Way spin...but *particularly* interesting for how ostentatious the flailing is.
Honestly, I find that as fascinating as the corporate Third Way's "Accept Doom" email campaigns right before the midterms...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=5824859
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)woo me with science
(32,139 posts)What a base occupation. And a fascinating performance, from the perspective of motives.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=5824859
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Last edited Sat Nov 22, 2014, 05:19 PM - Edit history (1)
Vagueness is your strong suit.
Where have I ever said she started out ahead? Not that she didn't, but where did I say it?
You think this DFA poll is a 'major' poll? It it is, it's a sadly inaccurate one.
L0oniX
(31,493 posts)woo me with science
(32,139 posts)Downhill all the way!
OilemFirchen
(7,143 posts)she's specifically being rewarded for her fealty to Obama, without whom she would remain an unknown.
LawDeeDah
(1,596 posts)If you want to play that game.
Warren became a senator on her own steam and she owes no one her successes. She supported Obama and he her, that is what adults do for common causes. No one can say that about Hillary and her political 'successes'. So if you meant Warren, there ya go.
OilemFirchen
(7,143 posts)Warren gained recognition as a result of serving in Obama's cabinet, and prominence due to Obama's desire to see her as head of his Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.
Clinton's notoriety is a direct result of her stint as First Lady.
Would either or both of these women be national figures without those relationships? Perhaps. But we have no way of knowing. Nonetheless, we do know how they did achieve their current stature.
ETA: I presume that your inference about Clinton is as I described it. Reviewing your question, however, I'm not sure as it makes no sense whatsoever. I don't even know if it was a question. Was it?
Kermitt Gribble
(1,855 posts)is that politically informed Democrats prefer anyone but Hillary. Hanging your hat on support from low-information voters, who most likely go by name recognition, does not say a lot about your preferred candidate. It does, however, speak volumes about the propaganda machine in this country.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)The article essentially states it was a popularity contest for DFA members.
It's the 'smarter than thou' attitude that keeps 'progressives' in a corner. Or as Michael Moore once said, 'this is why people don't like you, you're so far up on your high horse.'
aspirant
(3,533 posts)Calling this a "popularity contest" after you have already called it a "online poll" is revealing the weakness of your agreement. Now who is trying to be "smarter than thou" by lecturing us on a nationa, 1 million strong progressive poll?
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)1. The poll was only open for DFA members.
2. Out of over 1,000,000 members, only 10% voted.
3. An outside group emailed DFA members to encourage them to vote for someone that isn't even running.
Kermitt Gribble
(1,855 posts)My point is that mainstream polls are taken from the general populace, which is largely uninformed, politically.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)The uninformed general populace vs. the informed 'progressives.'
Kermitt Gribble
(1,855 posts)If there is any "us vs them" it is Progressives vs the corporate media machine, who bear the responsibility for the "uniformed general populace". Are you denying that the general populace is largely uninformed or misinformed, politically?
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)The opposite is politically uninformed people prefer Hillary.
mainstream polls are taken from the general populace, which is largely uninformed, politically.
The opposite of which is closed members-only polls are taken from largely informed people.
Kermitt Gribble
(1,855 posts)Do you not agree that most US citizens are uninformed or misinformed? Do you not agree that people who participate in political groups or discussion boards are more politically informed than the general populace?
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Not necessarily.
Do you not agree that people who participate in political groups or discussion boards are more politically informed than the general populace?
Not necessarily. In this thread alone there are people claiming the DFA poll is scientific. WOW! That's informed - NOT.
DU is full of historical revisionism and political ignorance. At the same time, the brightest political people I know never read the netroots.
rhett o rick
(55,981 posts)progressive but they are fooling themselves. Do you consider yourself a progressive?
DFA is made up mostly of progressives and they don't choose HRC. Most HRC supporters wouldn't have anything to do with DFA. While the Clintons and Obama are socially progressive, they are strongly conservative on foreign policy, economy and civil rights. To me favoring same sex marriage and also supporting the oligarchy does not make you a progressive.
A vote for HRC is a vote for 8 more years of Conservative ideology.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)JEB
(4,748 posts)woo me with science
(32,139 posts)And the trajectory is down, down, down as people learn more. These poll results would have been unheard of six months ago.
And Democrats had better pay attention, because the fall in her numbers is happening not just among liberals, but in the electorate as a whole: http://presidentialpolls.com/carriere/hillary-clintons-lead-continues-to-dwindle-as-elections-approach/
Of course, that may be the entire point of running her...for the corporate/infiltrating/Third Way faction of our party:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=5824859
We misunderstand politics and our politicians in 2014 when we assume their goal is always to win. That was the old system, democracy.
