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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTaxpayers on hook for up to $1 TRILLION due to Citi Rider in Cromnibus & Low Oil Prices?
*I think if this interests you, reading the entire, mind-blowing article is best.
1/8/15
As Congress removes restrictions on taxpayers bailing out the too-big-to-fail banks, the right is blaming environmentalists and Russia for the demise of the fracking boom. In reality, the banks' junk bonds and derivatives have flooded Wall Street, and now the fracking bubble threatens another financial crisis.
Collapsing crude oil prices due to oversupply are reaching tsunami proportions, threatening Wall Street banks, investors and a dozen countries, foremost Russia, Iran and Venezuela, where revenue losses have caused severe financial degradation, and economies are about to implode. While Americans are today enjoying $2 per gallon gasoline, Wall Street's analysts predict that an imminent energy market collapse will bring financial institutions to their knees once again, and taxpayers are being set up for another mandatory bailout.
At the heart of these tectonic shifts in the entire energy sector is the recent expansion of the hydraulic fracturing (fracking) industry, a boom cycle that began in earnest when Congress and the Bush administration passed the Energy Policy Act of 2005, which exempted the new horizontal drilling technology from the Clean Water Act, the Safe Drinking Water Act and the National Environmental Policy Act....
...But in fact, no statistical evidence confirmed the hyped claims of a 100-year shale gas supply. In 2011, a study downsized this estimate from 2,560 trillion cubic feet to 750 trillion cubic feet, and by 2013, the US Geological Survey refined that down to 481 trillion cubic feet - less than a 19-year supply based on 2013 rates of production. Nevertheless, huge amounts of capital poured into increasingly marginal operations, and the fracking market was flooded with junk bonds and derivatives as investors piled in.
...The plunge in the prices of crude could trigger a "volatility shock large enough to trigger the next wave of defaults," according to Deutsche Bank.
This explains why the Obama administration - with complicity of both congressional Democrats and Republicans - managed in the wee hours of the morning to slip a loophole into the supposedly "must-pass" cliff-hanger omnibus budget bill. This toxic Trojan horse, passed in December 2014, now includes a minor footnote provision that might cause taxpayers to pick up the tab on more than a trillion dollars (yes, trillion) if the energy market bubble implodes, which it must if oil stays at half the price it fetched just six months ago.
After last minute, heavy lobbying on the budget bill by Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan Chase and an army of 3,000 Wall Street lobbyists, it appears that once again sufficient insecurity and fear had been spread among the political class regarding destabilization of the financial markets (or withdrawal of campaign financing). They allowed a last minute amendment that killed Dodd-Frank protections, and allowed US taxpayers to be shaken down to cover Wall Street's shale gambling debacle....
Wall Street is now flooded with fracking industry derivatives contracts that protect the profits of oil producers from dramatic swings in the marketplace....
http://www.truth-out.org/news/item/28406-russia-blamed-us-taxpayers-on-the-hook-as-fracking-boom-collapses
This was published in "Truth Out", but I really hope it isn't true...
RobertEarl
(13,685 posts)If those rich people were to lose a bunch of money, then we poor folks would get trickled on less.
People just have to understand the system is geared up for the rich. The rich get elected; then they write the laws. Ya think they're gonna write laws that don't protect them and other rich people?
There is a reason the House has just 435 members, and has for almost 100 years. With just one rep for about every 700,000 citizens, it ensures poor people can't get elected and gum up the works.
Oh... Obama is one of the rich, ya know?
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)in the budget at the last minute, & the big push to get it passed with the economy-wrecking rider attached.
We aren't represented by our government very well here.
Its heart-breaking, the level of corruption. If all this is true.
RobertEarl
(13,685 posts)Last edited Fri Jan 9, 2015, 02:51 AM - Edit history (1)
Just look at how they have allowed our beautiful rivers to become polluted and nasty. I, too, am a Lover of Rivers. Love your moniker.
