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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThanks Obama! U.S. Dollar Reaches Highest Value In 9 Years
Thanks Obama! U.S. Dollar Reaches Highest Value In 9 Years
January 3, 2015
Curtis F
With the housing market in full recovery, the budget deficit more than cut in half, the unemployment rate at 5.8 percent, gas prices on a continuous downfall and the stock market at record-breaking levels, its hard to imagine that anything else could go right for the American economy. Fortunately, it seems the economic news is all sunshine and fairies.
U.S. Dollar at 9-Year High
At 11:50 a.m. ET on Jan. 2, the dollar index was trading at 90.94. To make a long story short for those of us who dont have a degree in economics, this is the highest level the dollar has traded at since March 2006.
The numbers also showed that the dollar was at its highest value in 4-1/2 years compared to the euro and 7-1/2 years compared to Japanese yen, but the short form of the story is that the dollar is outperforming currencies all across the world.
The dollars rise in power was explained by Societe Generale global strategist Kit Juckes:
Thats right America: the dollar is back.
Obama is Ruining the Economy?
Republicans and Fox News have long claimed that President Barack Obama would ruin the U.S. economy. Unfortunately for their deluded narrative, this hasnt been the case. As it turns out, in addition to all of the other amazing economic news mentioned earlier, 2014 was the best year for jobs since 1999.
In reality, theres hardly a piece of negative economic news out there, and this writer is finding it more difficult to understand how people can still tell themselves that the economy is a train wreck. For those individuals, please note that a train wreck is what occurred under the watch of George W. Bush. What is happening now could be referred to as one of the most epic comebacks in history.
more...
http://reverbpress.com/news/us-dollar-at-9-year-high/
MADem
(135,425 posts)JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)and export goods?
I have mixed feelings about a very high dollar. I don't want it to be too low. But having it very high can be bad for our trade deficit. Am I not getting something here?
MADem
(135,425 posts)You owe some assclowns a zillion yen, say, if the dollar is trading at 200 yen and not eighty nine (this is just a spurious example, though I have bought yen at 200--and even higher--to one) then you're going to be able to dump that debt faster.
We're not talking about an insanely strong dollar, here. But hey, no matter what the guy does, some people will give him grief!
RKP5637
(67,111 posts)Warren Stupidity
(48,181 posts)babylonsister
(171,070 posts)freshwest
(53,661 posts)Thought the idea was a fair price for goods for the manufacturer, with a fair price asked for the price of goods sold to consumers, with the workers paid a fair price for their labor to buy things.
I'd like to know why a strong $ hurts manufacturing in a real world way. I'm sure someone here knows the answer to it. Just explain it to me in little bitty words, okay?
babylonsister
(171,070 posts)bhikkhu
(10,718 posts)and goods produced here are relatively expensive, especially on the world market. Exports suffer. And vice versa. A strong dollar does hurt manufacturing here.
So, pros would be we can buy cheap stuff from overseas and save money, and its less expensive to go on foreign vacations. Cons would be our stuff is priced out of the world market, and its more expensive for people from other countries to visit here (so there's less tourism, which makes a difference in many areas).
On a macroeconomic level, we're in good shape because our money is a more attractive reserve currency, the government can sell bonds at very low interest levels and so forth. Cons are - if it stops, we're in deep crap pretty quickly. Balance is better, and it would be bad to get in a situation where a restoration of global currency balances crashed our own economy.
MADem
(135,425 posts)This is great news for Ecuador, too--their official currency is the US dollar.
Warren Stupidity
(48,181 posts)the cost of domestic labor is a separate factor, only indirectly (and negatively) impacted by high dollar valuations. The dollar valuation directly affects export/import markets. High dollar valuation makes imports cheaper and exports more expensive. While it sounds all patrioticly great and everything a "strong dollar" - wow that must be good, right? It isn't that simple.
n2doc
(47,953 posts)I remember the righties predicting that the Dollar would crash and we would have hyperinflation by now. Oops.
PowerToThePeople
(9,610 posts)Oh wait. I have less net worth and a lower income than at any time in the last 20 years.
Ya, the value of something that I do not have does not hold much weight.
lunasun
(21,646 posts)global1
(25,252 posts)Obama is on top now going into 2015. The Repugs take over the Senate and are in the majority in the House. If things start going south it is on their shoulders. They will take the fall. We have to make sure that they take the blame and be very vocal in pointing this out when gas prices start creeping up; when the stock market starts dipping; when the dollar weakens; etc.
babylonsister
(171,070 posts)the rethugs claim victory for Obama's successes, and if things start going south, it's on them.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)Hekate
(90,714 posts)freshwest
(53,661 posts)nichomachus
(12,754 posts)We're less attractive as a tourist destination. Yippee.
Dreamer Tatum
(10,926 posts)Our goods look more expensive, it is more expensive to invest here,
and so on.
freshwest
(53,661 posts)For those who travel for business, they will write it off. Regular folks go abroad as needed, and most don't need it.