In oligarchy, the goal is using the two parties you own in whichever way best furthers the corporate agenda of the oligarchy.
This is not a problem of bad strategy in a functioning democratic contest. This is oligarchy pretending to be democracy. Corporate Democrats did everything possible to depress turnout in the midterms, from their utter lack of a positive agenda, to the outright campaign to demoralize and insult the base online, to the "Accept Doom" DCCC email campaign:
DCCC email campaign: "Accept defeat"
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10025736826
I believe the PTB have decided it's time for a Republican figurehead next time. The illusion of democracy is nearly dead, and will continue to die as all the elements of fascism continue to be put into place by our bipartisan, purchased cabal of a government. But putting a Republican in next time will at least offer a boost to the propaganda machine, as all the Third Way corporate shills and mouthpieces online will be able to put on their liberal costumes again and pretend to wail alongside the rest of us as the last vestiges of the democratic nation we once knew are drowned in the toilet, this time by Republicans. Of course, all that "opposition" will be carefully and mysteriously futile in terms of policy.
But the important thing is that Dems will be consistently SAYING the right things again, and looking like the firebrand populist party we need them to be.
And the people will be reassured that we really do still have a democracy, we can stop all this silly talk about oligarchy and needing fundamental change and such, and we can all go home and watch "Hunger Games" and grouse because our only problem will be that Republicans are in office for a little while and we need to get them out and the Third Way Democrats back in.
Marr
(20,317 posts)Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)"but offers the temperature of one group of committed progressive activists." Those are the people who do the groundwork in getting voters ready to vote. Having the 'committed activists' on your side is a big plus, not a 'caveat'.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)About 10% of DFA members voted, were encouraged to vote one way by another 'progressive' group, and in no way represent the Democratic electorate at large.
Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)But remember, he can change his support anytime.
Right now, there's no-one running for President for 2016.
Just a bunch of people "exploring" their presidential aspirations.
I know Dean wants someone more left of Clinton.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)since I already know Dr. Dean is ready for another change - he wants to re-implement his 50 state strategy that has worked wonders in '06 and '08.
DWS is an idiot and has lost Democrats because there is no messaging, and no unity around the President.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Aerows
(39,961 posts)to vote for her ... that should tell you she has some pretty damn staunch supporters. I've seen a fairly tepid response to Hillary in many Democratic spheres. The most enthusiastic supporters of Hillary are 1%-ers who believe (and rightly so) that they will benefit tremendously by supporting her if she is elected.
99%-ers? Not so much, and certainly not among the younger demographics. If you will recall, in 2008, that's exactly who didn't vote for her in the primaries, either. No Dem is going to win without young voters, and Hillary is about as appealing to that demographic as a bag of turds.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)She has staunch supporters, sure. Who's denied that?
aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)But it's a fact.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)But it's a fact.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Aerows
(39,961 posts)Glad you recognize that.
A Democratic candidate isn't going to win without the youth vote. As I stated, that is exactly who didn't vote for her in 2008.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)And Hillary has no issues with the youth vote.
Aerows
(39,961 posts)I forgot that she has been nominated and elected President twice in a row.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)One that Warren supporters are claiming has national implications. President Kucinich won this poll in 2008.
Is it your contention this poll means Warren is the front runner and all other polls are wrong?
Aerows
(39,961 posts)Let's discuss the reality of who got the youth vote in 2008 - I mean, aren't you the one that is insistent about discussing "reality"?
Let's start with some reality.
Here are some hard numbers, in case you forgot.
http://www.pewresearch.org/2008/02/11/young-voters-in-the-2008-presidential-primaries/
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)If your point is Obama got the youth vote in the 2008 election, who has denied that?
If your point is the winner of DFA's pulse poll in 2008 got the youth vote, that would be false.
Either way, DFA's pulse poll doesn't predict the youth vote.
There are plenty of live threads on DU discussing the youth vote if that is what you have the hankering to discuss.
But people are not obligated to engage you in discussion when you change the thread subject.
Aerows
(39,961 posts)in discussion on how realistic one politicians chances are because of your specific opinion, either, but here we all are.
So you can ignore reality or you can think about what happened in 2008. Clinton and Clinton supporters can choose to forget it, but it certainly doesn't change what happened.