We are not well represented in government. Somehow the rich and powerful have grabbed more power.... and with that power more riches, and with those riches, more power.
Used to be on DU such power met much resistance, and like a river against a dam, one could see us flowing free again one day. Not so much anymore.
Note that the mass of DU is getting off telling everyone how they are against murder, but smirking at the slow death by a thousand knives from the rich and powerful as presented here.
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)Thank you. Our rivers are indeed nasty & what a fitting analogy you give them. I still hold hope for them to flow clear again one day, as testament to those wealthy, corrupt powers being washed away be the majority rising up against them. Peacefully. Thanks again RobertEarl.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)If they fail, will the people receive stock ownership of these companies and this time clean house of these filthy crooks as being the new owners?
"We aren't represented by our government" that includes the leader of the govt. Obama, right. If the people get the shaft, who do we blame?
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)The workers in the industry. The crude flood is also hurting Russia, Iran and ISIS.
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)spent on locating a place in which to set up, money spent on purchasing the royalty rights, the return is in the production, this happens in many business, capital is put up front and hopefullt the ones putting up the money hopes to get a return.
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)Certainly not the communities that lose clean water. And now it seems to not be cost effective to all of us who will be bailing out the investors.
Open your eyes and look at the big picture and all parties involved not just some fossil fuel corporation.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)said, it is not cost effective to the companies, open your eyes and read before jumping to conclusions.
hedda_foil
(16,375 posts)If it smells like a setup and looks like a setup, it damn well probably is a setup.
More from the articles:
The big Wall Street banks did not expect plunging home prices to implode the mortgage-backed securities market in 2008, but their current models also did not have $60 oil prices included in projections. The huge losses may send a shock wave into the entire financial industry. It has been estimated that the six largest "too-big-to-fail" banks control $3.9 trillion in commodity derivatives contracts, those same gambling instruments that brought us the 2008 housing collapse. And a very large chunk of that amount is made up of oil derivatives. Combined with the huge flood of shale junk bonds on the market, the derivatives could initiate a bubble burst that could turn into a financial market implosion.
Meanwhile, the global climate change issue and energy market turbulence have morphed into geopolitical tensions over European fracking. Unsubstantiated allegations in a New York Times report by Andrew Higgins claim that the Russians are funding anti-fracking protests to maintain their hegemony over gas markets.
The allegations have infuriated environmentalists and climate justice activists. The last thing they want is to be made scapegoats for the fracking collapse and be played as the neo-Cold War dupes of the Russian empire. But memories of red-baiting suddenly hang in the air as (by seeming coincidence) dozens of right-wing media sites regularly devoted to anti-Soviet slanders or climate change denial immediatelypicked up Higgins' Times piece, as if on cue.
There are now dozens more of such published reports. Even as the US fracking industry collapses and tensions over control of Ukraine and other former Soviet satellites re-emerge, there seems to be a concerted right-wing effort to label fracking opponents Russian agents.
And afaic this whole thing reeks of a setup.
Scuba
(53,475 posts)A betrayal of unimaginable proportions.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)Where are taxpayers involved?
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)There are also those who scratch their heads and ask, "Why did the TBTF banks push for a deletion of the Dodd-Frank provision now, instead of waiting for the friendlier Republican-controlled Congress to pass this legislation?" The only answer that seems to make sense, and explain their urgency, is that the collapse is imminent....
Recursion
(56,582 posts)It doesn't get any of its money from us.
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)Which is how its set up now. But citizens aren't aware.
They've been gambling with NO risk.
And this is exactly why Warren was against this and gave the famous speech to the Senate in her fight to stop the rider from being included in the budget~
joeglow3
(6,228 posts)I have always assumed that if I choose to put money in an account at a bank, I am assuming the risk of losing that money. We all know a bank takes my money and pays me 1% and then loans that money out to someone else and charges 8%. Common sense says that if they lose that money, they have nothing to pay me back my money with. They are offering you compensation in exchange for that risk (1% payment on your money). If that is a risk greater than you are willing to accept, you can get a safe and store your money yourself and not have to worry about a bank going under (forfeiting your 1% payment).