Please explain what exports will be hurt by a strong dollar, because I don't know any of our export goods that don't face stong competition from foreign manufacturers.
Right now, a strong dollar in theory (my own, of course) means resources and goods bought or imported from other nations, will cost us less and reduce export revenue for them.
As far as manufacturing and selling goods, or commerce within the USA, I don't see the effect. Ready to hear (your own) theory on whether it will give Americans more purchasing power or take it away.
Disclaimer: Not a banker, economics major or an accountant. Just a typical person who was never interested in such matters. I wonder why an allegedly good thing is being said to be a bad thing on this thread. I'm ready to be enlightened by you.
totodeinhere
(13,058 posts)already been mentioned. And when US companies cannot sell as much overseas that could have an adverse effect on our employment. U.S. producers must compete in the domestic marketplace with cheaper foreign goods. And a stronger dollar has a negative impact on the foreign tourism industry which can also have a negative impact on employment.
DeSwiss
(27,137 posts)- So we're fine. Until we run out of bankers......
babylonsister
(171,070 posts)your person of choice was in charge in 2008. Do tell.
Hutzpa
(11,461 posts)are clicking on every positive threads about Obama releasing asinine obstinacy from the most
narrow hole available to them. The stench can be unbearable sometimes.
zappaman
(20,606 posts)MADem
(135,425 posts)DeSwiss
(27,137 posts)These systems of picking ''persons of choice'' through so-called democratic elections (most thinking people are aware of by now) is ludicrously out-of-date and irreparably corrupted. It harkens to the time of the Ancient Tymes of Patriarchs of Olde where the Oligarchs of Old sprinkled favor upon their supporters and rained death and destruction upon their enemies -- because people must be properly lead and told to do the right thing.
It matters little whom the ''person of choice'' is in this rotten system. They will all do the bidding of the rich classes and no one else. It has been known for many years that you cannot have democratic governmental systems that are supposed to represent the people within a capitalist economy which allows corporations to have powers greater than the people. That is what we have now.
The fact that so many are unaware of this or worse, still in denial about it, is largely the reason this sick and cancerous system still lives.
- Congratulations on your successful choice.
Sid
Tarheel_Dem
(31,234 posts)Boreal
(725 posts)how the complicated world of finance and monetary policy works, though I do like to occasionally read those who do. I get the simple stuff like strong dollar = cheap imports and keeps interest on the massive lower but I'm under the impression there's a whole lot more most people (especially me!) don't really understand, one of them being that a lot of unethical and even illegal manipulation goes into the "strong dollar". Being an aggressive military power is tied in, too. This old article (2005) about the strong dollar policy may (or may not) be of interest to some and stills seems very relevant now. Catherine Austin Fitts is someone knows what she's talking about when it comes to this stuff so there's that.
Will the Real Economic Hitmen Please Stand Up?
The Strong Dollar Policy
In the mid-1990s, the Clinton Administration, led by an economic team comprised of Robert Rubin, Lawrence Summers and Franklin Raines, instituted something called the "strong dollar policy." This policy was maintained by the Bush Administration, which held over in the first term many of the key players in policymaking positions, including George Tenet, Jerry Hawke (Comptroller of the Currency 1998 - 2004) and Charles Rossotti (45th Commissioner of the IRS).
The smoothness of the transition between administrations ostensibly led by political parties in opposition to each other belies the ruse and underscores the strategic nature of the centralization of economic and politic power under way.
While the game of trying to figure out what in the world the strong dollar policy really is has gotten increasingly Orwellian,6 the basics are pretty simple. We have kept the dollar's value high relative to other currencies - and far above what fundamental economics would warrant - by asking the consumer and taxpayer to shoulder extraordinary and rising levels of debt financed by increasing amounts of dirty money. This has enabled elites to move off shore and into private hands virtually all the real financial equity in the country. The US is not alone in experiencing "disappearing equity" - it is part of a global equity-centralizing and asset-control process.
The strong dollar policy was characterized by a series of financial and market manipulations:
Four Secretaries of the Treasury refused to produce audited financial statements and reported a total of $4 trillion in "undocumentable adjustments";7
The Clinton and Bush Administrations rejected policies that would build American productivity and employment8 in the face of the plan to move employment abroad while permitting the growth of debt and immigration quotas at home;
The Clinton and Bush Administrations promoted federal credit policies that turned American homes into ATM machines and led to a mortgage market characterized by increasing levels of fraud;
The Clinton and Bush Administrations in concert with the central banks (most notably the Federal Reserve) and bullion banks (including JP Morgan-Chase, Citibank and Goldman Sachs) manipulated the gold and silver markets to suppress the price of precious metals while large inventories were moved out of governments and central bank accounts worldwide and into private hands;
US pension funds and 401k and IRA retirement savings accounts lost value by waves of accounting and other financial frauds at widely held corporations (such as Enron, Worldcom and Tyco);
US Congress and regulatory agencies like the Securities and Exchange Commission adopted corporate controls, ostensibly to protect investors from further acts of corporate fraud, that operate as a subtle form of capital control, limiting the ability of entrepreneurs on Main Street to raise capital in financial markets;
Military force was used to ensure that global investors would continue to purchase US Treasury and mortgage agency securities and the US dollar would prevail as the currency of international choice;
The federal budget, federal credit, and federal contracting were operated to favor corporate profit making at the cost of small business and labor productivity;
US Treasury and Federal Reserve market intervention was used to ensure low cost of capital for favored global corporations; and,
The types and amounts of outstanding financial derivatives exploded, far beyond the ability of most public and private leaders to understand or explain.