For a collection of folks that insist on discussing reality, when it gets pointed out that Clinton didn't do well with the youth vote, all of the sudden, it's not a topic said folks want to discuss.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts).. is nothing but an indicator of how DFA members WOULD vote if their candidate of choice was even running.
Aerows
(39,961 posts)You *ARE* of the opinion that nobody but Hillary should even consider running and that anyone who is looking at other candidates is unrealistic. I just decided to interject some facts into that narrative.
I find it interesting that suddenly the last thing you want to discuss is the reality of 2008.
And by interesting, I really mean hilarious because I derailed your train with the reality you have so ardently argued for.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Link or slink.
Aerows
(39,961 posts)Is someone else posting in this thread under the name "Wyldwolf" that isn't you and you've suddenly entered the conversation?
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)You can claim something but can't back it up.
Aerows
(39,961 posts)have been upfront and plain in this whole thread (and many others, I might add).
I made my claim, that Hillary didn't get the youth vote when you said she has no problem with the youth vote, backed it up, and now you are attempting to pretend you aren't an ardent proponent of the "Hillary is inevitable" and "Hillary is the only one that can win" doctrine.
Oops, it is shown that maybe Hillary isn't inevitable, and maybe that Hillary isn't the only one that can win, and suddenly, you want to question my ability to *read* and *reason* to change the subject.
Hopefully you can find yourself marginally mollified in the notion that someone, somewhere thinks you've scored a point.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Just one quote. Go ahead.
Aerows
(39,961 posts)You get the last word. As I said, I hope you feel mollified that you have convinced yourself you've scored a point.
You GOT THE LAST WORD! That's what COUNTS! Feel free to go nya-nya-nya-nya at me.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)I mean, with all the time you spent dancing around, you could have given one little link out all the ones you claimed to have seen.
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)Logical
(22,457 posts)Scuba
(53,475 posts)woo me with science
(32,139 posts)And that's no joke!
L0oniX
(31,493 posts)OilemFirchen
(7,143 posts)78% of the Water Is Wet Institution (WIWI) agree that water is wet, with 14% voting that water is sometimes wet. The other 8% were too parched to respond.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)frazzled
(18,402 posts)while Ted Cruz won the Value Voters Summit (Family Research Council) straw poll for the Republican 2016 race.
Neither one of those guys is going to be the Republican nominee. Just saying: Interest group straw polls are not indicative of anything.
billhicks76
(5,082 posts)Although the sample size is much bigger here. And if your Progressive base doesn't like the candidate then it's best to scrap them. Hillary Goldman-Sachs is not who should be representing us.
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)how Hillary had a commanding lead among DFA types, and Warren and Sanders were far below.
Looks like things turned around quite a bit.
(Edit: Hmm, or was it an OFA poll in which Hillary had a commanding lead? Now that I think about it, it could be a different poll.)
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)brooklynite
(94,635 posts)....DFA are supposed to be liberal activists. Why would nearly as many members support Hillary as Bernie. Could she be more popular across a broader spectrum of Democrats than DU thinks?
aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)NOT Millennials and not Democrats but DU Democratic Millennials who participate in the poll.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)Brooklynite stated "broader spectrum of democrats, then Du thinks. If we want a broader spectrum of dems we must go beyond DU, but you knew that. So you are saying DU Millennials don't count? Let's poll DU Millennials to see where they stand. Since your an active member I'm sure this info is important to you.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)DU millennialists - even smaller.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)I enjoy the food and entertainment.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)joshcryer
(62,276 posts)And they come out and vote.
Women boomers especially will be who Clinton will be targeting.
And Clinton can say she would never put SS cuts on the table, unlike Obama who campaigned on doing just that.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)Talk is cheap,but if her Wall Street masters want to put their grubby, dirty, little fingers on those trillions of SS money, we both know what Hillary-Sachs will do.
joshcryer
(62,276 posts)There's no proof that Boomers are liberal or progressive.
Winning the Presidency is about getting the votes. Clinton will do that.
And it is objective fact that Clinton was opposed to Obama's position to "put everything on the table." She can point to that in 2008 and pull a "lockbox" maneuver, and it would be impossible to disprove.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)I don't care who the boomers are, they didn't win the 2014 elections, period.You state the boomers will win the 2016 election because all the boomers vote so where are all the extra boomers coming from? Clinton can't win, she's just not electable. Hello President Bernie.
joshcryer
(62,276 posts)Look at the data, Boomers overwhelmingly showed up in 2008, 2012, 2014, and they will in 2016.