Recursion
(56,582 posts)Banks create the money that they lend, and destroy that money as the principal is paid off.
Thanks for the lesson.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)We've never bailed out the FDIC, and the TARP bailout didn't cost taxpayers anything (the government made money on it).
Andy823
(11,495 posts)I know you have posted this before, and yet so many here won't see the facts. They will continue spew things they know nothing about, and ignore the facts. I guess the only thing they want to do is complain about the president and the democratic party!
madokie
(51,076 posts)it seems that they want to blame Obama.
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)December 15, 2014 at 11:56am · 1
https://www.facebook.com/notes/jack-watkins/cromnibus-budget-honor-amongst-thieves/554116091390581
Why isn't this in mainstream media???
riversedge
(70,242 posts)Octafish
(55,745 posts)What used to be called "bets" are now backed by the US Taxpayer.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)First, the FDIC receives no taxpayer money
Second, derivatives are still not FDIC insured.
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)I'd stick around for your talking points(I've read them at WSJ), but I have to go out now & earn a living.
The bank said in its year-end report that at least 15pc of US shale producers are losing money at current prices, and more than half will be under water if US crude falls below $55. The high-cost producers in the Permian basin will be the first to feel the pain and may soon have to cut back on production.
BP shows strain of Opec price war with $1bn of cuts 10 Dec 2014
Petrol to drop to £1 a litre, says Goldman Sachs 09 Dec 2014
Dollar surge endangers global debt edifice, warns BIS 07 Dec 2014
The claims pit Bank of America against its arch-rival Citigroup, which insists that the US shale industry is far more resilent than widely supposed, with marginal costs for existing rigs nearer $40, and much of its output hedged on the futures markets.b]Inside Wall Streets new heist: How big banks exploited a broken Democratic caucus
Dec 2014
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/oilprices/11283875/Bank-of-America-sees-50-oil-as-Opec-dies.html
Citibank as of Dec 10 2014 is claiming that Bank of America is wrong. Citibank is instead claiming that the US Shale Industry ( Fracking for Oil) can make money at around $40 a barrel.
Just this Sept. 23 Ed Morse, Citigroup Inc.s head of global commodities research in New York, said by phone . Oil from shale formations costs $50 to $100 a barrel to produce.
If you're going to lie try not to change your facts so quickly Citibank
Oct 8, 2014
Shale oil is expensive to extract by historical standards and only viable at high-enough prices, Ed Morse, Citigroup Inc.s head of global commodities research in New York, said by phone Sept. 23. Oil from shale formations costs $50 to $100 a barrel to produce, compared with $10 to $25 a barrel for conventional supplies from the Middle East and North Africa, the Paris-based International Energy Agency estimates.
There is probably something to the notion that if prices fell suddenly to $60 a barrel, the production growth would turn negative, he said.
Crude prices might not fall enough to shut in production. About 70 percent of U.S. reserves would remain economic with global prices at $75 a barrel, according to Wood Mackenzie, an industry consultant based in Edinburgh.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-10-07/shale-boom-tested-as-sub-90-oil-threatens-u-s-drillers.html
Todays price of oil notice we are already below the $75 mark where 30 percent of American oil makes no sense to pump price from link Dec 14 2014 Sunday if you check the link the current price the day you check the link should appear.