No one has made a count of the deaths that resulted worldwide from these various financial manipulations. The death toll from the pincer movement of military warfare and economic warfare is far greater than is generally understood.
9/11: Strong Dollar Policy Steroids?
While floating the global dollar economy on a sea of debt and easy money worked well for the economic hit men and women through the end of the 1990s, by the summer of 2001 the game seemed to have run its course. Defense appropriations had stalled that summer. Members of the media were asking questions about $3.3 trillion missing from HUD and DOD. Shortly before 9/11, Donald Rumsfeld admitted that DOD could not account for trillions of taxpayer dollars. On September 9, 2001, From the Wilderness issued an economic alert warning that the global financial system ran the risk of meltdown.9
With the events of 9/11, however, the US government was able to garner support for the extraordinary financial market interventions necessary to continue the strong dollar policy and for keeping the lid on the various financial frauds and manipulations. America and the global financial system have stayed afloat for another three years.
The answer to the question Cui Bono? ("Who benefits?" from the strong dollar policy suggests that allegations that members of the Bush Administration fully expected, welcomed and even facilitated 9/11 should be taken seriously. Trillions of dollars have been moved out of the US economy under the umbrella of the strong dollar policy - much of it in what appear to be criminal ways. The 9/11 tragedy conveniently necessitated a sudden, centralized control over government and theretofore private activities in the name of protecting national security interests and addressing the threat of terrorism. 9/11 diverted attention from and shut the door behind that money movement. It ushered in a wave of legislation rushed through Congress that would make it much more difficult for the American people to do anything about it. The events of 9/11 have acted as a "lock-down" on a financial coup d'état at the core of the "strong dollar policy."
In the Machiavellian tradition, it turns out that the "strong dollar policy" is a policy that intentionally destroys the value of the dollar.
Justifying the End of Markets and Democracy
Traditionally, the faith of the US working class in democracy has been one of the most powerful supports for democracy worldwide. It is not enough to bankrupt the American middle class and the American government. The current effort to move to more centrally controlled governance also requires removing this faith that underpins support for global democracy. Part and parcel of doing so is establishing popular support for the notion that the economic supports for democracy - sound money, open and transparent markets and government, and access to equity - are somehow bad.
An example of this is Marjorie Kelly's The Divine Right of Capital, which neglects to integrate the covert revenue streams into the equation and instead attempts to explain problems and resolutions in terms of overt cash flows only. According to Kelly, the editor of Business Ethics magazine, free markets, not organized crime and black budgets, are the problem. Hence, the problem is that shareholders want to make money, not that insiders rip off small investors of their savings and retirement investments using criminal means, protected, not obstructed, by governmental intervention. Kelly's bio mentions her speaking engagements at Harvard, without concern for Harvard's leadership in Enron, Harken, the rape of Russia, HUD corruption and other criminal frauds.
In the latest escalation of the Orwellian nightmare, we have entire networks of good-hearted progressives and socially responsible investors promoting a framework of "problems-solutions" that provides the perfect intellectual camouflage for their opponents' control over national and international resources. Now that the so-called "New World Order" has stolen all of the money, those who are most appalled at this state of affairs unwittingly promote policies that will prevent the ordinary person from communicating with integrity or creating and accumulating wealth. Even worse, they crave the credibility conferred by the foundation, church and university investment syndicates most richly rewarded by economic and military warfare. Their behavior and the policies they promote --- if allowed to triumph --will ensure our descent into a 21st century war economy.
joshcryer
(62,276 posts)Didn't you know?
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
MADem
(135,425 posts)It's hilarious how some people just can't give the man a break. This is almost "Who the Fuck Are They Kidding" Underground, at this point!
Warren Stupidity
(48,181 posts)And the people who lose their jobs aren't running off to buy homes in Mexico, they are getting run out of their homes.
DFW
(54,403 posts)He was telling me how Obama's recovery isn't as good as Reagan's. He then pulled up an article from Forbes to prove his point.
I asked if I could pull up one from MSNBC as a counter-argument. He told me not to bother. This is what we're all up against.
They "know what they want to know," and are not interested in hearing that they might have their "facts" wrong.