If you hinge the vote on Millennials, you're going to have a really hard time. They haven't shown up since 2008. And they didn't show up in the primaries, btw. It was a literal coin toss, with Obama edging out Clinton in caucuses which are undemocratic. Clinton got more votes in 2008, her ground game and PR failed her. The media didn't help.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)"Boomers overwhelming showed up in ...2014" and we lost. Then you say boomers will overwhelmingly show up in 2016 and we will win. How does that add up? Don't give me millennials and change the subject, just how are the boomers becoming the life savers in 2016?
Poor Hillary, she lost because of the Communist Iowa caucuses. Those dirty media crooks favored Barack Hussein Obama, the black muslim, anti-American(Jeremy Wright), terrorist(Bill Ayers) born in Kenya. Hillary's ground game and PR was under her leadership, so does that make her a failure too. Hillary-Sachs can't win, onward with President Bernie.
peacebird
(14,195 posts)marlakay
(11,479 posts)Spitfire of ATJ
(32,723 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Spitfire of ATJ
(32,723 posts)VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)Ohio: Christie vs. Clinton FOX News Clinton 46, Christie 39 Clinton +7
Ohio: Paul vs. Clinton FOX News Clinton 49, Paul 40 Clinton +9
Ohio: Bush vs. Clinton FOX News Clinton 48, Bush 38 Clinton +10
Ohio: Perry vs. Clinton FOX News Clinton 49, Perry 39 Clinton +10
Ohio: Kasich vs. Clinton FOX News Clinton 47, Kasich 43 Clinton +4
Marr
(20,317 posts)We're talking about name recognition and low-info voters there, and that's it. We've seen how popular pro-working class rhetoric can be when it's used by someone who can do so legitimately (or at least, without a decades-long monkey on their back singing a different tune). Obama won big by giving the impression that he'd put Main Street's interests ahead of Wall Street. Hillary Clinton can't do that without inspiring laughter.
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)I vote for who will WIN....not just who I think is the best dressed Democrat.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)phony "progressives" work to to deny the Democratic candidate their support - then whine because they can't understand how the conservative minority maintains power.
Beacool
(30,250 posts)jwirr
(39,215 posts)is going to lean as far left as they can to address the truth of what is happening in this country. You have time to think about were you stand regarding issues such as Wall Street, TPP, Keystone, alternative energy, etc.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)There are issues which are important in the day to day operation, we can allow ourselves to focus on a few issues.
jwirr
(39,215 posts)the environment, etc. Those are the issues a president will face in the day to day operation of this country. The We is many of Democrats.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)We are not a few issue nation, a president needs to lol at the complete horizon in making a decision. Allow all issues to be presented and the voters will decide.
jwirr
(39,215 posts)in the primary. Let her tell us what she wants to do. Let her talk about the issues. As to strong. She appears to be as strong as any of the others. Let her convince us that she is interested in the issues we are working on. That is what the primary campaign is for: telling us where she stands.
I for one am not going to be bullied into accepting any candidate without knowing where they stand on the issues.
Interested in knowing what you call day to day issues?
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)Union Scribe
(7,099 posts)pa28
(6,145 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)baldguy
(36,649 posts)Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)I'm sure they'll do the same for '16
maced666
(771 posts)I'd buy.
bluestateguy
(44,173 posts)So that's the end of that.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)Let me try the math on this. (.1%=.001) and 10,000,000 x .001= 10,000
100,000,000 x .001= 100,000
1,000,000,000 x .001 == 1,000,000
So if we have 1 Billion dem primary voters that would = 1 million DFA members. Please check my #'s ,I could be wrong.
frazzled
(18,402 posts)How representative of people who who vote in Democratic primaries, that is.
How many African American or Hispanic members were polled, as a percentage? How many auto mechanics from western Pennsylvania or unemployed factory workers from Dayton, Ohio? How many senior citizens (who tend to vote in disproportionate numbers)? How many suburban housewives?
Numbers don't matter, but demographics do. I suspect a self-selected group of like-minded people doesn't look a whole lot like the general voting public.
It's possible that these results could come to pass more than a year from now. But it's probably far more likely that they won't.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)Use that logic of specific demographics(auto workers,suburban housewives etc.) and ask a Hillary advocate how valid their polls are?
frazzled
(18,402 posts)how willing you are to ignore all commonly accepted statistical bases of polling. It's about on the level of climate change denial.
