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Purveyor

(29,876 posts)
Mon Jan 26, 2015, 03:26 PM Jan 2015

Why Greeks Should Dump The Euro

By Peter Morici

By electing left-wing Syriza party leader Alexis Tsipras to be premier, Greeks voted to end the draconian economic measures imposed by Germany and other international lenders. After the dust settles, German Chancellor Angela Merkel will either backpedal on the austerity imposed on Athens or accept Greece's exit from the euro.

When the single currency was established in 1999, prices, bank accounts and debts in each member state were translated from domestic currencies into euros at prevailing exchange rates.

Prices for most products that were traded within the Eurozone reasonably reflected differences in productive efficiency and wages among its members. However, owing to differences in national geography, law and culture, productivity advanced more rapidly in Germany and other northern states. Greece and other Mediterranean members increasingly borrowed to pay for imports as their exports became uncompetitive and inadequate.

By 2008, just as many U.S. homeowners were too deeply in debt to ever repay what they owe, Greece and several other southern European governments couldn't service their debts.
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Led by Ms. Merkel, the International Monetary Fund, European Central Bank and European Union (the Troika) fashioned aid packages that essentially refinanced government debt but imposed large losses on private bondholders.

more...

http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/opinion/oped/bs-ed-greece-euro-20150126-story.html

14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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FLPanhandle

(7,107 posts)
2. I've always said the same thing.
Mon Jan 26, 2015, 03:30 PM
Jan 2015

It'll be painful in the short term but there is no way for Greece to survive on the Euro.

The pain will be bad though and will any government last long enough to get through it to the other side.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
5. Yep, painful to leave the EU, but probably no other choice at this point.
Mon Jan 26, 2015, 04:07 PM
Jan 2015

Sometimes a bridge has to be burned, even knowing it will never be rebuilt.

2naSalit

(86,646 posts)
6. It might be painful
Mon Jan 26, 2015, 04:23 PM
Jan 2015

but surely not as painful as keeping it.

After hearing parts of the BBC coverage about it, I would hope they do kiss the Euro goodbye and get on with their lives in recovery.

The EU was a mistake and should be dismantled. It's a scheme cooked up by the same asswipes who crashed the economy and are trying to shove TPP up our asses. This, I hope is the beginning of the end of KorporateKapitalKronyism.

Go Greece!!!

DetlefK

(16,423 posts)
8. Funny, the article doesn't mention that Greece was corrupt as f**k.
Mon Jan 26, 2015, 04:57 PM
Jan 2015

A perversely bloated bureaucracy where nothing got done without bribes.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fakelaki
Need a surgery? You better bribe the surgeon or you never get an appointment.
Need a good job for a relative? Public sector jobs for everyone (you like)!
Rich people avoiding taxes, but that's no problem: Greece could always run up more debt!

And Tsipras promised to return all those unnecessary positions that the EU forced Greece to get rid off. Why grow the economy when you can dole out public sector jobs where people have nothing to do? It's a great way to manipulate, errr... adjust the unemployment figures!


The EU was too harsh to Greece, but if Tsipras gets his way, Greece is fucked.

Nye Bevan

(25,406 posts)
9. Why does Syriza not want to leave the Euro?
Mon Jan 26, 2015, 05:08 PM
Jan 2015

Dump the Euro, default on their debt, reintroduce the Drachma, roll the printing presses, and no longer be beholden to anyone outside of Greece. What would be the downside of this?

whatthehey

(3,660 posts)
12. Other than a complete inability to raise more borrowing
Mon Jan 26, 2015, 05:23 PM
Jan 2015

and the wheelbarrow inflation of the Weimar Republic which tried the same thing? In that scenario what would you sell your imports to Greece for? Greece is not self-sufficient and who would want to accept a redux of DR Congo billion dollar bills?

Nye Bevan

(25,406 posts)
13. Well..... they don't owe crippling war reparations to anyone,
Mon Jan 26, 2015, 05:25 PM
Jan 2015

so the Weimar analogy does not fully hold up.

And plenty of countries have defaulted on their debt in the past but have been able to return to the capital markets.

whatthehey

(3,660 posts)
14. The Germans really had to pay very little, actually paid far less
Mon Jan 26, 2015, 05:28 PM
Jan 2015

only 21 billion marks. Greek debt as % of GDP dwarfs that.

whatthehey

(3,660 posts)
11. Probably should, but then what?
Mon Jan 26, 2015, 05:22 PM
Jan 2015

Even if they can convince their creditors to accept likely devalued drachmas as repayment, unless they get tax revenues that exceed their non-austerity spending they will need to borrow more, with an already 177% debt to GDP ratio, and that won't be cheap.

Both better collections AND spending controls will likely be necessary. Greek public sector workers can retire at 58 on 80% final salary pensions, compared to Germany's hardly-plutocratic 70% many years later.. Given life expectancy that locks you into a near 1 to 1 employee/pension recipient ratio. The ability of the wealthy of Greece to avoid taxes and the corruption of the tax authorities that abet them are justly legendary.

It's worth mentioning that other EU countries own 60% of Greek debt - the IMF and ECB combined are about 16%. So stiffing creditors will just hurt other nations who were there to help. Will they come back to help again after that?

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