Crude Oil (WTI) USD/bbl. 57.81
Crude Oil (Brent) USD/bbl. 61.85
http://www.bloomberg.com/energy/
More evidence google citibank and fracking and you get one article by KateCA from FDL and you get a bunch of different articles all about or from Citibank that seem to spin the idea that the fracking industry can survive lower oil prices, Fracking saved us from Peak Oil, Fracking is renewable energys future. All these articles are recent it seems Citibank has hired a Public relations firm to influence the public about Fracking. Smells Desperate smells like an attempt to bury anti fracking articles under a barrage of pro fracking articles this is just what a Public Relations firm would do to hide an inconvenient truth like Fracking for oil is losing money, ...
http://my.firedoglake.com/blog/2014/12/14/did-citibank-bets-on-fracking-go-bad-is-that-why-they-pushed-congress-to-bail-out-derivatives/
marmar
(77,081 posts)Recursion
(56,582 posts)If so, that's exactly what you got.
NewDeal_Dem
(1,049 posts)Recursion
(56,582 posts)So that the lenders took on some risk in addition to the government.
NewDeal_Dem
(1,049 posts)Autumn
(45,107 posts)octoberlib
(14,971 posts)on the bail out. I can guarantee you none of the people whose lives were completely ruined by the crash , who lost their homes , jobs and had their 401k's wiped out will ever see a red cent. Taxpayers shouldn't be put in this position in the first place. Some people were absolutely DEVASTATED and still haven't recovered. If the big banks knew they couldn't count on their losses being covered by taxpayer money maybe they wouldn't take so many damn risks.
NewDeal_Dem
(1,049 posts)Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)I think that amount is highly optimistic.
Sopkoviak
(357 posts)*fuck*
TheBlackAdder
(28,209 posts)There were offers to buy into oil shares several months ago.
Since when does a profitable industry want small-time investors to participate in the windfalls?
The oil industry and financial firms probably had discussions about OPEC's future actions and
positioned themselves in the Cromnibus accordingly.
===
I have the sneaky feeling this was all set up. The banks, the oil companies, etc... all knew that
the oil prices were going to drop. If this Citi Rider does do this, then that almost cements this feeling.
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)RiverLover
(7,830 posts)They quietly killed the "Lincoln Amendment" in Dodd-Frank.
A good example of this is the House and Senate agreeing to raise the budgets for the Commodities Futures Trading Commission and Securities & Exchange Commission in exchange for quietly repealing the Lincoln Amendment to the Dodd Frank financial regulation law. The action looks like more money for tougher regulation, but eliminating the Lincoln Amendment means American banks are once again free to use taxpayer money to back-stop their speculative derivative trading.
...Following the 2008 financial crisis, Congress passed the Dodd Frank Act to strengthen regulation of financial institutions. A key regulatory element was the Lincoln Amendment rule. Starting in 2013, federally insured banks would be prohibited from directly engaging in derivative transactions not specifically hedging (1) lending risks, (2) interest rate volatility, and (3) cushion against credit defaults. The push-out rule sought to force banks to move their speculative trading into non-federally insured subsidiaries.
The Federal Reserve and Office of the Comptroller of the Currency in 2013 allowed a two-year delay on the condition that banks take steps to move swaps to subsidiaries that dont benefit from federal deposit insurance or borrowing directly from the Fed.
The rule would have impacted the $280 trillion in derivatives primarily held by the too-big-to-fail (TBTF) banks that include JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo...
With the public distracted and fixated on the huge spending bill and the federal bureaucracy getting $185 million to hire lots of new regulators, the TBTF banks quietly retain unfettered access to speculate in derivatives with taxpayer money. It is just magic!
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2014/12/10/banks-get-ok-to-use-taxpayer-money-for-derivative-speculation/
Recursion
(56,582 posts)It's funded by fees from banks. And it generally makes money when it takes over a bank.
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)FDIC didn't come into play. And it won't when we have to cover billions of dollars to save them from collapsing again due to oil/energy swaps/derivatives.
They're "too big too fail" remember? FDIC doesn't come close to covering their oil derivative risks.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)You're right, because none of the banks that failed in 2008 were FDIC insured. That said, the TARP bailout made money for the government, so it didn't cost taxpayers anything either.
jwirr
(39,215 posts)about clean fighting. We need to do what we must.