But then who am I to disabuse you of your fantasies. Knock yourself out. (Cue the Twilight Zone music as I exit this embarrassingly out-of-touch conversation.)
aspirant
(3,533 posts)Oh, I get it. All Hillary polls are fact but a DFA POLL is worthless junk. All the polls that are "commonly accepted" are Hillary polls and anti-Hillary polls are commonly unaccepted. Your use of the terms "commonly accepted" allows individual choice and not being a flock of sheep. Statistics provides probabilities not facts. Statistics definition ," systematic compilation of instances for the INFERENCE OF GENERAL TRUTHS". Inference defined, " to derive as a consequence, conclusion or PROBABILITY".Is that why you didn't use the words universally known as fact? Maybe it's because anyone can provide you with a list of polls that were so wrong they were laughable. The only fantasies here are yours as you try to shove probability polls down our throats as facts.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Oh, you mean scientifically conducted polls from reputable polling firms that have results you don't like.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)Oh you mean your reputable repub comrades at fox news and their statistical guesses.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Why are you evading my questions?
aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)JonLP24
(29,322 posts)They become Orrin Hatch on the topic
I get a big kick out of them using the word progressive, the senator said of Democrats. My gosh, theyre just straight old dumbass liberals anyway.
frazzled
(18,402 posts)conducted among the members of specific interest groups. It's about polling, and it's got some serious crazy going on in it.
I don't give a rat's ass about Hillary. But I am tired of ignorance and the reality-denying perspective of much of DU on electoral issues (as we saw in the recent congressional elections). A DFA "poll" is not a real poll because it's not reflective of the wider Democratic voting public. It's a limited straw poll. And I'm happy if people want to be deluded about its results. But they're meaningless--just like the straw polls that CPAC or Value Voters take on the right.
The topic of this thread is the value of DFA polls, not a discussion about the merits of various candidates.
JonLP24
(29,322 posts)Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)I would bet the KKK group would not poll well for Obama.
TheNutcracker
(2,104 posts)The 'party' needs to stop telling US who WE have to WORK for!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Fearless
(18,421 posts)That Hillary must win or we'll have a republican president... Hmm... To those naysayers I say this...
Cal33
(7,018 posts)picture altogether. We do need a progressive or liberal -- for real change.
No more fence sitters. They are too dangerous.
sadoldgirl
(3,431 posts)but for a long time I have not responded to their e-mails. Mea culpa.
If had, I would have placed Sanders above EW, but only if he ran as
a democrat.
Then again, some people here ( and yes, this is a very small group
as well) would claim that I want a pony or even a unicorn, and don't
understand their "reality".
So be it. They only concern themselves with people like me, when
they need my vote for their coronated one.
MisterP
(23,730 posts)Odin2005
(53,521 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)Odin2005
(53,521 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)Thanks, that confirms my suspicions
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)You betcha. He's a millenial, are you? If Fusion TV was such a grand operation wouldn't a politically astute young man be aware of Millennial media?
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)If you did you'd know polling samples require more than one respondent. But you don't believe in such science.
MannyGoldstein
(34,589 posts)Of course you're right, but the argument will go nowhere.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Someone implies Fusion TV, a joint venture of ABC and Univision, has no influence based on ONE DUer's response and you defend it.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)Are you denying the value of another's opinion on a guess?
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)I understand what you are saying, but isn't the greater good to slowly work out the specifics to powerfully present our points. We have a gift, a sounding board of right wingers to practice on and this is much cheaper than a Frank Luntz word poll.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)aspirant
(3,533 posts)wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)Raul Hernandez
(78 posts)and didn't even bother putting Clinton's name - because she is not a progressive as exposed by the DFA's polls.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)L0oniX
(31,493 posts)brooklynite
(94,635 posts)Name a single Democrat who has said they wouldn't vote for Sanders as Dem nominee...
We both know the only people threatening not to vote for the Democratic Nominee are the Hillary bashers.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)Last edited Thu Nov 27, 2014, 10:46 AM - Edit history (1)
But plenty of phony "liberals" here have proudly stated the will not vote for Clinton, though.
bigwillq
(72,790 posts)Sanders, Warren, Hillary.
Would make for a very exciting primary season.
The more the merrier, imo. Let democracy take its course, even if my frontrunner (have not decided on yet) loses.
Aerows
(39,961 posts)Here is how the youth vote went in the Primary in 2008. For those insistent on pointing out reality, well, there is some reality for you.
Droning Predator
(82 posts)So?
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Time to put up the money. It is the only way it works.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Should be a great primary season for the dems. Really excited about it. We always look so much better than the repukes. Our field is so much better.